Core Viewpoint - The construction of high-standard farmland is crucial for enhancing national food production capacity, transforming agricultural production methods, improving farmland ecological environment, and broadening farmers' income channels. The initiative is supported by government policies and aims to ensure food security and ecological protection simultaneously [1][4][6]. Summary by Sections High-Standard Farmland Overview - High-standard farmland is characterized by well-structured, contiguous plots with efficient water-saving facilities, suitable for cultivation, fertile soil, ecological friendliness, and strong disaster resistance. It embodies four high features: high quality, high output capacity, high disaster resistance, and high resource utilization efficiency [1][2]. Importance of High-Standard Farmland - The construction of high-standard farmland significantly enhances national food production capacity, with an average increase in grain yield per mu (0.067 hectares) of 10% to 20%. This supports stable grain production and encourages farmers to cultivate more [4]. - It promotes the transformation and upgrading of agricultural production methods by addressing issues like land fragmentation and declining quality, thus enhancing agricultural efficiency and competitiveness [4]. - The ecological environment of farmland improves through integrated measures, reducing soil erosion and agricultural pollution, and promoting sustainable agricultural practices [4]. Current Status and Achievements - As of the end of 2024, over 100 million acres of high-standard farmland have been established in China, with more than 10 million kilometers of irrigation channels and over 27 million small-scale water conservancy facilities built [1][13]. - Provinces like Heilongjiang, Henan, and Shandong have made significant contributions, with Heilongjiang leading at nearly 12 million acres [15] . Policy Framework - The Chinese government emphasizes high-standard farmland construction as a key strategy for food security. Recent policies aim to optimize construction content, enhance farmer participation, and ensure quality supervision throughout the process [8][10]. - The 2025 Central Document No. 1 outlines plans to build 1.2 billion acres of high-standard farmland by 2030, with a focus on efficient water-saving irrigation [10]. Future Trends - The future of high-standard farmland construction will focus on a three-pronged approach of quantity, quality, and ecology, with an emphasis on digital technology, ecological protection, and sustainable development [23].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that the sentiment in the pork market is supporting an upward shift in pork prices, with the average price for external three-line pigs at 14.20 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.43% [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of increasing soybean and oilseed production, with a focus on enhancing yield through advanced agricultural practices and the promotion of genetically modified varieties [1][11] - The report suggests that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains relatively loose, but medium to long-term projections indicate that pork prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 due to slow recovery in production capacity [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to discuss the production and demand situation for soybeans and oilseeds, emphasizing the need to enhance production capacity and implement key measures for yield improvement [1][11] - The report identifies potential beneficiaries in the planting sector, including Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, and recommends companies with a strong first-mover advantage in the seed industry such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of external three-line pigs is reported at 14.20 CNY/kg, with a significant increase in slaughter volume and consumer demand noted [2][12] - The report indicates that the number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, and the profitability of self-breeding operations has turned positive, suggesting a potential for recovery in the swine sector [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine farming sector include companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and DeKang Agriculture [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2412.94 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.54% [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.61 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.46% [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3946.32 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.21% [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14760.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is reported at 2.69 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [51] - Vitamin E prices have decreased by 10.02% to 80.80 CNY/kg [51][59]

Group 1: Pet Economy - The pet economy continues to show high growth, with over 400 pet brands achieving sales growth of over 100% year-on-year during the "618" shopping festival [1] - The number of pet transaction users increased by 32% year-on-year, while new pet owners grew by 39% [1] - Top brands in various pet food categories include Royal Canin and Maffidi for cat and dog dry food, and Maffidi and Zeal for cat and dog snacks/wet food [1] Group 2: Pig Prices - The average price of external three yuan pigs rose to 14.22 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.43% [2] - The average price of piglets decreased to 31.85 yuan/kg, down 3.16% week-on-week [2] - The average weight of market pigs decreased slightly to 128.28 kg, while the inventory rate of frozen products increased to 14.04% [2] Group 3: Grain Prices - Prices for corn, soybean meal, and wheat have increased, with corn averaging 2417.06 yuan/ton (up 0.47%), soybean meal at 3015.14 yuan/ton (up 1.59%), and wheat at 2441.67 yuan/ton (up 0.46%) [3] - Weather conditions and trade dynamics are influencing corn prices, while soybean meal prices are affected by supply concerns from the U.S. and geopolitical tensions [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The pig farming sector is expected to enter a long-term profit growth phase after inventory reduction, with recommended companies including Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Muyuan Foods [4] - The post-cycle sector is seeing a recovery in feed and veterinary demand, with companies like Haida Group and Ruipu Biotech recommended [4] - The planting