（央视财经《正点财经》）国际货币基金组织（IMF）总裁格奥尔基耶娃8日在美国发表讲话时说，全球经济好于预期，但没达到"所 需水平"，"全球经济韧性尚未受到全面考验，而且有令人担忧的迹象表明真正的考验可能即将到来"。 当地时间8日，在美国首都华盛顿举行的2025年IMF和世界银行秋季年会的前瞻讲话中，IMF总裁格奥尔基耶娃表示，当前世界正处于 深刻变革中。地缘政治、科技革命、人口结构等因素变化以及人类对地球造成日益严重的伤害，导致全球范围内"不确定性急剧上升且 持续攀升"。她认为，"不确定性已成为新常态，并将持续下去"。 国际货币基金组织总裁 格奥尔基耶娃：全球经济韧性还没有得到全面考验，有一些令人担忧的迹象表明，真正的考验可能即将到来， 看看全球飙升的黄金需求就知道了。 格奥尔基耶娃说，关税政策全部影响"还没有完全显示出来"。在美国，企业利润被压缩可能抬高价格，带来新的通胀压力。与此同 时，大量原本销往美国市场的商品被转移到其他国家市场，这可能引发"第二轮关税上调"。 格奥尔基耶娃认为，宽松的金融环境掩盖了"疲软趋势"，"一旦估值出现大幅回调，金融环境收紧将拖累全球经济增长，并使发展中国 家的处境尤为艰难"。 ...

IMF总裁：全球经济展现韧性 不确定性是新常态 编辑：郭晋嘉 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 对于关税问题，格奥尔基耶娃说，从目前来看，关税带来的冲击好于预期，世界已避免陷入针锋相对的 贸易战，但开放程度大幅下降。美国的贸易加权关税税率从4月的23%下降到现在的17.5%，但美国的有 效关税税率目前远高于其他国家。IMF呼吁各国政策制定者遵守贸易规则，共同维护贸易作为经济增长 引擎的作用。 格奥尔基耶娃还说，到2029年，全球公共债务将超过GDP的100%，发达经济体和新兴市场经济体的债 务问题均突出。各个国家，无论富有还是贫穷，都有必要开展财政整顿以削减财政赤字。 IMF和世界银行秋季年会将于10月13日至18日在华盛顿举行。(完) 来源：中国新闻网 中新社华盛顿10月8日电 (记者 沙晗汀)国际货币基金组织(IMF)总裁格奥尔基耶娃当地时间8日在华盛顿 发表讲话说，全球经济在面对多重冲击的情况下展现出了韧性，但不确定性是新常态。 格奥尔基耶娃当天在华盛顿米尔肯中心发表了IMF秋季年会揭幕讲话。格奥尔基耶娃表示，当前世界经 济"比此前担心的要好，但比需要的要差"。IMF预计，全球经济增长在今明两年仅略有放缓，所 ...

新华财经纽约10月8日电（记者徐静）国际货币基金组织（IMF）总裁格奥尔基耶娃8日在美国首都华盛 顿非营利性智库米尔肯研究院发表讲话时说，全球经济好于预期，但没达到"所需水平"，"全球经济韧 性尚未受到全面考验，而且有令人担忧的迹象表明真正的考验可能即将到来"。 格奥尔基耶娃说，当前世界正处于深刻变革中。地缘政治、科技革命、人口结构等因素变化以及人类对 地球造成日益严重的伤害，导致全球范围内"不确定性急剧上升且持续攀升"。她认为，"不确定性已成 为新常态，并将持续下去"。 格奥尔基耶娃说，关税政策全部影响"尚未显现"。在美国，企业利润被压缩可能抬高价格，带来新的通 胀压力。与此同时，大量原本销往美国市场的商品被转移到其他国家市场，这可能引发"第二轮关税上 调"。 格奥尔基耶娃认为，宽松的金融环境掩盖了"疲软趋势"，"一旦估值出现大幅回调，金融环境收紧将拖 累全球经济增长，并使发展中国家的处境尤为艰难"。 格奥尔基耶娃表示，当前全球贸易虽受到扰动，但大部分贸易仍在遵循规则进行。她呼吁世界各国维护 贸易作为经济增长引擎的地位。 国际货币基金组织在7月份《世界经济展望》中预测，今年全球GDP增长率为3%，较2024 ...

新华社纽约10月8日电（记者徐静）国际货币基金组织（IMF）总裁格奥尔基耶娃8日在美国首都华盛顿 非营利性智库米尔肯研究院发表讲话时说，全球经济好于预期，但没达到"所需水平"，"全球经济韧性 尚未受到全面考验，而且有令人担忧的迹象表明真正的考验可能即将到来"。 格奥尔基耶娃说，当前世界正处于深刻变革中。地缘政治、科技革命、人口结构等因素变化以及人类对 地球造成日益严重的伤害，导致全球范围内"不确定性急剧上升且持续攀升"。她认为，"不确定性已成 为新常态，并将持续下去"。 国际货币基金组织在7月份《世界经济展望》中预测，今年全球GDP增长率为3%，较2024年增长有所放 缓。该组织将在13日至18日在华盛顿举办的年度会议上更新经济增长预测。（完） 格奥尔基耶娃说，关税政策全部影响"尚未显现"。在美国，企业利润被压缩可能抬高价格，带来新的通 胀压力。与此同时，大量原本销往美国市场的商品被转移到其他国家市场，这可能引发"第二轮关税上 调"。 格奥尔基耶娃认为，宽松的金融环境掩盖了"疲软趋势"，"一旦估值出现大幅回调，金融环境收紧将拖 累全球经济增长，并使发展中国家的处境尤为艰难"。 格奥尔基耶娃表示，当前全球贸易虽 ...

