证券时报记者 杨霞 近日，"第十九届上市公司价值论坛暨2025新质生产力巡礼宜宾行"在四川宜宾举行，"第十九届上市公司价值评 选"获奖公司也同步揭晓。 由证券时报主办的上市公司价值评选活动是资本市场一年一度的盛事，迄今已成功举办至第十九届。在资本市场 深化改革与高质量发展的时代浪潮中，上市公司作为经济"基本盘"的价值愈发凸显。本文以主板百强公司为样 本，分析这些公司的行业特征和基本面质量，挖掘19年来A股价值龙头的变动趋势和个股穿越牛熊的核心逻辑。 百强企业构筑价值高地 本次入选主板百强的企业堪称中国资本市场的中流砥柱，这些行业领军者以卓越的综合实力构筑起A股市场的价值 高地。 数据显示，百强企业总市值达19.13万亿元，占全部A股总市值的18.15%，聚集了各个行业的龙头企业。其中，石 化行业的中国石油、保险业的中国平安、通信领域的中国移动与中国电信，以及新能源汽车领军者比亚迪等企业 市值排名居前。 从市值结构看，百强企业呈现显著的头部聚集效应：超半数企业市值超千亿元，贵州茅台与中国石油以万亿市值 稳居市场前列，中国人寿、比亚迪、长江电力等9家企业市值逾5000亿元，构成稳定的中坚力量。 投资者回报是检验上 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The consumer electronics ETF (159732.SZ) managed by China Asset Management tracks the Guozheng Consumer Electronics Theme Index (980030). From September 11, 2025, to December 12, 2025, the best convergent stock of the consumer electronics ETF was Huaqin Technology (603296.SH). The choice of the convergent stock considered the trend deviation of the constituent stocks from the consumer electronics index and research coverage [3][10]. - Regarding the valuation of Huaqin Technology's stock price stabilization position in September 2024, it should be based on the 2023 fundamental data (EPS), and the calculated bottom - end valuation is close to 17 times PE. Since the stock price rebound in September 2024, most of the stock price fluctuations have been within the value range defined by the fundamental value of T - 1 year and the expected fundamental value of T+2 years. Based on the data of December 12, 2025, the expected per - share fundamental values of Huaqin Technology from 2025 to 2027 are 67.97, 84.68, and 102.63 yuan respectively, and the closing price of 95.5 yuan per share is still lower than the per - share fundamental value in 2027 [3][10]. - According to the position of Huaqin Technology's closing price in the expected per - share fundamental value range from 2025 to 2027, the closing position on December 12, 2025, was 51.2%. From October 9, 2025, to December 12, 2025, the Sharpe ratio and return - drawdown ratio of the consumer electronics ETF based on the dynamic position allocation of Huaqin Technology were better than those of the buy - and - hold strategy. The allocation strategy achieved a 4.5% terminal return with a maximum drawdown of 4.5%, while the buy - and - hold strategy of the consumer electronics ETF achieved a - 7.02% terminal return with a maximum drawdown of 18.03% [4][11] Summary by Directory 1 Consumer Electronics ETF Configuration Value Analysis - The consumer electronics ETF (159732.SZ) is managed by China Asset Management and tracks the Guozheng Consumer Electronics Theme Index (980030). The best convergent stock from September 11, 2025, to December 12, 2025, was Huaqin Technology (603296.SH) [3][10]. - The bottom - end valuation of Huaqin Technology in September 2024 is close to 17 times PE, and the stock price fluctuations since then are mostly within the defined value range. The expected per - share fundamental values from 2025 to 2027 are 67.97, 84.68, and 102.63 yuan respectively, with a closing price lower than the 2027 value [3][10]. - The closing position on December 12, 2025, was 51.2%. The dynamic position allocation strategy based on Huaqin Technology outperformed the buy - and - hold strategy in terms of Sharpe ratio, return - drawdown ratio, terminal return, and maximum drawdown [4][11]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The mid - term upward trend of stock index remains unchanged, but the growth rate may slow down. The core driving force for the mid - term rise of the stock index is the confirmation of the performance bottom and the profit repair. The significant entry of incremental funds and favorable policies also contribute to the market's upward movement. With the introduction of year - end favorable policies and the stimulation of the 14th Five - Year Plan, the stock index may enter a cross - year layout market from December to January, and the spring market is worth looking forward to. It is recommended to focus on the CSI 500, SSE 50, CSI 300, and CSI 1000 indices and buy call options [14]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Annual Viewpoint and Strategy - **Market Review**: In 2025, the market first fluctuated and adjusted, then rose significantly and exceeded the previous year's high, showing an overall upward trend. All four major indices rose, with small and medium - cap stock indices leading the gains. In terms of style indices, growth and cyclical indices had the largest increases, with the former rising over 35%. The stable - style index hardly rose, and the financial and consumer - style indices had relatively low increases. In the Shenwan industry, most industries rose, but some declined. TMT and cyclical sectors such as communication, non - ferrous metals, electronics, and comprehensive led the gains, with the first two having annual increases of over or close to 80%. Industries with lower increases included real estate, commercial