Core Viewpoint - Guosheng Securities has initiated coverage on First Pacific with a "Buy" rating, forecasting steady growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, which is expected to reach $649 million, $708 million, and $767 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.2%, 8.9%, and 8.4% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 is projected at $10,511 million, with a decline to $10,057 million in 2024, followed by a recovery to $10,585 million in 2025, and further growth to $11,220 million in 2026 and $11,958 million in 2027 [2] - Net profit for 2023 is estimated at $501 million, increasing to $600 million in 2024, and continuing to grow to $649 million in 2025, $708 million in 2026, and $767 million in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.0%, 19.8%, 8.2%, 8.9%, and 8.4% respectively [2] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to rise from $0.12 in 2023 to $0.18 in 2027, while the return on equity is expected to remain stable around 13.6% to 15.3% over the forecast period [2] Business Segments and Growth Drivers - First Pacific has established a diversified business portfolio in consumer food, telecommunications, infrastructure, and natural resources, focusing on key markets like Indonesia and the Philippines [3] - The consumer food segment, particularly through Indofood, is a significant profit driver, contributing $333 million in profit in 2024, which is 42.92% of total profit [6] - The infrastructure segment, led by MPIC, is emerging as a new growth engine, contributing $199 million in profit in 2024, with a 24.78% year-on-year increase [6] - The telecommunications segment, through PLDT, continues to provide stable revenue, while the natural resources segment is positioned to benefit from the strong cycle of non-ferrous metals [7] Strategic Positioning and Market Opportunities - First Pacific's deep engagement in emerging markets like Southeast Asia allows it to capitalize on demographic dividends and consumption upgrades [9] - The company is enhancing its infrastructure capabilities, with MPIC's privatization increasing control over the segment, and expanding its toll road network in Indonesia [10] - The natural resources segment is set to benefit from the strong pricing of gold and copper, with the Silangan project expected to start production in Q1 2026 [10] Valuation and Investment Outlook - According to Guosheng Securities, First Pacific's P/E ratio is projected to be around 5.1 times in 2025, significantly lower than the average P/E ratio of comparable companies at 15.7 times, indicating substantial valuation upside [10][11] - The company's robust profitability and clear growth trajectory are seen as rare strengths in the current market environment, justifying the "Buy" rating [12]

Group 1 - The A500 index (000510) increased by 0.08% as of January 27, 2026, with notable gains from stocks such as Hunan Gold (+10.01%), Tianfu Communication (+8.54%), and Zijin Mining (+6.68%) [1] - The A500 ETF fund (512050) saw a 0.16% rise, with the latest price at 1.25 yuan, and a trading volume of 83.66 billion yuan, indicating active market participation [1] - Over the past year, the A500 ETF fund (512050) recorded an average daily trading volume of 52.56 billion yuan, with a recent weekly scale increase of 4.47 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - According to Everbright Securities, the spring market rally has distinct timing characteristics, with January being a preparation phase and February expected to provide a better window for significant market movements, particularly influenced by the Spring Festival effect [2] - Historical data from 2013 to 2025 shows that major indices tend to perform stronger as the Spring Festival approaches, especially in the week before the holiday, with positive average changes recorded [2] - The A500 index comprises 500 securities selected from various industries based on market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of representative listed companies [2] Group 3 - The A500 ETF fund (512050) has several related funds, including the 华夏中证A500ETF联接 A (022430), C (022431), and Y (022979), as well as the 华夏中证A500指数增强 A (023619) and C (023620) [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a decline in the National Green Power Index by 1.44%, with major stocks like Tianfu Energy and others experiencing significant drops amid rising electricity demand due to winter conditions [1] - The national peak electricity load has surpassed 1.417 billion kilowatts for the first time in winter, with a rapid increase of 150 