Investment Ratings - CICC-H: Buy [1] - FUTU: Neutral [1] - Hundsun: Buy [1] - East Money: Sell [2] Core Insights - Broker and fintech stocks have shown strong performance since May, with average returns of +27% for brokers and +9% for fintech, compared to +8% and +3% for the H/A share index [1] - Positive changes in Average Daily Trading Volume (ADTV) and turnover rates, along with growth in the Hong Kong market, are expected to drive earnings improvement [1][4] - Earnings forecasts for CICC, Hundsun, FUTU, GFS, and CITICS have been revised upwards by an average of 7% for 2025 [1][31] Summary by Sections Stock Selection Preferences - Preference for brokers with greater exposure to the Hong Kong market, such as CICC-H, while maintaining a Neutral rating on FUTU due to limited excess earnings growth [2] - For fintech, Hundsun is preferred over East Money due to fundamental factors, including recovery in non-core revenue supported by investments [2][26] Market Trends and Revisions - ADTV and turnover rates have recovered since June, primarily due to the easing of tariff shocks [4][12] - Continued increase in ETF market share is expected to impact East Money's profitability negatively [26] Earnings Forecasts - CICC's net profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 13%, reflecting anticipated growth in Hong Kong investment banking revenue [17][22] - FUTU's earnings forecast has been slightly raised by 1% for 2025, driven by reduced customer acquisition costs [21][22] - Hundsun's net profit forecast for 2025 has been increased by 13% due to higher investment income [31] Valuation and Price Targets - CICC-H has a target price of HK$ 17.58 based on a 10x 2026E P/E [36] - FUTU's target price is set at US$ 111.79 based on an 18x 2026E P/E [36] - Hundsun's target price is Rmb 32.04, reflecting its market presence and sustainable customer relationships [46]

Summary of Stablecoin Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The stablecoin industry is entering a rapid growth phase, with the U.S. and Hong Kong advancing legislation to regulate stablecoins, which is beneficial for healthy industry development [1][4] - Domestic policies will significantly impact future developments, with the potential for RMB stablecoins to expand into inter-enterprise payments, bank-to-business transactions, and international trade, aiding in the internationalization of the RMB [1][4] Core Insights and Arguments - Stablecoins offer significant advantages in cross-border payments, with settlement times under one hour compared to five business days for traditional bank transfers, and lower transaction costs, making them particularly suitable for countries with volatile commodity values [1][5] - The two largest USD stablecoins are USDT, issued by Tether with a supply of approximately $150 billion, and USDC, issued by Circle with a supply of around $60 billion, with over 80% and 92% of their reserves in U.S. Treasury securities, respectively [1][6] - The business model of stablecoin issuers primarily relies on earning interest from reserve assets, with Circle projected to earn $1.66 billion in interest income in 2024, accounting for 99% of its total revenue [1][8][9] Key Players and Market Dynamics - Key segments in the stablecoin industry include licensed issuers, virtual asset distributors, and cryptocurrency exchanges, with Hong Kong serving as a significant testing ground for stablecoin initiatives [3][10] - Traditional financial institutions are exploring new stablecoin applications, with companies like Walmart, Amazon, and JPMorgan collaborating on stablecoin issuance [3][12] - Notable companies in the secondary market include Yuanbi Technology, which is linked to the USDC project, and JD.com, which has shown market performance [11] Future Directions and Regulatory Landscape - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority is expected to release stablecoin issuance guidelines and open license applications by Q3 2025, with regulations likely to take effect in Q4 2025 [3][13] - Ant Group is actively exploring Real World Assets (RWA) and has partnered with various companies to advance asset digitization, which could revitalize China's computing power industry [14] Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include policy changes, particularly with upcoming regulations expected in Q3 2023, which may lead to volatility in stablecoin-related assets during the transitional period [19] - Technological changes related to distributed ledgers and cryptocurrencies may also pose risks, along with the pace of implementation not meeting expectations [19] Investment Opportunities - Three key areas to focus on for investment include issuers with scarce license advantages, infrastructure service providers, and the cross-border payment ecosystem [18]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by young people in China, particularly the concepts of "involution" and "lying flat," while highlighting the proactive approach of Zhejiang Sci-Tech University (ZSTU) in adapting to new