OpenAI新一轮融资规模已成为决定AI板块交易逻辑的关键变量。最新传言称融资额或高达1700亿美元，但英伟达已澄清 出资规模不及预期，直接冲击供应商甲骨文3000亿美元合同履约。为填补缺口，OpenAI正寻求巨头支持：软银洽谈追加 投资最高300亿美元，亚马逊也在接触参与本轮融资。 硬·AI 作者 | 董 静 编辑 | 硬 AI 分析指出， 如今，随着核心投资方出资意愿的调整，投资者开始质疑OpenAI是否有能力支付这笔天文数 字般的费用，以及甲骨文将其全额计入账目的会计处理是否审慎。 报道指出，目前，甲骨文正面临两难境地： 一方面需通过发行股票筹集资金以捍卫其投资级信用评级，另 一方面则需应对股价自去年9月高点腰斩后的股东稀释担忧。 01 融资规模存在巨大不确定性 OpenAI本轮融资的最终规模，是决定AI产业链资金流向的"胜负手"。 2月2日，社交平台X上流传出的最新市场传闻称，OpenAI下一轮融资额可能高达1500亿至1700亿美元， 这一乐观预期被视为整个AI综合体（AI complex）能否继续飙升的燃料。 OpenAI能否顺利完成新一轮巨额融资，已不仅是其自身的生存问题，更成为了决定整个AI板 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates that Grab's risk-reward profile has become more attractive following a significant stock price correction, with a recommendation to consider the investment [4]. Core Insights - The report aligns with the views of CITIC Lyon Research, suggesting that Grab's recent stock price decline has been excessive, and the fundamentals remain strong despite a 15% year-to-date price drop due to macroeconomic concerns and regulatory measures in Indonesia [4][5]. - Grab's total gross merchandise value (GMV) is expected to continue its growth momentum from record levels in 2025, with both ride-hailing and food delivery businesses projected to achieve mid to high double-digit growth [4]. - Concerns regarding the Indonesian government's potential cap on motorcycle commission rates at 10% may be overstated, as Grab's motorcycle business only accounts for approximately 18% of its total GMV [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Grab operates across eight countries with approximately 80,000 square meters of leased office space, offering a wide range of services from ride-hailing to food delivery, financial services, and enterprise solutions [8]. - Nearly 50% of Grab's total GMV comes from food delivery, while ride-hailing and financial services contribute 26% and 25%, respectively [8]. Financial Metrics - As of February 2, 2026, Grab's stock price is $4.41, with a market capitalization of $19.88 billion [9]. - The average daily trading volume over the past three months is $258.99 million, with a market consensus target price of $6.40 [9]. Catalysts - Potential catalysts for Grab's growth include exceeding expectations in total transaction value for food delivery and ride-hailing, higher-than-expected monetization rates, and acquisitions that could enhance profitability [6].

人工智能（AI）基础设施建设正助力掀起一轮存储"超级周期"，投资巨头和科技巨头正在争先布局这一赛道。软银集团周二表示，其子公司Saimemory已 与英特尔公司达成合作，共同开发一种新型存储芯片技术。 据悉，双方已于当地时间2月2日签署合作协议，共同将ZAM（Z-Angle Memory）商业化。ZAM是一种具有高容量、高带宽和低功耗特性的下一代内存 技术。 根据这项合作协议，Saimemory将借助英特尔的下一代DRAM（动态随机存取存储器）组装技术，并计划在至少2028年初之前完成原型产品的开发。更具 体地说，Saimemory的目标是在2027财年创建原型，并在2029财年实现商业化。 软银在一份声明中表示，该技术的开发旨在用于人工智能数据中心。鉴于运行生成式人工智能模型需要强大的计算能力，高速内存是人工智能数据中心的 关键组成部分。 当下，AI大模型训练算力需求正呈指数级增长，数据中心能耗问题已然成为行业痛点。传统HBM等高带宽内存虽可提升数据传输效率，但功耗问题始终 难以攻克。例如，有数据显示，在谷歌的AI数据中心里，HBM内存单元的功耗占比高达35%，散热成本更是逐年攀升。 而软银与英特尔此次联手 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ability of OpenAI to secure a new round of substantial financing is not only critical for its survival but also a key variable influencing the trading logic of the entire AI sector [1]. Group 1: Financing Uncertainty - OpenAI's upcoming financing round is expected to be between $150 billion and $170 billion, which could significantly impact the AI complex's growth trajectory [2]. - The actual progress of the financing is uncertain, as Nvidia's internal doubts have stalled a previously disclosed intention to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI [3]. - OpenAI is seeking additional support from other major investors, including SoftBank, which is negotiating a further investment of up to $30 billion after previously investing $22.5 billion [3]. Group 2: Oracle's Exposure - Oracle's relationship with OpenAI is seen as a reflection of the cyclical nature of AI investments, with Oracle facing significant risk exposure due to a $300 billion contract with OpenAI [4]. - Oracle's remaining performance obligations (RPO) amount to $523 billion, which is approximately nine times its revenue over the past four quarters, including the $300 billion contract with OpenAI [4]. - The accounting treatment of this contract is under scrutiny, as it can only be included in RPO if management deems collection "probable" [4]. Group 3: Oracle's Financial Strategy - Oracle is planning to issue up to $20 billion in common stock as part of a broader strategy to raise $45 billion to $50 billion for expanding its cloud infrastructure [6]. - This move, while potentially dilutive to shareholders, is viewed as a prudent measure given the uncertainties surrounding AI transactions [6]. - Oracle's credit rating is currently under negative watch by S&P and Moody's, with some of its debt trading near junk bond levels, indicating rising market concerns [6].

