2026.02. 02 白酒板块逆市上涨 本文字数：2588，阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 曹璐 历经四年深度调整的白酒板块，近期似乎出现了一线转机。 2月2日，A股市场整体走弱，上证指数下跌2.48%。白酒板块却在此时逆势上扬，相关ETF强势领涨，成为市场中的亮点。这已是该板块近期第二次在 调整市中率先反弹。但上一次大涨后迅速回调的"一日游"行情，仍让市场心有余悸。 更值得关注的是其背后的资金分歧。截至去年四季度末，公募白酒基金持仓已降至不足4%，筹码结构的出清看似为反转创造了条件，但机构与普通投 资者的操作却呈现显著分化。这波上涨究竟是长达四年调整后的"王者归来"，还是悲观预期修复下的短暂反弹？ "近期白酒板块的反弹更多是短期基本面因素和交易因素的双重影响。"恒生前海消费升级混合基金经理胡启聪从交易层面分析称，白酒板块整体的机构 持仓已降到历史低位，换言之筹码结构整体较好，抛压较少，"配合短期价格催化，极易引起资金的短期效益"。 不过，他也表示，大涨次日出现明显的调整，证明此次上涨更多是反弹，获利资金了结意愿强烈。"大家对于春节动销和茅台批价的分歧仍然较大，大 部分人并不相信白酒已经触底，而是抱 ...

这一轮市场调整的主要原因还是来自外部，导火索就是国际的金银铜和原油等答复波动传导过来，叠加之前获利盘丰厚导致。我个人认为国际大宗市场的 趋势没有改变，短期大波动就是获利丰厚以及政策调整等导致，经过上周五大波动之后，基本上到位，后市就是保持一个区间震荡，黄金问题不大，过一 阵或者说后市是必然还会再创新高的；但是短期资金不敢进来了，或者说不放心买入和持有了，必然会有大量资金抽离的。 对于A股来说是不是砸出"黄金坑"了呢？我认为是的！一方面是黄金短期这么大跌幅，黄金的走势应该就是倒车接人，对于黄金投资要看的长远，短期就 是获利盘丰厚导致；另一方面就A股来说，这个本来就是已经控盘和要走慢牛的情况之下，现在是与全球共振下跌，应该说砸出了一个黄金坑，促进市场 更快的向下寻找到箱体底部和下沿，然后就可以开始牛市的大级别区间震荡了； 从后市操作来看，现在市场的风险释放点和量能活跃资金来源，因为上周五和周一有色集体跌停，导致市场没有流动性，所以没法操作也没法放量和释放 风险。现在最快来看，周二可能有部分有色个股开始开板和释放流动性，但是大概率普遍开板和绝大多数释放资金应该就是在周三了！所以周三这个时间 点是值得关注的！ 要说大 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline on February 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index both dropping over 2% [2][4] - The market showed a broad-based decline, with 4,652 stocks closing lower, particularly in resource sectors such as metals, coal, oil, and chemicals [4][9] - The trading volume decreased significantly, with daily turnover dropping by 255.8 billion to 2.61 trillion [5] Sector Performance - Resource stocks were heavily impacted, with declines exceeding 5% in sectors like non-ferrous metals, steel, basic chemicals, coal, and oil [8][9] - The food and beverage sector, particularly liquor stocks, showed resilience, with several companies like Jinhuijiu and Youyou Food hitting the daily limit [6][7] - Banking stocks also performed relatively well, with several banks showing slight gains despite the overall market downturn [8] Market Sentiment and Factors - The decline was attributed to a combination of external market disturbances, profit-taking, and heightened risk aversion ahead of the holiday [3][11] - Analysts suggest that the market may need 3 to 5 trading days to stabilize, with a focus on whether the Shanghai Composite can hold above the 4,000-point mark [3][15] - The current market environment is characterized as a healthy technical correction rather than a trend reversal, with no signs of panic selling or liquidity crisis [12][14] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to avoid high-volatility sectors in the short term and to wait for clear signs of market stabilization before gradually increasing positions in quality sectors [3][16] - There is a recommendation to focus on defensive sectors such as electric grid equipment and high-dividend blue chips, while avoiding emotional selling [15][17] - The market is expected to recover quickly post-holiday, supported by liquidity replenishment and policy expectations from the upcoming Two Sessions [15][17]

