Group 1 - In 2025, many funds accumulated significant net value due to high positions in technology stocks, but over half of active equity funds reduced their stock positions in the fourth quarter [1] - Flexible allocation funds became a key tool for fund managers, allowing them to adjust positions more freely compared to traditional funds [1][5] - A significant number of funds increased their stock holdings in the fourth quarter, with some achieving double-digit returns by focusing on sectors like non-ferrous metals [3] Group 2 - A public fund manager noted that many stocks are at historically high valuations, while leading blue-chip stocks are undervalued, suggesting a shift in investment focus [2] - Research indicated a clear high-low switching characteristic in active fund allocations, with increased allocations to undervalued cyclical and financial sectors, while tech sectors saw reductions [2] - Some funds, like Huatai's new fund, significantly increased their stock positions after maintaining low levels for several quarters, indicating a strategic shift [3][5] Group 3 - Fund managers provided clear explanations for their portfolio adjustments, citing the implementation of overseas policies and the growth of sustainable aviation fuel demand as investment opportunities [4] - Flexible allocation funds have a significant advantage in adjusting stock holdings, allowing for better risk management and profit capture in fluctuating markets [5] - Some prominent fund managers reduced their stock positions significantly in the fourth quarter, reflecting a cautious approach amid market volatility [6]

在科技股大放异彩的2025年，不少基金凭借着高仓位得以积累可观的净值。 但基金经理对后市观点的分歧体现在对股票仓位增减不一的操作中，根据去年四季报数据统计，有超过一半的 主动权益产品四季度内降低了股票仓位。 灵活配置型基金凭借更小的仓位约束，成为基金经理操作的"利器"。部分基金经理在四季度大幅增持股票资 产，踏准行情取得了两位数的收益；也有基金经理选择落袋为安，并将投资方向聚焦至优质白马股或部分低估 值个股，基金净值走势也较为平缓。 超过一半的基金降低股票仓位 据去年四季报数据统计，纳入统计的4525只主动权益基金中（仅统计A类份额），有超过一半的基金（2597 只）四季度内降低了股票仓位，基金经理的谨慎观点也在四季报以及近期发声中有所体现，而在已经集体上涨 的权益市场中，因避险情绪影响，白马股和低估值板块更受青睐。 华东某公募基金经理认为，当前市场成长和主题方向越来越昂贵以至脱离基本面的真实价值，相当多股票处于 历史上最贵的估值分位，各行各业的龙头白马大部分处于历史估值中枢的下限附近，整体宏观经济在产能周期 的作用下也已逐渐出现拐点，主题与小微盘的极度高估与龙头白马的便宜与低估形成了鲜明的对比。 由于行业发 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the machinery equipment industry [1] Core Insights - The mining machinery market has significant potential, with a high-margin aftermarket accounting for 50% of the market. The global mining machinery market size is expected to reach approximately $135 billion in 2024, comparable to the traditional construction machinery market. Key categories include excavators, mining trucks, loaders, bulldozers, rock drills, and grinders, with their respective market shares being approximately 40%, 25%, 15%, 10%, and 5% [1] - Rising metal prices are driving capital expenditures upward, with a lag of about 1-2 years from metal prices to mining investments. By 2026, prices for gold, silver, and copper are expected to reach historical highs, leading to a significant increase in mining capital expenditures. Additionally, declining ore grades are increasing the intensity of capital expenditures, creating a synergistic effect with rising metal prices [2] - Chinese manufacturers are gradually increasing their participation in the global mining market, driven by domestic mining companies expanding overseas. While foreign companies like Caterpillar and Komatsu dominate the market, Chinese brands are making significant advancements in large-tonnage products and are leading in electrification and automation