证券研究报告 | 2026年02月28日 ETF 周报 上周光伏、军工 ETF 领涨，中证 1000ETF 净赎回居首 核心观点 金融工程周报 ETF 业绩表现 上周（2026 年 02 月 24 日至 2026 年 02 月 27 日，下同）股票型 ETF 周度收益率中位数为 1.54%。宽基 ETF 中，中证 1000ETF 涨跌幅中位 数为 4.30%，收益最高。按板块划分，周期 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 4.14%， 收益最高。按主题进行分类，光伏 ETF 涨跌幅中位数为 3.89%，收益最 高。 ETF 规模变动及净申赎 上周股票型 ETF 净赎回 368.67 亿元，总体规模增加 230.10 亿元。在 宽基 ETF 中，上周上证 50ETF 净赎回最少，为 4.67 亿元；按板块来看， 大金融 ETF 净申购最多，为 20.57 亿元；按热点主题来看，证券 ETF 净申购最多，为 22.61 亿元。 ETF 基准指数估值情况 在宽基 ETF 中，创业板类 ETF 的估值分位数相对较低；按板块来看， 消费、大金融 ETF 的估值分位数相对温和；按照细分主题来看，酒、新 能车 ETF 的估值分位数相对 ...

Core Insights - The first batch of four mutual recognition funds has been approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) following the new regulations released on January 1, 2025, marking a significant step in cross-border investment opportunities for Chinese investors [1][2][4]. Fund Details - The approved funds include two equity funds: Morgan Asia High Dividend Fund and Taiping Greater China New Power Equity Fund, both with a management fee of 1.5% [2][3]. - The two bond funds are Fidelity Global Investment Fund - Hong Kong Bond Fund and Huaxia Select RMB Investment Grade Income Fund, both with an A-class management fee of 0.75% [2][3]. - HSBC and Bank of China Hong Kong are the custodians for these funds, with specific funds assigned to each [2][3]. Regulatory Changes - The new mutual recognition fund regulations have relaxed the sales ratio limit for cross-border funds from 50% to 80%, enhancing the sales potential in the mainland market [7][8]. - The regulations also allow for a broader range of fund types to be included under mutual recognition, providing more options for investors [7]. Market Context - The approval of these mutual recognition funds is seen as a crucial step for Fidelity's cross-border business strategy in China, responding to the growing demand for global asset allocation among Chinese investors [4]. - The mutual recognition framework aims to meet the cross-border wealth management needs of investors in both mainland China and Hong Kong [5]. Market Performance - As of January 2026, Morgan's mutual recognition funds have reached a scale of 84 billion RMB, holding over 40% market share, indicating strong performance in the market [10][12]. - The market has shown a trend where equity funds are attracting significant inflows, while bond funds are experiencing outflows due to increased market risk appetite [9].

2月27日，国际金价延续走势，现货黄金站上5200美元/盎司。 黄金股同步走强，板块资金活跃度提升，黄金行情从期现市场延伸至权益端与消费端，多家品牌足金首 饰酝酿新一轮提价，行情传导链条逐步拉长。 与此同时，资金结构与机构研判亦为黄金提供支撑。头部黄金ETF规模持续扩容，多家公募机构指出， 央行购金与美元信用弱化仍是中长期主线，金价在经历阶段性震荡后结构性支撑未改，黄金的配置属性 再度凸显。 现货黄金再触5200美元关口 2月27日，国际金价延续强势走势，现货黄金收盘站上5200美元/盎司关口，并逼近5300美元/盎司关 口。此前一天，金价也一度重新站上5200美元/盎司，相较春节前累计涨幅超过3%，价格重心明显上 移。在经历阶段性震荡后，黄金资产再度成为市场关注焦点。 支撑金价的结构性因素未改 多家公募机构认为，尽管金价经历阶段性震荡，但支撑黄金的核心变量并未发生根本改变。 中银基金分析称，整体来看，黄金短期内预计或维持震荡偏强，应持续关注地缘、贸易事件。中长期 看，央行购金与美元信用弱化或仍是主线，中国央行已连续15个月增持黄金，高盛预计2026年全球央行 购金加速，美元信用削弱或将提升黄金配置价值。对于 ...

