证券研究报告 金融 交投回落，战略加配优质金融 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 08 日│中国内地 行业周报（第六周） 投资机会方面证券>保险>银行。市场波动加大，上周 A 股日均成交额 2.4 万亿元，周环比-21%；融资余额连续 6 个交易日下滑。央行等八部门发布 《关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险的通知》，禁止在境内开展现 实世界资产代币化活动，并严格监管境内主体赴境外开展相关业务活动。年 初至今保险板块中的弹性组合表现优于稳健组合，显示市场在交易保险股的 β属性。央行信贷市场工作会议提出要落实好结构性货币政策工具增量政 策，加强与财政政策协同。齐鲁银行披露业绩快报，营收增速较前三季度提 升，利润保持同比高增，资产质量持续优化。 子行业观点 1）证券：上周 A 股日均成交额 2.4 万亿元，周环比-21%；融资余额连续 6 个交易日下滑。前期涨幅较高的资产明显回落，市场风格切换，看好券商板 块高性价比机会。2）保险：在市场波动率加大的背景下，投资者可能需要 降低风险偏好，关注稳健标的。3）银行：央行信贷市场工作会议提出要落 实好结构性货币政策工具增量政策，加强与财政政策协同。齐鲁银行披露业 绩快报 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the insurance industry is experiencing a significant increase in profitability, with 57 life insurance companies reporting a net profit growth of over 150% year-on-year, marking it as the "strongest profit year" [1] - The outlook for the insurance sector indicates a continuation of deposit migration, with expectations of high growth in new policies through bank insurance channels, and a trend of market share concentration among leading companies [1] - The report highlights that the dividend insurance products will test companies' long-term investment capabilities, with stricter access requirements for these products through bank insurance channels, favoring larger companies [1] Group 2 - The report mentions that the reduction in the preset interest rate and the integration of reporting and operations will limit the competitive space for smaller companies in terms of pricing and costs [1] - It is noted that the profitability of bank insurance channels is improving, with larger companies continuing to expand their efforts in this area, leveraging advantages in resource synergy, service, and brand [1] - As of February 9, 2026, the CSI 800 Securities Insurance Index rose by 1.21%, with significant increases in stocks such as China Ping An (up 2.71%) and China Life (up 2.46%) [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 800 Securities Insurance Index account for 65% of the index, including major players like China Ping An and CITIC Securities [2]

中国经济网北京2月9日讯 近日，鹏华基金发布鹏华成长进取混合型证券投资基金基金合同生效公 告。 募集期间净认购金额1,720,931,946.70元，认购资金在募集期间产生的利息722,039.60元，募集份额 合计1,721,653,986.30份。 基金经理王璐曾任广发证券股份有限公司电子行业资深分析师。2020年5月加盟鹏华基金管理有限 公司，历任权益投资二部基金经理助理，从事研究分析工作，现担任权益投资二部基金经理。 | 基金募集申请获中国证 | | 证监许可(2025)2868号 | | --- | --- | --- | | 监会核准的文号 | | | | 基金享集期间 | | 自2026年01月19日至2026年02月03日止 | | 验资机构名称 | | 德勒华永会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙) | | 募集资金划入基金托管 | | 2026年02月06日 | | 专户的日期 | | | | 募集有效认购总户数 | | 10. 799 | | (单位:户) | | | | 份额缓刷 | | 鹏华成长进取混合 鹏华成长进取混 合计 | | | | A 合C | | 募集期间净认购金额 | | 1.6 ...

