数据来源：wind 进一步展望生物科技领域的投资前景。大家已经了解，港股为生物科技公司上市提供了得天独厚的条 件，那么当前为何要投资港股的生物科技公司？这可以从宏观背景层面进行分析。当前美联储正处于降 息周期，大家也清楚，在降息环境下，包括美国在内的境外资金更倾向于流出美股市场，转而寻找具有 成长价值的投资机会，而非停留在美股市场追求低息无风险收益，而港股很可能成为其优先选择。 在美联储新一轮防御式降息周期中，港股资产展现出比以往更优的收益弹性和流动性前景。这对于以港 股生物科技为代表的成长板块的估值修复和业绩增长，具有重要的指引意义。下方列出的时间序列图 表，重点标记了恒生生物科技指数与美联储降息周期时间节点的重要关联。可以看到，2019年7月至 2020年美联储降息期间，恒生生物科技指数就展现出了较好的业绩弹性。而从2024年至2025年年底，乃 至如今迈入2026年，在降息周期的大背景下，恒生生物科技指数很可能展现出更优的收益弹性表现。这 是我们从宏观政策角度分析得出的结论。 回归国内政策层面，未来境内尤其是港股上市的生物科技公司将获得哪些政策支持？我们能看到，行业 政策正全链条支持创新药发展。其中一个 ...

Core Viewpoint - The innovative drug sector is expected to experience a resurgence in 2025, transitioning from a broad market rally to a focus on select stocks driven by global clinical data, overseas commercialization, and domestic profitability turning points [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the A-share innovative drug index saw an annual increase of nearly 20%, while the H-share index rose by 66.52%. The first half of the year recorded increases of approximately 17% for A-shares and 58% for H-shares, with the second half showing more modest gains of about 3% and 9% respectively [1] - The A-share billion-dollar club includes companies like BeiGene (市值4190.64亿元), Hengrui Medicine (市值3994.27亿元), and Baillie Gifford (市值1332.18亿元), while the H-share club includes Hengrui Medicine (市值4729.34亿元), BeiGene (市值3191亿元), and others [2] Group 2: Company Dynamics - Companies in the billion-dollar club are valued based on "pipeline value + BD monetization + global sales peak." Capital markets are comparing these firms to global leaders, elevating them from "First-in-class" to "Best-in-class" [3] - In 2025, domestic innovative drug license-out transactions totaled 83, amounting to $84.5 billion, surpassing the total of over $60 billion for 2024. Hengrui Medicine's international deals included partners like GSK and Merck, with upfront payments totaling $765 million [3] Group 3: Market Challenges - Some companies that previously entered the billion-dollar club, such as Kintor Pharmaceutical and China National Pharmaceutical Group, have fallen below the threshold due to systemic valuation corrections and stricter FDA approval standards [4] - The market has become desensitized to BD transactions, as evidenced by the stock price drop of Innovent Biologics following a $11.4 billion collaboration announcement, indicating a tightening of valuation expectations [4] Group 4: Capital Operations - As the innovative drug market heats up in 2025, companies are initiating new capital operations, including acquisitions and cross-border listings. For instance, China National Pharmaceutical Group acquired Lixian Pharmaceuticals for approximately $500 million [5] - Baillie Gifford raised 3.764 billion yuan through a private placement in the A-share market, while also applying for an IPO in Hong Kong [5] Group 5: Small-cap Stocks - The top three performing innovative drug stocks in A-shares for 2025 were Shuyou Pharmaceutical (涨幅488%), Yipinhong (涨幅370%), and Yifang Biotechnology (涨幅235%). In H-shares, the top performers were Beihai Kangcheng (涨幅1824%), Heber Pharmaceuticals (涨幅553%), and Sanofi (涨幅311.18%) [7] - These stocks have core products that received high recognition, with clinical pipelines achieving significant breakthroughs, such as Shuyou's STSP-0601 and Beihai Kangcheng's Selinexor [7] Group 6: Future Outlook - The innovative drug sector is expected to enter a "hardcore alpha" phase in 2026, focusing on companies that can deliver genuine clinical data, achieve overseas commercialization, and demonstrate domestic profitability [10] - The emphasis will shift from broad market rallies to specific companies that can prove their clinical trial results and secure sales milestones, with a focus on high-demand areas like dual antibodies and ADCs [11][12]

每经记者｜任飞 每经编辑｜赵云 继融通产业趋势臻选之后，1月21日，包括2025年股基冠军融通产业趋势在内，新生代基金经理李进管理的其余四只产品四季报全部发布。从季内持仓来 看，新进重仓华懋科技、源杰科技、嘉元科技等个股，A股剑桥科技、中际旭创则有所减持。 此外，李进也关注新能源、医药和消费行业的布局，并且在其他在管基金中新进重仓或加仓了相关个股。他在季报总结中表示，光模块和PCB龙头公司估值 处于合理偏低的水平，在后续频率和速率提升的背景下，PCB产品的层数和材料复杂性大幅提升，相关公司的业绩成长持续性能看到较长时间。 作为新生代的基金经理，融通基金李进在2025年打造出一只普通股票型基金的年度业绩"冠军"，即融通产业趋势，1月21日，该基金发布2025年第四季度报 告，新增了多只重仓股。 具体来看，华懋科技、源杰科技、港股剑桥科技以及嘉元科技是该基金四季度新进重仓的品种，与往期着重集中在人工智能算力方向上不同，此次季报展示 的重仓股已经有所扩散，在新能源、消费等行业均有涉及。 值得注意的是，李进管理的基金在季内仓位调整上也同永赢科技智选有相似之处。首先，在权益资产的配比上，融通产业趋势四季度末的股票持仓占 ...

