Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][12]. Core Insights - The company is actively expanding into new materials, and the price gap for polyester industrial yarn has significantly improved year-on-year [2][12]. - The target price has been raised to 10.40 yuan, based on an updated earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 [12][14]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,622 million yuan in 2023 to 6,328 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.7% [4][13]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 349 million yuan in 2023 to 675 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 17.6% in 2024 and 27.0% in 2025 [4][13]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.30 yuan in 2023 to 0.58 yuan in 2027 [4][13]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to improve from 9.5% in 2023 to 14.6% in 2027 [4][13]. Business Development - The company plans to establish a subsidiary to implement industrialization projects for spinning oil agents and LCP resin, with a production capacity of 6,000 tons of LCP and 10,000 tons of chemical fiber oil agents [12]. - The company has made significant advancements in the preparation technology for high-end LCP resin and has successfully developed formulations for five types of polyester industrial yarn oil agents [12]. - The company is also expanding its operations in Vietnam, with a project to produce 18,000 tons of high-performance tire cord fabric and additional polyester projects [12].

——25 年业绩预告超预期，8600 突破在即 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： | 市场数据： 2026 年 01 月 27 日 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 274.00 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 279.99/116.11 | | 市净率 | 9.6 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.27 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 37,136 | | 上证指数/深证成指 4,139.90/14,329.91 | | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 2026 年 01 月 27 日 华峰测控 (688200) | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 28.63 | | 资产负债率% | 7.21 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 136/136 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 证券分析师 王珂 A0230521120002 wangke@swsresearch.com 杨海晏 A0230518070003 ...

2026 年 01 月 27 日 2025 盈利高增 汽车+机器人 Tier1 全面启航 glmszqdatemark | 事件：公司发布 2025 年度业绩预增公告，预计 2025 年实现归属于母公司所有 | | --- | | 者的净利润约 13.5 亿元，同比+40.56%；预计实现扣非归母净利润约 15 亿元， | | 同比+17.02%。 | 风险提示：智驾进展不及预期，乘用车销量低迷，机器人进展不及预期等。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] 均胜电子（600699.SH）系列点评三 | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 55,864 | 62,249 | 64,995 | 68,566 | | 增长率（%） | 0.2 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 5.5 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | 960 | 1,352 | 1,826 | 2,150 | | 增长率（%） | -11.3 | 40.8 | 35.0 | 17.8 | | 每 ...

天孚通信（300394.SZ）2025 年业绩预增点评 受益 AI 需求业绩高增，布局 CPO 有望持续增长 glmszqdatemark 事件：天孚通信于 1 月 21 日晚发布业绩预增公告，公司预计 2025 年度净利润为 18.8 亿元～21.5 亿元，同比增长 40%～60%。预计扣除非经常性损益后的净利 润为 18.3 亿元～21.1 亿元，同比增长 39%～60%。 风险提示：AI 领域发展进度及需求不及预期，行业竞争加剧，国际地缘政治风险。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 3,252 | 5,144 | 8,306 | 10,343 | | 增长率（%） | 67.7 | 58.2 | 61.5 | 24.5 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | 1,344 | 1,997 | 3,239 | 4,088 | | 增长率（%） | 84.1 | 48.6 | 62.2 | 26.2 | | 每股收 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Viewpoints - The company has a solid foundation in the rail transit sector, having participated deeply in the localization of high-speed rail supporting products and is a leading provider of one-stop services in the rail transit vehicle supporting field [1][10] - The rail transit industry is entering a new phase of rapid development, with promising prospects for the vehicle supporting market driven by national strategic planning and the demand for new and upgraded rail vehicles [2][32] - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the private sector of the rail transit industry, with its heavy machinery manufacturing segment revitalizing and contributing to sustained performance growth [3][61] Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company has been deeply engaged in the rail transit field for over 30 years, evolving from producing small components for traditional trains to becoming a leading supplier of high-speed rail supporting products [10][11] - Its product range includes safety systems, intelligent control systems, and maintenance support systems, covering a wide array of rail transit needs [11][12] Industry Outlook - The high-speed rail market in China is expected to maintain stable growth, with new line openings and the replacement of older trains driving demand for vehicle supporting products [2][32] - The demand for new high-speed trains is projected to remain above 200 units annually, supported by national planning and the need for upgrades and maintenance of existing fleets [32][34] Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profits of 602 million, 656 million, and 707 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 19.9, 18.3, and 17.0 [1][4] - Revenue is expected to grow from 3.697 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.413 billion yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.1% [4][19] Competitive Advantages - The company benefits from a one-stop service capability, which enhances its competitive edge in the market by simplifying client management and improving supply chain efficiency [3][45] - It has established stable partnerships with major rail transit manufacturers, ensuring a consistent demand for its products and services [48][50] Innovation and Development - The company is committed to continuous innovation, having developed new products such as the intelligent port wheel grabber, which significantly improves operational efficiency [61][63] - It has a strong focus on digital management and internal control optimization, which enhances operational resilience and quality [54][60]

