点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"在看"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，遇见 志同道合 的你 正文 AI 算力的狂奔，正在撞上一道看不见的能源天花板。 当 GPT-5 单次训练耗掉一座中小城市一年的用电量，当 AI 数据中心单柜功耗从 15kW 飙升至 100kW，当全球大模型迭代速度越来越快，一个行业共识正 在被反复验证： 限制 AI 发展的，从来不是算法，而是电 。 2025年美国能源部的报告直接拉响警报：到 2030 年，美国仅数据中心就需要新增 50GW 电力供应，而同期能落地的全天候稳定电源仅 22GW， 仅数据中 心的稳定电力缺口就高达 28GW 。更致命的是，数据中心 18 个月就能建成，配套电源设施落地却要 5 年以上，建设周期的错配，让 AI 算力的能源焦 虑，已经从远期预判变成了眼前的现实。 一边是 AI 算力指数级增长的用电需求，一边是碳中和下煤电的刚性退出、风光的间歇性短板，谁能给 AI 时代提供稳定、零碳、可持续的能源底座？ Meta、微软、谷歌、亚马逊等全球科技巨头，已经用真金白银给出了答案 —— 核电。短短两年时间，科技巨头已签下累计 745 亿美元的核电订单，从重 启 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in the domestic energy storage market, with a notable increase in installed capacity and bidding activities in early 2026 [2] Group 2 - In January-February 2026, the newly added energy storage installed capacity reached 9.51 GW/24.18 GWh, representing a year-on-year increase of 182% and 472% respectively, indicating strong demand at the beginning of the year [2] - In February 2026, the bidding results showed a total of 13.4 GW/36.9 GWh, with year-on-year growth of 191% and 148%, and a month-on-month increase of 9% and 2%, respectively [2] - The breakdown of bidding types indicates that independent energy storage dominates the market, with shares of 58% for independent storage, 36% for centralized procurement, 5% for renewable energy storage, and 4% for user-side storage [2] - The provinces leading in bidding scale include Xinjiang, Ningxia, and Gansu, reflecting regional demand dynamics [2] Group 3 - The average system price for 2-hour energy storage is 0.579 yuan/Wh, showing a month-on-month decrease of 1.9%, while the EPC price increased by 4.6% to 1.088 yuan/Wh [2] - For 4-hour energy storage, the system average price is 0.538 yuan/Wh, down 9.1% month-on-month, while the EPC price rose by 5.2% to 0.951 yuan/Wh [2] - The decline in storage system prices is attributed to the rapid increase in centralized procurement volumes [2] Group 4 - In February, the average bidding price for storage batteries was 0.344 yuan/Wh for a 7 GWh project, reflecting a 10.3% increase compared to the end of 2025 [2] - The average bidding prices for storage systems in three projects were 0.503, 0.523, and 0.54 yuan/Wh, with increases of 10-18% compared to the end of 2025 [2] - The article concludes that the domestic energy storage demand remains high due to the implementation of capacity pricing and the urgency to secure project timelines [2]

西南证券研究院 2026年3月 海外研究团队 分析师：王梓溢 执业证号：S1250525050003 电话：15770906520 邮箱：wzyi@swsc.com.cn 核心观点 1 海外核电专题报告 从基荷能源到科技引擎，AI巨头的战略押注与投资逻辑重构 分析师：王湘杰 执业证号： S1250521120002 电话：0755-26671517 邮箱：wxj@swsc.com.cn 发展现状：全球核电行业正迎来新一轮发展机遇期。在能源安全、低碳转型和AI算力需求等多重因素驱动下，核电作为稳定、高效的清洁基荷 电源，其战略价值被重新评估。 行业需求：根据国际原子能机构(IAEA)最新数据，截至2024年底，全球在31个国家和地区共运行417台核电机组，总装机容量达377GW。基 于国际原子能机构（IAEA）的预测，全球核电装机容量预计到2050年将达到561GW（低值预测）至992GW（高值预测），比2024年分别增 加48.8%和163.1%。 最新技术：全球核电发展至今已历经四代技术演进，目前正处在第三代规模化部署、第四代技术示范突破的现状。当前最新的技术焦点集中在 第四代核能系统和小型模块化反应堆（S ...

