[Table_Summary] 2026 年作为十五五规划的开端之年，反内卷监管有望强势延续。其中，四川等省份节后上调 1 毛派费，保障一线小哥收入水平。广东、义乌等产粮区延续监管强度，价格保持稳定。社保合 规压力下，快递价格具备成本支撑，下行风险相当有限。同时，伴随电商税优化客户结构，反 内卷锁定价格下限，利好龙头快递份额提升。随着电商快递产业链生态进入良性发展，龙头快 递有望迎来份额、盈利、估值三升，推荐头部快递公司中通、圆通、申通。 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨航空货运与物流 [Table_Title] 反内卷监管强势延续，龙头增长确定性提升 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 韩轶超 鲁斯嘉 胡俊文 SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S0490524120001 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 1 航空货运与物流 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 反内卷监管强势延续，龙头增长确定性提升 [Table_Summary2] 反内卷监管强势延续，龙头增长确 ...

2 March 2026 | 8:30AM HKT Equity Research CHINA TRANSPORTATION Reassessing potential impact from Iranian oil supply and Hormuz strait disruption On February 28, the US and Israel launched military operations against Iran's Islamic regime. Media have reported the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and that ships are avoiding the Hormuz strait. While the situation remains fluid, and implications dependent on the scale and duration of the conflict (see views from our Commodities team), for illustrative purposes, ...

| 3 月金股组合 | | | --- | --- | | 股票代码 | 股票名称 | | 0119.HK | 保利置业集团 | | 000099.SZ | 中信海直 | | 601872.SH | 招商轮船 | | 600352.SH | 浙江龙盛 | | 002409.SZ | 雅克科技 | | 002709.SZ | 天赐材料 | | 300760.SZ | 迈瑞医疗 | | 605338.SH | 巴比食品 | | 1579.HK | 颐海国际 | | 601888.SH | 中国中免 | | 689009.SH | 九号公司-WD | | 688630.SH | 芯碁微装 | | 市场指数 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌% | | 上证综指 | 4182.59 | 0.47 | | 深证成指 | 14465.79 | (0.20) | | 沪深 300 | 4728.67 | 0.38 | | 中小 100 | 8847.90 | 0.14 | | 创业板指 | 3294.16 | (0.49) | 证券研究报告——晨会聚焦 2026 年 3 ...

交通运输行业周报 20260301 中东局势向全面冲突演化，油运景气度持续上行；春节假期民航出行量价双旺 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 03 月 02 日 航空货运：口岸运价同比回升，美国关税政策调整或带来美线全年出口表现超预 期。上周主要空运口岸运价企稳，受春节假期影响，三大航货机利用率普遍下降。 根据航班管家数据，26/2/17-2/23 东航物流/国货航/南航物流货机机队利用率为 9.2/9.6/13.6 小时，同比-36.1%、-14.7%、持平。美最高法院推翻特朗普政府关 税政策，美国对我国进口商品综合关税税率或有所调整，催化板块投资情绪，全 年展望美线出口需求表现或将超市场预期，继续推荐行业头部干线物流商东航物 流，配置价值突显。 本周关注：1）快递板块：推荐当前位于低估区间的顺丰控股、顺丰同城。看好"反 内卷"持续推行下，快递企业经营向好表现，推荐极兔速递-W、中通快递-W、申 通快递、韵达股份、圆通速递。2）航空板块：航空量价延续去年春运强势表现将 催化投资情绪，建议关注行业预售表现。关注三大航 A+H，中国国航、南方航空、 中国东航；民航春秋航空、吉祥航空。3）出海方向：推荐嘉 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The military strike by the US against Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz have profound impacts on the global oil transportation market, potentially leading to supply chain disruptions and increased oil transportation costs [3][15] - Tesla's Cybercab, designed for fully autonomous driving, has been launched, marking a significant step towards the original dedicated era of Robotaxi services [3][17] - A strategic partnership between Youjia Innovation, Didi, and Wall Street Technology aims to advance the large-scale deployment of driverless logistics vehicles, filling a market gap for vehicle-grade autonomous logistics [3][32] - The pre-sale ticket prices for economy class flights during the 2026 Spring Festival have shown a year-on-year increase, indicating stable industry performance as demand is released [3][34] - Uber has launched the Uber Air service supported by Joby, integrating ground and air travel booking, which validates the commercial viability of eVTOL [3][41] Industry Dynamics - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has decreased month-on-month and year-on-year, while domestic air freight flights have seen a decline [4][44] - The shipping and port sector has experienced an increase in domestic shipping rates, while dry bulk freight rates have also risen [4][52] - The express logistics sector reported a 2.30% year-on-year increase in business volume and a 0.70% increase in revenue as of December 2025 [4] - The average number of international flights operated daily in the last week of February 2026 was 1992.86, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 3.73% and a year-on-year increase of 19.22% [4] - The number of trucks passing through national highways decreased by 40.04% from February 9 to February 15 [4] Investment Recommendations - Focus on opportunities in the shipping sector, particularly oil transportation, dry bulk, and container shipping due to geopolitical tensions, with recommendations for China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping [5] - Consider investments in low-altitude economy and autonomous driving sectors, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter and monitoring Cao Cao Mobility [5] - Explore investment opportunities in the travel sector driven by increased demand during the Spring Festival, recommending Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines [5] - Look into international market expansion opportunities in express logistics, recommending SF Express and Jitu Express [5] - Pay attention to investment opportunities in the highway sector, recommending Sichuan Chengyu Expressway and other major expressway companies [5]