Group 1 - Yongying Fund's public funds reported significant growth in several actively managed equity products in Q4 2025, particularly the "Smart Selection" series, with notable increases in assets under management (AUM) exceeding 8 billion yuan for both Yongying Pioneer Semiconductor Smart Selection and Yongying High-end Equipment Smart Selection, reaching over 9 billion yuan by the end of 2025 [1] - Yongying Technology Smart Selection also saw an increase of nearly 4 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with its AUM surpassing 15 billion yuan by year-end [1] - The Yongying High-end Equipment Smart Selection A fund achieved a remarkable return of 56.42% in Q4 2025 [1] Group 2 - Fund manager Gao Nan indicated that the fund's strategy focuses on bottom-up stock selection, emphasizing company growth potential and earnings realization, while aiming to diversify industry concentration [2] - The fund also considers stocks with solid fundamentals, safety margins, and potential for improvement, optimizing its structure by evaluating various factors including safety margins and market trends [2] - Due to the growth in AUM, the fund has increased its focus on mid to large-cap companies, prioritizing mid-term certainty and safety margins [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (159570) has seen a significant inflow of funds, with a recent trading volume exceeding 5 billion yuan and a net inflow of over 300 million yuan in the past five days [1] - As of January 20, the total size of the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF reached over 25.3 billion yuan, leading the market in terms of scale among innovation drug ETFs [1] - The index components of the ETF showed mixed performance, with notable gains from companies like Kingsoft Biotech and China Biologic Products, while companies like CanSino Biologics experienced declines [3][4] Group 2 - At the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference, several Chinese pharmaceutical companies showcased their advancements, including BeiGene's new drug approval in China and plans for accelerated approval in the U.S. [5] - Innovent Biologics and Pfizer are set to conduct five global Phase III trials for their drug SSGJ-707 by 2026, targeting various cancers [6] - The collaboration between NVIDIA and Eli Lilly aims to establish an AI innovation lab with a projected investment of up to 1 billion USD over five years, potentially transforming drug development processes [8] Group 3 - Tempus AI reported a revenue of approximately 1.27 billion USD for 2025, marking an 83% year-on-year increase, driven by significant growth in its diagnostic business [9] - The top ten components of the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF account for over 73% of its weight, highlighting the concentration of leading innovative drug companies within the ETF [10]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the market by more than 5% over the next six months [31]. Core Insights - The JPMorgan Healthcare Conference highlighted six top candidate drugs in the Chinese market for 2026, with four originating from local innovative companies, showcasing their R&D capabilities that can compete with multinational brands [4]. - The report anticipates continued active merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions in the biopharmaceutical sector, with a projected global M&A transaction volume reaching $5.1 trillion in 2025, led by a 44% increase in the healthcare sector [4]. - Investment strategies suggest focusing on innovative Chinese pharmaceutical companies that are enhancing their global competitiveness, particularly in therapeutic areas like metabolism, chronic diseases, and central nervous system disorders, as well as potential technology platforms such as small nucleic acid drugs and CAR-T therapies [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The JPMorgan Healthcare Conference showcased 24 Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies, including BeiGene and Legend Biotech, presenting their latest R&D and commercialization achievements [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the Chinese market, identifying six candidate drugs that are expected to make significant impacts in 2026 [4]. Investment Strategy - The report recommends focusing on innovative therapeutic areas beyond traditional oncology and immunology, such as metabolic disorders and chronic diseases [5]. - It also highlights the potential of emerging technology platforms, suggesting investment in companies that are advancing in areas like peptide drugs and small nucleic acids [5]. Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector experienced a decline of 0.68% last week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 0.57%, ranking the pharmaceutical industry 17th among 27 sectors [20]. - In contrast, the Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector saw an increase of 2.38%, outperforming the Hang Seng Index, which rose by 2.56%, ranking 6th among 11 sectors [30].