chain is showing positive fundamentals with rising grain prices, suggesting investment opportunities in companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4] - The pet food industry is in a growth phase, with increasing recognition of domestic brands and recommended companies including Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. [4]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" [5] Core Views - The pet economy continues to show high growth, with over 400 pet brands achieving sales growth of over 100% during the "618" shopping festival. The number of pet transaction users increased by 32%, and new pet owners grew by 39% [1] - The pig price has risen, with the average price for live pigs at 14.22 yuan/kg, a week-on-week increase of 1.43%. The average price for piglets is 31.85 yuan/kg, down 3.16% week-on-week [2][24] - The prices of corn, soybean meal, and wheat have increased, with corn averaging 2417.06 yuan/ton (up 0.47%), soybean meal at 3015.14 yuan/ton (up 1.59%), and wheat at 2441.67 yuan/ton (up 0.46%) [3][47] Summary by Sections Pet Industry - The pet food sector is experiencing growth and price increases, with domestic brands gaining recognition and leading companies continuing to grow. Recommended companies include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [4][74] Pig Farming Sector - The pig farming sector is entering a destocking phase, with the industry capacity cycle having bottomed out. The recent policy-driven destocking is expected to realign the supply-demand relationship, leading to a long-term profit uptrend post-destocking. Recommended companies include Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuffs [4][70] Feed and Planting Chain - The planting chain is showing positive fundamentals with an upward trend in grain prices. Recommended companies include Suqian Agricultural Development, Beidahuang, Hainan Rubber, Qiule Seed Industry, Longping High-Tech, and Denghai Seed Industry [4][70] Poultry Sector - The white feather broiler price is 7.12 yuan/kg, down 2.06% week-on-week, while chick prices have dropped significantly due to weak demand and high temperatures affecting restocking [34][34]

证券代码：601952 证券简称：苏垦农发 公告编号：2025-036 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.21元 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | 差异化分红送转： 否 一、 通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 江苏省农垦农业发展股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告 1. 实施办法 （1）除自行发放对象外，无限售条件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司 通过其资金清算系统向股权登记日上海证券交易所收市后登记在册并在上海证券 交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。已办理指定交易的投资者可于红利发 放日在其指定的证券营业部领取现金红利，未办理指定交易的股东红利暂由中国 结算上海分公司保管，待办理指定交易后再进行派发。 本次利润分配方案经公司202 ...

Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.21 yuan per share, totaling 289,380,000 yuan based on a total share capital of 1,378,000,000 shares [1][2] - The dividend distribution plan was approved at the annual shareholders' meeting on May 14, 2025 [1] - The record date for the dividend is June 26, 2025, with the ex-dividend date and last trading date both on June 27, 2025 [1] Dividend Distribution Details - The cash dividend will be distributed to all shareholders registered with the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch, after the market closes on the record date [1] - The company will not issue bonus shares or increase share capital as part of this distribution, meaning the total share capital remains unchanged [2] - For individual shareholders holding shares for more than one year, the cash dividend is exempt from personal income tax [2][3] Taxation Policies - For shares held for less than one month, the dividend income is fully taxable at a rate of 20% [3] - For shares held between one month and one year, 50% of the dividend income is taxable at a rate of 10% [3] - For qualified foreign institutional investors (QFII), a 10% withholding tax will be applied to the dividend [3][5] Additional Information - The company will not withhold corporate income tax for other institutional investors, who are responsible for determining their own tax obligations [6] - Shareholders can contact the board office for any inquiries regarding the dividend distribution [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [4]. Core Insights - The recent decline in pig prices has led to increased resistance from the breeding sector, with large producers gradually easing their selling pace. However, high temperatures have weakened terminal demand, resulting in low slaughter volumes and insufficient consumer support [1][22]. - The corn and soybean meal prices have risen, while wheat prices have decreased. The corn market is buoyed by a decrease in circulation due to the wheat harvest, and soybean supply remains ample due to favorable weather conditions in major production areas [2][44]. - The natural rubber price has increased, supported by tightening supply due to weather impacts on production and recovering demand from tire manufacturers [62]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector outperformed the market, with the sector index rising by 1.62% compared to a 0.25% decline in the Shanghai Composite Index [13]. - The sub-sectors showed varied performance, with livestock farming and animal health sectors increasing by 3.92% and 1.13%, respectively, while planting and feed sectors experienced declines [13][18]. 2. Key Data Tracking - The average price of live pigs was reported at 14.02 yuan/kg, down 0.21% week-on-week, while the average price of piglets fell by 4.69% to 32.89 yuan/kg [21][22]. - The average weight of slaughtered pigs decreased to 128.82 kg, and the national frozen meat inventory rate increased to 13.89% [22]. - White feather broiler prices dropped to 7.27 yuan/kg, and chick prices fell to 2.74 yuan each, reflecting a weak market for poultry [31][21]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For the pig farming sector, the report suggests that the industry capacity cycle has bottomed out, and with ongoing policy support for inventory reduction, a long-term profit uptrend is expected post-inventory clearance. Recommended stocks include Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff [3][71]. - The report also highlights opportunities in the planting chain due to the upward trend in grain prices, recommending stocks like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [3][71]. - In the pet food sector, the report notes ongoing growth and price increase logic, recommending companies such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co [3][71].

