格隆汇2月12日｜中金公司发研报指，天工国际(0826.HK)2H25出口回暖，26/27年3C钛材及粉末冶金产 品的高增长，上调25/26年收入分别2.8%/3.5%至53.66/66.39亿元，上调25/26年净利润分别13.3%/29.6% 至4.14/6.97亿元。考虑到26年起公司高端材料或将持续放量，推动公司从工模具钢龙头向高端新材料供 应商转型，该行维持公司跑赢行业评级，上调目标价76%至5.29港元，对应26年18.4xP/E，隐含50%上 行空间。 中金表示，3C钛材业务前景广阔，有望成为公司重要盈利增长引擎。自苹果公司在iPhone系列首次采用 航空级钛合金边框以来，钛合金在消费电子领域渗透率持续上升，需求前景广阔。公司目前已具备使用 绿色"返回料"生产TA1/TA10等多种钛合金牌号的能力，为国内外多家知名消费电子生产商供应边框、 中框材料，是国内3C钛材龙头供应商。公司前瞻布局钛合金粉末产线，为其在3C钛材长期竞争优势夯 实基础。伴随消费电子对钛合金需求回升，该行预期26/27年3C高端钛材销量同比增速分别为 183%/24%。 此外，粉末冶金平台化技术进入收获期，中金预测三大应用场景 ...

累计担保情况 证券代码：601995 证券简称：中金公司 公告编号：临 2026-009 中国国际金融股份有限公司 关于间接持股全资子公司发行中期票据 并由直接持股全资子公司提供担保的公告 中国国际金融股份有限公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记 载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | 被担保人名称 | | 本次担保 | 实际为其提供的担保余额 | 是否在前期 | 本次担保是 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 金额1 | （不含本次担保金额） | 预计额度内 | 否有反担保 | | CICC Hong | Kong | | | | | | Finance 2016 | MTN | 14 亿美元 | 30.23 亿美元 | 是 | 否 | | Limited | | | | | | | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（人民 | 无 | | --- | --- | | 币亿元） | | | 截至本公告日公司及控股子公 司对外担保总额（人民币亿元） | 328.81 | | ...

【导读】本周以来，智谱股价接近翻倍；半导体板块今日受益上涨 多项独立测试显示，"Pony Alpha"在系统架构、能力边界上与智谱AI GLM系列高度一致：系统提示词测试中模型自述"I'm GLM"，分词器行为与GLM-4 完全匹配，且在复杂编程与智能体任务中展现显著突破。 港股市场今日承压，但不乏亮点：AI应用概念股活跃，大模型股智谱创新高，智谱宣布涨价助力算力产业链板块。 三大指数同日调整 2月12日，港股三大指数表现低迷，恒生科技指数盘中一度跌至2%。截至收盘，恒生指数下跌0.86%，恒生科技指数下跌1.65%，恒生国企指数下跌1%。 盘面上，大型科技股下跌拖累市场，大金融板块普跌令大市进一步承压，影视股、餐饮股等均下跌。 AI应用概念股活跃，大模型股智谱股价大涨；智谱涨价助力算力产业链板块，半导体芯片股上扬；电力设备、石油石化等板块收涨。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初至今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 27032.54c | -233.84 | -0.86% | 23 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tungsten, known as "industrial teeth," is experiencing a surge in demand and price due to supply constraints and strong market demand [1][2]. Group 1: Price Increases - The long-term procurement prices for tungsten products have significantly increased, with 55% black tungsten concentrate rising by 28.1% to 670,000 CNY/ton and 55% white tungsten concentrate increasing by 28.2% to 669,000 CNY/ton [2][3]. - Ammonium paratungstate (standard grade zero) long-term procurement price rose by 27.6% to 970,000 CNY/ton [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Domestic mining operations are conservatively producing, leading to a weak market increment expectation and further price adjustments for long-term contracts [2]. - The supply side is facing tightening due to stricter safety and environmental regulations, resulting in decreased production and shipments from some mines [2][3]. - Demand remains stable, primarily driven by essential purchases, particularly in the PCB tool sector [2]. Group 3: Future Price Outlook - Institutions are optimistic about the future price of tungsten, with expectations for continued strong performance and new highs [3]. - The global tungsten production is projected to increase from 82,800 tons in 2025 to 89,900 tons by 2028, while demand is expected to rise from 102,100 tons to 110,000 tons, indicating a potential supply-demand gap [3]. Group 4: Stock Market Response - A-share tungsten concept stocks have reacted positively to the price increases and supply-demand changes, with several stocks hitting the daily limit [4]. - Notable performers include Xianglu Tungsten Industry and Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry, both of which saw significant price increases [4][5]. - Xianglu Tungsten Industry has achieved a cumulative increase of 166.32% this year, reflecting strong market interest [5].