opportunities and challenges for high-quality development [2] Group 1: University Development - ZSTU has achieved significant breakthroughs in the fifth round of discipline assessment, winning national-level awards in research and teaching, and being selected as a "Double First-Class" university in the province [3] - The university has evolved into a multi-disciplinary institution with a focus on engineering, while also incorporating disciplines such as science, humanities, economics, management, law, arts, education, and interdisciplinary studies [3] Group 2: Academic Excellence - ZSTU is recognized for its strong textile engineering programs, being the first textile school in China, and has produced academicians, including its president, Chen Wenxing [3] - The university has received 18 national science and technology awards and has solved thousands of technical problems for over a thousand enterprises and institutions [3] Group 3: Talent Cultivation - ZSTU emphasizes innovative talent cultivation, having established a system for nurturing students' innovation, creativity, and entrepreneurship skills [4] - The university has a mechanism for recognizing students' achievements in competitions, research, patents, and entrepreneurship, allowing for credit exchanges with academic courses [4] Group 4: Enrollment and Programs - For 2025, ZSTU plans to enroll 4,800 students nationwide, an increase of 100 from the previous year, with specific increases in various programs, particularly in engineering and arts [6] - The university offers specialized classes led by top-tier teams, including the Modern Textile Innovation Class and Advanced Materials Innovation Class, aimed at fostering high-level talent [6] Group 5: Employment and Further Studies - ZSTU has maintained a graduate employment rate of over 96% in the past three years, with graduates securing positions in well-known companies across various industries [9] - The university's graduate school admission rate stands at around 37%, with many students being accepted into prestigious institutions such as Tsinghua University and Fudan University [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to rise more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [3][38]. Core Insights - The computer sector experienced a decline in the week of June 16-20, with the CITIC computer index dropping by 1.87%, the ChiNext index down by 1.66%, and the Shanghai Composite index falling by 0.51% [9][16]. - The report highlights the rapid advancements in AI, particularly in multimodal models, with significant developments from Google and Meta, indicating a promising future for the industry [9][20][23]. - The report notes that the market's focus is shifting from technology themes to performance realization and rapid industrial transformation as companies begin to disclose their earnings [9][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The report discusses the performance of the computer sector, noting the top gainers and losers during the week, with notable increases in stocks like Chutianlong (up 36.59%) and Sifang Jingchuang (up 29.21%) [9][16]. - It emphasizes the ongoing innovations in AI, particularly the introduction of multimodal products that integrate visual and audio elements, which are gaining traction in the market [9][12]. Weekly Market Review - The report provides a detailed review of the market performance for the week, highlighting the overall decline in major indices and the net outflow of funds from the computer sector [16][19]. Funding Situation Review - The report indicates a total net outflow of 270 billion from all A-shares, with the computer sector experiencing a net outflow of 21 billion [19]. Progress in Multimodal Models - The report details the advancements in AI models, particularly Google's Veo 3 and Meta's Llama 4, which have achieved significant breakthroughs in video generation and multimodal capabilities [20][23]. - Veo 3 is noted for its ability to synchronize audio and visual elements seamlessly, while Llama 4 boasts a massive parameter scale and enhanced multimodal integration [20][23]. Investment Recommendations and Beneficiary Targets - The report suggests focusing on AI enterprise services and application scenarios, listing specific companies across various sectors such as office software, finance, education, and healthcare that are expected to benefit from these advancements [12][25].

计算机 2025 年 06 月 22 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -22% 0% 22% 43% 65% 86% 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 计算机 沪深300 相关研究报告 《巨头陆续入局，稳定币前景可期— 行业点评报告》-2025.6.16 《重视AI应用和稳定币投资机会—行 业周报》-2025.6.15 《周观点：AI 创新持续涌现—行业周 报》-2025.6.8 跨境通上线，重视跨境支付机会 ——行业点评报告 | 陈宝健（分析师） | 刘逍遥（分析师） | | --- | --- | | chenbaojian@kysec.cn | liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520080001 | 证书编号：S0790520090001 | liuxiaoyao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520090001 跨境支付通正式上线，内地与香港金融基础设施成功实现互联互通 6 月 20 日上午，中国人民银行与香港金融管理局联合举办内地与香港快速支付 系统互联互通启动仪式。6 月 22 日，跨境支付通正式上线，全国首笔跨境支 ...

