Investment Rating - The investment rating for the humanoid robotics industry is generally positive, with a focus on component stocks such as Sanhua (Buy), LeaderDrive (Neutral), and Best (Neutral) [30]. Core Insights - The humanoid robotics industry is progressing towards commercialization by integrating generalizable intelligence with practical applications, relying on four core technologies: algorithms, data, computing power, and hardware [5][19]. - The industry forecast anticipates shipments of 20,000 units in 2025 and 1.4 million global humanoid robot shipments by 2035 [30]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - A recent field trip to humanoid robot companies in Beijing and Shenzhen highlighted a consensus on the need for robots to combine intelligence with practical applications [1]. - The focus is shifting towards developing the "brain" of humanoid robots, with significant investments in data factories to collect real-world interaction data [1][12]. Technology Development - The Vision-Language-Action (VLA) model is recognized as a feasible solution for humanoid robots, integrating vision and action to enhance task execution [6][7]. - High-quality real-world data is deemed critical for training models, with a requirement of approximately 10 million hours of data to achieve general-purpose autonomy [12][11]. Data Collection and Infrastructure - Companies are investing between US$100 million to US$200 million in data factories to support the extensive data collection needed for training [12]. - There is an ongoing debate regarding the effectiveness of different types of data (2-D video, teleoperational data, and simulation data) for training embodied AI systems [11]. Computing Power - Nvidia's Jetson Orin is currently the dominant computing platform, although local startups are exploring partnerships with Huawei to build domestic computing infrastructure [18]. Hardware Innovations - Dexterous hands are identified as a key focus for hardware improvement, essential for fine motion control and data collection [19]. - The humanoid robot pricing ranges from US$15,000 to US$100,000, with expectations of cost reductions through scale production and component optimization [23]. Practical Applications - Initial commercial opportunities are seen in industrial applications such as materials handling and sorting, while consumer applications are still considered distant due to regulatory hurdles [20][22]. - Companies report achieving up to 95% accuracy in materials handling tasks, with small-scale adoption expected to begin in 2025-2026 [20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Kingsoft Office with a 12-month target price of Rmb446, indicating an upside potential of 58.2% from the current price of Rmb282 [11]. Core Insights - Kingsoft Office is recognized as the largest domestic office productivity software provider in China, with its WPS software offering similar functionalities to Microsoft Office while providing additional services such as cloud storage and collaboration [8]. - The company is focusing on expanding its WPS AI user base, with Monthly Active Users (MAU) growing 8% year-over-year to 647 million by the end of Q1 2025, driven by the introduction of AI features [2][3]. - The WPS 365 platform for enterprise users has shown strong growth, achieving Rmb151 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a 63% year-over-year increase, supported by the adoption of State-Owned Enterprises (SOE) and other enterprises [3]. - Customized AI models have been launched for industry clients, significantly reducing hardware costs by 90% and improving paper writing quality by 72% [4][7]. Summary by Sections User Base Expansion - The MAU of WPS AI reached 19.7 million by the end of 2024, representing 3% of the total MAU, with management emphasizing efforts to enhance user engagement through features like a 7-day AI trial for new users [2]. WPS 365 Growth - The WPS 365 platform is highlighted for its comprehensive capabilities in office software, collaboration, and AI, providing a one-stop solution for enterprise users [3]. Customized AI Solutions - Kingsoft Office has developed customized AI models, including a government model with deep reasoning capabilities, which have led to significant cost reductions and quality improvements for clients [4][7]. Investment Thesis - The investment thesis is supported by expectations of increased Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) from the transition to a new membership system, subscription growth from enterprise clients, and long-term opportunities in AI [8].

