Core Insights - The real estate industry is entering a new phase of stable development, leading to a shift in public investment needs from mere preservation to diversified value growth [1] - The asset allocation structure of the public is significantly changing, with funds moving from traditional savings and real estate to standardized equity and fixed-income fund products [1] - The number of funds in China is projected to reach 151,286 by October 2025, with a total fund size of 59,011.23 billion yuan [1] Overview - Funds, or securities investment funds, pool capital from multiple investors to create an independent asset managed by professional fund managers, allowing for diversified investment and risk sharing [2] - The benefits of funds include lower investment thresholds for ordinary investors and professional management, although they still carry inherent risks [2] Development History - The development of China's fund industry can be divided into five key phases: pilot exploration, standardized initiation, rapid expansion, transformation and adjustment, and high-quality development [6] - Recent trends show a dual drive from the transformation of resident wealth allocation and the opening of capital markets, leading to a new stage of professional, diversified, and internationalized high-quality development [6] Market Policies - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of the fund industry for the capital market and the real economy, implementing various policies to support and regulate its development [8] Current Development - The demand for investment is evolving, with a notable shift towards standardized equity and fixed-income funds, indicating a broad development space for funds as a professional asset management vehicle [10] - By October 2025, the fund market is expected to have 151,286 funds, with a total size of 59,011.23 billion yuan, indicating a well-formed multi-layered fund product system [10] Competitive Landscape - The fund market is characterized by a "head concentration, tiered stratification, multi-faceted competition, and deepening Matthew effect," with leading firms like E Fund, Huaxia Fund, and others continuing to expand their market share [11] - Smaller fund companies face challenges due to limited brand influence and resources, leading to a pronounced divide between strong and weak players in the industry [11] Development Trends - The industry is shifting from scale expansion to high-quality development, focusing on investor satisfaction and long-term value creation [13] - The Matthew effect will further highlight the competitive landscape, with leading firms leveraging their advantages to expand, while smaller firms must differentiate themselves in niche markets [14] - Fund products are expected to evolve towards more precise, functional, and diversified offerings to meet varied investor needs [15] - Financial technology will play a crucial role in transforming the operational and research systems of the industry, enhancing efficiency and service quality [16]

1月28日，由中国银行四川省分行、兴业证券联合主办的2026全球资产配置白皮书发布会暨"新春投资策略会"在成都举办。发布会上，来自银行、证券等领 域500余位嘉宾各抒己见，帮助投资者构建个性化管理财富体系，同时增强他们的金融风险意识。 "在关税冲击与货币宽松双重作用下，全球资产再配置机遇显现。"中国银行总行个人金融部私人银行中心高级经理、《白皮书》主笔人文晓波认为，A股慢 牛格局基本形成，政策红利持续释放，港股国际化提速，价值重估行情延续。同时，美元中枢下移，人民币双向波动。建议把握宽松窗口期，逢低布局优质 资产，利用波动优化配置结构。 兴业证券首席经济学家王涵对2026年宏观经济格局进行了解构。他认为，当前全球经济正处于新旧动能转换的关键期，地缘格局重塑催生新投资范式。在此 背景下，中国经济韧性优势凸显，在节奏上呈现市场力量与宏观调控的博弈。中长期看，市场热点将显著铺开，为投资者前瞻布局坚定信心。（曾俊鹏） 编辑：穆皓 图为全球资产配置白皮书发布会暨"新春投资策略会"现场（中国银行供图） 中国银行四川省分行副行长郑斌表示，中国银行是全市场首个从买方视角发布个人金融资产配置策略的中资商业银行。该行将以"商行+ ...

（记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，天禄科技发布公告称，2026年1月28日，天禄科技接受兴业证券等投资者调研，公司投资 者关系总监李艳茹女士参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——从极寒测试到万套装车！半固态电池今年有望搭载多款新车：各大厂商摩 拳擦掌，动力电池技术迎来迭代年 ...