trade, public utilities, building decoration, and banking. Declining industries were food and beverage, coal, and transportation [9]. - **Economic Situation**: In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of sub - items, both supply and demand in the manufacturing PMI rebounded slightly in November, with new export orders rebounding by 1.7%, which was related to the easing of Sino - US tariffs. Factory prices and raw material purchase prices rebounded after two months of decline [9]. - **Policy Situation**: The Political Bureau set the tone for the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize and boost the capital market. The State Council issued the new Nine - Article Guidelines to strengthen investor returns. The central bank created two new monetary policy tools. The implementation plan for promoting the entry of medium - and long - term funds into the market was officially released, which is expected to add 800 billion yuan of long - term funds to the A - share market annually [9]. - **Performance Situation**: A - share performance showed signs of stabilization in the first quarter. After the implementation of reciprocal relations with the US in April, which increased by 30%, performance declined in the second quarter and showed fluctuations. Performance continued to stabilize and rebound in the third quarter, and the performance of the four major indices rebounded again in Q3 2025 [9]. 2. Index and Industry Trend Review - The market in 2025 first fluctuated and adjusted, then rose significantly and exceeded the previous year's high, showing an overall upward trend. All four major indices rose, with small and medium - cap stock indices leading the gains. In terms of style indices, growth and cyclical indices had the largest increases, with the former rising over 35%. The stable - style index hardly rose, and the financial and consumer - style indices had relatively low increases. In the Shenwan industry, most industries rose, but some declined. TMT and cyclical sectors such as communication, non - ferrous metals, electronics, and comprehensive led the gains, with the first two having annual increases of over or close to 80%. Industries with lower increases included real estate, commercial trade, public utilities, building decoration, and banking. Declining industries were food and beverage, coal, and transportation [20][26]. 3. Main Contracts and Basis Trends - The four major indices fluctuated and rebounded, exceeding the previous year's high. Except during quarterly contract roll - overs, the basis was at a reasonable level. In terms of arbitrage among main contracts, IC/IF and IC/IH first adjusted and then rebounded, showing an overall upward trend; IH/IF first rose and then fell sharply, with significant fluctuations; IM/IF and IM/IH showed wide - range fluctuations; IM/IC first fluctuated repeatedly and then declined [32][36]. 4. Economic Policy - **Economic Situation** - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month; the non - manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month. In terms of sub - items, both supply and demand in the manufacturing PMI rebounded slightly in November, with new export orders rebounding by 1.7%, which was related to the easing of Sino - US tariffs. Factory prices and raw material purchase prices rebounded after two months of decline [42]. - Generally, PPI leads the inventory cycle (by 1 to 12 months, with an average of about half a year). PPI bottomed out and rebounded in June 2023, weakened after two months, and since March 2024, the decline has been continuously narrowing. From July 2024, the decline of PPI expanded again, and since November 2024, it has been narrowing until it expanded for five consecutive months until March 2025. Since August 2025, the decline has been narrowing, and currently it remains weak. In October 2025, industrial enterprise revenues fell to 1.8%, inventory continued to rise to 3.7%, demand declined, and there was passive inventory replenishment [45]. - China's social financing scale in November 2025 was 248.85 billion yuan, an increase of 15.28 billion yuan compared with 233.57 billion yuan in the same period last year. New RMB loans were 40.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.7 billion yuan compared with the same period last year, mainly due to a 20.63 - billion - yuan decrease in household loans, a decrease of 47.63 billion yuan compared with the same period last year. Short - term household loans decreased by 3.7 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.88 billion yuan compared with the same period last year, and medium - and long - term household loans increased by 1 billion yuan, a decrease of 29 billion yuan compared with the same period last year. Government bonds were 120.41 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.6 billion yuan compared with the same period last year [48]. - The growth rate of medium - and long - term