Core Insights - The article discusses the upcoming masterclass titled "Understanding Gold, Silver, and Copper: A New Paradigm for Global Metal Pricing," led by Chen Dapeng, a seasoned investment manager and founder of KP Research [1][12] - The masterclass aims to provide insights into the underlying logic of current market trends and the impact of global changes on asset allocation [1][15] Group 1: Market Trends and Insights - Chen Dapeng emphasizes the importance of understanding the shift in metal pricing from a focus on efficiency to a focus on security amid global restructuring [13][20] - The course will explore how gold's pricing power has transformed from being a "credit of the dollar" to a "sovereign credit defense line" [13] - The new paradigm for non-ferrous metals pricing will be analyzed, particularly in relation to traditional industrial output cycles and the constraints imposed by "resource nationalism" [13] Group 2: Course Structure and Content - The masterclass will cover five core modules, including the iteration of global resource pricing paradigms and the implications of strategic redundancy logic [13][20] - Participants will learn to construct a framework that combines macroeconomic and geopolitical analysis to identify the value of metal allocations driven by resource nationalism and AI strategies [20][21] - The course will also focus on practical trading insights, helping participants develop a trading dashboard to navigate the market changes expected in 2026 [21]

Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes its commitment to supporting the national strategy and enhancing the stability and health of the capital market while achieving significant growth in various financial services [3][4][12]. Group 1: Economic Empowerment - The company focuses on enhancing the real economy by leveraging its comprehensive resources in investment, banking, and research, completing technology finance-related project transactions exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan [4][12]. - It has supported green financial innovations, completing green project transactions over 1.5 trillion yuan, contributing to the "dual carbon" goals [4][12]. - The company has built a new ecosystem for financial services for small and medium-sized enterprises, with project transaction volumes surpassing 1.5 trillion yuan, covering approximately 8,800 specialized enterprises [4][12]. Group 2: International Engagement - The company has facilitated over 200 billion yuan in foreign investment into A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, maintaining its position as the only Chinese investment bank to assist the Ministry of Finance in issuing foreign debt for nine consecutive years [4][12]. - It has completed financing transactions related to the "Belt and Road" initiative amounting to approximately 6 billion USD, promoting efficient capital circulation [5][12]. Group 3: Internal Development and Compliance - The company has implemented a new development strategy, enhancing business collaboration and internal management reforms, including the integration of Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities [5][13]. - It has strengthened risk control and compliance management, establishing a comprehensive "1+N" system and enhancing talent development pathways [5][13]. Group 4: Market Performance and Innovation - The company has achieved significant growth in its overall performance, maintaining a leading position in global IPOs for Chinese enterprises and successfully completing major IPO projects [6][14]. - The asset management business has surpassed 600 billion yuan in managed assets, while private equity business continues to solidify its industry-leading position [6][14][15]. - The company has launched important research publications, contributing to market stability and investor confidence [7][15]. Group 5: Social Responsibility - The company has developed an "AI + buy-side advisory" service model to help clients manage market volatility and enhance wealth preservation, with the "China 50" product generating over 10 billion yuan in returns for clients [8][16]. - It has actively participated in rural revitalization efforts, purchasing nearly 12 million yuan in products to support farmers and receiving recognition for its contributions [8][16]. - The company has engaged in various public welfare projects, including education and ecological initiatives, contributing to social equity and environmental sustainability [8][16].

又一家券商获准布局香港市场。2月10日晚，东北证券公告称收到证监会无异议批复，将以自有资金5亿 港元设立全资子公司 "东证国际金融控股有限公司"（以下简称"东证国际"）。 根据批复文件，东证国际需依法从事金融业务或金融相关业务，不得从事与金融无关的业务，不得从事 放债或类似业务，不得直接或者间接在境内从事经营性活动。 在东北证券成立子公司的背后，监管推动打造一流投行、港股IPO市场持续回暖下，出海布局成为行业 加速国际化的缩影。 中小券商加码香港子公司建设 近年来，证监会持续推动券商 "走出去"，通过完善跨境监管合作、简化备案流程，引导行业打造具备 国际竞争力的一流投行。香港作为跨境资本枢纽，成为券商突破境内竞争、衔接全球资产的核心支点。 据不完全统计，2025年以来，已有超过10家券商通过新设、增资等方式加码海外业务，形成规模化出海 浪潮。 湾财社梳理发现，目前已有超过30家境内券商在香港设立子公司或控股机构，形成 "头部引领、中小跟 进" 的格局。 国金证券则在研报中给出了一组更为直观的数据：截至2025H1 末，内地证券公司共设立36家境外子公 司，其中35家落户香港，境外子公司总资产达1.64万亿港元 ...