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Recommended [4] Core Insights - The launch of the "Cross-Border Payment Link" and the rise of stablecoins are reshaping the cross-border payment landscape, enhancing efficiency and supporting the internationalization of the RMB [11][12] - JD Group is actively pursuing stablecoin licenses globally, aiming to reduce cross-border payment costs by 90% and transaction times to under 10 seconds [41][48] - The U.S. Senate has passed the "GENIUS Act," establishing a federal regulatory framework for stablecoins, which mandates full backing by high-quality liquid assets [51][52] Summary by Sections Cross-Border Payment Innovations - The "Cross-Border Payment Link" officially launched on June 22, 2025, connecting payment systems between mainland China and Hong Kong, facilitating efficient cross-border transactions [11][12] - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority are collaborating to enhance cross-border payment services, which will significantly reduce transaction costs and time [22][23] JD Group's Stablecoin Strategy - JD Group plans to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar and U.S. dollar, with a focus on cross-border trade settlements [41][49] - The stablecoin project is currently in a regulatory sandbox in Hong Kong, with expectations to launch in the fourth quarter of 2025 [49][50] U.S. Regulatory Developments - The "GENIUS Act" passed by the U.S. Senate requires stablecoins to be fully backed by liquid assets, with strict auditing and compliance measures for issuers [51][52] - This legislation aims to provide a clear regulatory framework, enhancing the legitimacy of stablecoins and potentially increasing their adoption in everyday transactions [56][57]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Stablecoins are emerging as a new global digital currency solution, characterized by asset anchoring, low volatility, and high settlement efficiency, becoming essential tools for on-chain payments and cross-border settlements. The current phase is marked by accelerated policy development and the establishment of compliance frameworks, transitioning stablecoins from a gray area to institutionalized development. A diverse ecosystem of stablecoins is expected to coexist in the future [2] - Real World Assets (RWA) emphasize the digital circulation of real-world assets (such as photovoltaic and real estate rights) through on-chain verification and mapping. The initial focus is on green energy and industrial equipment assets, with preliminary mechanisms for on-chain yield mapping and cross-border issuance established. RWA is transitioning from a technical concept to a verifiable and tradable asset form, entering a phase driven by practical demand [2] Summary by Sections 01 Stablecoins: A Global Digital Currency Solution - Stablecoins are designed to maintain price stability, typically pegged to fiat currencies or commodities, and are increasingly used for transactions and value storage. They play a crucial role in the volatile cryptocurrency market, particularly in cross-border payments [10] - The development of stablecoins in Hong Kong is supported by the establishment of a digital currency infrastructure, with the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) initiating the digital Hong Kong dollar project and conducting trials for tokenized asset settlements [16][19] - The HKMA's regulatory sandbox for stablecoin issuers is progressing, with several institutions participating in testing mechanisms for issuance and reserve management [19] 02 RWA: From Concept to Implementation - RWA is defined as non-digital assets and related rights that are tokenized for on-chain trading. As of June 2025, the total value of global on-chain RWA assets has surpassed $23.3 billion [36] - Stablecoins serve as a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto world, enhancing liquidity and efficiency in RWA transactions, and enabling innovative financial products [37][41] - The integration of stablecoins with RWA facilitates cross-border payments and reduces transaction costs, making it easier for investors to engage in fragmented asset investments [44] 03 Industry Chain and Development Status: Policy-Driven, Compliance-Enhanced - The industry is supported by a three-tier structure: upstream providing technology and compliance support, midstream focusing on asset tokenization, and downstream involving applications in payments and investments [58] - The overall industry is still in an exploratory phase, with significant room for improvement in infrastructure, legal frameworks, and application ecosystems [58] - The report highlights the competitive landscape, noting key players such as Ant Group and JD.com, which are actively developing stablecoin and RWA projects [74][81]

