2025 年 6 月 13 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 总量研究 【宏观】美国通胀压力何时显现？——2025 年 5 月美国 CPI 数据点评 5 月，美国通胀环比增速不升反降，低于市场预期：一是，受贸易争端的担忧和 OPEC+ 增产影响，能源价格低位运行；二是，企业通过抢进口、消化关税成本等方式，短期 稳定商品价格。目前仅有局部领域涨价，而权重较高的服装、汽车价格仍在下跌；三 是，关税生效前居民消费提前释放，同时关税冲击消费者信心，居民出行需求明显走 弱，4 月以来酒店、机票、娱乐等服务价格持续下跌。 行业研究 【基化】扬帆新材子公司车间着火，持续关注光引发剂行业供需格局优化——石化化 工交运行业日报第 77 期（20250612）(增持) 投资建议：（1）持续看好低估值、高股息、业绩好的"三桶油"及油服板块。建议 关注：中国石油、中国石化、中国海油、中海油服、海油工程、海油发展；（2）持 续看好国产替代趋势下的材料企业，国产半导体材料、面板材料有望受益，建议关注： 晶瑞电材、彤程新材、奥来德；（3）看好农药化肥及民营大炼化板块，建议关注： 万华化学、华鲁恒升、华锦股份；（4）看好维生素及蛋氨酸板块 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses recent developments in the nylon industry, highlighting both opportunities and challenges, particularly focusing on the production of key raw materials like hexamethylenediamine (HMD) and the impact of domestic production capabilities in China [1]. Group 1: Industry Developments - BASF has successfully launched a new world-class HMD facility in Chalampé, France, increasing its production capacity to 260,000 tons [2]. - BASF's acquisition of a 49% stake in the joint venture with Dommer Chemical in Alsachimie allows it to fully own a facility that produces key precursors for polyamide, including adipic acid and HMD [2][3]. - The main production route for HMD is the adiponitrile method, with major players like Invista, Ascend, and BASF dominating the global market [4]. Group 2: Domestic Production in China - China has made significant breakthroughs in domestic adiponitrile technology, with seven companies now capable of producing a total capacity of 1.265 million tons, and an expected additional capacity of 2.58 million tons in the next five years [5]. - China Pingmei Shenma Group has launched a 100,000 tons/year HMD facility, marking a significant reduction in reliance on imported raw materials [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The price of HMD has been affected by domestic production, tariff policies, and overcapacity, leading to a divergence where international prices rise while domestic prices fall [7]. - The low operating rate of PA66 will influence HMD prices, and the potential for PA66 price decreases to stimulate exports and growth in high-end applications remains uncertain [8].

6月12日，A股市场整体涨跌互现。 4.融发核电主力资金净流入8.84亿元居首 截至收盘，上证指数收报3402.66点，上涨0.01%，深证成指收报10234.33点，下跌0.11%，创业板指数收报2067.15点，上涨 0.26%，北证50指数下跌0.25%。A股市场合计成交13037.61亿元，较上一交易日增加169亿元。 1. A股市场全天资金净流出92.69亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出48.78亿元，尾盘净流出3.05亿元，全天净流出92.69亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | | 2025-6-12 | -92. 69 | -48. 78 | -3.05 | -5.42 | | 2025-6-11 | -49.92 | 2. 07 | -4. 27 | -5. 39 | | 2025-6-10 | -359.72 | -100. 98 | 11. 07 | -156. 42 | | 2025-6-9 | -2. 3 ...

6月12日，A股市场整体涨跌互现。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3402.66点，上涨0.01%，深证成指收报10234.33点，下跌0.11%，创业板指数收报2067.15点，上涨 0.26%，北证50指数下跌0.25%。A股市场合计成交13037.61亿元，较上一交易日增加169亿元。 沪深300今日主力资金净流入3.96亿元，创业板净流出33.04亿元，科创板净流出7.48亿元。 | | 各板块最近五个交易日主力资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 沪深300 | 创业板 | 科创板 | | 2025-6-12 | 3.96 | -33.04 | -7.48 | | 2025-6-11 | -3.46 | -25.13 | 11. 72 | | 2025-6-10 | -60. 60 | -168. 34 | -1.82 | | 2025-6-9 | -0. 84 | 9.11 | -10. 31 | | 2025-6-6 | -42. 14 | -85. 39 | 1. 27 | | | 尾盘资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | | 2025-6 ...