"用火箭帮助AI融资。"北大新闻传播学院教授胡泳评价xAI与SpaceX的合并，"基本上是讲资本故事， 我称之为'科幻金融化'"。 2026年2月3日，xAI与SpaceX以迅雷不及掩耳之势完成合并，距离相关传闻不到一周时间，合并后的实 体估值1.25万亿美元，一个太空算力的叙事完成闭环。 外媒援引知情人士的消息，称交易金额为2500亿美元。 合并传闻之前，市场讨论最多的即2026年SpaceX上市——计划通过IPO融资规模高达500亿美元，估值 约1.5万亿美元。 "单纯的'火箭'+'卫星'公司很贵。"先后投资了SpaceX、Neuralink、Anthropic和xAI的私募机构Brilliant Phoenix Al合伙人芦义说。 芦义认为，这种合并在叙事上更加性感，更有想象力。 "加入xAI和Grok后，立刻变成'太空+AI+全球通信+宇宙理解'的超级故事。" 作为马斯克旗下最重要的两家私营公司，xAI负责人工智能业务，SpaceX则规划了移民火星的愿景，两 家公司都有探索人类未来的远大目标，不过现阶段共同面临着单一叙事难以为继的问题。 在人工智能市场与OpenAI、Anthropic等独角兽以及谷歌 ...

【导读】日韩股市走高，韩国综合股价指数一度涨超4% 昨日恐慌性抛售大跌后，今日开盘韩国股市大幅走高。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市·三 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 三星电子 | 159500 | 6.05% | 944.18万亿 | | 005930.KS | | | | | SK海力士 | 884000 | 6.51% | 643.55万亿 | | 000660.KS | | | | | 三星生物制剂 | 1719000 | 0.47% | 122.35万亿 | | 207940.KS | | | | | 现代汽车 | 483000 | 1.05% | 98.90万亿 | | 005380.KS | | | | | LG新能源 | 386500 | 1.71% | 90.44万亿 | | 373220.KS | | | | | SK SQUARE | 536000 | 6.14% | 71.04万亿 | | 402340.KS | | | | | 韩华宇航 | 1296000 | 4.60% | 66.83万亿 | | 012450.KS | | | | 消息面上 ...

Group 1 - Nvidia's proposed investment of up to $100 billion in OpenAI has stalled due to internal concerns, leading to a reconsideration of their partnership structure [1][2] - The discussions now involve a potential equity investment in the tens of billions as part of OpenAI's latest funding round, rather than the initially announced larger sum [1] - Nvidia had initially planned the substantial investment to support OpenAI's acquisition of advanced chips and enhance its capacity for training and operating new AI models [2] Group 2 - Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described the original $100 billion commitment as non-binding and not finalized, raising concerns about OpenAI's business practices and competition from other tech firms [2][3] - Other major players, including Amazon and SoftBank Group, are also seeking partnerships with OpenAI, with Amazon reportedly negotiating an investment that could reach $50 billion [3] - OpenAI is currently aiming to raise up to $100 billion in funding, which would give it an estimated valuation of around $830 billion [3] Group 3 - The original agreement between Nvidia and OpenAI involved deploying ten gigawatts (GW) of Nvidia systems for AI infrastructure development, with initial operations expected in the second half of 2026 [4] - Nvidia was intended to serve as OpenAI's main provider of computing and networking solutions, collaborating with partners such as Microsoft, Oracle, SoftBank, and Stargate [5]

