分析师：姚 遥 执业编号：S1130512080001 联系人：彭治强 2025/6/24 1 2 核心观点：短中长期逻辑兼备， 坚定看好风电板块性机会 需求内强外盛，景气持续向上 6 3 • 当前时点，我们认为风电板块具备值得坚定看好的短、中、长期三重逻辑： • 短期逻辑：强势半年报及下半年业绩展望。年中市场关注度逐渐聚焦企业半年报，风电板块受益于上半年国内项目开工旺盛、 两海收入占比提升、部分零部件提价落地等因素，预计Q2业绩同环比增长普遍乐观，部分在25Q1即展现业绩改善弹性公司的强 势股价表现，对板块形成积极示范效应，且有望在半年报前后向整个风电板块扩散。 • 中期逻辑（核心）：此前造成风电板块投资体感较差的三大因素，在过去半年到一年内均出现明显反转。 • 1）风机价格战带动的产业链通缩转向通胀：因风机快速大型化及价格战，21-24年国内陆风机组价格从3000-4000元/kW快速下降至 1000-2000元/kW，带动上游零部件、塔筒等环节一起通缩；然而，伴随大型化趋缓、企业自律、业主对风机质量和运维成本重视 度提升，风机价格从24Q4开始持续回暖，我们统计25年4-5月陆风机组中标均价较24年全年 ...

福能股份 20250620 摘要 2025 年二季度，福建省风况略差于去年同期，但一季度风况良好，预 计全年风电发电量仍将同比增长约 20%。火电方面，1-5 月发电量同比 减少约 2-3 亿度，但预计迎峰度夏后将有所改善。 福能股份煤炭采购价格持续下降，目前标煤含税入炉价格已降至 880- 890 元/吨。公司计划采购 130-140 万吨长协煤炭，上半年履约比例较 高，综合标煤价格降幅稍弱，但整体趋势仍随市场价格走低。 天然气发电竞争业务表现改善，国家发展改革委 5 月份上调天然气上网 竞价至 0.645 元/千瓦时，并追溯至 1 月 1 日。公司获得更多发电竞争 权指标转让，总体盈利情况优于去年。 参股项目表现良好，华能温州火电竞争项目受益于煤炭价格下行，上半 年投资收益预计高于去年。三峡能源海霞海上风电竞争平台持续扩大产 能，带来装机增长和业绩提升。 福建省内新能源脱硫交易执行旧制度，带补贴项目每年约 20%-30%参 与市场挂牌交易。今年挂牌交易脱硫竞价与去年持平，全生命周期补贴 陆上风电脱硫平均竞价为 0.4,136 元/千瓦时。 Q&A 福能股份 2025 年一季度业绩增长的主要原因是什么？ 2 ...

虚拟电厂和电力交易能成为新能源"救命稻草"吗？ 作者： 潘俊田 封图： 经观智创 "今年的SNEC展会，没人关注光伏组件和储能，都跑去看虚拟电厂了。"上海梦象科技有限公司总 经理助理张弋告诉经济观察报。6月11日，第十八届（2025）国际太阳能光伏和智慧能源&储能 及电池技术与装备（大会）暨展览会（SNEC）召开，这是光伏行业每年最大规模的展会。 在本届SNEC展会上，虚拟电厂和电力交易成为各家厂商推介的重点产品。张弋在展会前夕参加了 远景能源的虚拟电厂和电力交易推介会，天合光能也发布了虚拟电厂和电力交易产品。国能日新、 中曜达等电力相关企业以及正泰集团、阳光电源等光储相关企业，均在展会现场为虚拟电厂和电力 交易业务专门设置了展台。 每家厂商的PPT前几页基本一样，均认为："136号文"（《关于深化新能源上网电价市场化改革促 进新能源高质量发展的通知》）中规定的"2025年5月31日"时间节点之后，光伏电站发电将"全 面入市"，原有的固定电价收益模式会转变为市场化电价收益。在这一转变下，虚拟电厂和电力交 易业务能够更有效地提升客户收益。 这些业务的核心客户是"531新政"后尚处于迷茫状态的电站持有者们。 张弋 ...

