We recently published 10 Big Names Investors Are Dumping. Fluence Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:FLNC) is one of the worst performers on Wednesday. Fluence extended its losing streak to a fourth consecutive day on Wednesday, dropping 12.86 percent to finish at $18.57 apiece as investors unloaded portfolios of AI-linked stocks amid increasing concerns about the industry’s heavy spending. Fluence Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:FLNC) dropped alongside its counterparts, triggered by Blue Owl Capital’s withdrawal of its $10 billio ...

We recently published 10 Big Names Investors Are Dumping. Bloom Energy Corp. (NYSE:BE) is one of the worst performers on Wednesday. Bloom Energy extended its losing streak to a fourth straight day on Wednesday, shedding 12.14 percent to finish at $76.97 apiece as investors trimmed their positions in AI-linked stocks amid growing concerns about the industry. Bloom Energy Corp. (NYSE:BE) took a hit from heavy AI selling, having been riding the wave since early this year, triggered by Blue Owl Capital’s pul ...

周四（12月18日），AI产业链暴涨后小幅回调，光模块CPO走势分化，重仓光模块龙头的创业板人工智 能收跌1.74%。上涨方面，长芯博创、联特科技、金信诺等多股涨超2%，天孚通信收涨斩获两连阳；下 跌方面，新易盛新高后下跌4.62%，中际旭创跌超3%。 热门ETF方面，同类规模最大、流动性最佳的创业板人工智能ETF（159363）早盘翻红失败，午后下挫 明显，场内收跌1.76%，缩量成交6.29亿元。资金连续净流入，单日再度净申购2亿份，此前近五日累计 增持超2.6亿元。 综合市场来看，A股人工智能今日回调或受海外"AI泡沫论"扰动。隔夜，海外AI巨头甲骨文下跌5.4%， 据报道，Blue Owl Capital原计划为该公司在密歇根州的100亿美元数据中心项目提供融资，但该计划最 终未能落地，原因在于市场对甲骨文债务水平和支出规模的担忧。进一步加剧了外界对于人工智能行业 前景和估值泡沫的担忧。 但就A股光模块CPO投资机会来看，机构认为AI算力的投入短期仍处于高成长期，应用的商业闭环变现 路径仍在探索和培育中，AI算力产业链多个环节呈现供不应求的紧张态势。 西部证券建议持续聚焦AI算力供不应求机会。展望20 ...

编辑 | 关雪菁 头图 | AI制图 昨晚，美股AI板块遭遇了一场集体"血洗"：英伟达跌3.81%，AMD重挫5.29%，博通大跌4.48%，谷歌 跌3.21%，特斯拉跌4.62%，而风暴中心的甲骨文（Oracle），更是大跌5.40%，股价创下9月以来的新 低。 仅仅一晚，数千亿美元的市值灰飞烟灭。 但这并非毫无征兆。在经历了长达两年的单边上涨后，美股AI板块正进入一个最为凶险的阶段——估 值逻辑的根本性切换。 出品 | 妙投APP 作者 | 董必政 昨夜的暴跌，表面看是一次个案引发的恐慌，实则是美股AI"多空拉锯战"中，空头取得的首场决定性胜 利。华尔街的耐心正在耗尽，他们不再为宏大的"梦想"买单，开始拿着计算器，锱铢必较地清算每一笔 投入产出比（ROI）。 一、 100亿美元的"黑天鹅" 这场暴跌的导火索，是一次看似不起眼的融资终止。 Blue Owl Capital，一家在私募信贷领域颇具分量的机构，突然宣布终止与甲骨文的谈判。这原本是一笔 高达100亿美元的巨额交易，旨在为甲骨文位于密歇根州的数据中心项目提供资金支持。 理由简单而残酷：担心甲骨文的债务规模和支出过大。 在过去两年里，AI行业的增长逻 ...