Investment Rating - The report rates both Weichai Power's A- and H-shares as Buy [16]. Core Insights - Weichai Power is on track with sales of large-bore engines, maintaining its full-year target and showing positive development in blended average selling price (ASP) [1]. - The company anticipates that the impact of the replacement policy will become more visible by June, as local government implementations vary [1][10]. - Weichai is committed to developing a strong new energy powertrain business and may consider acquisitions to support this growth [1][15]. - Shareholder return enhancement is a focus, with plans for increased cash dividends and share buybacks [1][15]. Sales and Market Performance - Sales volume for large-bore engines reached 2,400 units in Q1, with April achieving 800 units, reflecting a 50% year-over-year increase [10]. - The domestic market's contribution to sales has risen to 40%, up from 30% in 2024 [10]. - The blended ASP for large-bore engines increased to RMB 450,000 from RMB 430,000 in 2024 [10]. - The full-year sales volume target is set at 120,000 units, with expectations for data-center application engines to stabilize at 2,500 to 2,600 units over the next two years [10]. Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - Weichai's long-term strategy includes focusing on new energy powertrains, off-highway machinery engines, overseas expansion, and aftermarket services [15]. - The company is exploring acquisition targets in new energy powertrains and humanoid robots [15]. - Management expects total industry sales of 950,000 units, with potential upward revisions depending on the implementation of the replacement policy [10]. Financial Projections - Revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 1.5 billion, with expectations to increase to RMB 4-5 billion in the current year [11]. - The expected net profit for the current year is RMB 100 million [11]. - The company anticipates a robust free cash flow profile, yielding approximately 10-20% from 2025 to 2027 [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for VeriSilicon, with a 12-month target price of Rmb119, indicating an upside potential of 35.9% from the current price of Rmb87.59 [11][9]. Core Insights - VeriSilicon is experiencing strong order momentum, with orders on hand reaching Rmb2.46 billion as of the end of Q1 2025, up from Rmb2.41 billion at the end of 2024. Approximately 80% of these orders are expected to be delivered within one year, supporting growth from Q2 2025 onwards [2][8]. - The company is expanding its capabilities in Chiplet and GPU/AI IP, supported by private placement funding approved by the CSRC in April 2025. This funding will primarily focus on developing high-performance, low-power Chiplet platforms for AI and autonomous driving applications [3][8]. - Revenue from turnkey solutions, which include chipset design and mass production services, has seen significant growth, increasing by 41% year-over-year [4][7]. - The investment thesis highlights VeriSilicon's leading position in the semiconductor IP market in China, with a 2% share in the global IP market. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising demand for computing power, particularly in AI and autonomous driving applications [8][9]. Summary by Sections Orders and Revenue - Orders on hand reached Rmb2.46 billion at the end of Q1 2025, supporting anticipated growth. The product mix is shifting towards more advanced projects (14nm and above), which carry higher value [2][8]. Funding and Expansion - The company plans to utilize private placement funding for R&D in Chiplet and GPU IP/AI IP, focusing on local client needs for high-performance chipsets [3][8]. Turnkey Solutions - The revenue growth from turnkey solutions has increased significantly, indicating strong demand in consumer electronics and a diversified client base across various sectors [4][7]. Market Position and Valuation - VeriSilicon is recognized as a leading semiconductor IP and design service provider in China, with a target P/E multiple of 31x for 2029E, suggesting that the shares are currently undervalued [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" (OW) rating to Chow Tai Fook (CTF), an "Equal Weight" (EW) rating to Laopu Gold, and an "Underweight" (UW) rating to both Lao Feng Xiang (LFX) and Chow Tai Seng (CTS) [8][11]. Core Insights - A milder rise in gold prices is expected to support a recovery in gold jewelry demand, particularly for weight-based gold jewelry products, which constitute over 70% of the gold jewelry market. There is an anticipated return of pent-up demand due to a recent decline in gold prices, which