（记者 王瀚黎） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——从极寒测试到万套装车！半固态电池今年有望搭载多款新车：各大厂商摩 拳擦掌，动力电池技术迎来迭代年 每经AI快讯，沪电股份发布公告称，2026年1月28日10:40-11:40，沪电股份接受兴业证券调研，公司李 明贵、钱元君参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 ...

Group 1: Fundraising and Project Adjustments - The company announced a change in fundraising strategy, terminating the "Expansion of Large-Sized Light Guide Plate Project" to enhance the efficiency of fund usage [1] - Remaining funds will be redirected to the TAC film project at Anhui Jiguang and the reflective polarizing film project at Suzhou Yijia [1] - The company aims to extend its business from light guide plates to adjacent fields, establishing a second growth curve through these optical films [1] Group 2: Market Analysis and Competitive Landscape - The demand for TAC film is projected to reach 1.229 billion square meters by 2025, with over 70% of panel production capacity located in mainland China [2] - TAC film constitutes over 50% of the cost of polarizing film materials, significantly impacting the profitability of polarizing film manufacturers [2] - Currently, the TFT-grade TAC film used in mainland China is heavily reliant on imports, with Japanese suppliers holding approximately 75% of the global market share [2] Group 3: Project Progress and Development - Anhui Jiguang obtained the construction permit for its factory in June 2025, with steady progress in construction [2] - Major equipment for the TAC film project is expected to be delivered and tested in the first half of this year [2] - Initial test results of trial films sent to downstream polarizing film and panel manufacturers show no significant discrepancies from internal testing results [2]

黄金股上涨，白银有色（维权）7连板，四川黄金、中国黄金4连板，招金黄金、湖南黄金3连板，晓程科技、招金黄 金、四川黄金、湖南黄金、西部黄金、豫光金铅、铜陵有色、赤峰黄金、中金黄金、山东黄金、恒邦股份、盛达资 源、莱百股份创历史新高。 消息面上，受美国政策不确定性上升及日元强势反弹影响，隔夜美元指数暴跌，一度跌至95.51，创2022年2月以来新 低。美元下跌进一步刺激金价走强。纽约期金突破5300美元/盎司，日内涨3.53%；现货黄金向上触及5270美元/盎司， 日内涨近2%。 国金证券认为，对于黄金而言，从全球储备资产来看，虽然黄金现在超过了美债，但是相比于以美元计价的资产占比 还有较大提升空间：官方储备中，美元超过黄金只是一个阶段性历史事件，开始于1990年美国绝对领导地位强化时 期；当下，黄金储备上升并非是美元信用崩溃，而是全球认为美元的风险需要对冲。同样的，更广义的实物资产同样 具备上述意义。值得关注的是：以各自商品计价的商品股来看，黄金股仍然存在明显的低估，随着业绩兑现的逐步回 归，黄金股表现的收敛值得期待。 对于黄金，兴业证券认为，若将黄金的逻辑单一聚焦于美国，眼下或有波动的"噪音"和畏高的情绪； ...

zhangyang-yjs@ccnew.com 021-50586627 券商板块 2025 年 12 月回顾及 2026 年 1 月前瞻 ——券商板块月报 证券Ⅱ 分析师：张洋 登记编码：S0730516040002 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 证券Ⅱ相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：聚源、中原证券研究所 -10% -5% 0% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.09 2026.01 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 相关报告 第1页 / 共13页 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 28 日 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 2025 年 11 月 回顾及 12 月前瞻》 2025-12-26 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 2025 年 10 月 回顾及 11 月前瞻》 2025-11-25 《证券Ⅱ行业年度策略：投融资协调发展，行 业景气度延续》 2025-11-24 联系人：李智 风险提示：1.权益及固收市场环境转弱导致上市券商业绩出现下滑；2. 股价短期波动风险；3.资本市 ...

