Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with revenue reaching 4.668 billion yuan, up 39.98% year-on-year and 46.04% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 515 million yuan, an increase of 49.61% year-on-year and 154.46% quarter-on-quarter [6][10] - The strong performance is attributed to robust sales of compound fertilizers, with a notable increase in both sales and profit [7][10] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from its integrated supply chain and increasing phosphate production capacity, enhancing its competitive advantage [10] Financial Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company reported: - Revenue: 4.668 billion yuan, up 39.98% year-on-year - Net profit: 515 million yuan, up 49.61% year-on-year - Gross profit: 848 million yuan, up 41.38% year-on-year - Return on Equity (ROE): 4.75%, an increase of 1.23 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] - The sales gross margin was 18.17%, up 0.19 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.17%, up 0.90 percentage points year-on-year [6][7] Market Performance - The company's stock performance relative to the CSI 300 index showed: - 1-month performance: +3.4% - 3-month performance: +6.5% - 12-month performance: +17.5% [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are as follows: - 2025: 18.5 billion yuan - 2026: 19.5 billion yuan - 2027: 20.3 billion yuan - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2025: 1.6 billion yuan - 2026: 1.8 billion yuan - 2027: 2.0 billion yuan - Corresponding Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios are expected to be 11, 9, and 8 times respectively [10][12]

2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 祝玉波 S0350523120005 zhouyb01@ghzq.com.cn 联系人 ： 张晋铭 S0350124040003 zhangjm02@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 吞吐量稳健增长，看好成长逐步兑现 ——北部湾港（000582）2024 年年报点评 最近一年走势 | 相对沪深 300 | 表现 | | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 北部湾港 | 4.1% | 3.6% | 13.8% | | 沪深 300 | -3.4% | -0.9% | 5.5% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/04/28 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 8.84 | | 当前价格（元） | 8.84 | | --- | --- | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 6.77-11.50 | | 总市值（百万） | 20,563.04 | | 流通市值（百万） | 15,999.19 | | 总股本（万股） | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) [4] Core Views - Jiangsu Bank's net interest income saw a significant increase of 22% year-on-year in Q1 2025, reaching 16.6 billion yuan, driven by rapid asset growth and optimized liability costs [2][3] - The bank's asset quality remains robust, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.86% and a provision coverage ratio of 343.51% as of Q1 2025 [2][3] - The bank's non-interest income experienced a decline of 32.72% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant drop in fair value changes, although investment income increased by 30.1% [3] Summary by Sections Performance - In Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank reported a revenue growth of 6.21%, PPOP growth of 7.88%, and a net profit growth of 8.16% compared to the previous year [1][11] - The bank's total assets reached 4.46 trillion yuan, with total deposits of 2.46 trillion yuan [11] Non-Interest Income - The bank's net fee and commission income grew by 21.77% year-on-year in Q1 2025, benefiting from a recovery in the capital market and macroeconomic conditions [2][3][29] Interest Margin and Asset Quality - The bank's interest-earning assets grew by 27.82% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 18.83% [2] - The net interest margin showed a slight decline but was supported by effective cost management on liabilities [2][3] Capital and Shareholder Information - Jiangsu Bank's return on equity (ROE) was reported at 16.50% for Q1 2025, with a target price of 10.13 yuan per share [4][27] - The bank's major shareholder is Jiangsu International Trust Co., holding a 6.98% stake [4]

[Table_Title] 配套设备扩展成效显著， 2025 年 04 月 28 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 投资要点: Q4 经营性现金流同比大增 | 市场数据 | 2025/04/28 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 16.75 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 15.28-24.58 | | 总市值（百万） | 9,655.65 | | 流通市值（百万） | 9,581.79 | | 总股本（万股） | 57,645.70 | | 流通股本（万股） | 57,204.74 | | 日均成交额（百万） | 30.42 | | 近一月换手（%） | 0.65 | 相关报告 | 《景津装备（603279）2024 年中报点评：Q2 毛 | | --- | | 利率下降影响业绩，经营性净现金流同比大增（买 | | 入）*环保设备Ⅱ*钟琪》——2024-08-27 | | 《景津装备（603279）2023 年&2024Q1 业绩点评： | | 配件及配套设备利润增速亮眼，现金流修复明显 | | （买入）*环保设备Ⅱ*钟琪》——2024-04-26 | | 《景津装备（603279 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [4][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 536 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 45.34% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.96%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 74 million yuan, up 20.47% year-on-year and 5.50% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. - The company is expected to continue high growth driven by three factors: volume, price, and profit. It is actively expanding collaborations with domestic and overseas clients, optimizing product structure, and promoting in-house production of components [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a comprehensive gross margin of 27.94%, down 2.74 percentage points year-on-year but up 1.38 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The period expense ratio was 14.36%, an increase of 2.22 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 12.8 billion yuan in 2023 to 51.0 billion yuan in 2027, with net profit expected to rise from 2.0 billion yuan to 7.0 billion yuan over the same period [5][12]. Growth Drivers - The company is deepening cooperation with key clients such as Chery, Geely, and Wuling, while also expanding into the new energy vehicle market with clients like BYD and NIO. It has also secured a project with a European client for global vehicle safety belt systems [3]. - The average selling price of safety belt assemblies is expected to reach 59.03 yuan per unit in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.53% [3]. Valuation - The report estimates the company's net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.0 billion yuan, 5.5 billion yuan, and 7.0 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.7, 13.8, and 10.7 times [4][12]. - A target price of 44.25 yuan per share is set for the next six months, based on a 25 times PE ratio for 2025 [4].

