公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...

分析师 陶贻功 ☎：010-80927673 行业点评报告 · 公用事业行业 源装机创新高,用电量结构优化 -- 2025年全年电力数据点评 2026年1月 30 日 公用事亦 推荐 维持评级 网: taoyigong_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130522030001 梁悠南 ☎：010-80927656 网: liangyounan_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：s0130523070002 研究助理:马敏 z: mamin_yj @chinastock.com.cn 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026-1-30 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 资料来源:中国银河证券研究院 相关研究 【银河环保公用】行业点评_风光装机增速分化,用 电量增速放缓 【银河环保公用】行业点评_水电电量降幅扩大，用 电量增速放缓 【银河环保公用】行业点评_风光新增装机下滑，用 电量增速加快 【银河环保公用】行业点评_太阳能单月装机创新高, 火电发电量由降转增 【银河环保公用】行业点评_太阳能装机持续高增长, 水核发电量增速下降 www.chinastock.com.c ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights the introduction of a capacity pricing mechanism reform policy aimed at supporting the construction of a new energy system and promoting green and low-carbon energy transition [5] - It is projected that China's apparent natural gas consumption will reach 426.55 billion cubic meters in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [5] - The report indicates that the electricity sector is expected to see profit improvement and value reassessment following several rounds of supply-demand tensions [5] Market Performance - As of January 30, the utility sector declined by 1.7%, underperforming the broader market, with the electricity sector down by 1.48% and the gas sector down by 3.20% [4][12] - The report notes that the coal price at Qinhuangdao Port (Q5500) increased by 5 RMB/ton week-on-week, reaching 691 RMB/ton [4][20] - The report tracks coal inventory and daily consumption, indicating a decrease in coal inventory at Qinhuangdao Port to 5.75 million tons, down by 50,000 tons week-on-week [29] Electricity Sector Data Tracking - The average price in the Guangdong electricity market for the day-ahead market was 325.42 RMB/MWh, up 2.76% week-on-week [49] - The report provides insights into the water inflow situation at the Three Gorges Reservoir, with an outflow of 9,230 cubic meters per second, up 12.01% year-on-year [42] Natural Gas Sector Data Tracking - Domestic LNG prices increased week-on-week, with the national index at 4,045 RMB/ton, reflecting a 1.33% increase [55] - The report notes that the European TTF spot price rose by 7.0% week-on-week, while the US HH spot price surged by 19.4% [59] Investment Recommendations - For the electricity sector, the report suggests focusing on leading coal power companies such as Guodian Power, Huaneng International, and Huadian International, as well as regional leaders in tight supply areas [5] - In the natural gas sector, companies with low-cost long-term gas sources and receiving station assets are expected to benefit from market conditions [5]

Group 1: Company Announcements - Chipway Technology will release its 2025 annual report on February 3, becoming the first listed company on the Shanghai Stock Exchange to do so [1] - ST Huawang will disclose its annual report on February 13, while Shangwei Co. will do so on February 14 [1] Group 2: Oil Price Adjustments - The next price adjustment window for refined oil products will open at 24:00 on February 3, based on the "ten working days" principle [2] - As of January 30, the average price of reference crude oil was $64.09 per barrel, with a change rate of 4.68%, leading to an expected increase of 190 yuan per ton in domestic gasoline and diesel prices [2] Group 3: Industry Conferences - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association will hold a seminar on February 5 in Beijing to review the development of the photovoltaic industry in 2025 and forecast trends for 2026 [3] - A Brain-Computer Interface Developers Conference will take place in Tianjin from February 3 to 4, organized by the Brain-Computer Interface Industry Alliance and Tianjin University [3] Group 4: Stock Unlocking Events - A total of 42 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked from February 2 to February 6, with a total of 4.657 billion shares and a market value of 103.669 billion yuan based on the closing price on January 30 [5] - February 2 is the peak unlocking day, with 18 companies unlocking shares worth a total of 60.71 billion yuan, accounting for 58.56% of the total unlocking scale for the week [5] - The top three companies by unlocking market value are Xinda Securities (44.879 billion yuan), Zhongwei Semiconductor (13.381 billion yuan), and Changjiang Power (12.151 billion yuan) [5] Group 5: New Stock Opportunities - Two new stocks, Aide Technology and Yisiwei, will be available for subscription on February 2 [9] - Aide Technology has a subscription price of 7.67 yuan, while Yisiwei is priced at 55.95 yuan, with respective P/E ratios of 14.98 and 90.39 [10]

