Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this industry [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish trend in precious metals, particularly silver, which has recently surpassed $100 per ounce, suggesting a continuation of the metal bull market [2]. - The report notes that macroeconomic factors, including geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions, are influencing metal prices, with a general upward trend observed across various metals [3][4][5][9]. Summary by Sections Precious Metals - Silver prices have surged, breaking the $100 mark, while gold is approaching $5000 per ounce, driven by increased market risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions [2]. - Key companies to watch include Xinyi Silver, Shengda Resources, and Zijin Mining [2]. Industrial Metals - Copper inventories have increased, with global copper stocks rising by 69,000 tons, indicating a potential supply-demand imbalance [3]. - The report mentions ongoing labor strikes affecting copper production in Chile, which could exacerbate market tensions [3]. - Suggested companies for investment include Zijin Mining and Western Mining [3]. Aluminum - The aluminum market is experiencing short-term price fluctuations due to macroeconomic policies and supply chain issues, with production capacity remaining stable [4]. - Companies to consider include China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum [4]. Nickel - Nickel prices have risen by 4.7% to 148,010 yuan per ton, influenced by supply disruptions in Indonesia and macroeconomic liquidity [5]. - Recommended companies include Huayou Cobalt and Ganfeng Lithium [5][8]. Tin - Tin prices are supported by macroeconomic factors and supply chain bottlenecks, with demand from the electronics sector showing signs of recovery [8]. - Key companies include Hunan Tin and Yunnan Tin [8]. Lithium - Lithium prices continue to rise, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 177,000 yuan per ton, driven by pre-holiday stockpiling and supply disruptions [9]. - Companies to watch include Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [9]. Cobalt - Cobalt prices have decreased by 3.7% to 437,000 yuan per ton, with supply disruptions easing but demand from downstream sectors weakening [10]. - Suggested companies include Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [10].

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 周四，美国至 1 月 17 日当周初请失业金人数 20 万人，预 期 21 万人，前值由 19.8 万人修正为 19.9 万人。美国第三季度 实际 GDP 年化季率终值 4.4%，预期 4.30%，前值 4.30%。美 国第三季度实际个人消费支出季率终值 3.5%，前值 3.5%。美 国第三季度核心 PCE 物价指数年化季率终值 2.9%，预期 2.9% ，前值 2.90% 。美国 11 月核心 PCE 物价指数月率 0.2%，预期 0.20%。美国 11 月个人支出月率 0.5%，预期 0.50%。 [Table_Summary] 报告摘要: ►贵金属：地缘扰动叠加央行购金，贵金属价格持续 突破历史新高 本周 COMEX 黄金上涨 8.30%至 4,983.10 美元/盎司， COMEX 白银上涨 14.80%至 103.26 美元/盎司。SHFE 黄金上 涨 8.07% 至 1,115.64 元 / 克 ，SHFE 白银上涨 11.04% 至 24,965.00 元/千克。 本周金银比下跌 5.66%至 48.26。本周 SPDR 黄金 ETF 持 仓增加 27,574.43 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The gold-silver ratio has broken through 50, indicating that precious metals are likely to lead industrial metals in accelerating price increases. Recent significant price increases in silver reflect a broader trend of rising physical metal prices as a response to the weakening trust in fiat currency systems [7][12] - The long-term debt cycle is entering its late stage, with rising physical metal prices signaling a loss of confidence in existing fiat currency systems. This trend is expected to continue, with precious metals likely to set new historical price records in 2026 [12] - Zinc is viewed as an overlooked foundational material in the context of de-globalization, with favorable supply-demand dynamics suggesting continued price increases. The report highlights the potential for increased demand from re-industrialization efforts in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [13] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical concerns, with China's electrolytic aluminum industry poised to enjoy valuation premiums due to its supply chain security and competitive advantages [13] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the potential for precious metals to lead industrial metals in price increases, driven by a breakdown in the gold-silver ratio and a late-stage long-term debt cycle [7][12] - Specific investment opportunities include companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) and others in the precious metals sector [7] Zinc Sector - The report identifies zinc as a critical material in the context of re-industrialization, with supply constraints and increasing demand expected to drive prices higher [13] Aluminum Sector - The report highlights the competitive advantages of China's electrolytic aluminum industry, which is expected to benefit from geopolitical tensions and supply chain security [13] Steel Sector - The steel industry is currently facing weak fundamentals as it approaches the seasonal low period before the Spring Festival, with expectations for policy measures to support the industry [14] - Steel production and consumption metrics indicate a slight increase in iron output but a decrease in rebar demand, reflecting a mixed outlook for the sector [19][26] New Energy Metals - The report notes significant increases in lithium and cobalt prices, with production metrics showing substantial year-on-year growth in lithium carbonate output [37][46] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures indicating continued growth in the sector [41] Industrial Metals - The report discusses the overall upward trend in industrial metal prices, driven by political policy risks and supply reduction expectations [56] - Specific metrics indicate rising copper production and declining refining fees, suggesting a tightening supply environment [57]

洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司于1月23日完成对加拿大Equinox Gold公司在巴西的Aurizona金矿、 RDM金矿及Bahia综合体三项金矿资产的收购交割，此次并购仅用时40天。该交易涉及的金矿资产合计 包含黄金资源量501.3万盎司，平均品位为1.88克/吨；黄金储量387.3万盎司，平均品位为1.45克/吨。洛 阳钼业表示，上述金矿资源量较大，基础设施完善，选矿工艺成熟，盈利能力较强，收购完成即可为公 司贡献产量和利润，预期投资回报期短，经济效益良好，预计该资产2026年将实现6吨至8吨黄金的产 量。这是洛阳钼业继2025年6月完成对厄瓜多尔奥丁金矿并购后的又一黄金布局，连同交割完成的巴西 金矿，将共同构成公司当前的南美黄金资源组合，助力推动公司"铜+黄金"战略落地。洛阳钼业董事长 兼首席投资官刘建锋表示，依托公司在巴西近十年的深耕运营经验以及在管理、技术和协同方面的综合 优势，实现了此次收购的高效推进和快速落地，下一步公司将加快管理整合，推动项目进一步释放产能 并兑现价值。公司还于1月19日发行12亿美元H股可转债，为后续并购提供充足资金，未来将持续加强 资源获取能力，推动黄金业务的长期稳健发展 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [5] Core Insights - The gold-silver ratio has broken through 50, indicating that precious metals are likely to lead industrial metals in accelerating price increases. Recent significant price increases in silver reflect a broader trend of rising physical metal prices as a response to the weakening trust in fiat currency systems [7][12] - The long-term debt cycle is entering its late stage, with rising physical metal prices signaling a loss of confidence in existing fiat currency systems. This trend is expected to continue into 2026, with precious metals likely to set new historical price records [12] - Zinc is identified as an overlooked material in the context of de-globalization, with favorable supply-demand dynamics suggesting continued price increases. The report highlights the potential for increased demand from re-industrialization efforts in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [13] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical concerns, with China's electrolytic aluminum industry poised to enjoy valuation premiums due to its supply chain security and competitive advantages [13] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the importance of precious metals in preserving wealth amid a declining trust in fiat currencies, recommending active investment in this sector [12] Zinc Sector - The report suggests that zinc, as a fundamental material for de-globalization, will see increased demand driven by infrastructure needs in emerging markets, despite current market skepticism [13] Aluminum Sector - The electrolytic aluminum industry in China is expected to benefit from enhanced supply chain security and competitive advantages, with a positive outlook for profitability and valuation [13] Steel Industry - The steel sector is currently facing weak fundamentals as it approaches the seasonal low around the Spring Festival, with expectations for policy measures to support the industry [14] - Steel production has seen a slight increase, but demand for rebar is weakening, indicating a mixed outlook for the sector [19] New Energy Metals - Lithium and carbonate prices have shown significant increases, with production levels rising sharply, indicating strong demand in the new energy vehicle sector [37][41] - The report notes a substantial increase in the production of lithium carbonate and hydroxide, reflecting the growing demand for electric vehicles [37] Industrial Metals - The report indicates that political risks and supply constraints are contributing to an overall increase in industrial metal prices, with copper production expected to rise despite declining refining fees [56][57]

Market Overview - Gold prices are nearing the $5000 mark, with spot gold closing at $4986.13 per ounce, up 1.04% [3][8] - Silver has entered the "three-digit" era, closing at $100.23 per ounce, a significant increase of 7.34% [3][8] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.84%, closing at 97.46, marking the largest weekly decline since June of the previous year [3][8] Oil Prices - International oil prices have rebounded due to increased sanctions on Iranian oil shipments by the U.S. government, with WTI crude oil closing at $61.39 per barrel, up 2.81%, and Brent crude at $66.08 per barrel, up 2.72% [4][8] Stock Market Performance - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.58%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite rose slightly by 0.03% and 0.28% respectively [4][8] - Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 0.45% at 26749.51 points, with significant trading activity in the commercial aerospace and precious metals sectors [5][8] - A-shares also experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.33% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.79%, driven by strong performances in the photovoltaic equipment sector [6][8] Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has taken strict actions against illegal activities related to Rui Feng Da, indicating a tightening regulatory environment [3][17] - There are rumors regarding tightened listing requirements for companies going public in Hong Kong, which have been denied, confirming that there are no changes to the overseas listing policies [3][17]