Group 1: Geopolitical Developments - Serbian President Vucic predicts that Iran will face military strikes within 48 hours, linking the timing to Epstein-related documents [1] - Iranian officials deny plans for military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz, stating that reports of such drills are inaccurate [1] Group 2: U.S.-Iran Relations - U.S. President Trump expresses hope for an agreement with Iran, while Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif maintains confidence in reaching a nuclear deal [3][10] - Zarif indicates that Iran is working with regional partners to build trust with the U.S. for negotiations, which have shown some effectiveness [5][11] - Zarif emphasizes the importance of substance over form in negotiations, reiterating Iran's desire for the U.S. to lift long-standing sanctions and respect its rights to uranium enrichment [11] Group 3: Commodity Market Trends - The commodity market experiences a significant downturn, with gold, silver, crude oil, and industrial metals leading the decline due to hawkish expectations from the Fed and a strengthening dollar [12] - A large sell-off in the A-share market sees major indices drop over 2%, with significant losses in resource sectors and semiconductor stocks [12] - Silver and other precious metals face substantial selling pressure, with notable sell orders exceeding 66 billion for Silver [9] Group 4: Company Developments - Tesla announces the upcoming launch of its third-generation humanoid robot, designed to learn new skills by observing human behavior, with an expected annual production of one million units [13]

不过，他也表示，大涨次日出现明显的调整，证明此次上涨更多是反弹，获利资金了结意愿强烈。"大 家对于春节动销和茅台批价的分歧仍然较大，大部分人并不相信白酒已经触底，而是抱着赚一把就跑的 心态。" 白酒板块逆市上涨 一场关于白酒股信仰与价值的再博弈 历经四年深度调整的白酒板块，近期似乎出现了一线转机。 2月2日，A股市场整体走弱，上证指数下跌2.48%。白酒板块却在此时逆势上扬，相关ETF强势领涨， 成为市场中的亮点。这已是该板块近期第二次在调整市中率先反弹。但上一次大涨后迅速回调的"一日 游"行情，仍让市场心有余悸。 更值得关注的是其背后的资金分歧。截至去年四季度末，公募白酒基金持仓已降至不足4%，筹码结构 的出清看似为反转创造了条件，但机构与普通投资者的操作却呈现显著分化。这波上涨究竟是长达四年 调整后的"王者归来"，还是悲观预期修复下的短暂反弹？ "近期白酒板块的反弹更多是短期基本面因素和交易因素的双重影响。"恒生前海消费升级混合基金经理 胡启聪从交易层面分析称，白酒板块整体的机构持仓已降到历史低位，换言之筹码结构整体较好，抛压 较少，"配合短期价格催化，极易引起资金的短期效益"。 2月2日，白酒龙头贵州茅 ...

Market Overview - The Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced widespread declines, with the South Korean Composite Index dropping over 5%, triggering a trading halt for 5 minutes [1][5] - The A-share market saw all three major indices fall by more than 2%, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.48%, the Shenzhen Component down 2.69%, and the ChiNext Index down 2.46% [1][6] - The Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index also fell by over 2%, while the Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 3.36% [1][6] Sector Performance - The A-share non-ferrous metals sector underwent significant corrections, with precious metals and industrial metals leading the declines; stocks like Sichuan Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold hit the daily limit down [2] - The storage chip concept saw expanded declines in the afternoon, with stocks such as Kaipu Cloud and Wanrun Technology also hitting the daily limit down [2] - Other sectors like oil and gas, chemicals, coal, and semiconductors also faced notable declines [2] Key Factors Influencing Market Movement - A sudden shift in expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's policy, particularly with the nomination of Kevin Walsh as the next Fed Chair, raised concerns about potential delays in interest rate cuts, impacting global risk asset valuations [7] - Profit concerns in the AI industry led to a sell-off in technology stocks, with major players like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix experiencing declines of over 6% and 8%, respectively [7] - Pre-holiday risk aversion and reduced market liquidity contributed to a lack of buying support, as investors opted to secure profits ahead of the upcoming Spring Festival [7] - Technical adjustments were also noted, as some sectors had reached high valuation levels after significant prior gains [7] Food Sector Insights - The food sector saw some stocks, such as Youyou Food, experience sharp increases, with several others following suit [8] - Analysts suggest that the rise of healthy snacks and the penetration of online channels are key growth drivers in the market [11] - The food and beverage industry is currently at a historical low in valuation, presenting potential investment opportunities as market dynamics shift [11]

