每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2026 年 3 月 2 日星期一 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指料守 26,000 點：美國和以色列空襲伊朗，伊朗隨後向以色列以及與 美國有聯繫的多個中東國家發動襲擊作為報復，美伊緊張局勢升級。另外， 美國總統特朗普去年對多國徵收緊急關稅，遭到最高法院推翻，但相信特 朗普很大機會透過其他途徑再對外加徵關稅，以維持原先強硬貿易政策立 場，並在 3 月訪華前爭取談判籌碼。3 月企業陸續公布業績，需留意商品 價格上漲，或為企業盈利帶來壓力。AI 高速發展顛覆企業營運模式，科網 股股價走勢兩極化，重磅平台龍頭動力不足，拖累科指續尋底，亦牽制大 市上升空間。AI 行情變化如新品發布、技術升級，以及平台龍頭在業績期 對資本開支、競爭格局的表態，料為短期市場焦點。全國兩會將於 3 月 4、5 日舉行，有關經濟增長目標、赤字率等細節公布，以及會前政策預 期升溫，冀為港股提供支持，恒指料守 26,000 點。 短期看好板塊 企業消息 外圍市況展望 美國聯儲局1月維持利率不變，符合預期。聯儲局對經濟的判斷趨正面， 會後聲明指經濟活動正穩步擴張，並刪除了先前勞動力市場疲弱風險 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ubisoft has experienced a significant decline in its market position and share value, dropping 90% since early 2022, primarily due to management decisions and failed acquisitions [10]. Company Overview - Ubisoft is a France-based video game publisher known for popular franchises such as Assassin's Creed, Rainbow Six, and Far Cry [1]. Acquisition Context - In early 2022, the video game acquisition market intensified, with Take-Two acquiring Zynga and Microsoft buying Activision Blizzard at substantial premiums [2]. - Ubisoft's CEO indicated openness to buyout offers in February 2022, and by April, the company was reportedly attracting meaningful buyout interest [4]. Tencent's Investment - In September 2022, Tencent's increased stake in Ubisoft initially boosted share prices, but it was revealed that Tencent's investment of 300 million euros was actually in a holding company owned by Ubisoft's CEO and his family, not in Ubisoft directly [5][7]. - The deal restricted Tencent from increasing its stake above 10% and granted it the right of first refusal for any future acquisition offers, effectively stifling outside interest in Ubisoft [7][8]. Financial Performance - Ubisoft's market capitalization has plummeted to approximately $647 million, with a share price decline of 90% since early 2022 [10]. - The company's gross margin stands at 57.22%, but its most successful franchises have failed to drive growth, leading to a loss of relevance for many of its properties [7][8]. Recent Developments - In March 2025, Ubisoft announced the spin-off of its most successful franchises into a new subsidiary, Vantage Studios, with Tencent investing 1.16 billion euros for a 25% stake in this new entity [9]. - Despite this investment, Ubisoft's shares continued to decline, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's overall strategy and management decisions [9][10].

25 February 2026 | 4:05PM CST Equity Research CHINA INDUSTRIAL TECH: DATA CENTER ELECTRICALS Asia investor feedback: Eyes on export visibility and execution; Fine-tuning estimates on commodities cost trends/pre-announced results; Buy Kstar We talked with 50+ investors from Hong Kong, Singapore, and Mainland China since our deep-dive reports in mid-January (Kstar, Megmeet, Kehua). While the sector backdrop remains robust, supported by strong 2026E capex guidance from US tech giants as well as order growth an ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry and Company Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of AI on various industries, particularly focusing on software, cloud services, and energy sectors. It highlights the structural changes in investment logic due to AI advancements and the resulting market dynamics. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **AI's Impact on Software Stocks**: Large model companies are actively replacing enterprise IT budgets, leading to valuation pressure on software stocks. This creates opportunities for selective stock picking rather than broad sector rebounds [1][5]. 2. **Cloud Companies' Financial Strategies**: There is a slowdown in buybacks and dividends among cloud companies, with net cash flow turning negative when excluding these factors. However, capital expenditures (CAPEX) continue to increase, contradicting traditional investment paradigms [1][3][5]. 3. **"AI Tax" on Traditional Hardware**: Some traditional hardware companies, such as Lenovo and Cisco, are experiencing profit margin declines due to rising storage prices, referred to as the "AI tax," which pressures their short-term operations and valuations [1][6]. 4. **Shift Towards Real Assets**: The U.S. stock market is showing a preference for tangible assets, particularly in the electricity sector, with utilities and construction performing well. This trend is driven by expectations of power expansion and infrastructure development [1][7]. 5. **Political Factors Influencing Energy Needs**: By 2026, political factors are expected to drive cloud companies to build their own power sources, with natural gas being favored due to its environmental benefits and domestic advantages [1][8]. 6. **Resource Diplomacy and Pricing**: The U.S. is focusing on setting reference prices for key resources through tariffs and strategic reserves, aiming to provide long-term high price expectations for resource commodities [1][9]. 7. **Oil Market Dynamics**: There are signs of a potential reversal in the oil market, driven by changes in production dynamics and the U.S. adopting a more defensive stance compared to OPEC [1][10]. Additional Important Insights 1. **K-Shaped Economic Impact of AI**: AI is expected to create a K-shaped economic recovery, benefiting certain sectors while suppressing overall consumer spending, particularly among lower-income groups [2][11]. 2. **Investment Opportunities in AI**: The focus should be on upstream AI-related infrastructure and companies that are not directly impacted by AI disruptions. There is potential for significant returns in sectors like energy and resource management [12][16]. 3. **Market Mispricing Risks**: There is a risk of mispricing in the market, where companies perceived as unaffected by AI may face long-term challenges due to ongoing AI developments [13][14]. 4. **2026 Market Outlook**: The overall market outlook for 2026 is cautious, with expectations of limited returns and the need to monitor macroeconomic indicators and geopolitical developments closely [15][31]. 5. **SaaS and Software Valuation Pressures**: The SaaS sector is experiencing significant valuation pressures, with many companies facing sell-offs despite strong earnings. The traditional pricing models are being challenged by the rise of Agentic AI [22][25][23]. Conclusion The conference call highlights the transformative impact of AI across various sectors, emphasizing the need for investors to adapt their strategies in response to changing market dynamics. Key areas of focus include selective stock picking, understanding the implications of political and economic factors, and recognizing the potential for mispricing in the current market environment.