fell by 10% from its peak in late April [3][4]. - CTF is projected to benefit the most due to its high exposure to weight-based gold products (over 50%) and a higher proportion of self-operated stores (approximately 30% of sales). The company is seen as having better flexibility in switching between weight-based and fixed-price strategies [4][11]. - Laopu is expected to see solid demand growth, although the growth momentum may moderate due to stabilization in gold prices and a higher year-over-year comparison base. The brand is still in the early stages of consumer penetration, and demand for high-end heritage gold products is structural [5][11]. Summary by Company Chow Tai Fook (CTF) - Price target raised from HK$10.5 to HK$13, with an increase in target PE from 14x to 16x, reflecting the stock's average since 2016. The bull and bear case prices have also been adjusted to HK$17 and HK$7, respectively [6][32]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-27 have been slightly cut by 2-3% due to macroeconomic uncertainties, while earnings for 2025 are reduced by 4% but increased for 2026 and 2027 by 3% and 0%, respectively, due to better margin outlook [31][32]. Laopu Gold - Price target lowered from HK$980 to HK$865, with a decrease in target PE from 37x to 33x, reflecting a normalization in growth outlook and recent equity fundraising. The bull and bear case prices are now HK$1345 and HK$395, respectively [6][34]. - Revenue estimates for 2025-27 have been slightly adjusted, with a projected revenue of Rmb23,118 million for 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 171.8% [34]. Lao Feng Xiang (LFX) - Price target reduced from Rmb45 to Rmb36, with revenue forecasts for 2025-27 cut by 20-25% and earnings forecasts by 16%, due to severe revenue declines and store closures [6][35]. Chow Tai Seng (CTS) - Price target lowered from Rmb9.5 to Rmb9, with revenue forecasts for 2025-27 cut by 21% and earnings forecasts by 14-25%, reflecting a more severe decline than previously anticipated [6][35].

May 20, 2025 06:21 AM GMT 中国医药板块正处于国内政策环境、创新管线的开发验证阶 段和全球化布局的三重拐点。在传统估值框架下，以上利好 因素仍然被低估。我们认为行业可持续的结构性增长和未来 丰富的催化剂会继续推动板块价值重估。建议超配：翰森制 药、中国生物制药、石药集团。 要点 国内政策变得更加友好；相对远离地缘政治风险。自2024年下半年以来，中国医 药行业迎来了一系列支持性政策，包括对创新药的全链条支持、VBP指引的微调以 及商业保险公司更多参与的支付改革。此外，大多数中国制药公司对美国的出口 敞口较低，这使得该行业能够更好地免受多变的地缘政治/美国药品定价动态的影 响。 创新药资产的催化效应将释放产品管线潜在价值⋯⋯ 根据我们的 SOTP 分析，尽 管传统产品组合仍继续拖累许多公司的短期增长，但对股票估值的贡献已经很 小。主要旧药的销售的下滑和触底可被视为相关股票的清算事件，以便投资者重 新审视管线价值和催化剂。 ⋯⋯以及来自全球领军企业的更多外部认可。全球医药市场规模是中国国内市场 的6.6倍。鉴于许多中国制药公司渴望最终成为真正的全球参与者，他们通过将对 外授权、新公司和直接 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Foxconn Industrial Internet is "Buy" with a 12-month price target of Rmb23.80, indicating an upside potential of 24.9% from the current price of Rmb19.06 [9]. Core Insights - The management of Foxconn Industrial Internet remains optimistic about growth in 2025, driven by generative AI, which is expected to significantly boost the company's AI servers and high-speed networking equipment [1][3]. - The company has demonstrated strong growth in cloud computing revenues, which increased by over 50% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with revenues from cloud service providers (CSPs) growing by over 60% year-on-year [3]. - The company is well-positioned to navigate geopolitical tensions due to its global production capabilities and strong management across various operational aspects [3]. Summary by Sections AI Servers Outlook - Management is positive about the AI servers and networking business, expecting continued growth throughout the year. The company has competitive strengths in R&D, automated production, and a comprehensive product offering [3]. - The cloud computing segment's revenue growth is attributed to both AI servers and general servers, with brand customers also showing a growth of over 30% year-on-year [3]. Global Production Sites - The company emphasizes its global production capabilities, which allow it to meet client needs amid geopolitical uncertainties. It has established production sites in the US, including Wisconsin, California, and Texas, capable of producing various AI server models [3]. - The focus on high-value products and automated production in the US enhances yield rates and production efficiency [3]. Switch Business Growth - Management is optimistic about the growth of the switch business, particularly high-speed switches, with revenue growth for 400G and 800G switches projected to be in triple digits for 2024 [4][7]. - The company's 800G switch is already in shipment, contributing to rising revenue, and it serves leading brand customers such as Cisco, Arista, and NVIDIA [4][7].