technologies. This positions them favorably in the mid-to-low-end market and allows them to accelerate their presence in the high-end market [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, SANY International, Naipu Mining Machinery, Tongli Co., and Northern Heavy Industries [4]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Industrials - **Key Insights**: Strong export growth observed, but concerns are rising due to material price hikes and soft infrastructure investment [2][3] Core Points and Arguments 1. **Export Growth**: December 2025 and January 2026 saw resilient sales in construction machinery and heavy-duty trucks (HDT), with a notable increase in shipbuilding orders aligning with 2026 full-year guidance [2][3] 2. **Infrastructure Investment**: Infrastructure fixed asset investment (FAI) excluding utilities fell by 12.2% YoY in December, leading to a total YoY decline of 2.2% for 2025 [3] 3. **Excavator Sales**: January excavator sales are projected at around 9,000 units, reflecting a YoY increase of approximately 70%, influenced by base effects and Chinese New Year distortions [3][12] 4. **Automation Sector**: A moderate recovery in automation demand is expected in 2026, with companies cautious about downstream capital expenditures in the automotive sector [4] 5. **Lithium Battery Equipment**: Companies in the lithium battery sector anticipate a continued CAPEX upcycle in 2026, with indices for PV and battery equipment up 12% and 23% YTD, respectively [4] 6. **Shipbuilding Orders**: New shipbuilding orders showed a 79% YoY growth in December, despite a 24% YoY decline in 2025 [3] Additional Important Insights 1. **HDT Sector Performance**: The HDT sector's shipments rose 27% YoY to 1.14 million units in 2025, with domestic sales up 31% and exports up 17% [11] 2. **Risks**: Investment downsizing at the macroeconomic level poses a significant risk to the industrial sector, potentially leading to reduced demand for industrial goods [14] 3. **Valuation and Price Targets**: Various companies in the industrial sector have been assigned buy ratings, with price targets set for Hongfa at Rmb 45.00, Sinotruk at HK$ 45.00, and Sungrow at Rmb 225.00 [8][31] 4. **Emerging Technologies**: Chinese OEMs are expected to dominate global humanoid robot shipments, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [5] 5. **Market Size Projections**: The global market for solid-state batteries is projected to grow from approximately US$100 million in 2030 to over US$30 billion by 2050, although earnings impact visibility remains low [5] Conclusion The China industrial sector is experiencing a mix of strong export performance and rising concerns over material costs and infrastructure investment. Key sectors such as construction machinery, automation, and lithium battery equipment are poised for growth, while risks related to macroeconomic conditions and competition remain significant.

行业研究丨深度报告丨机械 [Table_Title] 矿山机械系列二：周期景气与全球化共振，"设 备+后市场+资源品"布局打开成长空间 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 矿山机械设备空间广阔、利润可观，是装备制造中的优质赛道。从需求侧来看，资源品价格、 矿石品位、资本密集度影响行业需求总量，在宏观宽松、供给受限及需求扩张背景下，资源品 价格有望维持强势，当前矿山机械行业景气有望加速上行，叠加新能源、无人化渗透率提升有 望贡献增量。从供给侧来看，外资龙头格局集中，出海有望成为我国矿机企业成长机遇。近年 来我国矿山机械出海蓬勃发展，龙头企业全球竞争力日益提升，"设备+后市场+资源品"业务 并进，看好我国矿机企业的成长性。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 臧雄 曹小敏 SAC：S0490517110001 SAC：S0490518070005 SAC：S0490521050001 SFC：BRP550 SFC：BVO790 王硕 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / ...