Summary of XunCe Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: XunCe Technology - **Industry**: Data Infrastructure and AI Decision-Making - **Positioning**: XunCe serves as a full-link data infrastructure provider connecting raw data with AI decision-making, initially focusing on asset management and later expanding to large models and Data Agent platforms, similar to Palantir and Fourth Paradigm [2][4] Key Points Business Model and Product Offering - XunCe's products include PaaS-level real-time data infrastructure and SaaS-level applications, initially focused on asset management, now expanding into non-asset management financial services, telecommunications, urban management, and manufacturing [2][6] - The proportion of asset management business is expected to decrease from 74% in 2023 to 47% in the first half of 2025, indicating diversification [2][6] Financial Performance - Projected revenue for 2024 is 630 million, with a gross margin of 76.7%, although the company remains in a loss position, which has narrowed [2][7] - The business model operates on a dual approach of subscription and project delivery, with a current high reliance on project delivery [2][7] - Revenue growth over the past three years has been 38%, reflecting ongoing diversification and a shift towards subscription models [7] Market Position and Competition - XunCe holds an 11.6% market share in the asset management data real-time analysis market, ranking first and covering the top ten asset management companies in China with over 250 clients [3][8] - The overall real-time data market is still fragmented, with XunCe holding a 3.4% market share, ranking fourth [8] - Key competitors include Alibaba Cloud, Huawei Cloud, Tencent Cloud, and Hengsheng Electronics, with XunCe differentiating itself through private deployment and independent third-party agents [8] Industry Dynamics - The asset management data industry is projected to grow from 300 million in 2020 to 2.1 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 62% [9] - The overall real-time data analysis market is expected to grow from 450 billion in 2024 to over 900 billion by 2029, with an annual growth rate exceeding 20% [9] Strategic Partnerships and Shareholder Support - Tencent is the largest institutional shareholder with a 7.55% stake, providing technical and scenario support [3][7] - Goldman Sachs supports the IPO process and facilitates connections with global asset management clients [7] Future Outlook and Valuation - Revenue expectations for 2026 are projected to exceed 2 billion, with a valuation method suggesting a potential market cap of around 30 billion [10] - The current market cap is approximately 26 billion, with expectations that entering the Hong Kong Stock Connect will improve liquidity and market perception [10] Investment Logic - XunCe is positioned as a leading company in the AI Agent space, with strong customer barriers and a clear strategic advantage, making it a compelling investment opportunity as data value continues to be reassessed [11] Additional Insights - The company has faced challenges with its IPO process, including two failed submissions due to unfavorable market conditions and regulatory issues, but successfully passed the third submission by enhancing data compliance and governance arguments [2][5][6] - The management team is well-structured, with clear roles among the founders, contributing to strategic decision-making and market expansion [8]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The gaming industry is experiencing a marginal improvement in the policy environment, with an increase in the number of game approvals and a more relaxed approach to content and themes, laying a friendlier foundation for industry development [1][2][3] - The gaming sector's performance is showing a significant upward trend, particularly in 2025, which is expected to be the best year in the past decade, supported by a strong product cycle and sustainable growth into 2026 [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The user base for gaming in China has seen positive growth for three consecutive years, with a projected growth rate of 1.35% in 2025, indicating an upward trend [1][4] - Female-oriented games are one of the fastest-growing segments, with female players making up 48% of online gamers by mid-2025, contributing significantly to user growth [5] - The overseas gaming market remains robust, with actual growth rates of 13% in 2025 and over 20% in January 2026, indicating strong competitiveness of Chinese developers in the global market [1][6][7] Important but Overlooked Content - The application of AI in the gaming industry is evolving from a cost-reduction tool to enhancing the gaming experience, potentially reshaping valuation logic [2][9] - User-Generated Content (UGC) is fundamentally changing the gaming landscape, transforming games into dynamic platforms shaped by both players and developers, which could disrupt traditional business models [10] - The "Search, Shoot, Withdraw" gameplay has become a significant growth driver in the shooting genre, with shooting games becoming the second-largest category in the Chinese gaming market by 2025 [11] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The gaming industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by user expansion, AI technology, and ongoing gameplay innovation [4][12] - The valuation of gaming companies is supported by a combination of technology, policy improvements, and sustained performance, with a focus on long-term product pipelines [13] - Recent adjustments in the gaming sector have seen valuations drop to around 15 times earnings, which is still below the perceived industry ceiling, suggesting continued investment opportunities [14]