【导读】新一批香港互认基金获批 中国基金报记者获悉，摩根亚洲股票高息基金、富达环球投资基金——香港债券基金、华夏精选人民币投资级别收益基金、太平大中华新动力股票基金等 香港互认基金获批。这也是《香港互认基金管理规定》自2025年1月1日实施后获批的新一批互认基金。 新规后最新一批 香港互认基金是指在港设立、运作和公开销售，并经中国证监会注册在内地公开销售的单位信托、互惠基金或者其他形式的集体投资计划。 2015年5月22日，中国证监会与香港证监会就开展内地与香港基金互认工作正式签署《关于内地与香港基金互认安排的监管合作备忘录》。开闸10年多以 来，基金互认机制发展势头向好。 国家外汇管理局的数据显示，截至2026年1月底，香港基金内地发行销售资金累计净汇出金额约为1260.24亿元，连续6个月位于1200亿元之上。 | | | 香港基金内地发行销售资金汇出入情况表 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 单位: 万元人民币 | | 截至时间 | 累计汇出金额 | 累计汇人金额 | 累计净汇出金额 | | 2026.01.31 | 32,121,266.91 | 19,518 ...

Group 1 - Over 30 funds have entered the liquidation process since 2026, primarily due to insufficient scale, with many initiated funds triggering termination clauses after failing to reach a net asset value of 200 million RMB within three years [1][2] - As of February 25, 2026, 31 funds have completed liquidation, with most facing scale challenges that led to the activation of termination clauses [2][3] - Mixed funds account for the majority of liquidated funds, totaling 15, followed by 9 bond funds, 2 equity funds, and 5 fund of funds (FOF) [3] Group 2 - Initiated funds face a "three-year test," where if their scale is below 200 million RMB after three years, they automatically enter liquidation without the need for a shareholder meeting [4][5] - Among the 31 liquidated funds, 24 are initiated funds, representing over 70% of the total, including several pension-targeted FOF products [4] - As of February 25, 2026, there are 4,560 initiated funds in the market, with 2,260 (nearly half) having a scale below 200 million RMB [4] Group 3 - The A-share market has seen increased style rotation in 2026, with significant disparities between industries; some sectors have risen over 30%, while others, like banking, have declined nearly 7% [6][7] - Certain thematic funds, such as those focused on automotive and dividends, are struggling, with some triggering liquidation clauses due to low asset values [6][7] - The market sentiment for 2026 is expected to remain positive, with a potential for more diverse opportunities, despite the pronounced differentiation among sectors [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the robotics sector, particularly the rise of the Zhongzheng Robotics Index and the significant gains of key component stocks such as Yuntian Lifa and Dazhu Laser [1] - The latest data shows that the Robotics ETF (562500) has experienced a net outflow of 358 million yuan, but over the past four trading days, it has attracted a total of 372 million yuan [2] - The Robotics ETF has seen a notable increase in scale, with a growth of 1.181 billion yuan over the past month, ranking first among comparable funds [2] Group 2 - The CEO of Xiaopeng, He Xiaopeng, announced that the company's humanoid robot, IRON, is set to begin mass production by the end of this year, aiming to be the first high-end humanoid robot in mass production globally [1] - The industry is transitioning from technology validation to large-scale production, with expectations for sustainable development opportunities as leading manufacturers finalize products and expand application scenarios [2] - The Robotics ETF is the only robotics-themed ETF in the market with a scale exceeding 20 billion yuan, covering various segments such as humanoid robots, industrial robots, and service robots, providing investors with a comprehensive investment option [2]

