Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The automotive sector is experiencing a significant shift with the introduction of Tesla's Robotaxi strategy, focusing on a dual-seat Cybercab to address 90% of travel scenarios [5][13] - Tesla has disclosed that approximately 1.1 million Full Self-Driving (FSD) paid users account for about 12% of its total vehicle sales, with a year-on-year growth of 38% [14] - The Shanghai government has introduced a subsidy for replacing old vehicles with new energy vehicles, offering an 8% subsidy on the purchase price, capped at 15,000 yuan [14] - The National Energy Administration plans to establish 28 million charging facilities by the end of 2027, expected to drive over 200 billion yuan in investments [15] - The global humanoid robot shipment is projected to increase by 508% in 2025, with Chinese manufacturers leading the market [20][22] Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the market, with the A-share automotive index declining by 4.67%, ranking 29th among primary industries [6][25] - The passenger vehicle index fell by 1.84%, while the commercial vehicle index decreased by 1.21% [6] - The automotive parts index saw a decline of 6.82%, with various segments experiencing different levels of performance [6] Investment Recommendations - For passenger vehicles, there is an unexpected demand in the domestic high-end luxury market, with recommendations for Jianghuai Automobile and Seres, while Geely Automobile is identified as a beneficiary [7] - In the automotive parts sector, profitability is expected to improve, with recommendations for Desay SV, Zhejiang Xiantong, Meili Technology, and others, while Weichai Power and others are seen as beneficiaries [7]

证券研究报告 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2026年2月1日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 板块最新观点 整车主线周报： 本周商用载货车表现较好，长城发布业绩预告 2 （ ◼ 乘用车观点更新：短期来看，行业补贴政策已落地，看好观望需求转化下26Q1乘用车景气度复苏，坚定看好乘 用车板块。全年维度来看：国内选抗波动+出口选确定性。国内关注高端电动化赛道中对政策扰动不敏感的个股 江淮汽车，以及高端化有望放量的吉利汽车/长城汽车/北汽蓝谷/赛力斯/理想等；出口主线优先配置海外体系 成熟、执行能力已验证的头部车企，优选比亚迪/长城汽车/奇瑞汽车，以及零跑/小鹏/上汽集团/长安汽车等。 ◼ 重卡观点更新：回顾2025：2025年，25年全年批发114.4万，同比+26.8%，内销79.9万，同比+32.8%，出 口34.1万，同比+17.2%，全年内销及出口超市场年初预期。25年初国四及以下营运重卡保有量69万辆，估算 25年底淘汰至45-50万辆，25年全年淘汰21万辆，25年全年内销政策拉动+自然需求回升共振。展望2026： ...

Group 1 - The top ten stocks with net financing purchases on January 30 include: Lanke Technology (342 million), China Aluminum (336 million), Shijia Photon (210 million), Zhaoyi Innovation (207 million), Dongcai Technology (167 million), Jianghuai Automobile (165 million), Longi Green Energy (109 million), Sikan Technology (94.385 million), Hongda Shares (88.6549 million), and Fuling Power (87.6586 million) [1]

Group 1: Industry Overview - In January 2026, major Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers reported mixed results in new car sales, with some companies showing year-on-year growth while others experienced significant declines compared to December 2025 [1] - BYD's January sales exceeded 210,000 units, marking a year-on-year decrease of 30.11%, while Huawei's HarmonyOS Smart Driving saw a remarkable year-on-year increase of 65.6% in deliveries [1][4] - The China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) maintains an optimistic outlook for 2026, projecting a retail growth rate of approximately 10% for new energy vehicles [1] Group 2: Company Performance - Leap Motor delivered 32,059 electric vehicles in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 27.37%, but a month-on-month decline of 46.94% [2] - NIO reported January deliveries of 27,182 vehicles, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 96.08% but a month-on-month drop of 43.53% [2] - Li Auto's January deliveries reached 27,668 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.55% and a month-on-month decrease of 37.47% [3] - Xpeng Motors delivered 20,011 vehicles in January, a year-on-year decline of 34.07% and a month-on-month decrease of 46.65% [3] Group 3: Future Projections - Leap Motor aims for a sales target of 1 million units in 2026, emphasizing the need for efficiency and cost awareness in a competitive market [2] - NIO's 2026 sales target is set between 456,000 and 489,000 units, with a focus on achieving profitability [2] - Li Auto plans to achieve annual sales of 550,000 units in 2026, with a goal to regain its leading position in extended-range electric vehicles [3] - Xpeng Motors targets annual sales of 550,000 to 600,000 units in 2026, representing a growth of approximately 28% to 40% compared to 2025 [3] Group 4: Market Trends - The total number of new energy vehicles in China reached 43.97 million by the end of 2025, accounting for 12.01% of the total vehicle population [8] - The proportion of pure electric vehicles within the new energy segment stands at 68.74%, with 30.22 million units registered [8] - Experts predict that the ownership of new energy vehicles in China will continue to rise significantly starting in 2026 [8]