credit has been falling since reaching a high of 12.94% in May 2023 after starting to stabilize and rebound from 10.21% in November 2022. As of November 2025, it has fallen for 30 consecutive months to 5.89% and continues to decline [7][53]. - **Policy Situation** - **New Nine - Article Guidelines**: In April 2024, the "Several Opinions on Strengthening Supervision, Preventing Risks, and Promoting the High - Quality Development of the Capital Market" (New Nine - Article Guidelines) were issued. It tightened the "entry threshold" and smoothed the "exit channel" by raising the listing standards for each sector and accelerating the clearance of inferior enterprises through stricter delisting indicators. It also strengthened investor returns by strengthening the supervision of cash dividends of listed companies and restricting major shareholders' share - reduction for companies that have not paid dividends for many years or have a low dividend ratio [55][58]. - **Implementation Plan for Promoting the Entry of Medium - and Long - Term Funds into the Market**: It aims to increase the actual investment ratio. For public funds, it is required that the market value of A - shares held by public funds should increase by at least 10% annually in the next three years. For commercial insurance funds, large - state - owned insurance companies are expected to invest 30% of their newly - added premiums in A - shares annually starting from 2025, which means adding at least several hundred billion yuan of long - term funds to the A - share market each year. The second - batch pilot project of long - term stock investment by insurance funds will be implemented in the first half of 2025, with a scale of no less than 10 billion yuan, and the scale will be gradually expanded. It also extends the assessment period. By implementing a long - cycle assessment, it can effectively smooth the impact of short - term market fluctuations on performance and improve the stability of medium - and long - term funds' investment behavior [61]. - **Political Bureau's Policy Orientation**: The Political Bureau meeting pointed out that efforts should be made to boost the capital market, guide medium - and long - term funds to enter the market, and remove obstacles for funds such as social security, insurance, and wealth management to enter the market. It also emphasized increasing the counter - cyclical adjustment of fiscal and monetary policies, ensuring necessary fiscal expenditures, and doing a good job in the "three guarantees" at the grass - roots level. It proposed to issue and use ultra - long - term special treasury bonds and local government special bonds, reduce the deposit reserve ratio, and implement significant interest rate cuts. It also aimed to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, control the increment of commercial housing construction, optimize the stock, and improve the quality [62]. - **Central Bank's New Monetary Policy Tools**: The central bank created a structural monetary policy tool to support the capital market for the first time. One is the swap facility for securities, funds, and insurance companies, which allows eligible institutions to use their bonds, stock ETFs, and SSE 300 constituent stocks as collateral to exchange for high - liquidity assets such as treasury bonds and central bank bills from the central bank. The initial scale of the swap facility operation is 500 billion yuan. The central bank also created a re - loan for stock repurchase and increase, guiding commercial banks to provide loans to listed companies and major shareholders for stock repurchase and increase. The initial scale is 300 billion yuan [63]. - **Debt Resolution Measures**: In November 2024, the National People's Congress Standing Committee announced a large - scale debt resolution measure. The total debt resolution scale mainly includes three parts: 6 trillion yuan of local debt limits, all arranged as special debt limits, approved at once and implemented over three years; starting from 2024, 800 billion yuan will be allocated from new local special bonds for five consecutive years to replenish government fund financial resources, with a cumulative replacement of 4 trillion yuan of implicit debt; and 2 trillion yuan of implicit debt from shantytown reconstruction due after 2029 will be repaid according to the original contract. The first two parts will directly increase 10 trillion yuan of local debt resolution funds [64]. - **Accelerating the Building of First - Class Investment Banks and Investment Institutions**: At the Eighth Member Congress of the Securities Association of China, it was proposed that securities companies should shift from price competition to value competition. Appropriate "relaxation" measures will be taken for high - quality institutions to optimize risk - control indicators, expand capital space and leverage limits, and improve capital utilization efficiency. Differentiated