Market Overview - The FTSE China A50 Index showed mixed performance with the liquor industry declining, banking stocks fluctuating, and the oil sector strengthening [1] Industry Performance Liquor Industry - Major companies like Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye experienced declines in stock prices, with Moutai down by 1.42% [3] - Market capitalizations: Kweichow Moutai at 1,832.79 billion, Shanxi Fenjiu at 212.09 billion, and Wuliangye at 475.50 billion [3] Banking Sector - China Pacific Insurance, Ping An Insurance, and China Life Insurance had varying stock performances, with Ping An up by 1.12% [3] - Market capitalizations: China Pacific Insurance at 998.10 billion, Ping An at 3,750.19 billion, and China Life at 346.91 billion [3] Semiconductor Industry - Companies like Northern Huachuang and Cambrian Technologies saw stock price changes, with Northern Huachuang down by 3.01% [3] - Market capitalizations: Northern Huachuang at 215.92 billion, Cambrian at 252.48 billion, and Haiguang Information at 316.32 billion [3] Oil Industry - The oil sector showed strength with companies like China Petroleum and China Shipping experiencing slight gains [3] - Market capitalizations: China Petroleum at 1,625.23 billion, China Shipping at 714.13 billion [3] Coal Industry - China Shenhua and Shaanxi Coal experienced declines, with Shenhua down by 2.04% [3] - Market capitalizations: China Shenhua at 191.19 billion, Shaanxi Coal at 77.52 billion [3] Electric Power Industry - Companies like Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power had slight increases in stock prices [4] - Market capitalizations: Yangtze Power at 191.08 billion, China Nuclear Power at 83 billion [4] Internet Services - Dongfang Wealth saw a stock price increase of 0.74% [4] - Market capitalization at 738.69 billion [4] Consumer Electronics - Companies like Industrial Fulian and Luxshare Precision had mixed performances, with Industrial Fulian up by 1.27% [4] - Market capitalizations: Industrial Fulian at 410.28 billion, Luxshare at 230.80 billion [4] Logistics Industry - SF Holding experienced a significant increase of 4.01% in stock price [4] - Market capitalization at 286.86 billion [4] Construction Industry - China State Construction had a market capitalization of 517.20 billion with a stock price increase of 4.29% [4]

2025 年 6 月 12 日 晨会速递 分析师点评 市场数据 数据来源：Wind, Bloomberg 行业研究 【基化】化工企业近期事故频发，建议关注尼龙及特种尼龙产业链——石化化工交运 行业日报第 76 期（20250611）(增持) 投资建议：（1）持续看好低估值、高股息、业绩好的"三桶油"及油服板块。建议 关注：中国石油、中国石化、中国海油、中海油服、海油工程、海油发展；（2）持 续看好国产替代趋势下的材料企业，国产半导体材料、面板材料有望受益，建议关注： 晶瑞电材、彤程新材、奥来德；（3）看好农药化肥及民营大炼化板块，建议关注： 万华化学、华鲁恒升、华锦股份；（4）看好维生素及蛋氨酸板块，建议关注：安迪 苏、浙江医药、新和成。 风险分析：原材料快速下跌和维持高位、下游需求不及预 期风险。 | | A 股市场 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证综指 | 3402.32 | 0.52 | | 沪深 300 | 3894.63 | 0.75 | | 深证成指 | 10246.02 | 0.83 | | 中小板指 | 6414.1 | 0.87 | | ...

Group 1: Policy Release - The report includes three domestic policies related to the bio-based industry released in May 2025, focusing on carbon reduction projects [7][18]. - Key projects include a 110,000-ton biodegradable polyester rubber demonstration project and a 1 million-ton waste oil processing sustainable aviation fuel project [8][19]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The report highlights two domestic bio-based chemical company updates, including a 120 million yuan investment in a lactic acid production demonstration line by Heilongjiang Guoke Bio-based New Materials [9][20]. - Wanhu Chemical has established a new company focusing on food additives, with a registered capital of 200 million yuan [10]. Group 3: Capital Events - Several financing events in the bio-based sector are reported, including a multi-million yuan investment in Senqi New Materials for bio-based high barrier film materials [11][22]. - Other notable investments include a joint investment exceeding 100 million yuan in Juyuan Bio for recombinant collagen [22]. Group 4: Scientific Research Progress - Significant breakthroughs in bio-based materials research are noted, including a study on lignin-derived carbon improving catalytic performance [12][23]. - Research on a new type of printable conductive "E-skin" with antibacterial properties has been developed, mimicking slime mold characteristics [12][23]. Group 5: Upcoming Events - The Fourth Synthetic Biology and Green Bio-manufacturing Conference will be held from August 20-22, 2025, in Jinan, Shandong, focusing on the development trends of the bio-manufacturing industry [25][26].