Group 1: Industry Overview - In January 2026, major Chinese electric vehicle manufacturers reported mixed results in new car sales, with some companies showing year-on-year growth but a noticeable decline compared to December 2025 deliveries [1] - BYD's January sales exceeded 210,000 units, representing a year-on-year decrease of 30.11% [4] - The China Passenger Car Association (CPCA) maintains an optimistic outlook for 2026, predicting a retail growth rate of approximately 10% for new energy vehicles [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers - Leap Motor delivered 32,059 vehicles in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 27.37% but a month-on-month decline of 46.94% [2] - NIO reported January deliveries of 27,182 vehicles, marking a year-on-year increase of 96.08% but a month-on-month decrease of 43.53% [2] - Li Auto's January deliveries reached 27,668 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.55% but a month-on-month drop of 37.47% [3] - Xpeng Motors delivered 20,011 vehicles in January, showing a year-on-year decline of 34.07% and a month-on-month decrease of 46.65% [3] Group 3: Huawei and Xiaomi Developments - Huawei's HarmonyOS Smart Mobility achieved significant growth with January deliveries of 57,915 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 65.6% [4] - Xiaomi announced January deliveries exceeding 39,000 vehicles, with a target of 550,000 units for the entire year of 2026 [8] Group 4: Market Statistics - As of the end of 2025, the total number of new energy vehicles in China reached 43.97 million, accounting for 12.01% of the total vehicle population [10] - The number of newly registered new energy vehicles in 2025 was 12.93 million, representing 49.38% of all new vehicle registrations, with a year-on-year increase of 14.93% [10]

行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -10% 0% 10% 19% 29% 38% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 汽车 沪深300 汽车研究团队 邓健全（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525090003 赵悦媛（联席首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790525100003 行业重点新闻 （1）特斯拉 Robotaxi 战略揭秘：双座 Cybercab 主攻九成出行场景，Model Y/Robovan 补位；（2）特斯拉首次披露 FSD 付费用户数据：约 110 万人，占公 司累计车辆销量约 12%；（3）上海推出汽车置换更新补贴：购买新能源车补贴 车价 8%，最高不超 1.5 万元；（4）国家能源局：2027 年底将建成 2800 万个充 电设施，预计拉动投资 2000 亿元以上；（5）文远知行发布通用仿真模型 WeRide GENESIS，几分钟即可构建仿真城市环境；（6）玉柴发布全球首个飞轮增程技 术品牌，最高发电效率突破 4.8kWh/L；（7）潍柴超 10 万台份额超 50%，龙擎/ 玉柴领涨，燃气重卡动力 2025 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive industry, focusing on new energy vehicles and related technologies [1]. Core Insights - The automotive market is currently experiencing a cautious atmosphere, with stakeholders observing the recovery of terminal demand and the impact of policies and costs on profitability. Short-term fluctuations in the non-ferrous sector are affecting pricing negotiations in the upstream and midstream segments. The report suggests monitoring factors that could lead to a rebound in vehicle sales in Q1, including retail and export performance, while remaining optimistic about the automotive parts sector, particularly in areas like intelligent driving, liquid cooling, and robotics [1][3]. Data Tracking - In late January, the industry discount rate decreased to 9.5%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.6 percentage points but a month-on-month decrease of 0.1 percentage points. The average discount amount was 21,541 yuan, up by 1,294 yuan year-on-year but down by 718 yuan month-on-month [3]. - December saw a decline in wholesale and retail sales of passenger vehicles, with wholesale sales at 2.85 million units, down 8.7% year-on-year and 6.3% month-on-month. Retail sales of domestic passenger vehicles were 2.28 million units, down 16.8% year-on-year but up 13.7% month-on-month [3]. - The report highlights specific automotive companies to watch, including Geely, JAC Motors, and BYD, with Geely being favored due to its low valuation and expected better-than-expected performance in domestic sales [5]. Industry News - In January, the China Passenger Car Association reported that the automotive industry generated revenues of 1,117.96 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%, while costs rose by 8.1% to 984.98 billion yuan, resulting in a profit of 46.1 billion yuan, up 0.6% [31]. - The report notes significant developments in the electric vehicle sector, including a partnership between a Vietnamese manufacturer and BYD to establish a commercial electric vehicle battery factory, and the launch of new electric models by various companies [31][32]. - The report also mentions the implementation of new national standards for automotive steering systems and automatic emergency braking systems, which are expected to enhance safety and technology in the industry [31][32].