航空淡季不淡把握加仓机会，油运大周期加速持续看好 交通运输 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 28 日 | 增持（维持） 评级： | | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：杜冲 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740522040001 | | 南方航空 | 7.34 | -0.23 | -0.09 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.54 | -31.91 | -81.56 | 24.30 | 16.85 | 13.48 | 买入 | | | | 中国东航 | 5.73 | -0.37 | -0 ...

中国民航网讯：春运保障时间过半，连日来，东航物流各营销大区充分发挥整合后的协同合力，与属地 单位深度联动，积极落实东航集团"客货并举、客货联动、客货一体"战略部署，以"保障不停、干劲不 减"的姿态，持续全力投入春运货邮保障工作。 东航物流全力保障春运 新春之际，长三角地区制造业企业备货与出货进入高峰期。东航物流华东分公司以"云枢华东，智仓速 达"为目标，顺利完成南京、宁波两地货物经昆山前置货站中转，通过"异地集货—前置操作—空侧直 驳"，在昆山完成安检、通关协同及收单截载等关键环节，由专属车辆直驳上海货站待装出运，有效实 现了"把机场搬到产业身边"的产品化落地。 而在华南，2月15日，东航物流旗下中货航的波音777F宽体全货机从深圳启航，飞往沙特阿拉伯利雅 得，标志着深圳至利雅得全货机包机首航任务圆满完成。这是东航物流深耕中东市场、完善全球航线网 络的关键布局，将进一步畅通华南与中东地区的航空货运通道。 在华北地区，针对客户的客机腹舱包机运输需求，东航物流华北分公司克服腹舱货物集中、操作窗口紧 凑等挑战，启用"高价值货物绿色收运通道"，实现航班落地即收运、货物交付零延误，以高效协同保障 物流畅通。（编辑：陈虹 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨航空货运与物流 [Table_Title] 快递降速提质，格局拐点已来 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 截至 2 月 22 日（正月初六），春节及前 5 周全国快递周度揽收业务量累计同比增速为 1.9%， 业务量增长显著放缓。展望 2026 年，伴随精准税收走向常态化、"反内卷"托底竞争底线，业 务量增速或维持个位数增长，龙头份额提升有望加速，1 月件量数据验证龙头持续占优。当前 龙头快递公司估值处于历史相对低位，看好板块格局拐点，重点推荐头部快递公司中通、圆通， 建议关注 3-4 月业务量和利润端的催化。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 韩轶超 鲁斯嘉 胡俊文 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S0490524120001 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 航空货运与物流 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 快递降速提质，格局拐点已来 [Table_Summary2] 快递降 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the peak shipping season for fresh-cut flowers in Yunnan due to the overlap of the Spring Festival and Valentine's Day, with a focus on meeting domestic and international demand for festive flowers [1][2] Group 2 - The characteristics of flower transportation during this period include tighter timelines, smaller batch sizes, and higher quality requirements, with key flower varieties like roses, lilies, and carnations being shipped from Yunnan to various domestic and international markets, including Singapore, Kuala Lumpur, and Dubai [2] - Eastern Airlines Logistics Southwest Branch has proactively planned and dynamically optimized capacity allocation, coordinating passenger flights to manage cargo space and flexibly adjusting flight schedules to ensure sufficient transport capacity [2] - The on-site support team has established dedicated green channels for flowers and express shipments, increased collection windows, and optimized the entire process from receiving, security checks, to loading, ensuring rapid warehousing, priority loading, and timely departures [2] - Strict adherence to light loading and unloading protocols by operational staff maximizes the freshness of the flowers, while enhancing sorting efficiency and precise matching of cargo space ensures timely delivery of the flowers [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Eastern Airlines Logistics plans to acquire a 49% stake in Shanghai Eastern Airlines Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. for approximately 200 million yuan, aiming for full ownership to enhance operational efficiency in the aviation materials supply chain [1] Group 2 - In the past week, Eastern Airlines Logistics' stock price has shown a fluctuating upward trend with a range increase of 2.94%. On February 9, the stock rose by 3.20% due to the acquisition news, with significant trading volume [2] - The latest closing price on February 11 was 19.23 yuan, reflecting a daily increase of 1.37%, although there was a net outflow of main funds, indicating short-term capital divergence [2] - The stock has outperformed related sectors during the same period [2] Group 3 - Institutional views on Eastern Airlines Logistics are neutral, with a comprehensive target price set at 20.30 yuan, indicating potential upside from the current price [3] - Profit forecasts suggest a slight increase in net profit for 2025, with an expected acceleration in growth for 2026, primarily driven by the efficiency improvements from the integration of the aviation materials supply chain [3] - Recent institutional ratings have been predominantly neutral [3]