Core Insights - The commercial vehicle market in China is expected to see significant growth in 2025, driven by the strong performance of new energy vehicles (NEVs) and supportive policies for vehicle upgrades [1][7][12] - In December 2025, the sales of commercial vehicles reached 300,000 units, marking a 5% year-on-year increase and a 15% month-on-month increase [7][12] - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles is projected to reach 46% by December 2025, a substantial increase from 29% in December 2024 [12][14] Commercial Vehicle Market Analysis - The total sales of commercial vehicles in China for 2025 are forecasted to be 3.1 million units, representing a 9% year-on-year growth compared to the stable period since 2022 [1][7] - The market showed a strong upward trend from March to December 2025, with December achieving a historical high for the month [5][7] - The sales of new energy commercial vehicles in December 2025 are expected to hit 140,000 units, reflecting a 71% year-on-year increase and a 49% month-on-month increase [1][8] New Energy Vehicle Performance - The penetration rate of new energy commercial vehicles has increased significantly, from approximately 3% in 2019-2021 to 46% in December 2025 [12][14] - The sales of new energy commercial vehicles for the entire year of 2025 are projected to reach 910,000 units, a 57% increase compared to the previous year [1][8] - The growth in new energy vehicle sales is attributed to strong demand and government incentives, particularly in the commercial vehicle sector [10][12] Market Structure and Competition - The market for commercial vehicles is characterized by a stable structure, with significant contributions from light and heavy-duty trucks [14][18] - Key players in the commercial vehicle market include Beiqi Foton, SAIC-GM-Wuling, and China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, which dominate the light truck, heavy truck, and bus segments respectively [15][18] - The performance of heavy-duty trucks has improved significantly due to subsidy policies, with notable growth in electric heavy-duty trucks in regions like Beijing, Tianjin, and Shanghai [16][17] Regional Market Dynamics - The light truck market is particularly strong in regions such as East China and South China, with increasing sales in these areas [18][19] - The penetration of new energy vehicles in the truck segment reached 38% in December 2025, while the bus segment saw a penetration rate of 78% [14][18] - The market for new energy light trucks is primarily concentrated in East China and South China, with significant growth observed in these regions [19][21]

Core Viewpoint - The engineering machinery industry is a critical pillar of equipment manufacturing, playing a significant role in national infrastructure construction and facing challenges related to energy consumption, carbon emissions control, and safety production. The industry is at a new starting point for green, intelligent, and international development, with ESG management capabilities becoming a core competitive advantage [1]. Industry Performance - Among 34 engineering machinery companies rated by Green Development Credit Rating Co., Ltd., XCMG and Anhui Heli lead with AAApi ratings, establishing themselves as benchmarks for ESG management. Other notable companies include LiuGong, Zhejiang Dingli, and SANY Heavy Industry with AA+pi ratings. However, 50% of the companies received BB-pi or lower ratings, indicating significant disparities in ESG management across the industry [3][4][5]. Key Issues Focus - The industry is focusing on the "dual carbon" goals, smart manufacturing, and responsible operations. Key environmental management areas include greenhouse gas emission control, clean energy application, and the development of new energy products. Companies are encouraged to establish carbon emission monitoring systems and optimize production processes to achieve low-carbon transitions [6]. Social Dimension - Safety production, employee rights protection, and product responsibility are core concerns. Companies need to establish comprehensive safety management systems, enhance employee welfare, and ensure product quality and customer service responsiveness [7]. Governance Dimension - Effective corporate governance, risk management, and ESG management framework construction are crucial. Companies should establish governance structures, strengthen internal controls, and integrate ESG principles into strategic planning and daily operations [7][11]. Industry Practice Benchmarks - Anhui Heli is actively reducing energy consumption through green factory initiatives and optimizing production processes. Zhejiang Dingli is enhancing its climate change management system and promoting energy-efficient transportation methods. LiuGong is improving product development processes