Core Viewpoint - Investor apprehension surrounding Oracle has led to a significant decline in its stock price, which has fallen nearly 50% from its all-time high on September 10, and is now affecting its projects [1] Group 1: Oracle's Financial and Project Concerns - Asset management firm Blue Owl Capital has reportedly withdrawn from Oracle's $10 billion data center project due to unfavorable debt terms, raising concerns about Oracle's high level of debt [1] - There are worries that Oracle could delay the completion of data centers for OpenAI, although the cloud company has denied these reports [2] Group 2: Market Impact - Oracle's shares fell 5.4% on Wednesday, contributing to month-to-date losses exceeding 11%, which also negatively impacted related companies such as Broadcom, Nvidia, and Advanced Micro Devices [2] - Major U.S. indexes experienced declines, with the S&P 500 retreating 1.16%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.47%, and the Nasdaq Composite losing 1.81%, marking its worst day in nearly a month [3] Group 3: AI Market Outlook - Despite the recent pullback in artificial intelligence stocks, Bank of America suggests that the AI trade may still have potential for growth into 2026, with a caution that rising shares do not preclude the formation of a bubble [3] - Analysts at Bank of America believe that the current market progression supports the thesis of a larger AI bubble continuing to build, although identifying the exact moment before a potential bubble burst remains challenging [4]

中金称，甲骨文股价下跌表明，单纯依靠讲资本开支故事的阶段或已过去，投资者现在需要看到真实的 回报，而不是永无止境的投入。浦银国际认为，流动性因素及美国AI板块回调令港股市场情绪承压。 在缺乏新催化剂的情况下，短期港股市场情绪或将进入震荡修复期，投资者无需盲目悲观，但或未到全 面抄底的时机。 消息面上，隔夜美股科技股集体下跌，甲骨文跌超5%，股价回落至178美元附近，至此甲骨文几乎抹去 年内大部分涨幅。据报道，甲骨文密歇根数据中心合作伙伴Blue Owl Capital，因担忧其债务与AI支出 问题，拒绝为其价值100亿美元的数据中心项目注资，相关谈判已陷入僵局。对此，甲骨文证实Blue Owl退出，但称项目的股权交易最终谈判进展按计划进行，整体推进符合预期。 科技股今早集体承压，截至发稿，阿里巴巴-W(09988)跌1.3%，报144.1港元；华虹半导体(01347)跌 1.32%，报67.3港元；腾讯(00700)跌0.41%，报602.5港元。 ...

