Group 1: Tire Mold Business - The tire mold business has a systematic pricing mechanism that considers specifications, processing difficulty, complexity, and order cycle, with a gross margin of 40.21% in H1 2025, down by 1.00 percentage point year-on-year due to product structure changes and an increase of over 1,000 personnel [1] - The overseas production capacity for tire molds accounts for approximately 10%, with subsidiaries established in countries including the USA, Thailand, Hungary, India, Brazil, Vietnam, Mexico, and Cambodia [1] - The lifespan of tire molds is influenced by usage and design updates, with increasing frequency of pattern updates [2] - Raw materials constitute about one-third of the cost in the tire mold business, primarily consisting of forged steel and aluminum ingots [4] Group 2: Wind Power and Gas Turbine Business - The company can adjust production capacity between wind power and gas turbines, particularly in casting and precision machining [2] - The large component machinery products are currently operating at full capacity, with significant growth in both wind power and gas turbine components in H1 2025 [2] - Major clients for the gas turbine business include GE, Mitsubishi, Siemens, Shanghai Electric, Dongfang Electric, and Harbin Electric [2] - A new 65,000-ton casting expansion project has been initiated, with an additional 70,000-ton casting capacity planned, subject to market conditions and order changes [2] Group 3: CNC Machine Tool Business - Since launching in 2022, the CNC machine tool products have seen repeat orders, with a revenue of approximately 800 million yuan from January to September 2025 [3] - The CNC machine tool business includes self-produced components such as machine beds and functional parts like cradle turntables [3] - The product range includes vertical five-axis machining centers, precision machining centers, ultra-hard tool five-axis laser machining centers, and horizontal five-axis machining centers, serving industries like electronics, automotive, precision molds, and semiconductors [3] Group 4: General Observations - The company is actively enhancing its global production service system to better respond to market demands and provide localized services [1] - Future business growth may be influenced by market changes, supply-demand relationships, and policy dynamics [2]

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Positive" rating, with specific companies recommended for "Increase" ratings: Zhonglian Heavy Industry (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [4][34]. Core Insights - The construction machinery sector is experiencing a recovery in demand due to the rollout of key projects and favorable policies for large-scale equipment updates. Excavator sales in 2025 are projected to reach 235,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 17% [4]. - In the robotics sector, the humanoid robot industry remains vibrant, with significant events such as the upcoming release of Tesla's Optimus 3. The year 2026 is seen as a critical development period for the industry, with several companies pursuing IPOs [4]. - The tower crane utilization rate in December 2025 was reported at 55.1%, indicating a slight decrease from the previous month [12]. Industry News - In December 2025, the profit growth for industrial enterprises above designated size was 0.6%, with total profits amounting to 73,982 billion [12]. - The tower crane rental price index was recorded at 496.52 points, down 5.65 points from the previous month [12]. Company Announcements - Jiechang Drive announced a projected net profit increase of 40.00% to 55.00% for 2025, with expected profits between 394.77 million and 437.06 million [24]. - Aiko Optoelectronics forecasted a staggering net profit growth of 262.52% to 345.20% for 2025, with profits expected to range from 57 million to 70 million [25].

Group 1 - The A-shares market opened slightly higher on January 27, with active performance in sectors such as precious metals, internet e-commerce, and Kuaishou [1] - The A500 ETF (512050) experienced a minor adjustment of 0.08% as of 9:38 AM, with holdings like Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit, and stocks such as Tianfu Communication, Haomai Technology, and Aero Engine Control also rising [1] - Over the past 250 trading days, the A500 ETF has seen a growth of over 35%, with an average daily trading volume of 5.256 billion yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [1] Group 2 - The A500 ETF has seen a significant scale increase of 447 million yuan over the past week, leading in new scale among comparable funds [2] - Investors have continued to increase their positions in emerging market assets, with inflows into emerging market ETFs extending for the 14th consecutive week [1][2] - Inflows into the Chinese market reached 1.65 billion USD during the week, with the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF being the most favored [1]