February 26, 2026 09:00 PM GMT China Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific A-Share Sentiment Rebound While Offshore Faces Pressure MSASI improved post-CNY on stronger turnover and rising expectation toward NPC. However, offshore China market is challenged amid AI disruption concern and competition headwinds. AI capability improvement by large-cap platforms, improved earnings and external market stabilization are key to watch. A-share investor sentiment increased vs. the previous cycle: Weighted MSASI improved by 1 ...

高盛闭门会-首席闪辉前瞻 3 月会议要点，26 年四大投资 主题和近期资金面分析 20260228 摘要 2026 年中国 GDP 增速目标预计维持在 4.5%-5%区间，与市场 4.8% 的预测基本一致，表明经济增速边际放缓，但整体平稳，政府债券发行 规模预计与 2025 年接近，消费品以旧换新补贴规模边际缩减。 全国两会预计延续提升消费能力和增加特定服务供给的主线，可能包含 最低工资或基础养老金上调等福利提升措施，以"持续聚焦、渐进推 进"为特征，通过支持服务业供给端提升质量并扩大规模，以带动服务 消费。 2026 年两会适逢"十五五"规划开局，科技创新和消费的重要性进一 步提升，明确提出未来五年提高居民消费率，需重点跟踪行业政策或量 化目标，识别尚未被市场充分计价的政策支持方向。 民营经济政策基调预计保持支持性，监管取向将继续强调高质量发展， 核心在于培育优质企业、提升股东回报并引导长期投资氛围，市场更偏 好"慢牛"路径。 Q&A 下周全国两会最需要重点关注哪些宏观政策信号，尤其是增长目标与政府债券 发行额度可能如何设定？ 最关键的两个指标是 2026 年 GDP 增长目标与全国人大批准的政府债券发行总 ...

1 March 2026 | 9:48AM HKT Portfolio Strategy Research CHINA STRATEGY AI changes the game (Part 2): A top-down guide to the Chinese AI universe AI has indeed changed the game over the past one year A year ago, we put forward our thought process (Part 1 of this series) on how AI could impact Chinese stocks via the profit, valuation, and portfolio flow channels. Since the "DeepSeek moment" in January 2025, AI adoption has accelerated, average token costs have fallen sharply, and AI has become a dominant theme ...

传媒 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 -17% 0% 17% 34% 50% 67% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 传媒 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《节后继续聚焦 AI 入口商业化、重磅 新游及长青游戏 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.23 《《异环》三测及字节 AI 视频模型惊 艳，继续布局游戏/多模态 AI 应用— 行业周报》-2026.2.8 《Moltbook、元宝、Genie3 出圈，继 续布局 AI 社交/游戏/营销—行业点评 报告》-2026.2.2 把握更确定方向，聚焦头部新游及核心 AI 应用 ——行业周报 方光照（分析师） fangguangzhao@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790520030004 《异环》定档 4.23 公测，或为潜在"爆款"，继续布局游戏，聚焦头部新游 完美世界旗下二次元超自然都市开放世界游戏《异环》已官宣将于 4 月 23 日开 启国服公测，届时同步上线 PC、安卓、iOS、Mac、鸿蒙、PS5 平台，海外公测 也将随后于 4 月 29 日开启。此前于 2.4-2.18 期间进行 ...