Investment Rating - The industry is rated positively, with expectations of significant growth in capital expenditures from major companies like Amazon and Google, indicating a bullish outlook for the sector [1][26]. Core Insights - Amazon raised its 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $200 billion, a more than 50% increase from $131 billion in 2025, driven by strong demand signals in AI hardware and cloud services [1]. - Google's parent company, Alphabet, expects its 2026 capital expenditure to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, nearly double its 2025 spending, reflecting robust growth in its cloud business [1]. - The demand for AI infrastructure is expected to lead to a significant increase in ASIC (Application-Specific Integrated Circuit) numbers from major tech companies, with a projected explosive growth in 2026-2027 [1][4]. - The semiconductor and PCB (Printed Circuit Board) sectors are anticipated to benefit from the strong demand for AI, with many companies in these areas experiencing high order volumes and expansion plans [4][26]. Summary by Sections Section 1: AI and Cloud Infrastructure - Amazon's AWS cloud division saw a 24% year-over-year growth, with a backlog of $244 billion, indicating strong enterprise investment in AI and cloud services [1]. - Google's cloud revenue reached $17.7 billion in Q4, a 48% increase year-over-year, driven by strong demand for enterprise-level AI products [1]. Section 2: Semiconductor and PCB Industry - The PCB industry is maintaining high demand due to the growth in automotive and industrial applications, with expectations of price increases for copper-clad laminates [6]. - AI-driven demand is expected to boost PCB prices and volumes, with companies actively expanding production to meet this demand [4][26]. Section 3: Consumer Electronics - The consumer electronics sector is seeing a continuous expansion of AI applications, particularly in the Apple supply chain, with innovations in foldable devices and AI glasses [5]. - The demand for AI-enabled devices is expected to drive significant growth in the market, with various manufacturers exploring new product categories [5]. Section 4: Semiconductor Equipment and Materials - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing a robust upward trend, with significant capital expenditures expected to support the growth of advanced manufacturing processes [23][25]. - The materials sector is also poised for improvement, with a focus on domestic production capabilities in response to international supply chain challenges [25][34]. Section 5: Company-Specific Insights - Companies like North Huachuang and Zhongwei are positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for semiconductor equipment and materials, with strong growth prospects in their respective markets [28][30]. - Three Ring Group is focusing on high-capacity MLCC (Multi-Layer Ceramic Capacitor) products, which are expected to see increased demand due to AI applications [33].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on specific companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and others [1]. Core Insights - The North American electricity shortage is driven by the contradiction between the non-linear growth of AI power demand and aging grid infrastructure. The Department of Energy (DOE) predicts an average peak gap of 20-40GW by 2030 due to this imbalance [2]. - The report highlights investment opportunities in gas turbines and photovoltaic equipment, particularly in response to the growing electricity demand in North America and the global shift towards renewable energy solutions [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the potential for domestic gas turbine technology to fill the electricity gap in the U.S. market, with specific recommendations for companies like Jerry Holdings and Yingliu Holdings [2][31]. Summary by Sections Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is expected to benefit from the increasing electricity demand driven by AI data centers. The supply-demand gap is significant, with global gas turbine orders exceeding 80GW while actual deliverable capacity is below 50GW [31]. - Recommended companies include Jerry Holdings, Yingliu Holdings, and Haomai Technology, which are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for gas turbines [31][32]. Photovoltaic Equipment - The report notes a significant opportunity in the photovoltaic sector, particularly with the expected growth in space-based solar power due to initiatives like SpaceX's satellite deployment [3][4]. - Key recommendations include companies like Jing Sheng Mechanical and Aotwei, which are well-positioned to benefit from both ground and space photovoltaic markets [4][26]. Lithium Battery Equipment - The demand for lithium battery equipment is anticipated to surge due to the rapid growth of energy storage needs driven by AI and policy changes. Companies like Xian Dao Intelligent and Hangke Technology are highlighted as key players in this space [4][25]. - The report suggests that the global demand for energy storage solutions will significantly increase, with projections indicating a need for over 300GWh of storage equipment driven by major tech companies [4]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see a strong performance in Q1, with significant year-on-year growth in excavator sales. Companies like Sany Heavy Industry and XCMG are recommended for their strong market positions [5][43]. - The report indicates that the sector typically experiences a surge in sales during the first quarter due to seasonal factors and policy support [5]. General Recommendations - The report provides a comprehensive list of companies to watch across various segments, including Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and others in the mechanical equipment sector [1][15].