有一种毛竹，前4年仅长高约3厘米，但到了第5年，就能每天长高30厘米。仅6周左右，就能长到十 几米高。4年的蛰伏扎根，迎来厚积薄发。 这便是自然界中的"竹子定律"，个中道理平实而深刻。把基础打牢，把根系扎深，时间终将回馈最 坚实的生长。 山东GDP10万亿的蓄势突破，恰如第5年的毛竹。它的"爆发"绝非偶然，而是源于"十四五"乃至更 长时间里，接续奋斗、一锤接着一锤敲的笃实扎根。 （一）在战略上保持定力 "有一定之略，然后有一定之功。"战略，是立足全局、长远、大势的谋划和决策。 回顾山东转型之路，从纵深推进新旧动能转换，到全面加快绿色低碳高质量发展，战略方向坚定不 移，战略定力一以贯之。正是"一张蓝图绘到底"的战略自觉，支撑山东经济总量接连跨越三个万亿台 阶，迎来高质量发展的"拔节生长"。 定力，是牢记嘱托、感恩奋进的坚定行动。 使命在肩，责无旁贷。 新时代以来，习近平总书记多次视察山东，对山东发展寄予深切厚望，从"走在前、开新局"， 到"走在前、挑大梁"，殷殷期盼一以贯之，为山东发展确立了总航标。 牢记嘱托，锐意进取，山东将谆谆嘱托一一转化为发展的施工图、任务书。 从省第十二次党代会系统谋篇，到一次次省委全会 ...

Core Viewpoint - The CGT-3 gas turbine developed by China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation's 703 Institute marks a strategic move towards the heavy-duty gas turbine market, traditionally dominated by international giants like GE and Siemens [1][12]. Group 1: Technology and Design - The CGT-3 gas turbine features a ring-tube combustion chamber, which is indicative of a shift towards heavy-duty gas turbine applications, contrasting with the previously used annular combustion chamber design [1][11]. - The ring-tube combustion chamber offers advantages in stability and maintenance, making it suitable for industrial applications where reliability is crucial [4][6]. - The design choice of the CGT-3 suggests a focus on validating core technologies for future heavy-duty gas turbines, starting from a smaller power output of 3MW [11][12]. Group 2: Industry Context - The heavy-duty gas turbine market in China has been historically dominated by foreign companies, but recent initiatives aim to accelerate domestic production and innovation [12][13]. - The entry of 703 Institute into the heavy-duty gas turbine sector aligns with national efforts to achieve self-sufficiency in critical technologies, contributing to a competitive landscape with multiple domestic players [12][18]. - The development of the CGT-3 is part of a broader trend in China towards diversifying and strengthening its energy equipment manufacturing capabilities, particularly in the context of heavy-duty gas turbines [12][18].

数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 上市公司：石化机械（000852），冀东装备（000856），运机集团（001288），精工科技（002006）， 天奇股份（002009），山东矿机（002526），新时达（002527），海源复材（002529），金财互联 （002530），林州重机（002535），豪迈科技（002595），金明精机（300281），蓝英装备 （300293），慈星股份（300307），斯莱克（300382），金盾股份（300411） 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国专业设备制造行业市场全景评估及未来前景研判报告》 根据国家统计局数据可知：2025年12月全国专用设备制造业出口货值为746.6亿元，同比增长14.9%； 2025年全国专用设备制造业累计出口货值为6662.8亿元，累计同比增长10.2%。 2019年- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a bullish outlook, focusing on long-term opportunities in cyclical industries [2][24]. Core Viewpoints - The macro timing model for January 2026 scored 0, indicating a 76.92% probability of an increase in the Wande All A Index over the following month, with an average expected gain of 3.18% [24][31]. - The report emphasizes the strong upward momentum in cyclical industries, particularly in non-ferrous metals and chemicals, driven by global macro events [24][25]. - Short-term investments in thematic sectors such as commercial aerospace, AI applications, and space photovoltaics have shown significant rebounds, although caution is advised due to potential volatility from rapid price increases [25][27]. Fund Size Statistics - In the period from January 19 to January 23, 2026, the top three increasing equity ETF types were: thematic index ETFs (59.135 billion), industry index ETFs (7.975 billion), and cross-border industry index ETFs (5.346 billion) [9][10]. - The top three increasing equity ETF products were: power grid equipment ETF (7.326 billion), chemical ETF (5.717 billion), and sci-tech chip ETF (3.953 billion) [10][14]. - The top three increasing equity ETF tracking indices were: segmented chemical index (9.829 billion), power grid equipment thematic index (7.326 billion), and SSH gold stock index (5.251 billion) [18][20]. Market Outlook - The report suggests a positive outlook for the A-share market in January 2026, with a focus on the micro-cap index and the CSI 500 leading the market [24][25]. - Long-term recommendations include a focus on non-ferrous metals and chemicals, with silver prices surpassing the psychological level of 100, indicating potential for further increases [24][25]. - The report anticipates a market characterized by oscillating upward trends, recommending a growth-oriented ETF allocation [67][68].