Market Overview - Global markets are experiencing a significant rebound, with US stock indices showing strong gains after the Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 50,000 points for the first time [1] - As of 7:33 AM, S&P 500 futures rose by 0.30%, Nasdaq futures increased by 0.38%, and Dow futures were up by 0.26% [1] - In the commodities market, gold prices rose to approximately $5,040, up 1.6%, while silver prices surpassed $80, gaining over 3% [1] Asia-Pacific Market Performance - Asian markets opened strongly, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index rising 1.54% to reach a historical high of 55,000 points, and South Korea's KOSPI index increasing by 4.13% [1] - The FTSE China A50 index futures rose by 1.07%, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index opened up by 1.59% [1] A-Share Market Dynamics - The three major A-share indices opened higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.97%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.51%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.8% [2] - AI application stocks surged, with several companies, including Rongxin Culture and Zhongwen Online, hitting the daily limit [2][3] - The CPO and computing hardware sectors continued their strong performance, with Tianfu Communication rising nearly 10% to set a new historical high [4] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities believes that external disturbances have not significantly impacted China's industrial fundamentals, and the market sentiment has fully released, suggesting a continuation of the spring market after the Spring Festival [5][6] - The firm highlights key sectors for future investment, including AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment [6] Sector Highlights - AI applications are leading the market, with significant gains in media and short drama sectors, driven by advancements in AI video generation technology [3] - The advanced packaging market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 9.4%, potentially reaching nearly $80 billion by 2030 [4] Investment Strategies - Various securities firms recommend holding stocks through the holiday period, emphasizing sectors with upward trends such as electronics, media, and healthcare [8][9] - Tianfeng Securities suggests focusing on three main investment themes: opportunities in AI-driven technology, economic recovery, and potential sector rotations [9]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that there is no need to worry about short-term market fluctuations, as the underlying trends indicate a shift from virtual to real economies in Europe and the US, alongside the disruptive innovation brought by AI [2] - The article highlights the increasing urgency for strategic security investments and the balancing act between short-term shareholder interests and long-term infrastructure investments in the US and Europe [2] - It suggests that China's capital market has already completed the transition from virtual to real pricing and is currently in the process of validating and pricing for quality and efficiency improvements [2] Group 2 - The outlook for the A-share market in the next 1-2 months is optimistic, with historical data indicating a strong seasonal effect around February and the Spring Festival [3] - The article notes that the number of companies with low expectations or losses has reached a new high, suggesting that negative earnings reports are being digested, which may lead to a lighter market environment starting in February [3] - It encourages investors to regain confidence and prepare for the first wave of the upcoming bullish cycle around the 4000-point level [3] Group 3 - The article advocates for holding stocks during the holiday season, citing a positive outlook for the Chinese market driven by a shift towards domestic demand and government support for capital market stability [4] - It mentions a resurgence in stock buybacks among A-share companies, indicating a strengthening market sentiment [4] - The recommendation includes maintaining positions in sectors such as consumer services, food and beverage, and emerging technologies like internet and robotics [5] Group 4 - The article discusses the limited impact of external shocks on the Chinese market, suggesting that the recent adjustments are more about emotional digestion rather than fundamental changes [6] - It highlights the potential for a recovery in the market post-Spring Festival, driven by increased risk appetite and upcoming catalysts in various sectors [6] - The focus is on sectors like AI computing, chemicals, and power equipment, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming market environment [10] Group 5 - The article indicates that the Hang Seng Technology Index has potential for recovery, especially if the liquidity shock subsides and new catalysts emerge in the AI sector [7] - It suggests that the market may experience a rotation towards sectors benefiting from major projects outlined in the 14th Five-Year Plan, such as construction materials and energy [7] - The overall sentiment is that the market will likely see a stronger performance post-holiday compared to pre-holiday levels [7] Group 6 - The article emphasizes the revaluation of Chinese assets, driven by a recovery in manufacturing and the return of capital from export enterprises [8] - It suggests that the focus should be on physical assets and sectors with global competitive advantages, such as energy and equipment manufacturing [8] - The recommendation includes sectors like oil, copper, and lithium, which are expected to benefit from a stabilization in demand and low inventory levels [8]

广发证券发布研报称，回看历史经验，恒生指数在春节前3个交易日上涨概率82%，节后并没有明显的日历效应，上涨概率仅在40%~60%，春节后-两会的 典型窗口并不天然适配港股。但这次也可能不一样，港股近年来的定价逻辑正在发生变化，港股与A股的相关性走强，与美股的相关性走弱。这意味着在 内地市场风险偏好明显抬升的背景下，港股存在一定的"被动跟随"上涨的可能性，例如24、25年的春节后。 | 上涨概率 | 圣诞节-春节前 | 春节后-两会 | 两会期间 | 两会-3月底 | 1月 | 2月 | 3月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生科技 | 72.7% | 72.7% | 45.5% | 50.0% | 63.6% | 72.7% | 54.5% | | 恒生指数 | 80.0% | 46.7% | 40.0% | 42.9% | 73.3% | 53.3% | 53.3% | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 73.3% | 40.0% | 46.7% | 57.1% | 60.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | | 恒生港股通 | 81 ...