Fund Size Statistics - The top three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Scale Index ETF (¥15.406 billion), Cross-border Industry Index ETF (¥6.624 billion), and Strategy Index ETF (¥5.384 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF types by fund size change are: Theme Index ETF (-¥26.004 billion), Cross-border Scale Index ETF (-¥1.807 billion), and Cross-border Theme Index ETF (¥0.203 billion) [9] - The top three equity ETF products by fund size change are: CSI 500 ETF (¥2.832 billion), Chemical ETF (¥2.386 billion), and HuShen 300 ETF (¥2.229 billion) [9] - The bottom three equity ETF products by fund size change are: Communication ETF (-¥30.885 billion), Non-ferrous Metals ETF (-¥3.932 billion), and Gold Stock ETF (-¥2.963 billion) [13] Market Outlook - The macro timing model for February 2026 has a score of 0, indicating a historical 78.57% probability of the full A index rising in the following month, with an average increase of 3.37% [23] - A-shares are expected to experience a short-term volatile market, influenced by liquidity from overseas markets and the recent AI bubble discussions affecting tech growth stocks [23] - The recommendation is to adopt a balanced ETF allocation strategy due to the anticipated short-term fluctuations in the market [60]

在人工智能驱动下，芯片相关需求持续攀升，全球半导体设备产业市场规模迎来稳步增长期。2025年1-9月，全球半导体设备销售规模已超987亿美元，预 计全年将达1255亿美元，2026年有望进一步增长至1381亿美元。与此同时，国内存储企业开启大幅扩产模式，催生巨量设备订单，为国产半导体设备的发 展按下加速键，推动国产设备在全球市场中占据愈发重要的地位。 国产设备从跟跑迈向并跑 国内半导体设备市场已实现从"跟跑"到"领跑"的跨越式发展，成为全球半导体设备市场的核心增长极。根据SEMI统计数据，2020年中国境内半导体设备 市场以187亿美元的销售额首次登顶全球第一大市场；2024年市场规模进一步攀升至496亿美元，同比增长35%，全球市场份额占比超40%；2025年1-9月， 市场规模约362亿美元，依旧稳坐全球头把交椅。华泰证券研究所预测，尽管受海外设备出口管制影响，国内Fab厂商前期提前备货导致2025年需求有所消 退，但中国境内半导体设备市场规模仍将保持全球首位，预计全年可达494亿美元。 国产设备企业的全球竞争力也同步提升，据外媒报道，2025年全球芯片设备厂商前20强中有3家中国企业，较2022年美国出 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry, indicating an expectation of returns stronger than the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - Strong demand for computing power driven by AI applications is expected to continue, with significant investments from major cloud providers [8]. - The hardware supply-demand imbalance is spreading across various sectors, leading to price increases [8]. - New technologies such as CPO (Co-Packaged Optics) are anticipated to create additional demand [8]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Key investment targets include: - Semiconductor manufacturing: SMIC (688981, Buy), Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347, Buy) - Testing and packaging: Changdian Technology (600584, Buy), Tongfu Microelectronics (002156, Buy), and others [9]. - Server storage: Lianqi Technology (688008, Buy) - CPUs: Haiguang Information (688041, Buy), Longxin Technology (688047, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Passive components: Sanhua Group (300408, Buy), Fenghua Advanced Technology (000636, Not Rated) [9]. - Server manufacturing: Industrial Fulian (601138, Buy), Huaqin Technology (603296, Buy) [9]. - Analog and power chips: Naxin Micro (688052, Buy), Sierui Technology (688536, Not Rated), and others [9]. - Semiconductor equipment: Zhongwei Company (688012, Buy), Northern Huachuang (002371, Buy), and others [9]. - Optical devices/chips: Zhishang Technology (301486, Not Rated), Tianfu Communication (300394, Not Rated), and others [9]. AI Applications and Edge Computing - Key targets in edge AI applications include: - AI main control chips: Amlogic (688099, Buy), Hengxuan Technology (688608, Buy) - Edge storage: Zhaoyi Innovation (603986, Buy), Bawei Storage (688525, Buy) [10]. - Terminal manufacturers: Hikvision (002415, Buy), Luxshare Precision (002475, Buy), BYD Electronics (00285, Not Rated), and others [10]. - Core components for AI edge: Huanxu Electronics (601231, Buy), Sunny Optical Technology (02382, Buy), and others [10].