supervision will be explored for small - and medium - sized securities companies and foreign - funded securities companies in terms of classification evaluation and business access to promote their characteristic development. Strict supervision will be carried out for a small number of problematic securities companies [65]. - **14th Five - Year Plan**: The 14th Five - Year Plan is a crucial period that connects the past and the future, with multiple strategic goals (such as carbon peaking and reform) to be achieved. A multi - polar trade system is gradually taking shape, and China's voice in global economic and trade fields is expected to further increase. Sino - US competition remains the core variable affecting the global political and economic landscape, and it is becoming "normalized" and "complicated". The reconstruction of the global supply chain has entered the second half, with geopolitics and strategic security as the main lines. China will focus on developing new - quality productive forces and upgrading industries, promoting anti - involution and building a unified national market, and expanding domestic demand and boosting consumption [68]. - **US Mid - term Elections**: In 2026, the US mid - term elections will be held. The schedule includes the primary elections in August 2026 and the main election period from September to November, with November 3rd as the final voting date. The fiscal bill requires that the Trump administration is prohibited from laying off federal government employees before January 30th, which is expected to ease the situation of significant employment reduction. It is expected that fiscal support will continue during the mid - term elections [71]. 5. Revenue and Net Profit of Each Index - The core factor affecting the long - term trend of the stock index is the performance of listed companies. Since the coordinated efforts of monetary and fiscal policies in the third quarter of last year, the policy effects have gradually been transmitted to the real economy. The first - quarter report of 2025 showed that the performance of A - share listed companies had initially shown signs of stabilization, and the profit bottom was likely to have been confirmed. Although affected by external factors such as "reciprocal tariffs" in the second quarter, performance fluctuated, the third - quarter report data confirmed that corporate profits had returned to an upward channel. The continuous rebound of performance in Q3 2025 strengthened the market's confidence in the start of the profit cycle, providing strong internal impetus for the mid - term rise of the stock index [77][82]. 6. Valuation - The valuation of the Shanghai Composite Index is 16.2398, with an upper - limit value of 15.64, and it is at the 83.45th percentile since 2010, indicating a relatively high valuation level since 2010. However, as performance rises, the valuation will decline. The valuation of the ChiNext Index is relatively low [100][102]. 7. Interest Rates - Interest rates are in a downward channel. According to the Fed's December interest - rate meeting forecast, from 2025 to 2028, variables such as real GDP growth, unemployment rate, PCE inflation, and core PCE inflation are expected to show certain trends, and the federal funds rate is also expected to decline [88]. 8. Capital Flows - **Overall Capital Inflow**: In 2025, the A - share market is expected to have a capital inflow (including scale growth) of 4.3505 trillion yuan, which is not much different from the increase in non - bank deposits and bank wealth - management scale. Excluding the scale - growth factor, the A - share market is expected to have a net capital inflow of 1.8311 trillion yuan in 2025 (with an expected net inflow of 300 billion yuan from retail investors in the third quarter) [105]. - **Margin Trading and Short Selling**: In 2024, the net inflow of margin trading and short - selling funds was 27.48 billion yuan. As of December 14, 2025, the net inflow in 2025 was 62.96 billion yuan, indicating active leverage funds [12][109]. - **Private Securities Investment Funds**: The scale of private securities investment funds increased by 1.7946 trillion yuan this year, with a significant increase of 1.040028 trillion yuan in October. The current total scale is 7.0076 trillion yuan. The newly - registered scale this year is 38.6 billion yuan, with registration scales of 7.92 billion yuan in July, 4.28 billion yuan in August, 3.68 billion yuan in September, and 4.29 billion yuan in October [12][113]. - **Insurance Funds**: In the third quarter of 2025, the market value of A - shares held by insurance funds increased by 55.24 billion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 18.00%, while the SSE 300 Index rose by 17.90% during the same period. In the first three quarters of 2025, the market value of A - shares held by insurance funds increased by 119.3 billion yuan, and after excluding the scale - growth factor, it