Core Insights - The SNEC exhibition highlighted a shift in focus from photovoltaic components and energy storage to virtual power plants and electricity trading, indicating a significant trend in the renewable energy sector [2][3] - The implementation of the "Document No. 136" is expected to transform the revenue model for photovoltaic power stations from fixed pricing to market-based pricing, enhancing the profitability of virtual power plants and electricity trading services [2][4] Industry Trends - Virtual power plants and electricity trading have become key offerings at the SNEC exhibition, with major companies like Envision Energy and Trina Solar promoting these services [2][3] - The market for electricity trading services is viewed as a "blue ocean" opportunity, despite the current lack of comprehensive supporting regulations following the "Document No. 136" [4] Market Dynamics - Developers of photovoltaic power stations are expressing anxiety about transitioning to the electricity market, with concerns about profitability and market conditions [3] - The average price for photovoltaic electricity in Xinjiang has decreased by 0.56% year-on-year, raising concerns about potential losses for power station operators [3] Policy Impact - The "Document No. 136" mandates that renewable energy sources must fully enter the market by May 31, 2025, which is expected to increase competition and market dynamics [7] - Various provinces are implementing regulations that require a portion of electricity to enter the market, with some regions mandating up to 20% of electricity to be traded [7][8] Financial Opportunities - The potential market for electricity trading is substantial, with estimates suggesting that if all renewable energy installations enter the market, the annual tradable electricity could reach approximately 4 trillion kWh, creating a market space of around 600 billion yuan [8] - Companies are increasingly interested in virtual power plants as a means to enhance the asset yield of their photovoltaic projects, with some reporting significant increases in revenue through these services [12][13] Technological Advancements - The development of virtual power plants requires significant technological capabilities, including the ability to aggregate and control diverse photovoltaic installations [14][15] - Companies are focusing on improving their algorithms and data capabilities to enhance their competitiveness in electricity trading [13][14]

证券代码：300365 证券简称：恒华科技 北京恒华伟业科技股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-003 投资者关系活动 类别 ■特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 □现场参观 □其他 参与单位名称 国泰海通证券、国中长城资产、博润银泰、永颐资产、唐丰投 资、盈领投资、飞旋投资、本炎投资、宁波知远投资、明远投 资、汇垠德擎投资、中天汇富投资、厚毅资本、兴华基金、景 策私募基金、六妙星私募基金、北京风炎私募、元民私募基金、 硬核坚果（北京）私募基金、中关村科学城公司等 20 家机构 投资者。 时间 2025 年 6 月 12 日 地点 公司会议室 上市公司接待人 员姓名 董事会秘书 丰 丹 技术专家 陈少坤 证券事务代表 邓雅静 技术专家 孙敏杰 投资者关系活动 主要内容介绍 1、公司在智能电网、智慧能源领域是否参与过行业标准 制定？与同行业可比公司相比，公司在核心技术上具备哪些差 异化优势？ 答：在智能电网设计领域，公司深度参与行业标准制定， 彰显专业影响力。由公司及下属公司参与编制的《输变电工程 三维设计模型交互及建模规范》《输变电工程三维设计模型分 ...

申万宏源证券承销保荐有限责任公司 关于新疆立新能源股份有限公司 向特定对象发行股票并在主板上市之 发行保荐书 保荐机构（主承销商） 二零二五年六月 新疆立新能源股份有限公司 发行保荐书 申万宏源证券承销保荐有限责任公司（以下简称"申万宏源承销保荐"、 "本保荐机构"、"保荐机构"）接受新疆立新能源股份有限公司（以下简称"发 行人"、"公司"、"立新能源"）的委托，担任其向特定对象发行股票并在主 板上市（以下简称"本次发行"）的保荐机构。 本保荐机构及相关保荐代表人已根据《中华人民共和国公司法》（以下简称 "《公司法》"）、《中华人民共和国证券法》 （以下简称"《证券法》"）、《证 券发行上市保荐业务管理办法》《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》（以下简称 "《注册办法》"）、 《保荐人尽职调查工作准则》等有关法律、法规和中国证监 会及深圳证券交易所的有关规定，诚实守信，勤勉尽责，严格按照依法制定的业 务规则、行业执业规范和道德准则出具发行保荐书，并保证所出具文件的真实性、 准确性和完整性。 新疆立新能源股份有限公 司 发行保荐书 四、保荐机构及其关联方与发行人及其关联方之间的利害关系及主要业务往 二、发行人就本次 ...