Core Viewpoint - The approval of the first four mutual recognition funds marks a significant step in the implementation of the revised Hong Kong Mutual Recognition of Funds regulations, which will enhance cross-border investment opportunities for mainland Chinese residents [1] Group 1: Fund Approvals - The first batch of four mutual recognition funds approved includes Morgan Asia High Dividend Fund, Fidelity Global Investment Fund - Hong Kong Bond Fund, Huaxia Select RMB Investment Grade Income Fund, and Taiping Greater China New Power Equity Fund [1] - This approval is the first since the implementation of the revised regulations on January 1, 2025, which increased the cross-border sales limit for mutual recognition funds from 50% to 80% [1] Group 2: Market Impact - The approval of these mutual recognition funds is expected to enrich the toolkit for cross-border investments, providing new options for mainland Chinese residents to participate in overseas capital markets and optimize their asset allocation [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.39%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.06%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 1.04% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 2.51 trillion yuan, slightly down from the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The rare metals and rare earth sectors led the gains, with several ETFs in these categories rising over 4%, including the Rare Metals ETF from ICBC, which increased by 4.96% [2] - Other notable performers included the Rare Metals ETFs from Jiashi and Guangfa, both up by 4.68%, and the Rare Metals ETF Fund from Huafu, which rose by 4.55% [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector also saw significant increases, with the Non-Ferrous Metals ETF from Tianhong up by 4.28% and the Non-Ferrous ETF from Huashan rising by 4.17% [3] Declining Sectors - The semiconductor equipment sector experienced a notable pullback, with several ETFs in this category showing declines, including the Semiconductor Equipment ETF from Guotai, which fell by 2.16% [4] - The small-cap growth style, particularly in the ChiNext and National 2000 indices, faced pressure as funds rotated out of previously popular themes into cyclical resource sectors for safety [4] Trading Activity - The Short-term Bond ETF from Haifutong led trading activity with a turnover of 576.06 billion yuan, followed by the National Debt ETF from Huaxia at 168.25 billion yuan and the Sci-Tech Bond ETF from Nanfang at 137.24 billion yuan [5] - The turnover rates were high for bond ETFs, with the Sci-Tech Bond ETF from Nanfang achieving a turnover rate of 156.87%, indicating strong liquidity in this segment [6] ETF Issuance - Six new ETFs are set to launch, focusing on Hong Kong Stock Connect and Sci-Tech sectors, with fundraising starting on March 2, 2026 [8] - The Cash Flow ETF from Great Wall will track the National Index of Free Cash Flow, while the Engineering Machinery ETF from Penghua will follow the China Securities Engineering Machinery Theme Index [9] - Cross-border products include the Internet ETFs from ICBC and Xingye, which will track the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index [9][10]

2月27日午后，算力租赁板块延续强势，截至发稿，同标的费率最低一档云计算ETF华夏（516630）涨 幅为1.33%，成分股云天励飞20cm涨停，拓维信息涨停，云赛智联、润和软件、汉得信息等股跟涨。 消息面上，据智通财经，近日欧洲最大的数据中心运营商及云服务商之一Hetzner宣布，由于IT多个领 域成本大幅上涨，公司将于4月1日起调高全线产品及服务报价，包括云服务、专用服务器、存储及负载 均衡器等。本次调价将影响其位于欧洲、美国和新加坡数据中心的新订单及现有订阅用户，德国及芬兰 地区的云服务价格根据配置等级不同，涨幅在30%到38%之间；美国地区的CCX专用vCPU云服务器价 格普遍上涨约30%。值得注意的是，这已是Hetzner本月第二次宣布提价，该公司于2月2日已调高专用服 务器的一次性设置费用。 中银证券最新研报指出，随着模型能力提升，智能体（Agent）与多模态应用进入深水区。算力涨价成 为新迹象，凸显供应瓶颈，算力产业链有望持续受益。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 云计算ETF华夏（516630）聚焦国产AI软硬件算力，按中信二级行业分类，该指数计算机软件+云服务 +计算机设备合计权重高达84. ...

Key Points - The recent rise in gold prices is attributed to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly between the US and Iran, which has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - Central banks globally have maintained a high level of gold purchases, with a total of 863 tons added in the previous year, indicating strong support for gold prices [2] - The Federal Reserve is expected to continue its interest rate cuts in 2026, which would likely weaken the dollar and increase the attractiveness of holding gold [3] Gold's Attributes - Gold is a strategic and scarce resource with multiple attributes, including commodity, currency, safe-haven, and investment characteristics, playing a crucial role in economic security and international trade [4] - Financial attributes significantly influence gold price formation, with market conditions such as monetary policy and inflation impacting its value [6] Market Dynamics - The ongoing geopolitical risks, such as the conflict in Ukraine and potential financial instability from frozen Russian assets, have heightened the appeal of gold as a secure investment [10] - The correlation between gold prices and market volatility, as measured by the VIX index, indicates that gold often spikes during periods of heightened market fear [15] Future Outlook for Gold - The US national debt is projected to exceed $40 trillion, which may negatively impact the dollar's creditworthiness and support gold prices [17] - Interest rates are a critical factor for central banks' gold reserve decisions, with current high real interest rates suggesting significant room for decline, which historically correlates with rising gold prices [18][21] Investment Considerations - Gold is viewed as a "ultimate safe-haven asset," with current upward momentum driven by credit reconstruction and geopolitical uncertainties, making it a strategic asset for portfolio diversification [23] - Despite being at historical highs, gold can still enhance portfolio performance and hedge against inflation, with recommendations for investors to consider gold ETFs for lower costs and better liquidity [24][25]