and focusing on innovative technologies [9][10]. Future Directions - The engineering machinery industry should focus on three main areas: deepening green transformation, enhancing social responsibility, and optimizing governance systems. Companies need to establish carbon management frameworks, improve employee welfare, and enhance ESG reporting and compliance [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is experiencing steady development, with significant policy advancements in vertical industry empowerment and new tourism scenarios [3] - The engineering machinery sector is expected to maintain a steady growth trend, supported by strong competitive advantages of domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand [4] Weekly Market Review - From January 18 to January 23, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11%. The machinery equipment sector outperformed, rising by 2.57%, which is 3.19 percentage points higher than the CSI 300 Index, ranking 13th among 31 primary industries [12] - Sub-sectors such as general equipment, specialized equipment, rail transit equipment II, engineering machinery, and automation equipment saw increases of 3.33%, 2.55%, 2.59%, 1.33%, and 2.29% respectively [12][15] Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is projected to promote over 10,000 agricultural drones and train over 10,000 operators by 2030 in Fujian Province, with a target operational service area of 25 million acres annually [3] - The tower crane rental industry’s utilization rates were reported at 55.1% and 56.8% for tower crane days and maximum lifting moment respectively, indicating a slight decrease from the previous month [4] Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Shen Cheng Jiao, Su Jiao Ke, Hua She Group, and Na Rui Radar. In the complete machine sector, focus on Wan Feng Ao Wei, Yi Hang Intelligent, Zong Heng Co., and Green Energy Hui Chong. Key component manufacturers to watch include Zong Shen Power, Wo Long Electric Drive, Ying Liu Co., and Ying Bo Er. In air traffic management and operations, consider CITIC Heli, Zhong Ke Xing Tu, and Sichuan Jiu Zhou [5] - In the machinery equipment sector, recommended companies include Ju Xing Technology, Quan Feng Holdings, and Jiu Hao Company for the export chain. For engineering machinery, focus on Sany Heavy Industry, Xugong Machinery, and Anhui He Li. In the industrial mother machine sector, watch Hua Zhong CNC, Ke De CNC, and Heng Li Hydraulic [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [7]. Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is experiencing steady development, with significant policy advancements in vertical industries and tourism, particularly in agricultural applications of drones [3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to maintain steady growth, supported by strong competitive advantages of domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand [4]. - The overall performance of the machinery equipment sector has outperformed the broader market indices, with a weekly increase of 2.57% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [12]. Weekly Market Review - From January 18 to January 23, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.11%. The machinery equipment sector outperformed, with a 2.57% increase, ranking 13th among 31 sectors [12][20]. - Sub-sectors such as general equipment, specialized equipment, and engineering machinery saw increases of 3.33%, 2.55%, and 1.33% respectively [12][15]. Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is projected to promote agricultural productivity, with specific targets set for the deployment of agricultural drones and the training of drone operators by 2030 in Fujian Province [3]. - The engineering machinery sector's tower crane rental industry reported a utilization rate of 55.1% in December 2025, indicating a slight decrease but still reflecting a robust market [4]. Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Shen Cheng Jiao, Su Jiao Ke, and Hua She Group. In the complete machine segment, focus on Wan Feng Ao Wei and Yi Hang Intelligent [5]. - In the machinery equipment sector, recommended companies include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli for engineering machinery, and Huazhong CNC and Kede CNC for industrial mother machines [5].

这干劲，是滚石上山的毅力！全球领先的起重机与数字化生产线同步演进，让传统制造插上智能翅膀； 这干劲，是滴水穿石的恒心！年产200万台车用热管理产品的项目正在加紧建设，绿色动能在此集聚； 这干劲，是中流击水的勇气！331家关联企业集聚于徐州的未来产业集群，前沿突破持续涌现。 站在"十五五"开局之年，徐州正以这股马不停蹄的干劲，在现代化产业体系建设的壮阔征程中，全力奔赴一个崭新的未来！ 时代浪潮，奔涌向前；发展征程，只争朝夕。 徐州，始终以马不停蹄的干劲，诠释着奋进的姿态。 ▲杨屯镇中煤新能源"源网荷储氢一体化"示 范基地上海大屯能源光伏发电基地项目。 择良马而驰： 换道领跑重塑产业格局 马不停蹄，主动求变方能重塑产业筋骨。 徐州以壮士断腕的魄力，卸下"老马"重负，坚定化解过剩产能，摆脱对传统煤电、钢铁的路径依赖，为新兴产业腾出辽阔空间。 面对深厚的传统产业根基，徐州没有"甩包袱"，而是视其为必须挖潜增效的"富矿"。 徐工重型跻身国家首批领航级智能工厂，徐工集团技术成果亮相中国制造"十四五"成就展； 徐钢集团实施1280立方米高炉配套步进式烧结机技改项目，能效水平达到国标先进水平； 徐矿集团向风电、光伏、储能等新 ...