Core Viewpoint - The market remains cautious, observing the recovery of terminal demand and the impact of policies and costs on profitability, with increased volatility in the non-ferrous sector affecting short-term pricing in the upstream and midstream segments [1] Investment Recommendations - **Complete Vehicles**: Recommended stocks include Geely Automobile, JAC Motors, and BYD. Geely is favored due to its low valuation of over 6 times, with expectations of better-than-expected domestic profitability. JAC's S800 model shows stable order performance, and the company plans to launch 2-3 new models this year [2] - **Auto Parts**: - Robotics sector continues to be a catalyst, with recommendations for Foresight Technology, Minth Group, Top Group, Yinlun Machinery, Haoneng Co., Shuanghuan Transmission, and New Spring Co., with a suggestion to pay attention to Joyson Electronics - AI/Smart Driving is a key area with potential supply order catalysts from policy support and Nvidia's involvement, recommending Horizon Robotics and Hesai Technology, while suggesting to monitor SOTERIA, Black Sesame Technologies, and Pony.ai - Liquid cooling orders are clear, with continued recommendations for Minth Group, Yinlun Machinery, and Lingyun Industrial, and a suggestion to watch Feilong Co. [2] - **Heavy Trucks**: Weichai Power has shown strong performance, reflecting market recognition of its position in AIDC diesel engines and natural gas generators, with continued recommendations. Concerns over short-term shareholder reductions in China National Heavy Duty Truck have dissipated, suggesting a focus on fundamentals [2] Data Tracking - In late January, industry discounts decreased month-on-month, with a discount rate of 9.5%, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year and down 0.1 percentage points month-on-month. The discount amount was 21,541 yuan, up 1,294 yuan year-on-year and down 718 yuan month-on-month [3] - December wholesale and retail sales of passenger vehicles declined year-on-year, with wholesale sales at 2.85 million units, down 8.7% year-on-year and 6.3% month-on-month. Retail sales of domestic passenger vehicles were 2.28 million units, down 16.8% year-on-year but up 13.7% month-on-month [3] Market Performance - The automotive sector saw a decline of 5.12% this week, ranking 28th out of 29 sectors. The overall index performance included a decrease of 0.44% for the Shanghai Composite Index, an increase of 0.08% for the CSI 300, and a decrease of 0.09% for the ChiNext Index. The automotive index's performance included a drop of 5.12% for the automotive sector, 6.70% for parts, 3.64% for passenger vehicles, 1.10% for commercial vehicles, and 3.42% for circulation services [6]

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 汽车 2026 年 02 月 01 日 汽车行业周报（20260126-20260201） 有色波动影响中上游短期议价，继续看好新产 推荐（维持） 业方向 1 月下旬行业折扣环比下降（油车为主）。折扣率 9.5%，同比+0.6PP（1/25），环比-0.1PP （1/10）。折扣金额 21,541 元，同比+1,294 元（1/25），环比-718 元（1/10）。折扣率变 动环比较大的主流品牌：WEY+1.6PP、北京奔驰-1.5PP、上汽通用别克-1.3PP、长安启源 +1.2PP、长安马自达-0.8PP。 12 月乘用车批发、零售销量同比下滑。12 月乘用车批发 285 万辆，同比-8.7%，环比- 6.3%，狭义乘用车批发 283 万辆，同比-8.4%，环比-6.1%；国产乘用车零售 228 万辆， 同比-16.8%，环比+13.7%；乘用车出口销量 64 万辆，同比+50.5%，环比+2.8%；估算库 存变动-7.4 万辆，同比-4 万辆，环比-48 万辆。 截至 2026 年 1 月 30 日， 证监会审核华创证券投资咨询业务资格批文号：证监许可（2009）121 ...

Market Overview - The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with significant fluctuations in sectors and individual stocks, such as the liquor sector experiencing a sharp rise mid-week and the metals sector facing a substantial pullback on the last trading day, causing market panic[1] - The frequent and extreme rotation in the market increases the risk of chasing trends, suggesting that maintaining a mid-term position may be wiser[1] Investment Strategy - The report emphasizes the importance of "buying new, not old; buying big, not small" as a strategy for selecting strong themes in investment[1][2] - The current market environment is characterized by low relative gains, good safety margins, and high certainty in main categories, making it a favorable time to focus on thematic investment opportunities[1] Thematic Investment Insights - Historical data indicates that thematic investments thrive during periods of weak fundamentals and ample liquidity, with active themes often emerging when industrial profits and macroeconomic indicators are low[1][15] - The report identifies key themes for 2026, including AI, humanoid robots, and commercial aerospace, which are expected to gain traction due to technological breakthroughs and supportive policies[1][14] Mid-Cap Performance - The CSI 500 index has shown relative strength this year, attributed to precise industry allocation matching the recovery cycle, market capitalization fitting institutional needs, and liquidity supporting large capital participation[2][26] - As of January 29, 2026, the average market capitalization of the CSI 500 is 39.481 billion yuan, positioning it uniquely between large-cap and small-cap stocks, providing both a buffer and an accelerator during market adjustments[2][31] Sector Analysis - The CSI 500's sector distribution is dominated by hardware (12.07%), non-ferrous metals (9.51%), and chemicals (7.67%), contrasting with the CSI 300's focus on finance and consumer sectors, highlighting a "manufacturing + technology" growth profile[2][35] - The report suggests that the cyclical recovery in manufacturing, indicated by a PMI of 50.18%, and supportive monetary policies will benefit mid-cap growth stocks within the CSI 500[2][39] Risk Considerations - Potential risks include unexpected macroeconomic policies, global liquidity fluctuations, and geopolitical tensions, which could impact market stability[1][4]