Core Insights - The overall brand communication effectiveness of Shandong listed companies showed improvement in April 2025, with an average INC index of 588.49, reflecting a 0.43% increase from March [1][3] - The company with the highest increase in ranking was Zhongchuang Logistics Co., Ltd., which rose by 156 positions, while Zhiyang Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. experienced the largest drop, falling by 132 positions [1] INC Index Overview - The INC index, or Internet Communication Influence Index, serves as a quantitative evaluation system for brand communication effectiveness in the digital age [2] - The index evaluates dimensions such as communication breadth, heat, online attention, and official website presentation [2] Industry Level Analysis - The average INC index of 588.49 indicates that most brands in the industry are maturing and gaining more attention, with both brand voice and social concern on the rise [3] - The skewness coefficient of the INC index is 0.77, indicating a moderate right-skewed distribution, where a few units exhibit outstanding communication influence, enhancing the overall industry INC level [3] Communication Breadth Analysis - The average communication breadth index for April was 2.73, categorized as "standard level" [5] - Eight companies achieved the highest level (5), including Qingdao Beer Co., Ltd. and Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. [5] - A total of 68 companies reached level 4 ("upgraded level"), while 212 companies were at level 3 ("standard level") [5] Communication Heat Analysis - The average communication heat index was 2.36, also at the "standard level" [6] - Five companies reached the highest level (5), including Qingdao Beer Co., Ltd. and Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. [7] - A total of 50 companies achieved level 4, indicating strong activity and high information engagement [7][8] Online Attention Analysis - The average online attention index was 1.6, categorized as "regional attention" [9] - 107 companies reached level 3 or above ("national attention"), including Qingdao Beer Co., Ltd. and Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. [10] - 114 companies were at the lowest level ("sporadic attention"), indicating low brand awareness [10] Official Website Presentation Analysis - The average official website presentation index was 1.08, below the "standard level" [11] - Two companies achieved the highest level (5), including Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. [12] - A total of 176 companies were at the lowest level ("deep water level"), indicating poor website visibility [12]

金十图示：2025年06月11日（周三）富时中国A50指数成分股午盘收盘行情一览：证券、石油行业走强，银行股涨跌不一 保险 R 中国人保 中国太保 中国平安 咖啡 3701.55亿市值 3417.15亿市值 9900.90亿市值 24.63亿成交额 5.07亿成交额 6.20亿成交额 35.52 54.37 8.37 +0.64(+1.83%) +0.94(+1.76%) +0.05(+0.60%) 酸酒行业 贵州茅台 山西汾酒 五粮液 18645.12亿市值 2170.80亿市值 4846.96亿市值 29.50亿成交额 11.07亿成交额 7.71亿成交额 1484.25 177.94 124.87 +9.24(+0.63%) +0.48(+0.39%) +1.12(+0.63%) 半导体 北方华创 寒武纪-U 海光信息 HYGON 2226.12亿市值 3165.52亿市值 2519.64亿市值 7.68亿成交额 29.28亿成交额 9.26亿成交额 416.74 603.57 136.19 +1.68(+0.28%) -5.79(-4.08%) -0.26(-0.06%) 汽车整车 铁路公路 比亚迪 ...

Core Viewpoint - The demand for maleic anhydride in China is expected to grow significantly due to policy support for biodegradable plastics and advancements in technology, with production projected to reach 1.409 million tons by 2024, while the market size is anticipated to reach 8.379 billion yuan [1][4][6]. Group 1: Industry Definition and Classification - Maleic anhydride (MA) is a key organic compound, ranking third among anhydrides globally, primarily used in the production of unsaturated polyester resins and various chemical intermediates [2][4]. - The production methods for maleic anhydride can be classified based on raw materials, catalyst bed state, and post-treatment processes [2]. Group 2: Current Industry Status - Domestic maleic anhydride production capacity has remained high and stable, with production reaching 907,000 tons in 2019, although it lags behind the overcapacity in phthalic anhydride [4]. - The market faced challenges before 2020 due to environmental regulations and reduced demand from the real estate sector, leading to an oversupply situation [4]. - In 2020, demand for maleic anhydride increased significantly due to government policies promoting biodegradable plastics, with production capacity expected to grow [4][6]. Group 3: Industry Supply and Demand - By 2024, China's maleic anhydride production is projected to be 1.409 million tons, with a demand of 1.212 million tons, indicating a significant increase in both production and demand compared to previous years [4][10]. - The export volume is expected to reach 198,000 tons in 2024, reflecting a growth of 53,000 tons from 2023 [10]. Group 4: Industry Chain - The maleic anhydride industry chain involves raw material supply, production processing, and application markets, with upstream materials primarily sourced from petrochemical and coal chemical industries [8]. - The main production methods include n-butane oxidation and benzene oxidation, with n-butane oxidation being the dominant method due to its cost-effectiveness and environmental advantages [8]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - Major domestic producers include Hengli Petrochemical, Qixiang Tengda, and Wanhua Chemical, with Hengli Petrochemical becoming the largest maleic anhydride producer globally with a capacity of 840,000 tons per year [12][13]. - Qixiang Tengda holds a 15% market share in domestic maleic anhydride production and 56% of the export market share, with projected revenues of 25.219 billion yuan in 2024 [15]. - Yuxin Co., Ltd. has a production capacity of 150,000 tons per year and is expanding its production capabilities, with a focus on technological innovation [17]. Group 6: Future Development Trends - The maleic anhydride market is expected to see increased competition as new companies enter the market, driven by advancements in production technology and environmental policies [19]. - The demand for maleic anhydride is anticipated to grow steadily due to its applications in high-tech fields and the increasing emphasis on environmentally friendly products [19].