证券Ⅱ 分析师：张洋 登记编码：S0730516040002 zhangyang-yjs@ccnew.com 021-50586627 券商板块 2025 年 12 月回顾及 2026 年 1 月前瞻 ——券商板块月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 同步大市(维持) 证券Ⅱ相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：聚源、中原证券研究所 -10% -5% 0% 6% 11% 16% 21% 26% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.09 2026.01 证券Ⅱ 沪深300 相关报告 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 2025 年 11 月 回顾及 12 月前瞻》 2025-12-26 《证券Ⅱ行业月报：券商板块 2025 年 10 月 回顾及 11 月前瞻》 2025-11-25 《证券Ⅱ行业年度策略：投融资协调发展，行 业景气度延续》 2025-11-24 联系人：李智 风险提示：1.权益及固收市场环境转弱导致上市券商业绩出现下滑；2. 股价短期波动风险；3.资本市场改革的政策效果不及预期 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共13页 发布日期：2026 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the U.S. labor market has transitioned from a post-pandemic state of supply-demand imbalance to a more balanced state, with current employment performance showing signs of weakness [1][15][18] - The unemployment rate increased from 4.1% in mid-2025 to 4.4% by the end of 2025, primarily due to an increase in labor supply rather than layoffs [1][18] - Labor force participation rates have rebounded, particularly among youth and immigrants, but the sustainability of this influx is questionable [1][22][27] Group 2 - On the supply side, the increase in unemployment is attributed to a rise in labor supply, with the labor force participation rate stabilizing in the first half of 2025 and then increasing in the second half [18][22] - The demand side faces cooling pressures, with companies absorbing tariff costs and compressing labor costs, leading to a preference for lower-paid workers and increased part-time positions [2][43] - Government funding constraints are limiting personnel expansion, and job mobility among job seekers has decreased, indicating a decline in confidence [2][43][44] Group 3 - The report suggests that if employment continues to weaken and inflation remains manageable, the Federal Reserve may increase the weight of employment risk in its monetary policy decisions, potentially reopening avenues for easing [2][43] - The current market anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement less than two rate cuts in 2026 [2][43][31] - The labor market's response to economic conditions is critical, with the potential for a loosening of monetary policy if employment data shows further deterioration [2][43][31]

Core Viewpoint - The recent public fund reports for Q4 2025 reveal a shift in market consensus, highlighting the contrasting trends between active and passive funds, with active fund sizes declining while passive funds see significant growth [1] Group 1: Fund Size and Redemption Trends - Active fund size decreased by 173.9 billion to 3.97 trillion, while passive fund size increased by 142.6 billion to 5.48 trillion, indicating a continued lead of passive funds over active funds [1] - Despite the decline in active fund size, the net redemption of actively managed equity funds has narrowed, suggesting that many funds have reached a "break-even" point, leading to a historical high in net outflows since 2016 [1] - The scale of funds that have not yet "broken even" is relatively limited, making it unlikely to see a repeat of the concentrated redemption wave in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Overall Positioning and Stock Allocation - The overall stock position of public active equity funds decreased to 86.47%, down 0.77 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a trend of active reduction by fund managers [2] - The stock position in Hong Kong stocks saw a more pronounced decline, with the total scale of active fund holdings in Hong Kong stocks dropping from 19.26% to 16.23%, a decrease of 3.03% [2] Group 3: Sector Trends and Fund Characteristics - Resource sector holdings reached a historical high, increasing by 3.34% to 13.36%, marking the most significant growth among sectors [4] - The issuance of bond funds with embedded rights surged, reaching the highest quarterly issuance since 2020, with mixed bond secondary fund scales growing by 260.3 billion, indicating a shift towards lower-risk investments [4] - A notable "high-low switch" in active fund allocations was observed, reflecting a negative correlation between valuation percentiles and overweight ratios, indicating a strategic shift in fund management [4] - The number of stocks held by fund managers increased to 2,467, up from 2,379, suggesting a rise in the diversity of holdings among fund managers [4][5]