million kilowatts within three days, driven by cold weather [1] - A joint guideline for "Zero Carbon Factory Construction" has been issued, aiming to select benchmark zero-carbon factories starting in 2026, particularly in key industries such as photovoltaics and lithium batteries, to support green electricity consumption and demand growth [1] Group 2 - In 2025, the national electricity market transaction volume reached 66,394 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, with green electricity transaction volume at 3,285 billion kilowatt-hours, up 38.3%, indicating a maturing market mechanism [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index as of December 31, 2025, include major companies like China Nuclear Power and Yangtze Power, collectively accounting for 54.68% of the index [2] - The Green Power ETF (159625) closely tracks the National Green Power Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the overall performance of green power-related listed companies [2]

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to show a fluctuating and differentiated pattern, with total trading volume reaching 3.28 trillion yuan, marking the second consecutive trading day above 3 trillion yuan [1] - The precious metals sector has seen a surge due to multiple favorable factors, with international gold prices hitting a historical high, as both New York and London gold prices surpassed $5,100 per ounce [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also reached historical highs, approaching 1,580 yuan per gram [1] Group 2 - Silver is experiencing accelerated growth due to its unique physical properties, becoming an essential raw material in solar photovoltaic, automotive and electric vehicles, data centers, and artificial intelligence sectors [1] - There has been a notable occurrence of large sell orders in core heavyweight stocks during the closing auction phase, with Zijin Mining seeing sell orders exceeding 4 billion yuan, and other companies like China Ping An and Jiangxi Copper also experiencing significant sell pressures [1] - This pattern of large sell orders in heavyweight stocks has been observed previously, indicating a trend in the financial, resource, and consumer sectors during periods of high market activity [2] Group 3 - Multiple brokerage reports suggest that despite a slowing market rhythm, the upward momentum in the A-share market is expected to continue, particularly as the annual performance forecasts of listed companies begin to be disclosed [2] - The focus on performance metrics is anticipated to become more pronounced with the simultaneous disclosure of financial results from North American tech giants [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund (530280) has shown a positive performance with a recent increase of 0.96%, reflecting a stable market trend and investor interest in the underlying assets [1]. Performance Summary - As of January 26, 2026, the Shanghai 180 Index (000010) increased by 0.22%, with notable gains from stocks such as Zijin Mining (up 10.00%) and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (up 6.66%) [1]. - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund has experienced a cumulative increase of 0.24% over the past week [1]. - The fund's year-to-date maximum drawdown is 1.30%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.06% [3]. Liquidity and Trading Activity - The trading volume for the Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund was 6.07 thousand yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.1% [1]. - The average daily trading volume over the past year was 177.38 thousand yuan [1]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund has a Sharpe ratio of 2.12 since its inception, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [2]. - The tracking error over the past three months is 0.022%, demonstrating the fund's close alignment with the Shanghai 180 Index [5]. Fee Structure - The management fee for the Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund is 0.15%, while the custody fee is 0.05% [4]. Top Holdings - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai 180 Index account for 25.29% of the index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and Ping An Insurance [5]. - The top ten stocks and their respective weightings are as follows: - Kweichow Moutai: 4.22% - Zijin Mining: 4.03% - Ping An Insurance: 2.87% - Hengrui Medicine: 2.46% - WuXi AppTec: 2.08% - China Merchants Bank: 2.04% - Cambricon Technologies: 1.97% - Yangtze Power: 1.88% - SMIC: 1.80% - Industrial Fulian: 1.79% [5].