Group 1: Company Announcements - Chip导科技 will release its 2025 annual report on February 3, becoming the first listed company in the Shanghai Stock Exchange to do so [1] - *ST Huawang will disclose its annual report on February 13, while Shangwei Co. will do so on February 14 [1] Group 2: Oil Price Adjustments - The next price adjustment window for refined oil is set for February 3 at 24:00, with a calculated average price of $64.09 per barrel for the reference crude oil, indicating a change rate of 4.68% [2] - This adjustment corresponds to an increase of 190 yuan per ton for domestic gasoline and diesel prices [2] Group 3: Industry Conferences - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association will hold a seminar on February 5 in Beijing to review the development of the photovoltaic industry in 2025 and forecast the situation for 2026 [3] - A Brain-Computer Interface Developer Conference will take place in Tianjin from February 3 to 4, organized by the Brain-Computer Interface Industry Alliance and Tianjin University [3] - The AWE Asia 2026, an exhibition for the Asian Virtual Reality XR industry, will be held in Singapore from February 2 to 4 [3] Group 4: Stock Unlocking Events - A total of 42 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked next week (February 2-6), with a total of 4.657 billion shares and a market value of 103.669 billion yuan based on the closing price on January 30 [4] - February 2 is the peak unlocking day, with 18 companies unlocking shares worth a total of 60.71 billion yuan, accounting for 58.56% of the total unlocking scale for the week [4] - The top three companies by unlocking market value are Xinda Securities (44.879 billion yuan), Zhongwei Semiconductor (13.381 billion yuan), and Changjiang Electric Power (12.151 billion yuan) [4] Group 5: New Stock Opportunities - Two new stocks, Aide Technology and Yisiwei, will be available for subscription on February 2 [7] - Aide Technology has an issue price of 7.67 yuan, while Yisiwei is priced at 55.95 yuan [8]

Group 1: Annual Reports - Chipway Technology will disclose its 2025 annual report on February 3, becoming the first listed company in the Shanghai market to do so [2] - ST Huawang is set to release its annual report on February 13, while Sanwei Co. will follow on February 14 [2] Group 2: Oil Price Adjustment - The next price adjustment window for refined oil is scheduled for February 3 at 24:00, based on the "ten working days" principle [3] - As of January 30, the average price of reference crude oil was $64.09 per barrel, with a change rate of 4.68%, leading to an expected increase of 190 yuan per ton in domestic gasoline and diesel prices [3] Group 3: Industry Conferences - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association will hold a seminar on February 5 in Beijing to review the development of the photovoltaic industry in 2025 and forecast trends for 2026 [4] - A Brain-Computer Interface Developers Conference will take place in Tianjin from February 3 to 4, organized by the Brain-Computer Interface Industry Alliance and Tianjin University [4] - The AWE Asia 2026, an Asian Virtual Reality XR Industry Exhibition, will be held in Singapore from February 2 to 4 [4] Group 4: Stock Unlocking - A total of 42 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked from February 2 to February 6, amounting to 4.657 billion shares and a total market value of 103.669 billion yuan based on the closing price on January 30 [5] - February 2 is the peak unlocking day, with 18 companies unlocking shares worth a total of 60.71 billion yuan, accounting for 58.56% of the total unlocking scale for the week [5] - The top three companies by unlocking market value are Xinda Securities (44.879 billion yuan), Zhongwei Semiconductor (13.381 billion yuan), and Changjiang Electric Power (12.151 billion yuan) [5] Group 5: New Stock Opportunities - Two new stocks, Aide Technology and Yisiwei, will be available for subscription on February 2 [8] - Aide Technology has an issue price of 7.67 yuan, while Yisiwei is priced at 55.95 yuan [9]