increased by 75.84 billion yuan. The proportion of stock and fund investment by insurance funds in the total insurance fund balance continued to rise to 14.93% [115][116]. - **Newly - Established Funds**: As of September 30, 2025, the newly - established share of stock - type funds was 323.3 billion yuan, with 137 billion yuan in the third quarter; the newly - established share of hybrid funds was 103.6 billion yuan, with 53 billion yuan in the third quarter. In 2025, index funds had a net inflow of 104.9 billion yuan, while active equity funds had a net outflow of 444.9 billion yuan, and equity funds had a net outflow of 340 billion yuan [126][130]. - **Other Capital Flows**: In October 2025, the deposits of non - bank financial institutions increased by 1.8574 trillion yuan again, and the total increase in deposits of non - bank financial institutions this year was 6.6688 trillion yuan. Overall, funds are flowing from the banking system to non - bank channels such as the capital market and wealth - management products. In terms of secondary - market shareholder share - reduction, important shareholders in the A - share market had a net share - reduction of 307.3 billion yuan in 2025. The IPO financing in 2023 was 356.5 billion

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Huajin Technology executed a block trade of 72,900 shares on December 12, with a transaction value of 6.962 million yuan, at a price of 95.50 yuan per share [1][2] - The buyer of the block trade was an institutional client, while the seller was UBS Securities Co., Ltd. Shanghai Huayuan Shiqiao Road Securities Branch [1] - On the same day, Huajin Technology's closing price was 95.50 yuan, reflecting an increase of 2.19%, with a turnover rate of 2.45% and a total transaction volume of 1.324 billion yuan [1][2] Group 2 - The stock has seen a net inflow of 58.2491 million yuan in main funds for the day, while over the past five days, the stock has accumulated a rise of 4.43% but experienced a total net outflow of 12.7071 million yuan [1] - The latest margin financing balance for Huajin Technology is 1.246 billion yuan, which has decreased by 107 million yuan over the past five days, representing a decline of 7.88% [2] - Huajin Technology Co., Ltd. was established on August 29, 2005, with a registered capital of 1.015732344 billion yuan [2]

Core Conclusions - The report highlights significant breakthroughs in domestic AI large models, particularly with DeepSeek, which led to a notable independent rally in the computer industry in early 2025, outperforming the market [5][12] - The computer sector experienced a rapid recovery in revenue growth and profit margins during the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue reaching 832.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.50%, and net profit increasing by 47.77% [17][21] - Public fund holdings in the computer sector decreased to 2.6% in Q3 2025, indicating a low allocation but potential for future increases as AI technology continues to develop [25][29] 2025 Review - The computer industry saw a significant performance recovery, with a cumulative increase of 14.05% by December 11, 2025, ranking 17th among 31 primary industries [13][12] - The emergence of DeepSeek's R1 model marked a milestone in domestic AI, significantly lowering deployment barriers and accelerating AI application [32][38] - The overall gross margin for the computer industry was 20.73%, reflecting a slight decline, but cost control measures were effective, reducing the combined expense ratio by 2.08 percentage points [21][24] 2026 Outlook - Continued growth in capital expenditures (CapEx) from major domestic and international companies is expected, with a focus on AI computing power [113][114] - The report anticipates a significant increase in the adoption of enterprise-level AI applications, driven by top-level policies and the proliferation of AI agents [8][9] - The development of multi-modal capabilities in large models is expected to expand their application range significantly, moving beyond text to physical world interactions [7][8]

随着人工智能主题在三季度整体走强，进入四季度，机构对TMT产业链的调研热度迅速升温。 进入四季度，机构调研节奏明显加快，电子、半导体、智能终端等多条产业链均成为重点覆盖方向。业内人士 指出，机构普遍希望通过密集调研重新确认产业链景气度与企业经营节奏，从而为后续配置提供依据。在AI应 用加速渗透的大背景下，产业链各环节的基本面变化，也正成为市场观察的重要信号。 与此同时，海外AI技术端的迭代速度同样在提升市场的关注度。谷歌推出新一代Gemini 3模型，叠加算力竞争 格局进一步多元化，共同强化了AI商业化进入新阶段的市场预期。多家研究机构认为，尽管短期板块波动有 所加大，但AI带来的算力需求、基础设施投入以及应用拓展仍处于长期上升通道，相关方向有望持续受益。 机构调研关注度提升 进入四季度，电子产业链调研持续升温，立讯精密、 兆易创新 、华勤技术、蓝思科技等多家公司相继召开线 上线下会议，吸引大量公募、保险资管及境外机构参与。尽管四家公司在业务属性与产业链位置上存在差异， 但均处于人工智能产业链的不同环节，在新一轮AI应用加速渗透的背景下获得机构的持续关注。 