May 19, 2025 12:39 PM GMT Tesla Inc | North America Autonomy & Alchemy: Valuing Tesla in the Robot Era Nearly 15 years after going public, investors struggle to justify the value of Tesla as much as ever before. We expect this valuation 'problem' gets worse before it gets better. It's not too late to change. "If one knows what is really happening one knows what is going to happen." • H.G. Wells (The Shape of Things to Come) Vita post auto. Most investors value Tesla's core auto business at between $50 and $ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Kweichow Moutai is "Buy" with a 12-month price target of Rmb2,017, indicating an upside potential of 27.7% from the current price of Rmb1,578.98 [8][10][19]. Core Insights - Kweichow Moutai's management expressed confidence in achieving a 9% year-on-year sales growth by 2025, supported by a diversified channel strategy and strong brand equity [2][6]. - The company has implemented a "4+6" channel layout to enhance consumer reach, consisting of 4 key direct sales channels and 6 wholesale channels [2][11]. - The product strategy focuses on maintaining pricing stability and a structured product portfolio, with Classic Feitian Moutai as the cornerstone [2][11]. - Long-term strategies include globalization efforts, with early progress noted in Southeast Asia and Japan, and targeting the younger generation through product and technological innovations [6][11]. - Kweichow Moutai has initiated share buybacks exceeding Rmb4 billion, aiming to fulfill its buyback commitment of Rmb3-6 billion soon, with plans for a new round of buybacks in progress [2][6]. Financial Targets and Strategies - The company aims for a sales growth of 9% year-on-year by 2025, supported by a diversified channel strategy and brand equity [2][6]. - The pricing system and product portfolio structure will remain stable, focusing on various product sizes and types, including cultural Moutai spirits and vintage collections [11]. - The management sees a rational spending sentiment emerging in the macro environment, which they believe will benefit leading brands during industry transitions [6][11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for iFlytek is Neutral, with a 12-month price target of Rmb55.30, indicating an upside potential of 15.9% from the current price of Rmb47.70 [9]. Core Insights - iFlytek has initiated a diverse AI monetization strategy targeting ToC, ToB, and ToG clients, focusing on API token fees, industry-specific AI solutions, and SOE/government projects [2][3]. - The company launched an "On-Prem LLM All-in-One solution" for enterprises, allowing clients to deploy multiple AI models on a single machine, enhancing operational efficiency [3]. - iFlytek's AI models are being integrated into automotive solutions, with applications in smart cockpits and audio systems, showcasing the company's expansion into the automotive sector [4][6]. Summary by Sections AI Monetization Strategy - iFlytek's AI monetization strategy includes the Spark LLM API token fee, industry solutions in education, healthcare, and automotive, and customized AI model services for SOE/government projects [2]. - The upgraded Spark reasoning model X1 was released in April 2025, with plans for continued in-house development of AI foundation models to optimize performance [2]. Enterprise Solutions - The "On-Prem LLM All-in-One solution" launched in April 2025 supports multiple AI foundation models for enterprise clients, allowing for customized solutions across various industries [3]. - Key features of the solution include Spark Insight for sales conversation analysis, OceanDoc for presentation generation, and Spark Wallex for integrating AI into hotel software applications [3]. Automotive Applications - iFlytek showcased its smart cockpit and smart audio solutions at the Autoshow Shanghai, with AI models adopted by over 16 automotive brands [4][6]. - The AI agents in the smart cockpit can summarize user-generated content and provide tailored recommendations, enhancing the passenger experience [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for iFlytek indicate growth from Rmb23.34 billion in 2024 to Rmb41.02 billion by 2027, with EBITDA expected to rise from Rmb2.53 billion to Rmb6.39 billion in the same period [9]. - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of Rmb0.24 in 2024, increasing to Rmb1.95 by 2027, reflecting strong growth potential [9].