Q1 业绩下滑收窄，政策拉动内需有望企稳回升。25Q1 公司实现收 入 6.54 亿元，同比-5.29%，24Q4 公司营收同比-16.82%，25Q1 公 司实现归母净利润 1.32 亿元，同比-6.59%，24Q4 公司归母净利润 同比-44.42%，收入、利润下滑均收窄。25 年 1 月国家发展改革委 发布《关于 2025 年加力扩围实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换 新政策的通知》，加大实施设备更新贷款贴息，并加大对个人消费 者在开展旧房装修等过程中购置所用物品补贴力度。家具企业有 望借此机会参与设备更新，在国家政策的支持、消费市场动能拉 动下，实现设备自动化升级，家具机械内需有望筑底回暖。公司 作为国内家具机械头部厂商，业绩有望迎来共振向上。 单季度毛利率同环比提升，看好海外业务拉动盈利能力提升。25Q1 公司毛利率为 30.93%，同比提升 0.09pct，环比提升 0.30pct，行 业需求疲软下，盈利能力逆势上行。24 年公司海外业务毛利率为 36.70%，远高于国内的 29.89%，海外业务盈利能力更强。公司持 续加大海外市场开拓力度，通过参加意大利米兰、俄罗斯莫斯科 等国际展会，拓展海外品牌 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains the investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is projected to experience significant revenue growth, with estimated revenues increasing from 891.76 million in 2024 to 1642.01 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.65% [5][7] - Net profit is expected to rise from 208.58 million in 2024 to 377.76 million in 2027, indicating a robust growth trajectory with a CAGR of about 28.05% [5][7] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 39.03% in 2024 to 44.98% in 2027, showcasing enhanced operational efficiency [5][7] Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024: 891.76 million - 2025: 1118.01 million (growth rate: 25.37%) - 2026: 1361.01 million (growth rate: 21.74%) - 2027: 1642.01 million (growth rate: 20.65%) [5][7] - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024: 208.58 million - 2025: 241.55 million (growth rate: 15.81%) - 2026: 295.02 million (growth rate: 22.13%) - 2027: 377.76 million (growth rate: 28.05%) [5][7] - **Key Financial Ratios**: - PE ratio is projected to decrease from 45.73 in 2024 to 25.25 in 2027, indicating improved valuation metrics [5][7] - PB ratio is expected to decline from 4.92 in 2024 to 3.91 in 2027, reflecting a more attractive investment proposition [5][7] - **Cash Flow**: - Operating cash flow is forecasted to decrease from 263.31 million in 2024 to 226.69 million in 2025, before increasing to 424.05 million by 2027 [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 results that met expectations, with total revenue of 46.01 billion yuan, a year-over-year decrease of 0.25%, and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 21.05%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.95 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 90.5% [7] - The company plans to acquire Lumina Gold Company for approximately 581 million Canadian dollars, which will add a gold project to its multi-metal portfolio [7] - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 14.77 billion yuan, 16.77 billion yuan, and 18.06 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 10, 9, and 8 [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 214.3 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 0.6% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to be 14.77 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 9.1% [5] - Earnings per share for 2025 is expected to be 0.69 yuan [5] - The gross profit margin for 2025 is forecasted to be 18.0% [5] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected at 18.0% [5]

| 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 9.33 | | 资产负债率% | 7.72 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 543/262 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 增持（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 28 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 118.63 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 155.00/69.52 | | 市净率 | 12.9 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 0.13 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 31,119 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,288.41/9,855.20 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 04-29 05-29 06-29 07-29 08-29 09-29 10-29 11-29 12-29 01-29 02-28 03-31 -50% 0% 50% 100% 华大九天 沪深 ...