Company Performance - On February 26, ZTO Express (ZTO.N) experienced a stock decline of 3.82% in the US market, while its Hong Kong counterpart (02057.HK) fell by 2.88%, reflecting a broader market downturn where the Nasdaq index dropped by 1.92% [1] - On February 25, ZTO Express announced a share buyback of 617,600 shares at a cost of $15.26 million, with prices ranging from $24.52 to $25.15 per share. Despite being a positive signal, the buyback did not mitigate the overall market pressure [1] Industry Trends - According to a report by Guohai Securities, the express delivery industry saw a year-on-year increase of 5.40% in shipment volume during the first eight weeks of 2026. However, due to the timing of the Spring Festival, the shipment volume in the first three weeks of February declined by 28.35% year-on-year [1] - The competition within the industry is shifting from quantity to quality, with leading companies expected to achieve performance and valuation recovery, although short-term data fluctuations may impact market expectations [1] Capital Flow - On February 26, ZTO Express in Hong Kong experienced a net capital outflow of HKD 3.8232 million. While there was a net inflow of HKD 121 million from institutional investors, retail investors withdrew HKD 124 million, indicating some retail investors chose to exit [2]

几块钱包邮背后的商业逻辑：淘宝、拼多多不亏的秘密 打开淘宝、拼多多，五块九的发卡、九块九的数据线、十几块的家居好物，清一色标注"免费包邮"，难免让人疑惑：普通消费者寄一件快递就要10-20元， 商家卖这么便宜还包邮，难道真的不赔钱？其实，这绝非商家的"慈善行为"，而是一场由平台、商家、快递公司共同参与的精密商业游戏，背后藏着规模经 济、成本控制、流量运营的多重逻辑，低价都有其合理的商业支撑。 物流成本真相：规模之下的超低价合作 快递费并非凭空消失，而是在海量订单的支撑下，被压缩到了普通人难以想象的水平。淘宝、拼多多等头部电商平台，每天的订单量以数千万计，部分热门 商家单月发货量就能突破十万件，这种规模优势让他们拥有了与快递公司议价的绝对话语权。 普通消费者寄一件跨省快递，费用通常在10-15元，而大型电商商家通过签订长期大额合同，能将单件快递费压至2-5元，部分短途件甚至低至1元左右。快 递公司之所以愿意接受如此低的价格，核心在于"薄利多销"：海量订单能让运输、分拣、派送的单位成本大幅降低，一辆货车装满货物的运输成本，分摊到 每件商品上微乎其微。此外，电商订单多为标准化包裹，收件地址集中、分拣效率高，进一步降 ...

普通人寄件可能需要支付十到二十元的快递费，但对于淘宝上某个月销量达到十万件的商家而言，他们 直接与快递公司签订巨额合同，单件运费可能仅需两元。这种规模效应带来的成本优势，是小型卖家望 尘莫及的。这便是第一个秘密：大型电商平台的物流成本，远低于我们的想象。 手机屏幕上五块九包邮的商品，总会勾起我们内心深处的疑问：这怎么可能？区区几块钱，运费又该如 何承担？商家真的不赔本吗？这样的困惑，我们每个人都曾有过。在淘宝、拼多多等电商巨头的麾下， 几块钱就能买到商品还免费送货，这几乎成了日常。然而，这背后并非商家慷慨，而是一场精心策划的 商业博弈。 为什么这些电商平台会默许商家如此"疯狂"的操作？难道快递费用真的凭空消失了吗？让我们一起揭开 这层神秘的面纱，探究这些大型电商平台究竟在玩什么花样。 快递费的真实存在毋庸置疑，但电商平台与快递公司之间的合作，远比我们普通消费者所见的要复杂得 多。淘宝、拼多多等平台，日均订单量以百万计，高峰时一天可达数千万。面对如此庞大的体量，快递 企业能否与之达成一份颇具吸引力的价格协议？答案显而易见。 然而，仅凭低廉的物流成本，尚不足以完全解释为何商品还能实现包邮。我们需要进一步审视这些商 ...

行 业 及 产 业 交通运输/ 物流 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 相关研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 王易 A0230525050001 wangyi@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 范晨轩 A0230525070003 fancx@swsresearch.com 联系人 王易 A0230525050001 wangyi@swsresearch.com 2026 年 02 月 26 日 行业高质量发展，看好快递量价表 现 看好 ——快递行业点评 - ⚫ AI 替代进程加快，快递行业作为灵活就业的重要"蓄水池"，末端权益保障政策有望 带动末端派费企稳回升，单票价格进入修复通道，企业盈利弹性逐步释放，看好行业高 质量发展下头部企业利润、份额双集中，推荐圆通速递、中通快递，关注申通快递、极 兔速递、顺丰控股。 ⚫ 行业需求韧性较强，快递企业加速复工复产。根据交通运输部数据，2025 年 12 月 29 日至 2 ...