来源：光大证券微资讯 热点聚焦 1、隔夜，金、银在刷新历史高点后大幅回调。1月27日7:01，现货白银盘初涨1%，报104.7美元/盎司 （此前日内涨幅一度高达14%，最高触及117美元/盎司）。现货黄金涨0.3%，报5025美元/盎司（此前曾 上涨2.5%，最高报约5110美元/盎司）。 2、白宫宣布，因韩国国会迟迟未批准美韩贸易协议，他已决定将对韩国汽车、木材、制药产品以及其 他"对等关税"项目的税率从15%上调至25%。 3、隔夜，美股三大指数小幅收涨。纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.62%。此前，美国稀土公司宣布，获 得美国政府16亿美元的资金支持，用于加速建设国内重稀土价值链。美股盘前，美国稀土公司股价一度 暴涨62%，随后涨幅收窄。英伟达与CoreWeave公司宣布扩大长期的互补合作关系，使CoreWeave能加 速到2030年建设超过5吉瓦的AI工厂，CoreWeave盘前股价一度拉涨9%。 4、哈萨克斯坦供应恢复抵消了美国暴风雪的影响，国际油价小幅下跌。而持续的严寒天气导致美国天 然气价格周一大幅上涨，主力期货合约一度突破7美元/百万英热，创下自2022年以来新高，最高涨幅达 39%，随后回落至约 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview Steel Industry - Iron ore supply is expected to become more relaxed, with Australian shipments projected to reach a historical high of 960 million tons in 2026, an increase of 24 million tons year-on-year. Brazilian shipments are also expected to rise by approximately 10 million tons. This supply increase supports the cost reduction logic for steel companies, leading to further profit recovery in the steel industry [2][1]. Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector shows significant signs of valuation recovery, with silver leading the charge. Industrial metals are in the early stages of recovery, while basic and energy metals are at the initial stage of bottom reversal. Short-term recommendations include increasing allocations to copper and aluminum [3][4]. Glass Fiber Sector - The glass fiber sector is experiencing price increases for electronic fabrics due to improved supply-demand dynamics. The unit profit forecast for China Jushi's electronic fabric is expected to rise from 0.7 yuan in 2025 to 1.3 yuan in 2026, potentially reaching 1.5 yuan. This could lead to an annual performance of 4.5 to 5 billion yuan for China Jushi [5][1]. Oil Shipping Sector - The oil shipping sector has seen a significant year-on-year increase in LCC freight rates, now exceeding $110,000, a rise of 87%. This is driven by increased production from South American deep-sea oil fields, OPEC's production policies, and a rebound in China's crude oil imports. The sector is entering a strong prosperity phase [8][1]. Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is witnessing a significant repair in the supply-demand balance. In 2026 and 2027, attention should be paid to sub-industries with high operating rates and limited new capacity, such as chlor-alkali, organic silicon, and PTA polyester filament. Major polyester filament manufacturers have initiated production cuts to alleviate inventory pressure [10][1]. Additional Insights Soda Ash Market - The soda ash market currently faces low price expectations due to overproduction, but demand is better than anticipated. The price has dropped below 1,100 yuan, indicating an oversold condition. Companies like Boyan Chemical are recommended due to their cost advantages and strong growth potential [11][1]. Dual Carbon Policy Impact - The dual carbon policy significantly impacts the chemical industry, with local governments tightening energy consumption limits for new projects. This affects high-energy-consuming sectors like chlor-alkali and organic silicon. Companies benefiting from this policy include Jiahua Energy and Junzheng Group [12][1]. Coal Industry - The coal sector is viewed positively under the backdrop of resource inflation, with a high probability of a bottom reversal by the end of 2026. Key recommendations include Yanzhou Coal and China Coal Energy [19][1]. Price Trends in Coal - As of last week, thermal coal prices have stabilized around 695 yuan, while coking coal prices have increased by 150 yuan to 1,770 yuan. The prices are expected to remain stable due to winter stocking demands [20][1]. Import Trends - In 2025, China’s coal imports fell to 490 million tons, a nearly 10% decrease. The outlook for 2026 suggests continued challenges in increasing imports due to rising domestic costs and supply vulnerabilities from major exporting countries like Indonesia and Australia [21][22][23]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections from the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future expectations across various industries.