The IMF's Kristalina Georgieva sees "exceptionally high†uncertainly persisting. Here's her advice for nations navigating tricky economies. ...

美联储Goolsbee：不确定性是招聘率偏低的一个重要方面。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Core Insights - The research team from the University of Tokyo has achieved "quantum squeezing" of nanoscale particles, reducing their motion uncertainty below the quantum mechanical zero-point fluctuations, which opens new pathways for fundamental physics research and advances technologies like high-precision sensing, autonomous driving, and navigation without GPS signals [1][2]. Group 1 - The macroscopic physical world follows classical mechanics, while the microscopic world adheres to quantum mechanics, characterized by inherent uncertainty [1]. - Quantum squeezing refers to generating quantum states with uncertainty smaller than zero-point fluctuations, crucial for understanding natural phenomena and developing next-generation technologies influenced by quantum effects [1][2]. - The research team utilized glass-made nanoscale particles suspended in a vacuum and cooled to their lowest energy state to minimize uncertainty, successfully demonstrating quantum squeezing by achieving a narrower speed distribution than the lowest energy state [2]. Group 2 - The achievement of quantum squeezing was the result of overcoming numerous technical challenges over several years, including additional fluctuations from particle suspension and minor disturbances in the experimental environment [2]. - The suspended nanoscale particle system is highly sensitive to environmental changes, making it an ideal platform for studying the transition between quantum and classical mechanics, and laying the groundwork for the development of new quantum devices [2].

Core Idea - The book "The Logic of the World" by Professor Ma Zhaoyuan explores the evolution of human understanding of the world, emphasizing the impact of ancient Greek civilization, the nature of uncertainty in mathematics, and the implications of AI on human existence and reasoning [1]. Group 1: Influence of Ancient Greek Civilization - Ancient Greek civilization has a unique historical position, shaping the way humans understand the world and laying the foundation for philosophy, science, and art [12][14]. - The scientific spirit originating from ancient Greece encourages a courageous confrontation with ambiguity, viewing it as a motivation for further exploration [12][15]. - The development of a complete logical system in ancient Greece allowed knowledge to be accumulated and transmitted stably, which was crucial for the subsequent scientific revolution [16]. Group 2: Mathematical Crises and Uncertainty - The book discusses three crises in mathematics that shifted the focus from the pursuit of certainty to the acceptance of uncertainty [22]. - The first crisis relates to the Pythagorean crisis regarding irrational numbers, the second to the study of infinitesimals, and the third to set theory, particularly the foundational difficulties posed by Bertrand Russell [22][23]. - Gödel's incompleteness theorem is highlighted as a pivotal moment in human cognitive history, indicating that any finite, describable system is inherently flawed [23]. Group 3: AI and Modern Understanding - The rise of AI and the rediscovery of Bayesian statistics provide new methodologies that align more closely with human subjective cognitive processes [25]. - The book aims to explore the implications of Gödel's work on AI, deterministic computation, information theory, and chaos theory, revealing a new logical framework that challenges traditional notions of certainty [26]. - The interplay between uncertainty and modern scientific inquiry is presented as a profound and promising topic, reshaping our understanding of computation, information, and logic [26].

分组1 - The Federal Reserve is experiencing a significant disagreement among its members regarding the future outlook, with seven members favoring either one more cut or no cuts, while nine members support two additional cuts [2][5][7] - The current economic environment presents a two-sided risk, complicating the decision-making process for policymakers, as typically weak labor markets coincide with low inflation and strong labor markets raise inflation concerns [4][7] - The Fed Chair indicated that future decisions will be made on a meeting-by-meeting basis, emphasizing the need to assess incoming data before making further cuts [3][6][7] 分组2 - The futures market appears to be pricing in two additional rate cuts, reflecting investor sentiment about the Fed's future actions [5][6] - There is a level of uncertainty reintroduced into the market, as the Fed Chair acknowledged the lack of clear paths forward, which may affect investor confidence [7][11] - The Fed is facing unprecedented challenges on both sides of its mandate, indicating a complex economic landscape that requires careful navigation [9][10][11]

Group 1 - The latest Federal Reserve "Beige Book" indicates that both employment and consumer spending in the U.S. are under pressure due to tariffs, leading to a slowdown in hiring and investment by businesses, while consumers are tightening their spending in response to rising prices [1][2] - The report highlights that all Federal Reserve districts have experienced price increases related to tariffs, which have raised production costs for businesses and increased the cost of living for consumers [1][2] - Many businesses across various Federal Reserve districts express concerns about the economic outlook, with worries about trade policy changes, high interest rates, and stricter immigration policies [1] Group 2 - Consumers are facing a dual challenge of rising prices and reduced employment, with wage growth not keeping pace with inflation, particularly as companies adjust labor costs in response to tariffs [2] - The "Beige Book" reveals increasing economic uncertainty, with the term "uncertainty" mentioned 80 times, reflecting a more cautious decision-making environment for both businesses and consumers [2]