Group 1: Capacity Expansion and Production Plans - The construction of the dental industry park is progressing as planned, expected to commence production in the second half of 2026, which will significantly enhance overall capacity [2] - The company plans to release new park capacity in phases, aligning with market demand and order forecasts to ensure efficient utilization of new capacity [2] Group 2: Market Positioning and Business Strategy - The company focuses on providing dental materials, equipment, and complete digital solutions to dental labs and clinics, without directly engaging in downstream operations [2] - Continuous technical output and capacity empowerment are employed to provide comprehensive digital solutions to downstream partners [2] Group 3: Overseas Market Growth Factors - The overseas market growth is driven by three main factors: enhanced product competitiveness, solid customer relationships in Europe and the US, and effective supply chain and service advantages [3] - The company has deepened cooperation with key clients, leading to increased customer coverage and penetration rates [3] Group 4: Investment in Raw Material Supply - The investment in Jingdezhen Wanwei Powder Co., Ltd. aims to stabilize the supply chain and enhance collaborative research and development for the specific requirements of zirconia ceramic block products [4] Group 5: Profitability in Overseas Markets - The higher gross margin in overseas markets compared to domestic markets is attributed to the product structure differences and benefits from export tax rebates, which lower overall export costs [5]

Market Performance - The A-share market showed a strong rebound on February 12, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 0.86%, the ChiNext Index up by 1.32%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index gaining 1.56% [1] - The total market turnover exceeded 2.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 159.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Sectors such as other power equipment, small metals, semiconductors, power grid equipment, and communication equipment saw significant gains, while sectors like film and television, tourism and hotels, retail, and liquor underwent adjustments [3] - The AI concept continued to gain traction, with Liou Co., Ltd. hitting the daily limit, closing with a total market value of 61.488 billion yuan and a net inflow of 3.268 billion yuan, ranking first in A-shares [3] AI Sector Developments - MSCI announced the inclusion of 37 new stocks in the China Index, including Liou Co., Ltd., which has been actively investing in the AI sector since early 2023 [5] - Liou Digital, a subsidiary of Liou Co., Ltd., launched its self-developed AIGC ecosystem platform "LEO AIAD" and is promoting AI capabilities across various industries, including automotive, 3C digital, beauty, education, and tourism [5] - Recent positive developments in the AI field include the launch of ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 video generation model and the release of the new flagship model GLM-5 by Zhiyu [6] Quantum Technology Advancements - A breakthrough research paper published by a team from Peking University in the journal "Nature" details the development of a large-scale quantum communication network based on integrated photonic chips [10] - The research team created a fully integrated high-performance quantum key distribution network, capable of supporting 20 chip users with a communication distance of 370 kilometers, achieving international leadership in both user scale and network capability [10][11] - The study confirmed the advantages of indium phosphide and silicon nitride materials in the manufacturing of optical quantum chips, indicating potential for low-cost, large-scale production [11] - CICC believes that quantum computing is at the forefront of a new technological revolution and industrial transformation, presenting significant investment opportunities [11]

Core Viewpoint - In 2026, China's economy is expected to experience moderate policy support, with a focus on both supply and demand to achieve reasonable growth, while the A-share market is anticipated to stabilize above 4000 points, transitioning from a historical resistance level to a significant support level. The international gold price is also expected to maintain an upward trend [1]. Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic policy is crucial for maintaining stable economic operations and achieving high-quality development. The People's Bank of China plans to implement moderately loose monetary policies in 2026, enhancing counter-cyclical adjustments to support the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3]. - The core drivers of economic growth in 2026 are expected to be investment driven by policy, recovery in domestic demand, and resilient exports, forming a multi-faceted growth structure [4]. - The actual GDP growth rate for mainland China in 2026 is projected to reach or exceed the IMF's forecast of 4.2%, with a market consensus around a target close to 5% due to manufacturing momentum and resilient infrastructure investment [4]. A-Share Market - The A-share market is currently in a phase of structural differentiation, with a significant increase in trading volume. It is expected to effectively stabilize at the 4000-point level, which has shifted from a resistance level to a support level [7]. - Key drivers for the A-share market's stability at 4000 points include policy and liquidity support, improvement in corporate earnings, continuous capital inflow, and restoration of market confidence [7][8]. Investment Themes - The investment theme for 2026 is expected to emphasize "endogenous growth + self-controllable" logic, with a focus on sectors benefiting from policy, capital, and demand resonance, particularly in technology, energy transition, advanced manufacturing, and high-end services [9]. Gold Price Outlook - The international gold price is anticipated to continue its upward trend, supported by factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, and central bank gold purchases. The gold price may experience short-term fluctuations but is expected to trend upwards in the medium to long term, potentially reaching 5500-6000 USD/ounce [10][11].