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (159570) has experienced a decline for four consecutive days, with a nearly 1% drop and a trading volume exceeding 1.15 billion HKD, indicating rapid capital inflow [1] - As of January 19, the latest scale of the Hong Kong Innovation Drug ETF (159570) has surpassed 25.4 billion HKD, leading its peers in the same category [1] - The weighted stocks of the ETF have mostly shown negative performance, with notable declines including Innovent Biologics down over 3% and Hengrui Medicine down over 2% [3][4] Group 2 - At the JPMorgan Conference, over 20 Chinese pharmaceutical companies showcased their innovations, with Hengrui expected to see a 25%+ growth in innovative drug revenue by 2026 [5] - The domestic biotech sector is experiencing a surge in business development (BD) activities, with significant deals such as the 5.6 billion USD global exclusive license agreement between Rongchang Biopharma and AbbVie [5][6] - A domestic innovative drug company has projected a revenue of approximately 45.46 billion RMB for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.84%, with a substantial increase in net profit [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese innovative drug business development (BD) for overseas licensing reached a record high of $135.655 billion in total transaction value for 2025, with a significant increase in upfront payments and transaction numbers compared to previous years [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Health Comprehensive Index (930965) showed mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Times Angel leading at a 4.83% increase [1]. - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical ETF (159718) was quoted at 0.96 yuan [1]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The innovative drug BD overseas licensing transactions in China for 2025 totaled $135.655 billion, with upfront payments of $7 billion and 157 transactions, all marking historical highs [2]. - Notable collaborations include Rongchang Biopharma's PD-1/VEGF dual antibody RC148 receiving a $650 million upfront payment from AbbVie, and Yilian Biopharma's partnership with Roche on B7H3-targeted ADC [2]. - GSK's Bepirovirsen for chronic hepatitis B showed positive results in Phase III trials, and Arrowhead announced advancements in RNAi therapies for weight loss, validating the clinical value of small nucleic acid drugs [2]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference revealed positive updates from leading global pharmaceutical companies, with significant BD transactions and improved forecasts from CXO companies like WuXi AppTec [2]. - The global pharmaceutical industry remains robust, with innovation in drugs and medical devices continuing to be the main investment theme [2].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug sector is experiencing significant capital inflow, indicating a potential favorable timing for investment in this sector as the innovative drug ETF (520880) shows strong performance despite recent declines [1][3][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 19, the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug ETF (520880) fell by 2.72%, marking three consecutive days of decline, yet recorded a net subscription of 85.51 million yuan, the highest single-day inflow in nearly a month [1][8]. - The latest fund size of the innovative drug ETF reached 2.296 billion yuan, maintaining a historical high with a total of 4.25 billion shares [4][11]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Short-term prospects for leading pharmaceutical companies are promising, with 2025 earnings forecasts potentially exceeding expectations, which could lead to valuation recovery opportunities [3][10]. - The first quarter is typically a peak period for overseas licensing transactions, making innovative drug companies with pipeline value, such as those with ADC, bispecific antibodies, and small RNA platforms, worthy of attention [3][10]. Group 3: Long-term Sector Logic - The core logic of the Hong Kong Stock Connect innovative drug sector remains robust, with expected overseas licensing totals for innovative drugs reaching 135.7 billion USD in 2025, reflecting global recognition of Chinese pharmaceutical R&D capabilities [3][10]. - Continued policy support is anticipated, with the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) expected to approve 76 innovative drugs in 2025, the highest globally, and ongoing optimization of the drug review and approval process [3][10]. Group 4: ETF Characteristics - The innovative drug ETF (520880) exclusively invests in innovative drug R&D companies, with over 73% of the top ten holdings representing leading firms in the sector, indicating a strong core strength [5][12][14]. - The ETF is designed to manage risks effectively by reducing the weight of less liquid component stocks, thereby controlling tail risks [6][13].

Core Viewpoint - Kangfang Biopharma's innovative drug, Gumokimab injection, has submitted a new indication application for active ankylosing spondylitis, which has been accepted by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) [1][4]. Group 1: Drug Information - Gumokimab is a humanized IL-17 monoclonal antibody targeting key inflammatory factors, playing a crucial role in diseases like psoriasis and ankylosing spondylitis [4][7]. - The drug is currently in the application stage for both moderate to severe plaque psoriasis and active ankylosing spondylitis [5][12]. Group 2: Research and Development Progress - The first application for Gumokimab was accepted by the CDE on January 16, 2025, marking a significant milestone in its development [8][11]. - In August 2025, Gumokimab achieved positive results in a pivotal Phase III clinical trial for active ankylosing spondylitis, demonstrating significant clinical improvements for patients [11]. Group 3: Industry Position - Gumokimab is the eighth innovative drug submitted for market approval by Kangfang Biopharma, highlighting the company's commitment to drug development [13]. - It is the third innovative drug in the non-oncology field to reach the market application stage, showcasing Kangfang Biopharma's strong research capabilities and innovation in addressing autoimmune diseases [13].