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Core Viewpoint - The market is set to experience a significant wave of stock unlocks next week, with a total unlock market value of 1,034.19 billion yuan across 42 stocks [2]. Group 1: Major Unlocks - Three stocks will have unlock values exceeding 10 billion yuan: Xinda Securities (448.79 billion yuan), Zhongwei Semiconductor (133.81 billion yuan), and Yangtze Power (121.51 billion yuan) [5][7][9]. - Xinda Securities has the highest unlock value, with 25.51 billion shares released, accounting for 78.67% of its total share capital. The company reported a revenue of 30.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.46%, and a net profit of 13.54 billion yuan, up 52.89% [5][6]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor's unlock value is 133.81 billion yuan, with 2.31 billion shares released, representing 57.77% of its total share capital. The company has seen a stock price increase of 79.94% year-to-date [7][8]. - Yangtze Power's unlock involves 4.61 billion shares, accounting for 1.88% of its total share capital, with a reported revenue of 858.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.65% [9]. Group 2: Other Notable Unlocks - Other stocks with significant unlock values include Yipuli (76.18 billion yuan), Guobang Pharmaceutical (70.60 billion yuan), and Xinghuan Technology-U (57.03 billion yuan) [10]. - Xinghuan Technology-U has seen a year-to-date stock price increase of over 94%, with an unlock of 27.16 million shares, representing 22.42% of its total share capital [11][16]. - Guobang Pharmaceutical's unlock ratio is 46.01%, primarily involving additional commitment restricted shares [14]. Group 3: Unlock Ratios - Eleven stocks have an unlock quantity that exceeds 10% of their total share capital, with Xinda Securities, Guobang Pharmaceutical, and Nuo Si Ge leading with unlock ratios of 78.67%, 46.01%, and 40.66% respectively [12]. - Honghai Technology has an unlock ratio close to 80%, with 1.368 billion shares released [13].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - Next week (February 2 to 6), a total of 42 stocks will be unlocked, with a total unlock market value of 103.42 billion yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Unlock Market Value and Stock Information - The total number of shares to be unlocked is 4.611 billion shares, with a total unlock market value calculated at 103.42 billion yuan based on the latest closing prices [2]. - Among the 42 stocks, 17 have an unlock market value exceeding 100 million yuan, with three stocks exceeding 10 billion yuan: Xinda Securities, Zhongwei Semiconductor, and Yangtze Power [3]. Group 2: Major Stocks with High Unlock Values - Xinda Securities has the highest unlock market value at 44.879 billion yuan, with 2.551 billion shares unlocked, accounting for 78.67% of its total share capital [3]. - Zhongwei Semiconductor will unlock 231 million shares, representing 57.77% of its total share capital, with an unlock market value of 13.381 billion yuan. The stock has seen a significant increase of over 67% since January 20, following a price increase announcement for its products [3]. - Yangtze Power will unlock 461 million shares, accounting for 1.88% of its total share capital, with an unlock market value of 12.151 billion yuan [3]. Group 3: Other Notable Stocks - Yipuli, Guobang Pharmaceutical, and Xinghuan Technology-U have high unlock market values of 7.618 billion yuan, 7.060 billion yuan, and 5.703 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Eleven stocks have an unlock quantity that exceeds 10% of their total share capital, with several stocks like Honghai Technology, Xinda Securities, and Zhongwei Semiconductor exceeding 40% [4]. - Honghai Technology has an unlock quantity that is nearly 80% of its total share capital, with an expected decline in net profit for 2025 [4]. Group 4: Performance of Stocks - Stocks that have seen significant price increases this year include Aotewi, Zhaojin Gold, Xinghuan Technology-U, Zhongwei Semiconductor, and Xinyuan Technology, all with increases exceeding 40% [4]. - Aotewi and Zhaojin Gold have both seen price increases around 100%, although their unlock quantities are relatively low [4]. - Xinghuan Technology-U has a year-to-date increase of over 94%, with an expected net loss for 2025 [5].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced overall pressure this week, with most major indices showing a pullback, particularly in small-cap and growth styles, while large-cap blue chips demonstrated relative resilience [2][3] - Market sentiment is cautious, with funds shifting towards low-volatility and defensive sectors [2] Index Performance - The majority of A-share indices showed a pattern of "mostly down, few up," with significant pressure on small-cap and growth indices, while large-cap blue chips provided some support against downward pressure [3][7] - Weekly index performance indicated a clear divergence, with defensive sectors and energy stocks leading gains, while previously high-performing growth and manufacturing sectors faced notable corrections [9][10] Sector Rotation - The energy sector emerged as a strong performer, with significant contributions from gold and energy-related stocks, while essential consumer sectors also showed relative stability, reflecting a defensive allocation of funds [9][10] - Conversely, sectors associated with growth and manufacturing saw substantial declines, indicating a clear rotation in industry performance [17][18] Trading Activity - A-share trading volume increased significantly, reaching 8,944.21 billion shares and a transaction value of 15.31 trillion yuan, marking a week-on-week growth of 12.56% and 9.44% respectively [23][25] - Despite the increase in volume, the trading structure showed a "high at the beginning, low later" trend, indicating weak enthusiasm for chasing prices [23] Fund Flow - Main funds continued to show a net outflow, totaling approximately 2,644.24 billion yuan, reflecting an overall cautious market sentiment [30] - Financial sectors attracted net inflows, while cyclical and growth sectors like materials and information technology faced reductions [31][36] Market Sentiment - The overall "profit-making effect" in the market weakened, with fluctuations in the number of stocks hitting the daily limit, indicating a cautious but optimistic sentiment with increasing divergence [40][44] - The average margin balance remained stable at 27.3 trillion yuan, suggesting a cautious approach among investors [44] Upcoming Focus - Upcoming IPOs and stock unlocks are expected to influence market sentiment, particularly in sectors like semiconductor equipment and magnetic materials [48][49]