消息面上，隔夜美股科技股集体下跌，甲骨文跌超5%，股价回落至178美元附近，至此甲骨文几乎抹去 年内大部分涨幅。 据报道，甲骨文密歇根数据中心合作伙伴Blue Owl Capital，因担忧其债务与AI支出 问题，拒绝为其价值100亿美元的数据中心项目注资，相关谈判已陷入僵局。对此，甲骨文证实Blue Owl退出，但称项目的股权交易最终谈判进展按计划进行，整体推进符合预期。 智通财经APP获悉，科技股今早集体承压，截至发稿，阿里巴巴-W(09988)跌1.3%，报144.1港元；华虹 半导体(01347)跌1.32%，报67.3港元；腾讯(00700)跌0.41%，报602.5港元。 中金称，甲骨文股价下跌表明，单纯依靠讲资本开支故事的阶段或已过去，投资者现在需要看到真实的 回报，而不是永无止境的投入。浦银国际认为，流动性因素及美国AI板块回调令港股市场情绪承压。 在缺乏新催化剂的情况下，短期港股市场情绪或将进入震荡修复期，投资者无需盲目悲观，但或未到全 面抄底的时机。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Investor apprehension surrounding Oracle has led to a significant decline in its stock price, which has fallen nearly 50% from its all-time high on September 10, and is now affecting its projects [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Impact - Oracle's shares fell 5.4% on Wednesday, contributing to month-to-date losses exceeding 11% [2] - The decline in Oracle's stock has negatively impacted related companies, including Broadcom, Nvidia, and Advanced Micro Devices [2] - Major U.S. indexes also experienced declines, with the S&P 500 retreating 1.16%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 0.47%, and the Nasdaq Composite losing 1.81% [3] Group 2: Project Concerns and Investor Sentiment - Blue Owl Capital withdrew from Oracle's $10 billion data center project due to unfavorable debt terms, raising concerns about Oracle's high level of debt [1] - There are worries that Oracle may delay the completion of data centers for OpenAI, although the cloud company has denied these reports [2] - Analysts at Bank of America suggest that despite recent pullbacks in AI stocks, the AI trade may still have potential until 2026, while cautioning that rising shares do not preclude the formation of a bubble [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential risks and concerns surrounding recent investment deals in the AI sector, particularly focusing on OpenAI and its relationship with Amazon, suggesting that these deals may resemble problematic financial practices from the dot-com era [5][19]. Investment Deals - OpenAI is reportedly in talks to raise at least $10 billion from Amazon, which would be used to purchase Amazon's AI chips, raising questions about the sustainability of OpenAI's financial health given its stretched balance sheet [7][8]. - The nature of the deal is compared to "lazy Susan deals," where funds are cycled back to the investor in a way that may not reflect genuine financial health [19][24]. Market Reactions - The Dow dropped 228 points, the S&P fell 1.16%, and the NASDAQ declined 1.81%, indicating a negative market sentiment towards tech stocks, particularly those involved in AI [6]. - Oracle's stock has significantly declined, falling over 5% to around $178, down from an all-time high of $345, as concerns about its relationship with OpenAI grow [16]. Financial Discipline - Blue Owl Capital has refused to back a $10 billion deal for an Oracle data center, highlighting a trend towards more disciplined investment strategies in the face of inflated valuations and risky deals [12][13]. - The article emphasizes the need for financial discipline in the industry, suggesting that companies should avoid reckless spending and focus on sustainable growth [22]. Valuation Concerns - There is skepticism about OpenAI's $500 billion valuation, with indications that the AI market may be becoming commoditized and that OpenAI lacks a competitive moat around its flagship product, ChatGPT [11][20]. - The article suggests that the AI industry may need to reassess the value of companies like OpenAI if financial discipline is exercised across the board [21].

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's ambitious AI infrastructure expansion faces significant setbacks as its major data center partner, Blue Owl Capital, withdraws from a $10 billion project, raising concerns about funding and execution risks [3][12][20]. Group 1: Project Details - Blue Owl was in discussions to invest in a planned 1 GW data center in Saline Township, Michigan, intended to support OpenAI [3][12]. - The project was expected to provide substantial computing power as part of a $300 billion agreement between Oracle and OpenAI [13][21]. - The withdrawal of Blue Owl leaves the project's funding uncertain, with Blackstone negotiating as a potential financial partner but no agreements signed yet [3][12]. Group 2: Financial Implications - Oracle's net debt, including lease obligations, has risen to approximately $105 billion, up from nearly $78 billion a year ago, with projections suggesting it could reach around $290 billion by 2028 [12][20]. - The tightening of financing terms and rising debt levels have led lenders to impose stricter conditions, making the project less financially attractive for Blue Owl [12][20]. - Oracle's stock has dropped over 40% from its September peak, with a recent decline of 5.4% following the news of Blue Owl's exit [4][8]. Group 3: Market Reactions - The news of Blue Owl's withdrawal has negatively impacted Oracle's stock and the broader tech sector, highlighting potential risks in the AI infrastructure funding chain [4][20]. - Oracle's five-year credit default swap (CDS) reached 155.27 basis points, the highest since January 2009, indicating increased market concerns about its financial stability [11][12]. Group 4: Execution Risks - Concerns about project delays due to execution risks were a factor in Blue Owl's decision to withdraw, as the project has faced challenges since its initiation [13][14]. - Local government issues, including initial re-zoning refusals, have complicated the project's timeline, raising further investor apprehensions [13][14]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The withdrawal of Blue Owl raises questions about the sustainability of the AI investment cycle, particularly if private credit markets begin to withdraw support for such projects [20]. - Oracle is currently in talks with multiple U.S. banks to secure $38 billion in debt financing to address the funding gap created by Blue Owl's exit [21].