11月20日，立讯精密举行现场交流会，吸引了396家 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the increasing interest of institutions in the TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) industry chain, particularly in the context of the accelerating application of artificial intelligence (AI) and the evolving competitive landscape in AI technology [1][4]. Group 1: Institutional Research Focus - As the fourth quarter begins, there is a noticeable increase in institutional research activity, particularly in the electronic, semiconductor, and smart terminal sectors [1]. - Companies such as Luxshare Precision, GigaDevice, Huaqin Technology, and Lens Technology have held meetings that attracted significant participation from public funds, insurance asset management, and foreign institutions [2][3]. - Luxshare Precision's meeting on November 20 attracted 396 institutions, making it one of the most attended electronic companies in the fourth quarter [2]. - GigaDevice's online meeting on October 28 drew 276 institutions, indicating strong interest from major public funds [2]. Group 2: Global Technology Evolution - The rapid evolution of AI technology and competition in overseas markets is providing new dimensions for market sentiment in the fourth quarter [4]. - Google's recent launch of the AI model Gemini 3 reflects its commitment to accelerating AI technology commercialization [4][5]. - The competitive landscape is becoming more complex for companies like NVIDIA, which may lead to lower computing costs and accelerated technological innovation across the AI industry [5]. Group 3: Market Outlook and Opportunities - The diversified competitive landscape in the AI computing market is expected to drive demand growth and technological upgrades across the entire industry chain, including specialized chip design and advanced packaging [5]. - Despite recent volatility in the computing sector, there is optimism regarding the sustained demand driven by AI applications, suggesting that current adjustments may present investment opportunities [5].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the synergy between AI innovation and capital expenditure (CAPEX), highlighting that model innovation is the core driver of AI development, with CAPEX serving as the foundation for the AI cycle [12][14] - The AI industry chain includes AI hardware, CAPEX, and AI models and applications, which collectively support the computational needs for large model training and inference [12][14] - The report suggests that the AI storage cycle is driven by rising prices and simultaneous expansion and upgrades in production capacity, particularly in cloud and edge storage [4][34] Group 1: AI Innovation and CAPEX - Model innovation is identified as the key driver of AI development, with significant capital expenditures from cloud service providers and leading enterprises providing a stable cash flow to support upstream hardware sectors [14][24] - The report notes that major companies like Google and OpenAI are making substantial advancements in multi-modal models, which are expected to enhance user engagement and monetization opportunities [19][25] - The integration of AI capabilities into various applications is projected to create a closed loop of high computational demand leading to high-value content and increased user willingness to pay [24][25] Group 2: Storage Cycle - The report indicates that storage prices are on the rise, significantly boosting the gross margins of original manufacturers, with capital expenditures in the storage sector entering an upward phase [4][34] - It highlights that traditional DRAM and NAND production is being approached cautiously, while HBM production is prioritized, indicating a shift in focus within the storage industry [4][34] - The report discusses the emergence of new opportunities in the storage foundry model, driven by the evolving demands of AI applications [4][34] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies within the AI ecosystem, particularly those involved in AI storage, PCB, and power supply sectors, as they are expected to experience sustained growth [4][34] - It suggests that the ongoing upgrades in DRAM and NAND architectures will create new equipment demand, presenting investment opportunities in related companies [4][34] - The report encourages attention to the storage industry chain, particularly in light of the anticipated price increases and margin improvements for original manufacturers [4][34]

近期，我们已明确表达，从空间角度看，市场已经达到"低吸"的较好"击球点"。自11月25日至12月9 日，我们看到市场整体呈现出：（1）以光模块为代表的高位板块，强者恒强，估值持续上修，整体板 块基本都达到新高。（2）非强势板块多数标的，在上涨遇到压力位后，遇阻快速回调后不破新低。这 种情势其实就是市场上涨诉求仍存，但底部板块逻辑不够强，难以吸引相对高位板块资金；市场哑铃形 态突出，一面是以机构为代表的景气度抱团，一面是以量化为代表的动量刺激抱团。 本周四凌晨，美联储将公布12月议息会议结果，中性预期为"本次降息25BP且2026年Q1或不降息"，这 意味着全球市场对此次会议保持"偏鹰"观点。因此，即使降息节奏进一步不及预期，或对全球市场的风 险偏好影响相对有限。受到Marvell收购光互连公司Celestial的影响，市场对于OIO、CPO等光连接技术 呈现出更强的信心，这使得以光模块为代表的创业板人工智能ETF华宝（159363）表现强势，近日来迭 创新高。 关于英伟达H200芯片解禁：H200是美国前一代际的主流训练芯片，是目前海外主流模型的基石，其算 力性能弱于B30，但存储带宽强于B30。H200的解 ...

12月9日，A股市场英伟达H200概念股走强，其中，鼎泰高科一度涨超17%，致尚科技、宏景科技一度 涨超14%，太辰光涨超11%，鸿博股份、东阳光10CM涨停，华勤技术涨8%，工业富联涨近8%，光库科 技、中际旭创涨超7%，浪潮信息涨超6%，东山精密、大位科技涨超5%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 消息面上，美国总统特朗普当地时间8日在社交媒体上发文宣布，美国政府将允许英伟达向中国及其他 国家的合格客户出售H200人工智能芯片(Hopper架构)，公司需将这些芯片销售收入的25%上缴美国政 府。规则同样适用于AMD与英特尔等美国企业。 ...