Group 1 - Zijin Mining announced a plan to acquire Allied Gold Corporation at a price of CAD 44 per share, totaling approximately CAD 5.5 billion (around RMB 28 billion) [1] - Allied Gold Corporation, headquartered in Canada, has core assets including the Sadiola gold mine in Mali and the Côte d'Ivoire gold complex, with a projected gold production increase to 25 tons by 2029 [3] - The acquisition price represents a premium of approximately 5.39% over the closing price on January 23, 2026, and an 18.95% premium over the weighted average price of the previous 20 trading days [3] Group 2 - On the announcement day, Zijin Mining's stock price reached a historical high, with the total market capitalization exceeding RMB 1 trillion [4] - The market is experiencing a cooling effect, with significant sell orders observed in multiple heavyweight stocks, including Zijin Mining, indicating a shift from a bullish to a more volatile market environment [6]

Report Title - "Counting the Public Offering Pure Bond and Hybrid Asset Strategy Funds' 2025 Q4 Reports - The Scale of 'Fixed Income +' Reaches a New High, and the Exposure to Equity Slightly Declines" [1] Report Date - January 26, 2026 [2] Market Overview General Fixed - Income Fund Scale in 2025 Q4 - Among the top 20 fund companies in terms of general fixed - income fund scale, the scale of some companies increased while others decreased. For example, the scale of China Merchants Fund increased by 9.88% to 3512.27 billion yuan, while the scale of E Fund decreased by 4.71% to 3627.05 billion yuan [8]. Hybrid Asset Strategy Fund Scale in 2025 Q4 - In the hybrid asset strategy fund scale ranking, the scale changes also varied. For instance, the scale of Invesco Great Wall Fund increased by 32.11% to 2263.68 billion yuan, while the scale of Fullgoal Fund decreased by 5.85% to 1281.73 billion yuan [8]. Performance Return - Different types of funds had different average returns in 2025 Q4, year - to - date, and in the past 1 - year, 3 - year, and 5 - year annualized periods. For example, the average return of convertible bond funds in 2025 Q4 was 0.84%, and the year - to - date return was 23.10% [15]. Maximum Drawdown - The average maximum drawdowns of various fund types also differed. For example, the average maximum drawdown of convertible bond funds in 2025 Q4 was - 5.26%, and the year - to - date maximum drawdown was - 8.90% [15]. Annualized Sharpe Ratio - The annualized Sharpe ratios of different fund types were distinct. For example, the annualized Sharpe ratio of short - term pure bond funds in 2025 Q4 was 4.28 [15]. Asset Allocation Leverage Ratio - In 2025 Q4, different types of funds had different leverage ratios and their changes compared to Q3. For example, the leverage ratio of short - term pure bond funds was 111.89% in Q4, an increase of 0.40% compared to Q3 [40]. Holding Characteristics Stock Holdings - From 2025 Q1 to Q4, the industry and stock holding ratios of funds changed. For example, the proportion of non - ferrous metals in the stock market value increased from 11.27% in Q1 to 14.65% in Q4 [54][57]. Bond Holdings - The industry and bond holding ratios of funds also changed over the four quarters of 2025. For example, the proportion of bank bonds in the bond market value decreased from 20.75% in Q1 to 14.45% in Q4 [67][68]. Fund Managers' Views Pure Bond Market Views - Different fund managers had different views on the pure bond market in 2026 Q1. For example, Huang Yingjie of Bank of Communications Yulong Pure Bond A believed that the bond market might be in a range - bound market with a steeper curve [74]. Bond and Stock Market Views - Some fund managers had comprehensive views on the bond and stock markets. For example, Deng Xinyu and Zhao Yucheng of China Europe Dingli A were optimistic about the stock market's structural opportunities and adjusted their convertible bond positions [75]. Convertible Bond and Stock Market Views - Fund managers also had different views on the convertible bond and stock markets. For example, Huang Bo of Everbright Tianyi A planned to select high - cost - effective convertible bonds for the fund's fixed - income part [79].

Group 1 - The company, Zhongke Soft, provides professional software development and technical services in the power sector for major state-owned enterprises such as Southern Power Grid, Yangtze Power, Huadian International, China General Nuclear Power, and Datang Group [2] - Services offered include office management, system management, risk management, data analysis, resource scheduling and management, industrial internet, and intelligent manufacturing [2]