1、【新思想引领新征程】矢志创新发展 建设科技强国； 2、丁薛祥出席中国科学院学部成立70周年座谈会； 3、韩正出席第四届文明交流互鉴对话会开幕式； 4、今年前4个月民营经济活力持续提升； 5、各地多种民俗活动迎端午； 6、端午假期交通出行以中短途为主； 7、【文化中国行】端午节：品味传统文化 感受家国情怀； 8、全国科技工作者日主场活动在京举行； 9、我国儿童健康水平持续提高； 10、前4个月软件业务收入利润实现两位数增长； 11、2024年全国住房公积金缴存额超3.6万亿元； 12、我国加快推进碳排放权等市场化交易； 13、上海首开直飞中亚客运航线； 14、国际调解院公约签署仪式在香港举行； 15、2025北京朝阳国际茶香文化周举行； 16、南海夏季风本周爆发 我国进入主汛期； 17、美上诉法院恢复实施特朗普政府关税政策： （1）研究称美关税政策已给数十家全球大型企业造成 超340亿美元损失； （2）美国经济一季度萎缩 美媒称关税政策引发的不确定性持续上升； 18、以军再在加沙地带北部发布撤离警告 称将发动大规模军事行动： （1）美称以方已接受临时停火方 案 以色列和哈马斯分歧仍严重； （2）以色列批准在 ...

证券代码：000591 证券简称：太阳能 中节能太阳能股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-07 | 投 资 者 关 | □特定对象调研 | | | □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 系 活 动 类 | □媒体采访 | | | □业绩说明会 | | 别 | □新闻发布会 | | | □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | | | | ☑其他 民生证券策略会 | | | | | 参 与 单 位 名 称 及 人 | 民生证券 黎静 易方达基金 | | | | | 员姓名 | 唐博伦 | | 任宇佳 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 5 月 28 日 | 10：00~11：00 | （周三）上午 | | | 地点 | 现场会议 | | | | | 公 司 接 待 人员姓名 | 董事会办公室（法律风控部）： | 黄中化 张文婷 | | | | | 一、就公司 2024 | 年度整体运营情况及未来规划进行交流。 | | | | | 二、提问及公司回复情况 | | | | | 交 流 内 容 及 具 体 问 | 1、公司 25 年规划。 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, but a decline in net profit, attributed to falling electricity prices and increased depreciation costs [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 3.558 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.93% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.021 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.44% - The decline in profit is linked to lower electricity prices and increased depreciation due to new projects [1][2]. Power Generation and Capacity - The company generated 9.905 billion kWh of electricity in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.26% - Wind power generation was 8.921 billion kWh, up 8.57% year-on-year, while solar power generation was 984 million kWh, up 15.98% year-on-year - As of the end of 2024, the installed capacity for wind and solar power was 14.4818 million kW and 4.3645 million kW, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 11.56% and 79.06% [1][2]. Market Conditions - The average wind speed at 10 meters nationwide in April 2025 was 0.98% higher than the same period over the past decade, contributing to a 16.68% increase in wind power generation for the month [2]. - The decline in revenue growth compared to power generation growth is attributed to lower electricity prices following the marketization of renewable energy [2]. Accounts Receivable and Valuation - Accounts receivable amounted to 23 billion yuan, approximately 1.54 times the company's current market value of 16.1 billion HKD - The receivables primarily consist of renewable energy subsidy payments, which have been a constraint on capital expenditure and dividends [3]. - The company has improved its dividend payout, with a total dividend of 0.09 yuan per share in 2024, representing 52% of the distributable profit [3]. Long-term Outlook - The company is viewed positively in the context of the wind power sector, which is expected to have higher investment value compared to solar power due to better operational efficiency and lower costs [3]. - The recent policy (Document No. 136) is seen as beneficial for existing assets, enhancing the long-term value of established wind power operators [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.32 billion, 2.46 billion, and 2.52 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 6.5, 6.1, and 5.9 [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the long-term value of wind power operators despite short-term performance drag due to market entry challenges [5][7] - The company has shown a revenue increase of 0.93% year-on-year in Q1 2025, but net profit decreased by 4.44% due to falling electricity prices and increased depreciation [7] - The report highlights the company's strong growth in power generation, with a 9.26% increase in total generation in Q1 2025, driven by new installations and favorable wind conditions [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 12,802 million RMB - 2024: 12,576 million RMB - 2025E: 13,987 million RMB (11.2% growth) - 2026E: 14,770 million RMB (5.6% growth) - 2027E: 15,480 million RMB (4.8% growth) [6][8] - Net profit projections are as follows: - 2023: 2,240 million RMB - 2024: 1,925 million RMB - 2025E: 2,317 million RMB (20.4% growth) - 2026E: 2,457 million RMB (6.1% growth) - 2027E: 2,522 million RMB (2.6% growth) [6][8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.32 RMB in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 6.5 [6][8] Market Position and Outlook - The company has a total market capitalization of 16,147.62 million HKD and a circulating market capitalization of 5,552.38 million HKD [3] - The report indicates that the company’s receivables are approximately 1.54 times its current market value, reflecting strong recognition from state-owned insurance capital [7] - The report expresses optimism regarding the long-term value of wind power operators, citing advantages over solar power in terms of output and operational cycles [7]