FF301 備註： | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 003816 | 說明 A股 | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | 39,335,105,876 | RMB | 1 | RMB | 39,335,105,876 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 10,284 | | RMB | 10,284 | | 本月底結存 | | 39,335,116,160 | RMB | 1 | RMB | 39,335,116,160 | 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國廣核電力股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- ...

2026 年 3 月 3 日 星期二 每日大市点评 昨日港股下跌。恒生指数及国企指数分别收报 26,059.85 点及 8,701.91 点，下跌 2.1%及 1.8%。港股成交合共 3,577 港 元，较上周五的 2,884 亿港元，下跌 24.0%，或反映投资者轮动交易情况。分类指数方面，能源、原材料、公用事业业指 数分别上升 4.0%、3.1%、0.1%；医疗保健、金融、非必需性消费则分别下跌 3.4%、3.3%、3.1%。蓝筹个股方面，信义玻 璃(868 HK)及中国宏桥(1378 HK)领涨，分别上升 12.4%及 7.2%；京东健康(6618 HK)及汇丰控股(5 HK)领跌，皆分别下跌 5.2%。 近日美国及以色列攻击伊朗，这无疑加深地缘政治危机，以及影响石油及天然气等传统能源供应。WTI 原油价格上涨至 70 美元近月高水平，虽然如此，仍远低于 2022 年俄乌军事冲突爆发时候的 100 至 115 美元水平。黄金价格则上升至今年初 的 5,300 美元高水平。在此次战争情况下，相关港股板块表现出传统投资逻辑。"三桶油"上升 2.6%-5.6%，金矿股例如 招金矿业(1818 HK)上升 6. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the public utility and power generation sectors [7]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the transition from the "training era" to the "inference era" in AI has significant implications for China's electricity demand, with potential elasticity exceeding 10% due to the global token consumption [2][5]. - It emphasizes the increasing importance of energy prices in the AI competition, suggesting that the cost of electricity will play a more critical role in the overall cost structure of AI models [3][5]. - The report recommends focusing on undervalued green electricity stocks and companies that will benefit from capacity price elasticity, particularly in the context of the anticipated slowdown in electricity supply growth starting in 2026 [1][6]. Summary by Sections Token Consumption and Electricity Demand - The report estimates that if the global daily token usage reaches trillions, the positive impact on China's electricity demand could be around 8% to 18% depending on the market share of domestic models [2]. - It notes that the elasticity of electricity demand due to token consumption is likely to be higher than that of electricity prices, particularly as the utilization rates of inference models are lower than those of training models [4][14]. Cost Structure and Electricity's Role - The analysis indicates that electricity costs currently account for about 5% to 10% of the total cost in AI data centers, with depreciation being the largest cost component [3][13]. - The report suggests that as the efficiency of domestic chips improves, the proportion of electricity costs in the total cost structure may continue to rise, potentially reaching 20% to 30% for self-developed chips [3][13]. Market Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks that are expected to benefit from the growth in renewable energy demand and capacity price elasticity, including companies like Longyuan Power, Huadian Power, and China Nuclear Power [6][8]. - It also highlights the potential for significant price increases in green certificates and capacity prices, which could benefit companies in the sector [4][6]. Market Dynamics and Competitive Landscape - The report points out that the market has not fully recognized the shift in AI competition dynamics, where the gap between domestic and foreign computing power is narrowing, and the demand for tokens is expected to grow exponentially [5][12]. - It emphasizes that while electricity prices are a factor, the core competitive advantage for domestic models lies in their cost-effectiveness and the ability to leverage local resources [5][12].