中通快递-W(02057)发布公告，于2026年2月25日该公司斥资1526.02万美元回购61.76万股，回购价格为 每股24.52-25.15美元。 ...

智通财经APP讯，中通快递-W(02057)发布公告，于2026年2月25日该公司斥资1526.02万美元回购61.76 万股，回购价格为每股24.52-25.15美元。 ...

呈交日期： 2026年2月26日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02057 | 說明 | A類普通股 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | | 事件 | | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 | | | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 | | 行股份（不包括庫存股 | | ...

上市公司端：1月圆通业务量增速领先，顺丰业务量持续调优 业务量方面：1月快递业务量圆通速递29.43亿件、申通快递25.40亿件、韵达股份22.31亿件、顺丰控股 13.86亿件，从业务量增速来看，圆通29.75%>申通25.57%>韵达10.83%，单价方面：1月快递单票价格 顺丰控股14.72元(环比+0.91元)、圆通速递2.25元(同比-0.10元，环比持平)、申通快递2.35元(同比+0.29 元，环比+0.02元)、韵达股份2.15元(同比+0.13元，环比持平)。 其中，顺丰控股1月平均单价环比提升0.91元，从规模驱动进阶至价值驱动，有助于公司利润率修复;圆 通速递业务量高增，预计主要系春节错期及业务结构调整影响，1月平均单价同比下降0.10元;申通快递 业务量高增主要系春节错期及2025年11月并表丹鸟物流影响;韵达股份1月单价同比提升0.13元，预计系 业务结构调整带动。 投资建议 智通财经APP获悉，国海证券发布研报称，2026年前八周合计快递揽收量327.34亿件，同比+5.40%，快 递业务量稳步增长，维持快递物流板块"推荐"评级。2025年快递行业竞争格局加速分化，随着行业持续 推 ...

Group 1: Online Subscription Revenue Growth and AI Development - NetEase Cloud Music - Adjusted operating profit increased by over 30% year-on-year, indicating continuous improvement in profitability [3][4] - In 2025, revenue reached 7.759 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a more cautious operational strategy in social entertainment services [3] - The number of paid users increased, driving online music subscription revenue growth, with 2025 online music business revenue at 5.994 billion yuan, up 12.0% year-on-year [5][6] Group 2: Price Increase in Overseas MDI and Polyurethane Market Outlook - Wanhua Chemical - Major overseas manufacturers have raised MDI prices, indicating a potential price increase trend in the market [9][10] - As of February 24, 2026, domestic MDI prices were 13,900 yuan/ton, with TDI prices at 14,900 yuan/ton, showing stability compared to pre-Spring Festival levels [10] - The report anticipates a recovery in polyurethane demand post-Spring Festival, supported by low inventory levels [12] Group 3: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Suzuki - From FY2014 to FY2024, Suzuki's motorcycle production increased from 1.799 million units to 2.042 million units, with a CAGR of approximately 1.3% [14] - The company's motorcycle revenue grew from 250.5 billion yen to 398.1 billion yen during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 4.7% [15] - Suzuki's global motorcycle market share for FY2023 is estimated at around 4% [18] Group 4: Movie Industry Performance and Trends - The 2026 Spring Festival box office reached 5.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 39.9% due to high base effects [20][21] - The number of attendees during the Spring Festival was 119 million, down 36.3% year-on-year, with an average ticket price of 47.8 yuan, a decrease of 6.1% [21] - The report highlights strong performance in lower-tier markets, with a significant share of box office revenue coming from these areas [21] Group 5: Motorcycle Industry Analysis - Honda - Honda's motorcycle sales revenue increased from 1.85 trillion yen to 3.22 trillion yen from FY2015 to FY2024, with a CAGR of approximately 6.37% [25] - The company's motorcycle sales volume grew from 17.59 million units to 18.82 million units during the same period, with a CAGR of approximately 0.75% [26] - Honda's global motorcycle market share is approximately 40% [29] Group 6: Express Logistics Industry Trends - In the first eight weeks of 2026, the total express delivery volume reached 32.734 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [36][37] - YTO Express led the growth in business volume, with a year-on-year increase of 29.75% in January [38] - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the express logistics sector, anticipating steady growth in business volume [40] Group 7: Engineering Machinery - Shantui - Shantui is positioned as a leading enterprise in bulldozers, focusing on smart, high-end, and globalized products [45][46] - The company expects revenue growth driven by increased infrastructure investment in Southeast Asia and mining capital expenditure in Africa [46][47] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 15.4 billion, 17.4 billion, and 20.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.61 billion, and 1.93 billion yuan [49]

智通财经APP讯，中通快递-W(02057)发布公告，于2026年2月24日该公司斥资1547.06万美元回购61.78 万股，回购价格为每股24.67-25.21美元。 ...