截至14:18，上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数（950125）上涨0.15%，成分股欧莱新材上涨14.14%， 耐科装备上涨4.95%，中芯国际上涨1.52%，华兴源创上涨1.34%，兴福电子上涨1.32%。科创半导体 ETF(588170)上涨0.17%，最新价报1.75元。 截至14:21，中证半导体材料设备主题指数（931743）上涨0.24%，成分股江丰电子上涨10.34%，有研新 材上涨5.00%，矽电股份上涨3.68%，天岳先进上涨1.27%，北方华创上涨1.25%。半导体设备ETF华夏 （562590）多空胶着，最新报价1.89元。 流动性方面，科创半导体ETF盘中换手8.43%，成交6.69亿元。拉长时间看，截至2月5日，科创半导体 ETF近1月日均成交11.09亿元，领先同类；半导体设备ETF华夏盘中换手4.11%，成交1.12亿元。 相关ETF：公开信息显示， 科创半导体ETF（588170）及其联接基金（A类：024417；C类：024418） 跟踪上证科创板半导体材料设备主题指数，囊括科创板中半导体设备（60%）和半导体材料（25%）细 分领域的硬科技公司。 半导体设备和材料行业是重 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Chip Leader ETF (516640), which opened down by 1.75% at 1.122 yuan on February 6 [1] - Major holdings in the Chip Leader ETF experienced declines, with notable drops including Cambrian (down 1.49%), SMIC (down 1.48%), and GigaDevice (down 2.43%) [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the CSI Chip Industry Index return, managed by Fortune Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 14.35% since its inception on August 19, 2021, and a return of 2.83% over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index (931743), increased by 0.53% as of February 6, 2026, with notable gains from component stocks such as Jiangfeng Electronics (up 12.43%) and Yuyuan New Materials (up 5.63%) [1] - The Semiconductor Equipment ETF Huaxia (562590) rose by 0.21%, with a latest price of 1.9 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 10.26% over the past month, ranking 2nd among comparable funds [1] - The latest scale of the Semiconductor Equipment ETF Huaxia reached 2.711 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index includes 40 listed companies involved in semiconductor materials and equipment, reflecting the overall performance of these sectors [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 63.99% of the total, including companies like Zhongwei Company and Beifang Huachuang [2] - The Semiconductor Equipment ETF Huaxia closely tracks the CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index, with additional connection options available for investors [2]

Group 1 - The semiconductor ETF (159813) opened down 1.34% at 1.182 yuan on February 6 [1] - Major holdings in the semiconductor ETF experienced declines, including SMIC down 1.48%, Haiguang Information down 1.00%, and Cambrian down 1.49% [1] - The performance benchmark for the semiconductor ETF is the National Securities Semiconductor Chip Index return rate, managed by Penghua Fund Management Co., Ltd. [1] Group 2 - Since its establishment on April 17, 2020, the semiconductor ETF has returned 79.62%, with a return of 3.35% over the past month [1]

2026 年 2 月 6 日 刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 周 报 陈伟光 S0340520060001 电话：0769-22119430 邮箱： chenweiguang@dgzq.com.cn 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 相关报告 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 半导体行业 超配（维持） 半导体行业双周报（2026/01/23-2026/02/05） 行 业 存储芯片公司 25Q4 业绩表现亮眼 半导体行业指数近两周涨跌幅：截至2026年1月22日，申万半导体行业指数 近两周（2026/1/23-2026/2/5）累计下跌7.68%，跑输沪深300指数6.55个 百分点；2026年以来申万半导体行业指数累计上涨9.77%，跑赢沪深300指 数8.90个百分点。 SAC 执业证书编号： 半导体行业（申万）指数走势 行业新闻与公司动态：（1）铠侠：在AI ...