Quantitative Factors and Models Summary Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. **Factor Name**: DL_EM_Dynamic - **Construction Idea**: Extract intrinsic stock attributes from public fund holdings using matrix decomposition, and combine these attributes with LSTM-generated factor representations to create a dynamic market state factor[19][21]. - **Construction Process**: - Matrix decomposition is applied to fund-stock investment networks to derive intrinsic attributes of funds and stocks. - Static intrinsic attributes are updated semi-annually using fund reports and transformed into dynamic attributes by calculating their similarity to the market's current style preferences. - These dynamic attributes are combined with LSTM outputs and fed into an MLP model to enhance factor performance[19][21]. - **Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures dynamic market preferences and improves model performance[19][21]. 2. **Factor Name**: Meta_RiskControl - **Construction Idea**: Integrate factor exposure control into deep learning models to mitigate risks during rapid style shifts, leveraging meta-incremental learning for market adaptability[25][28]. - **Construction Process**: - Multiply model outputs by corresponding stock factor exposures and include this in the loss function. - Add penalties for style deviation and momentum to the IC-based loss function. - Use an ALSTM model with style inputs as the base model and apply a meta-incremental learning framework for periodic updates[25][28]. - **Evaluation**: The factor reduces style deviation and volatility, effectively controlling model drawdowns[25][28]. 3. **Factor Name**: Meta_Master - **Construction Idea**: Incorporate market state information into the model, leveraging deep risk models and online meta-incremental learning to adapt to dynamic market conditions[35][37]. - **Construction Process**: - Use deep risk models to calculate new market states and construct 120 new features representing market preferences. - Replace the loss function with weighted MSE to improve long-side prediction accuracy. - Apply online meta-incremental learning for periodic model updates, enabling quick adaptation to recent market trends[35][37]. - **Evaluation**: The factor demonstrates significant improvements in long-side prediction accuracy and market adaptability[35][37]. 4. **Factor Name**: Deep Learning Convertible Bond Factor - **Construction Idea**: Address the declining excess returns of traditional convertible bond strategies by using GRU neural networks to model the complex nonlinear pricing logic of convertible bonds[50][52]. - **Construction Process**: - Introduce convertible bond-specific time-series factors into the GRU model. - Combine cross-sectional attributes of convertible bonds with GRU outputs to predict future returns[50][52]. - **Evaluation**: The factor significantly enhances model performance compared to traditional strategies[50][52]. Factor Backtesting Results 1. **DL_EM_Dynamic Factor** - **RankIC**: 12.1% (May 2025)[9][12] - **Excess Return**: 0.6% (May 2025), 10.4% YTD[9][23] - **Annualized Return**: 29.7% (since 2019)[23] - **Annualized Excess Return**: 23.4% (since 2019)[23] - **IR**: 2.03[23] - **Max Drawdown**: -10.1%[23] 2. **Meta_RiskControl Factor** - **RankIC**: 12.8% (May 2025)[9][14] - **Excess Return**: -0.7% (HS300), 0.8% (CSI500), 0.5% (CSI1000) in May 2025; 3.0%, 4.8%, and 8.3% YTD respectively[9][30][34] - **Annualized Return**: 20.1% (HS300), 26.1% (CSI500), 34.1% (CSI1000) since 2019[30][32][34] - **Annualized Excess Return**: 15.0% (HS300), 19.2% (CSI500), 27.0% (CSI1000) since 2019[30][32][34] - **IR**: 1.58 (HS300), 1.97 (CSI500), 2.36 (CSI1000)[30][32][34] - **Max Drawdown**: -5.8% (HS300), -9.3% (CSI500), -10.2% (CSI1000)[30][32][34] 3. **Meta_Master Factor** - **RankIC**: 14.7% (May 2025)[9][17] - **Excess Return**: -0.5% (HS300), 0.5% (CSI500), 0.4% (CSI1000) in May 2025; 4.2%, 3.3%, and 5.0% YTD respectively[38][44][47] - **Annualized Return**: 22.0% (HS300), 23.8% (CSI500), 30.7% (CSI1000) since 2019[38][44][47] - **Annualized Excess Return**: 17.5% (HS300), 18.2% (CSI500), 25.2% (CSI1000) since 2019[38][44][47] - **IR**: 2.09 (HS300), 1.9 (CSI500), 2.33 (CSI1000)[38][44][47] - **Max Drawdown**: -7.2% (HS300), -5.8% (CSI500), -8.8% (CSI1000)[38][44][47] 4. **Deep Learning Convertible Bond Factor** - **Absolute Return**: 1.7% (偏股型), 2.6% (平衡型), 1.7% (偏债型) in May 2025[52][55] - **Excess Return**: 0.1% (偏股型), 1.0% (平衡型), 0.2% (偏债型) in May 2025[52][55] - **Annualized Return**: 13.2% (偏股型), 11.8% (平衡型), 12.7% (偏债型) since 2021[52][55] - **Annualized Excess Return**: 5.8% (偏股型), 4.0% (平衡型), 4.4% (偏债型) since 2021[52][55]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" for