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观深度报告 ◼ 市场表现回顾： ◼ 事件驱动盘点： ◼ 指数后市展望： ◼ 风险提示： 1)行业政策或监管环境突变；2)宏观经济不及预期；3)发生重大预期外的事 件。 金融产品深度报告 20260202 纳斯达克 100ETF，1 月复盘与 2 月展望 2026 年 02 月 02 日 [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐遥衎 执业证书：S0600524120016 tangyk@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 2026-02-01 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 走势复盘：2026 年 1 月，纳斯达克 100 指数月度上涨 1.20%，整体震荡 向上。上旬弱经济数据强化宽松预期，推动指数上行；中旬因 PPI 超预 期、鲍威尔遭调查及特朗普地缘言论等风险集中爆发，引发指数调整； 下旬政治危机缓和，财报季验证 AI 与半导体需求强劲，但高位 PPI 及 特朗普提名鹰派美联储主席候选人重燃政策疑虑，导致指数回调。 ...

最新回应。 针对英伟达与OpenAI的千亿美元大单谈崩的消息，英伟达CEO黄仁勋近日在台湾接受采访时透露，外界称他对OpenAI不满"纯属无稽之谈"。他同时透 露，英伟达会对OpenAI进行一笔巨额投资，"这可能是我们有史以来规模最大的一笔投资"。 否认对OpenAI不满 透露将巨额投资 去年9月22日，英伟达与OpenAI签署意向书，通过建立战略合作伙伴关系，OpenAI将使用英伟达系统构建并部署至少10吉瓦AI数据中心，为OpenAI的新 一代AI基础设施投入数以百万计的GPU。为支持双方的合作，随着每一吉瓦的部署，英伟达计划逐步向OpenAI投资高达1000亿美元。 然而，该项备受关注的战略合作协议，近期却被曝出"几乎停滞"。有消息称，黄仁勋私下坦言，千亿美元合作协议其实是非约束性的，并未最终敲定。更 有爆料称，他还私下批评OpenAI商业打法缺乏纪律、节奏混乱。 对此，黄仁勋近日在台湾接受采访时否认了对OpenAI不满传闻，表示相信OpenAI是这个时代最具影响力的公司之一，还称他很喜欢与OpenAI首席执行官 山姆·奥特曼一起工作。 针对英伟达投资OpenAI，黄仁勋回应称，英伟达会对OpenAI进 ...

闻乐 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI "完全胡说八道！" 都在传英伟达和OpenAI的千亿美元世纪大单谈崩了、黄仁勋私下吐槽奥特曼无能、烧钱无度，不少人猜测这对AI圈的黄金搭档要闹掰。 结果才过不到24小时，黄仁勋就直接强势回应： No Sense！ 老黄街头接受采访时不仅打破传闻，还大方表态：我非常欣赏奥特曼。 结果不到24小时，老黄就在街头采访时强势回应：假的，我非常喜欢和奥特曼合作。 我们会对OpenAI进行一笔巨额投资。没错，我相信OpenAI，他们是我们这个时代最具影响力的公司之一，我很喜欢和Sam合作。 OpenAI正在完成融资，我们绝对会参与其中。我们将投入大量的资金，这可能是我们有史以来规模最大的一笔投资。 总之，他的意思是 英伟达肯定要投OpenAI最新一轮融资 ，而且这笔钱大概率还是 有史以来最大的一笔投资 。 突然被爆合作停滞 2025年9月，英伟达和OpenAI在加州总部高调签下意向书，最高1000亿美元投资，外加共建至少10GW的AI数据中心。 这规模什么概念？ 10GW电力相当于整个纽约市高峰用电量。老黄当时豪气冲天，喊出"史上最大算力项目"，英伟达股价应声上涨4% ...