Market Overview - Domestic commodity futures closed lower, with major contracts such as silver, palladium, platinum, nickel, tin, copper, aluminum, international copper, stainless steel, crude oil, fuel oil, aluminum alloy, and lithium carbonate hitting the limit down [1][4] - The zinc futures fell over 6%, while fuel oil and pure benzene dropped over 5%. Ethylene glycol and liquefied gas fell more than 4%, and other commodities like NR and coke saw declines exceeding 3% [1][4] Stock Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment, with all three major indices dropping over 2%. The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index fell over 3% [1][4] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.58 trillion yuan, a decrease of 250.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][4] - Over 4,600 stocks in the market declined, with 123 stocks hitting the limit down [1][4] Sector Analysis - The liquor sector showed resilience, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor and Jinhui Liquor performing well, while the electric grid equipment sector also saw gains with multiple stocks hitting the limit up [1][4] - Conversely, sectors such as non-ferrous metals, oil and gas, chemicals, coal, and semiconductors faced significant declines, particularly the non-ferrous metals sector, which saw multiple stocks like Sichuan Gold and Chifeng Jilong Gold hitting the limit down [1][4] - The storage chip sector experienced a sharp decline, with stocks like Zhaoyi Innovation and Kaipu Cloud also hitting the limit down [1][4] Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 2.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 2.69%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.46% [5]

A股三大指数今日集体下跌，沪指、深成指、创业板指分别下跌2.48%、2.69%、2.46%。三市成交额26066亿元，较上日缩量2558亿元，超4600只 个股下跌。 贵金属、油气开采及服务、化工、煤炭、钢铁、半导体等板块集体大跌，白酒、电网设备板块表现坚挺。 湖南白银、白银有色等资源周期股跌停，兆易创新等半导体板块跌停。电网设备、白酒、影视院线等板块表现强势。 2 月 2 日， A 股市场整体呈现资金净流出态势。 三大指数同步下跌， 上证指数 跌 2.48% ，报 4015.75 点； 深证成指 跌 2.69% ，报 13824.35 点； 创业板指 跌 2.46% ，报 3264.11 点。 | 代码 | 证券简称 | 涨跌幅(%) | 主力净流入额(亿元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 801730.SI | 电力设备(申万) | -0.8 | 41.90 | | 801120.SI | 食品饮料(申万) | 1.11 | 25.67 | | 801780.SI | 银行(申万) | 0.17 | 15.50 | | 801210.SI | 社会服务(申万) | -1.59 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced significant losses on the first trading day of February, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index closing down by 2.48%, 2.69%, and 2.46% respectively, with over 4,600 stocks declining and trading volume shrinking to 2.6 trillion yuan [4][3]. Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector faced a collective downturn, with major stocks like Tongling Nonferrous Metals and Huayou Cobalt hitting the daily limit down, reflecting a broader trend of heavy losses across various non-ferrous commodities [5][15]. - The precious metals market saw silver prices drop significantly, with a decline of over 25% in New York silver futures, indicating a severe sell-off triggered by market dynamics [9][10]. Specific Stock Movements - Wenta Technology faced a dramatic decline, with its net profit projected to drop by 376.52% to 217.68%, leading to a trading halt at the daily limit down. This was attributed to asset impairment related to disputes with Anshi Semiconductor [31]. ETF Market - The ETF market also reflected the bearish sentiment, with major ETFs like the SSE 50 ETF and CSI 500 ETF experiencing sharp declines, particularly the CSI 500 which saw a drop of 6.5% in the afternoon session [27].

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a volatile adjustment on February 2, with all three major indices falling over 2%, and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index dropping more than 3% [2] - The liquor sector showed repeated activity, with stocks like Huangtai Liquor achieving three consecutive trading limits, and Jinhuijiu gaining two limits in three days, alongside other brands such as Shui Jing Fang, Jiu Gui Jiu, Wuliangye, Shede Liquor, and Kweichow Moutai rising [2] - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the liquor industry is expected to bottom out by 2026, with leading companies increasing their market share, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the liquor sector before and after the Spring Festival [2] Group 2 - The current valuation of the liquor sector is at a historical low, presenting strong bottom-fishing value, while consumer policy catalysts are also being monitored [2] - The bottom-fishing logic is supported by performance clearing to unload burdens, strong brand support for sales, enhanced operational capabilities for channels, and exploration of new marketing models [2]