Fund Size Changes - The top three increasing equity ETF types from January 19 to January 23, 2026, are: Theme Index ETF (¥591.35 billion), Industry Index ETF (¥79.75 billion), and Cross-Border Industry Index ETF (¥53.46 billion) [9] - The top three decreasing equity ETF types during the same period are: Scale Index ETF (-¥3348.87 billion), Cross-Border Strategy Index ETF (-¥7.12 billion), and Style Index ETF (-¥0.19 billion) [9] Market Outlook - The macro timing model's score for January 2026 is 0, indicating a 76.92% probability of the Wande All A Index rising in the following month, with an average increase of 3.18% [24] - The report maintains a bullish outlook, emphasizing long-term opportunities in cyclical industries, particularly in non-ferrous metals and chemicals [24] - The price of London silver surpassed the psychological level of 100 on January 23, 2026, indicating potential for further increases [24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a focus on growth-oriented ETF allocations, particularly in sectors like commercial aerospace, AI applications, and space photovoltaics, which have shown short-term rebounds [27] - The recommended ETFs include those focused on chemical, electric grid equipment, and semiconductor sectors, with specific stocks highlighted for each ETF [69] Risk Considerations - The model's predictions are based on historical data, which may not hold in the future, and there are risks associated with macroeconomic performance falling short of expectations [70]

晨会纪要（2026/01/22） 编辑人 崔健 022-28451618 SAC NO：S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要（2026.01.22） 金融工程研究 主要指数多数下跌，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 行业研究 2025 年全国工程机械开工率为 44.89%——机械设备行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨 会 纪 要 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 5 晨会纪要（2026/01/22） 金融工程研究 主要指数多数下跌，两融余额继续上升——融资融券周报 3、风险提示 两融业务成本超预期变动风险；两融监管政策超预期变动风险。 行业研究 2025 年全国工程机械开工率为 44.89%——机械设备行业周报 王雪莹（证券分析师，SAC NO：S1150525020001） 1、市场概况 上周（1 月 14 日-1 月 20 日）A 股市场主要指数多数下跌，其中中证 500 涨幅最大，上涨了 1.28%；上证 50 跌幅最大，下跌了 1.99%。此外，上证综指下跌 0.61%，深证成指下跌 0.10%，创业板 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Haomai Technology, has seen an increase in customer orders for its machine tool products since their market launch in 2022, indicating a positive trend in sales and customer demand [1] Group 1: Product and Market Performance - The company's machine tool products include vertical five-axis machining centers, precision machining centers, ultra-hard tool five-axis laser machining centers, horizontal five-axis machining centers, and horizontal turning-milling composite machining centers [1] - The customer base spans various industries, including electronic information, automotive manufacturing, precision molds, and semiconductors [1] Group 2: Financial Outlook - For the period from January to September 2025, the company's CNC machine tool products are projected to achieve a consolidated revenue of approximately 800 million yuan [1] - The performance of the machine tool business is influenced by industry policies, market demand, and changes in the internal and external order structure [1]