the agricultural sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.03 percentage points during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with the index closing at 2,682.22, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.91% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.05 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.43% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.89% [2] - The poultry sector is seeing stable chick prices but weak adjustments in meat chicken prices due to high inventory levels in downstream slaughtering [2] - In the agricultural products segment, wheat and soybean meal prices are weak, while japonica rice prices have increased [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector index rose by 0.91% and ranked 20th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The fishery sector showed the best performance with a 1.34% increase, followed by planting, feed, agricultural product processing, and breeding sectors [1][17] 2. Industry Key Data 2.1 Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is 14.05 yuan/kg, down 2.43% week-on-week and down 23.89% year-on-year [2] - Self-breeding profits are at 33.83 yuan/head, a decrease of 1.82 yuan/head week-on-week, while profits from purchased piglets are at -120.80 yuan/head, down 36.43% week-on-week [2] 2.2 Poultry - The average price of meat chicken chicks is 2.84 yuan/chick, down 1.05% week-on-week, and the price of white feather meat chickens is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week [2] 2.3 Agricultural Products - The average price of wheat is 2,433.61 yuan/ton, down 0.82% week-on-week; japonica rice is at 2,876.00 yuan/ton, up 0.42% week-on-week; and soybean meal is at 2,940.00 yuan/ton, down 0.54% week-on-week [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the aquaculture feed industry due to the upcoming sales peak in summer and rising prices of certain fish species [4] - In pig farming, companies with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths are recommended, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, attention is drawn to integrated industry leaders like Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock for their stable expansion and cost advantages [4] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and Hefeng Stock are highlighted for benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are recommended for their focus on food security [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months compared to the market benchmark index [5][76]. Core Insights - The report highlights a short-term pressure on pig prices due to weak demand and increased supply, driven by policy measures aimed at reducing inventory and weight in the industry [1][4][23]. - The report suggests that the industry capacity cycle has bottomed out, and after the inventory reduction phase, a long-term profit uptrend is expected [4][73]. - The agricultural sector is experiencing mixed price movements, with corn prices rising while soybean meal and wheat prices are declining [2][48]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The agricultural, forestry, and fishery sector underperformed the market, with the sector index rising by 0.91% compared to the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.13% increase [14]. - The report notes a decline in pig prices, with the average price at 14.05 yuan/kg, down 2.90% week-on-week [22][23]. 2. Key Data Tracking - The average weight of pigs at slaughter is reported at 129.17 kg, with a slight decrease of 0.01% week-on-week [22][23]. - The average price of white feather broiler chickens is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week, while chick prices are at 2.84 yuan/bird, down 1.05% [33][48]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For the pig farming sector, companies such as Juxing Agriculture, Shennong Group, Muyuan Foods, and Wens Foodstuff are recommended for investment [4][73]. - The report also suggests focusing on companies in the feed and animal health sectors, such as Haida Group and Ruipu Biological, as their performance is expected to improve [4][73]. - In the planting chain, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are highlighted as having significant investment opportunities due to the upward trend in grain prices [4][73]. 4. Commodity Prices - Corn prices have increased to 2387.84 yuan/ton, a rise of 0.34% week-on-week, while soybean meal and wheat prices have decreased by 1.50% and 0.86%, respectively [2][48]. - The report notes a decline in natural rubber prices, with futures at 13695 yuan/ton, down 1.05% week-on-week, influenced by supply and demand dynamics [3][63].