必用意亦 券研究报 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 博浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 申万宏源研究微信服务号 算力对区域电力影响更大 地缘ł 短期气价或再现高波动 申万公用环保周报(26/2/23~26/2/27) 2026 年 03 月 02 日 版》 中文 本期投资提示: 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 电力：中国发电供给充裕，煤电托底高度匹配算力需求。截至 2025 年底，全国发电装机容量 389134 万千瓦，同比增长 16.1%。其中火电装机占比 40%，太阳能发电和风电装机容量分别同比增加 35.4%、22.9%，在风光的快速增长下，清 洁能源的占比大幅提高。发电量 2025 年 1-12 月份，规上工业发电量 97159 亿千瓦时，同 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and environmental sectors, indicating a "Buy" recommendation for companies involved in these industries [1]. Core Insights - The power supply in China is abundant, with a projected installed capacity of 389,134 MW by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.1%. The share of coal power is 40%, while solar and wind power capacities have increased by 35.4% and 22.9% respectively [2][6]. - The "East Data West Computing" project aims to establish a new computing network system, enhancing electricity demand in key provinces [8]. - Natural gas prices are expected to rise globally by 2025, influenced by geopolitical factors and supply-demand dynamics [2][40]. - The report highlights the significant role of coal power in stabilizing electricity supply, particularly for high-energy-consuming digital infrastructure [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The installed capacity of power generation in China is projected to reach 389,134 MW by the end of 2025, with a 16.1% increase year-on-year. Coal power accounts for 40% of this capacity, while solar and wind power are rapidly growing [2][6]. - The overall clean energy share is increasing, with coal power contributing 65% of the total electricity generation [6][7]. - The "East Data West Computing" initiative is expected to drive higher electricity consumption in provinces like Guizhou, Zhejiang, and Hebei, with growth rates of 7.7%, 7.2%, and 7.1% respectively [8]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - Global natural gas prices are anticipated to rise by 2025, with the US Henry Hub spot price expected to average $3.51 per million British thermal units, a 59.7% increase year-on-year [40]. - The report notes that geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could lead to increased volatility in gas prices [2][20]. - The report recommends focusing on integrated natural gas companies and those benefiting from lower costs and improved supply dynamics [41]. 3. Environmental Sector - The report discusses the introduction of subsidies for green hydrogen projects in Yunnan, which could accelerate the development of the hydrogen and ammonia industry [2]. - Companies such as CIMC Enric and others are recommended for their potential benefits from these developments [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of zero-carbon parks in enhancing green electricity consumption and reducing energy costs for computing enterprises [16].

行业研究 行业研究|战略新兴产业之光热发电 战略新兴产业之光热发电 政策+市场双加持 光热发电站上规模化新风口 文/工商部 范昱希 摘要 光热发电通过集热-储能-热力-发电的耦合实现"发电+储能"的一体化能力，具有稳定输 出、广域调峰的独特优势，然而其本身的经济成本、技术复杂程度使得其发展速度滞后于光伏 发电等其他发电方式，但随着新能源发电渗透率不断提升，"调峰需求高企+储能供给不足"催 生光热发电市场需求。同时，经过行业示范项目不断优化、技术不断迭代，当前光热发电已初 步具备规模化基础，但仍存在诸多亟待解决的难点，2025 年 12 月《关于促进光热发电规模化 发展的若干意见》（以下简称"《意见》"）的出台，成为光热发电行业从示范探索迈向规模化发 展的核心政策节点，为行业发展划定了清晰目标与路径。整体来看，光热发电作为构建新型电 力系统重要抓手，其对能源低碳转型与能源安全保障具有关键意义，在市场需求与政策引导的 双重加持下，行业将迎来规模化发展窗口期。 一、光热发电核心特征与技术路径 光热发电即为太阳能热发电，与我们熟知的光伏发电相比，虽然仅有一字之差，但其工作 原理、功能属性、低碳特征大不相同，这种差异决 ...

| 股份代號: | 01816 | | --- | --- | | 上市法國名稱: | 中國盧核電力股份有限公司 - | | 日期(日/月/年): | 27/01/2026 - 27/02/2026 | 格隆汇2月27日丨根据联交所最新权益披露资料显示，2026年2月24日，中广核电力(01816.HK)获BlackRock, Inc.以每股均价3.2251港元增持好仓98.5万股，涉 资约317.67万港元。 | 表格序號 | 大股東/董事/最高行政人員名稱 作出披露的 買入 / 賣出或涉及的股 每股的平均價 | | | | 田商子奖 品牌塑印技 | 佔已發行的 有關事 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 仿數目 | | | | (請參閱上述 *註解) 有投票權股 (日 / F | | | | | | | | | 命周分明 | | of the last to medical control and from the program and concession and any and any and on the may be any and ...