金矿类公司业绩大幅预喜 1月25日晚，招金黄金间披露2025年度业绩预告。公司预计2025年全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润为1.22亿元至1.82亿元，同比扭亏。业绩变动的主要原因为公司子公司斐济瓦图科拉金矿有限公司积 极推进技改工作，增产增效，叠加报告期内黄金价格上涨因素，因此报告期内毛利润有较大幅度的提 高。 1月25日晚，湖南黄金披露2025年度业绩预告。公司预计2025年全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润 约12.7亿元至16.08亿元，同比增长50%至90%。报告期内，业绩上涨主要是公司金、锑、钨产品销售价 格同比上涨。 1月25日晚，招金黄金、湖南黄金发布2025年全年业绩预增公告。受益于金价持续上涨，金矿类上市公 司业绩出现明显增长。 值得注意的是，虽然金价位于高位，但上市公司对金矿的扩张脚步并未停歇。1月25日晚，湖南黄金披 露了发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。同日，洛阳钼业披露关于收购金矿项目完成交 割的公告。 华西证券研报认为，美联储货币政策的预期依然是决定金价趋势的主要因素，而地缘政治冲突、对美元 信用担忧，则成为加大金价涨幅的新催化剂。此外，全球央行的持续购金行为， ...

近日，招金黄金（000506）、湖南黄金（002155）等上市公司披露的2025年年报业绩预告显示，受益于 金价持续上涨，手握金矿的上市公司业绩水涨船高。值得注意的是，虽然金价持续飙升，但上市公 司"跑马圈地"的脚步并未停歇，湖南黄金、洛阳钼业（603993）等公司对外公告，购买金矿类资产。 ● 本报记者 董添 1月25日晚，湖南黄金对外披露发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。上市公司拟通过发 行股份方式购买交易对方湖南黄金集团、天岳投资集团持有的黄金天岳合计100%股权，及湖南黄金集 团持有的中南冶炼100%股权，并向不超过35名符合中国证监会规定条件的特定投资者发行股份募集配 套资金。 本次交易前，湖南黄金主要负责黄金及锑、钨等有色金属矿山的开采、选矿，金锑钨等有色金属的冶炼 及加工，黄金、精锑的深加工及有色金属矿产品的进出口业务等。标的公司黄金天岳主要从事万古矿区 的矿权整合、勘探，以及部分金矿的采选及销售，主要产品为金精矿。标的公司中南冶炼主营业务聚焦 高砷、高硫等难处理金精矿的专业化冶炼加工，业务体系涵盖原料收购、冶炼加工、产品销售及技术服 务一体化：原料端收购金精矿及有色金属原料；冶炼中 ...

近日，招金黄金、湖南黄金等上市公司披露的2025年年报业绩预告显示，受益于金价持续上涨，手握金 矿的上市公司业绩水涨船高。值得注意的是，虽然金价持续飙升，但上市公司"跑马圈地"的脚步并未停 歇，湖南黄金、洛阳钼业等公司对外公告，购买金矿类资产。 ● 本报记者 董添 金矿类公司业绩大幅预喜 招金黄金1月25日晚间对外披露的2025年度业绩预告显示，预计2025年全年实现归属于上市公司股东的 净利润为1.22亿元至1.82亿元，同比扭亏。业绩变动的主要原因为，子公司斐济瓦图科拉金矿有限公司 积极推进技改工作，增产增效，叠加报告期内黄金价格上涨，因此毛利润有较大幅度的提高。 无独有偶。同日晚间，湖南黄金对外披露的2025年业绩预告显示，公司预计2025年全年实现归属于上市 公司股东的净利润约12.7亿元至16.08亿元，同比增长50%至90%。报告期内，业绩上涨主要是公司金、 锑、钨产品销售价格同比上涨。 在此之前，赤峰黄金、紫金矿业等多家手握金矿的上市公司业绩均大幅预喜。 洛阳钼业1月25日晚间披露关于收购金矿项目完成交割的公告。公告显示，公司于2025年12月15日披露 《洛阳栾川钼业集团股份有限公司关于收购金 ...

1月25日晚，招金黄金、湖南黄金发布2025年全年业绩预增公告。受益于金价持续上涨，金矿类上市公 司业绩出现明显增长。 值得注意的是，虽然金价位于高位，但上市公司对金矿的扩张脚步并未停歇。1月25日晚，湖南黄金披 露了发行股份购买资产并募集配套资金暨关联交易预案。同日，洛阳钼业披露关于收购金矿项目完成交 割的公告。 华西证券研报认为，美联储货币政策的预期依然是决定金价趋势的主要因素，而地缘政治冲突、对美元 信用担忧，则成为加大金价涨幅的新催化剂。此外，全球央行的持续购金行为，为稳定金价底部提供有 力支撑。 金矿类公司业绩大幅预喜 1月25日晚，招金黄金间披露2025年度业绩预告。公司预计2025年全年实现归属于上市公司股东的净利 润为1.22亿元至1.82亿元，同比扭亏。业绩变动的主要原因为公司子公司斐济瓦图科拉金矿有限公司积 极推进技改工作，增产增效，叠加报告期内黄金价格上涨因素，因此报告期内毛利润有较大幅度的提 高。 1月25日晚，洛阳钼业披露关于收购金矿项目完成交割的公告。公司于2025年12月15日披露《洛阳栾川 钼业集团股份有限公司关于收购金矿项目的公告》，公司通过控股子公司收购加拿大上市公司Equ ...