朗坤科技（301305）动态点评 紧握 UCO 稀缺筹码，产能扩张与价格 上行共驱成长 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【事项】 废弃油脂市场价格中枢窄幅推升。1 月 9 日-1 月 15 日，中国 SAF 原 料级别 UCO 完税到厂价格已升至 7500-7600 元/吨区间，中枢环比上 周抬升约50元/吨。下游产品方面，UCO基HVO现货均值录得2642.55 美元/吨，环比上涨 1.90%。SAF FOB FARAG 均值录得 2290.05 美 元/吨，环比下跌 1.33%，绝对价格攀升至 2310.25 美元/吨。 【评论】 UCO 供需逻辑清晰，其长期稀缺性已由基本面深度锁定。1）供给端： 理论潜力大，但规范收集量不足。餐厨废油来源包括地沟油、泔水油、 潲水油、煎炸老油等多种类别途径，必须经过除杂、酯化、提纯精制 等一系列处理工艺才能得到生物质燃料。2023 年我国食用油消费量约 3908 万吨，对应理论废弃油脂总量约 1100 万吨，然而受限于收集体 系、处理能力及非正规流向等因素，实际规范利用量仅约 300 万吨； 2）需求端：政策驱动有望为上游 UCO 需求带来高增长。据我们测算， 以欧盟 ...

2026 年 1 月 27 日 弘元绿能(603185.SH) 超薄硅片破茧再造技术基石，光储协 同并进点亮未来新篇 事件：2026 年 1 月 23 日，公司位于内蒙古包头的硅片智造基地成功 实现 40μm 超薄硅片首批次下线，实现了整片与半片切割工艺，覆盖全 尺寸规格，可适配柔性电池的超薄硅片需求。其高精度切割环节采用公 司自主研发的切片设备，这一关键突破构筑了公司在硅片薄片化领域的 坚实技术壁垒与先发优势，进一步确立了公司在产业前沿的领先身位。 超薄硅片量产首发，厚积薄发定义技术新标杆 公司作为光伏切割设备的供应龙头，持续对行业技术攻关的深度聚焦， 在磨面滚圆切片设备领域不断深耕，据公司公众号报道其市占率曾一度 超过 70%，并率先实现碳化硅切割设备的国产替代，市占率亦实现 60%突 破。其深厚的装备研发积淀与整机自主设计能力，为超薄硅片的研发构 筑了坚实的技术底座，有力支撑了本次 40μm 超薄硅片的成功下线，创 下了行业新纪录。公司的超薄硅片产品兼具优异的柔性与极轻的质量， 能在圆弧面、曲面等非平面结构上实现高度贴合，并且显著降低系统重 量，精准匹配了组件轻量化与柔性化的前沿应用场景。其出色性能为全 ...

朗坤科技（301305）动态点评 紧握 UCO 稀缺筹码，产能扩张与价格 上行共驱成长 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【事项】 废弃油脂市场价格中枢窄幅推升。1 月 9 日-1 月 15 日，中国 SAF 原 料级别 UCO 完税到厂价格已升至 7500-7600 元/吨区间，中枢环比上 周抬升约50元/吨。下游产品方面，UCO基HVO现货均值录得2642.55 美元/吨，环比上涨 1.90%。SAF FOB FARAG 均值录得 2290.05 美 元/吨，环比下跌 1.33%，绝对价格攀升至 2310.25 美元/吨。 【评论】 UCO 供需逻辑清晰，其长期稀缺性已由基本面深度锁定。1）供给端： 理论潜力大，但规范收集量不足。餐厨废油来源包括地沟油、泔水油、 潲水油、煎炸老油等多种类别途径，必须经过除杂、酯化、提纯精制 等一系列处理工艺才能得到生物质燃料。2023 年我国食用油消费量约 3908 万吨，对应理论废弃油脂总量约 1100 万吨，然而受限于收集体 系、处理能力及非正规流向等因素，实际规范利用量仅约 300 万吨； 2）需求端：政策驱动有望为上游 UCO 需求带来高增长。据我们测算， 以欧盟 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 23.77 CNY, based on a 40x PE for 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in the smart drying rack industry, benefiting from ongoing national subsidies that are expected to catalyze demand and optimize industry dynamics in 2026 [2]. - Despite a challenging consumer market, the company achieved revenue growth in Q3 by optimizing its channel structure and enhancing operational efficiency, focusing on a full-channel sales model that integrates online and offline strategies [3]. - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 1.652 billion CNY in 2025, 1.768 billion CNY in 2026, and 1.940 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 217 million CNY, 240 million CNY, and 265 million CNY respectively [3][5]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue growth rates are projected at 6.12% for 2025, 6.99% for 2026, and 9.76% for 2027, while net profit growth rates are expected to be -12.69% for 2025, 10.64% for 2026, and 10.36% for 2027 [3][5]. - The estimated PE ratios are 35.2x for 2025, 31.8x for 2026, and 28.8x for 2027, indicating a gradual decrease in valuation multiples over the forecast period [5][9]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 13.6% in 2026 and 13.7% in 2027, reflecting a focus on maintaining profitability amidst revenue growth [9].

2026 年 01 月 27 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 林加力 S0350524100005 linjl01@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 徐凝碧 S0350524110001 xunb@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 中收占比提升，逾期贷款占比压降显著 ——杭州银行（600926）2025 年业绩快报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2026/01/26 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 杭州银行 | 2.2% | -2.0% | 11.2% | | 沪深 300 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 22.8% | | 市场数据 | | | 2026/01/26 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 15.58 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 13.58-17.85 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 112,939.46 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 112,939.46 | | 总股本（万股） | | | 724,900.25 | | ...