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Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-bank financial sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it will outperform the overall market [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in new account openings in January 2026, reaching 4.9158 million, a year-on-year increase of 213% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 89%. This trend is expected to benefit brokerage firms as funds flow from traditional banks to capital markets [4]. - The report emphasizes the need for China's financial sector to transition from being large to strong, focusing on mergers and acquisitions as a core growth engine for brokerage firms. It also notes the expansion of international business opportunities due to the ongoing internationalization of the RMB [4]. - The report discusses specific stock movements, including Huatai Securities' plan to issue HKD 10 billion in zero-coupon convertible bonds, and the restructuring of Zhongtai Securities to enhance operational efficiency [4][13]. - In the insurance sector, the report notes that Ping An Group has increased its stake in China Life (H) multiple times, reflecting confidence in the sector's value re-evaluation. The report anticipates steady growth in new business value (NBV) and an increase in equity allocation for China Life [4][11]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.33% during the week, while the non-bank index fell by 0.60%. The brokerage, insurance, and diversified financial sectors reported declines of 0.65%, 0.71%, and an increase of 0.43%, respectively [7]. Non-Bank Financial News and Key Stock Announcements - The report outlines regulatory updates regarding virtual currencies and asset tokenization, indicating a tightening of oversight in these areas [9]. - Specific stock announcements include Huatai Securities' bond issuance and Ping An's increased holdings in China Life, showcasing strategic moves within the sector [11][13]. Key Data Tracking - The report provides data on average daily trading volume, which reached CNY 24,068.65 billion, and highlights the significant increase in new investors, with 995,900 new accounts opened in August 2023 [23][24].

非银金融 2026 年 02 月 08 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 非银金融 沪深300 相关研究报告 《1 月基金新发显著增长，头部券商业 绩预告符合预期 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.1 《偏股基金新发同比明显增长，公募 强化基准约束—行业周报》-2026.1.25 《逆周期调节呵护"慢牛"，券商和 保险业务开门红 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.1.18 1 月新开户高增超预期，银保渠道实现开门红 ——行业周报 | 高超（分析师） | 卢崑（分析师） | 张恩琦（联系人） | | --- | --- | --- | | gaochao1@kysec.cn | lukun@kysec.cn | zhangenqi@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790520050001 | 证书编号：S0790524040002 | 证书编号：S0790125080012 | |  周观点：1 | 月新开户高增超预期，银保渠道实现开门红 | | 保险在个险和银保两端均实现开 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-bank financial sector is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The insurance sector is showing signs of improvement, with increased recognition of the industry's fundamentals by insurance companies, as evidenced by China Ping An's continued stake increase in China Life [4] - The brokerage and margin trading businesses maintain a high level of activity, with significant growth in new account openings and trading volumes in January 2026 [5][32] - The asset management and fund distribution businesses are expected to recover, supported by new regulations that have been implemented [5] - Huatai Securities has announced a plan to issue HKD 10 billion in convertible bonds, which is expected to enhance its operational capabilities [6] - The overall performance of brokerage firms is optimistic, with many firms reporting substantial profit growth [6] Data Tracking Insurance Industry Data - As of December 2025, the insurance industry's original premium income reached CNY 61,194 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.43% [10] - The life insurance premium income was CNY 46,491 billion, up 9.05% year-on-year, while property insurance premium income was CNY 14,703 billion, an increase of 2.60% [10] Securities Industry Data - In January 2026, the average daily trading volume of A-shares was CNY 36.5 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 156.58% [13] - The margin trading balance at the end of January 2026 was CNY 2.72 trillion, up 53.06% year-on-year [13] - New public fund issuance reached 1,094.51 billion units in January 2026, with stock and mixed funds seeing significant growth [13] Industry Dynamics - Insurance capital is increasingly active in equity markets, participating in cornerstone investments in Hong Kong stocks [27] - China Insurance Group reported premium income exceeding CNY 730 billion for 2025, indicating strong operational performance [28] - China Life Group's consolidated investment income grew by double digits in 2025, reflecting robust financial health [29] - China Ping An increased its stake in China Life by 10.12%, demonstrating confidence in the sector [30] - Several automotive service providers have withdrawn from the insurance agency business, indicating competitive pressures in the market [31]