Group 1: Macro Insights - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 4.25%-4.5%, marking the fourth consecutive meeting without changes, aligning with market expectations. However, inflationary concerns have intensified, leading to downward revisions in economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026, alongside an increase in unemployment rate predictions and price index forecasts [2][10][11] - The impact of tariffs on inflation has not yet fully materialized, indicating significant uncertainty regarding future inflation trends. Tariff measures require time to affect consumer prices, and geopolitical issues in the Middle East may further exacerbate inflation [2][10][11] - The market is currently exhibiting signs of stagflation trading, with expectations of a potential recovery trading phase in the latter half of the year as tax reduction measures and debt ceiling increases are implemented [3][12] Group 2: Nuclear Fusion Industry - Shanghai Superconductor's IPO application has been accepted, signaling an acceleration in the industrialization of nuclear fusion. The company is a leading producer of high-temperature superconducting materials, holding over 80% of the domestic market share for second-generation high-temperature superconducting tapes [5][20][22] - The global market for high-temperature superconducting materials is projected to grow from 790 million yuan in 2024 to over 10.5 billion yuan by 2030, driven by applications in controllable nuclear fusion and other downstream industries [6][22][23] - Shanghai Superconductor's revenue is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 240 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 187.4%. The company is anticipated to achieve profitability in 2024 after previous losses [6][22][23] Group 3: Automotive Industry - The heavy truck market in China is showing signs of recovery, with a projected 16% year-on-year increase in sales to 1.06 million units in 2025, driven by the implementation of the vehicle replacement policy [17][18] - In May 2025, domestic heavy truck sales reached 89,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13.6%. The market is expected to benefit from the ongoing vehicle replacement initiatives [18][19] Group 4: Chemical Industry - The demand for photoinitiators is increasing due to their expanding application scenarios, leading to rising product prices. Key companies in this sector include Jiuri New Materials, Yangfan New Materials, and Qiangli New Materials [34][35] - The photoinitiator market is expected to grow rapidly, driven by environmental regulations and the emergence of new applications such as 3D printing [35]

Core Insights - The article presents the market capitalization rankings of the top 50 Chinese technology and internet companies as of June 20, 2025, highlighting their respective valuations in billions of dollars [1]. Group 1: Market Capitalization Rankings - The top three companies by market capitalization are: 1. Alibaba: $1,000.00 billion 2. Tencent: $900.00 billion 3. Baidu: $290.62 billion [3][4]. - Other notable companies in the top 10 include: - Kuaishou: $308.94 billion - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC): $403.59 billion - JD.com: $459.34 billion [3][4]. Group 2: Additional Rankings - Companies ranked from 11 to 20 include: - Ideal Automotive: $282.81 billion - Beike: $217.69 billion - Xpeng Motors: $177.13 billion [3][4]. - The rankings continue with companies like: - New Oriental: $76.78 billion - Vipshop: $75.79 billion - Kingsoft: $70.42 billion [4][5]. Group 3: Valuation Trends - The article indicates a competitive landscape among Chinese tech firms, with significant valuations reflecting their market positions and growth potential [1]. - The data is based on the latest exchange rates, converting values from Hong Kong dollars to US dollars [5].

Group 1 - Zhejiang Province has been focusing on enhancing employment as part of its annual government initiatives since 2022, aiming to broaden employment channels, optimize employment structure, and improve employment quality [1] - The collaboration between Hangzhou Electronic Technology University and Hikvision has led to the establishment of a deeply integrated "embedded specialty course class," which aligns educational content with real industry needs [2][3] - Over three years, the embedded course class has enrolled 148 students, with 331 graduates from the university securing positions at Hikvision in key roles related to artificial intelligence and software development [2] Group 2 - Zhejiang University has launched an AI video mock interview platform to help students prepare for job interviews, covering 100 fixed positions across various industries [3][4] - The upcoming "AI Career Mentor" system will integrate school policies and career development guidelines, providing comprehensive employment information and emotional support for students [5] - The "Qinghe Station" initiative in Hangzhou offers free accommodation for job seekers, significantly reducing their job search costs and serving as an information hub for employment services [6][7] Group 3 - The West Lake District is developing a robust employment service network, focusing on job demand matching, vocational training, and career planning guidance [7] - The "Qinghe Plan" in Hangzhou includes various initiatives to support young talents, with 84 "Qinghe Stations" established, providing over 190,000 days of accommodation support [8]