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不信英伟达(NVDA.US)财报!“大空头”继续炮轰:AI巨头延长GPU折旧以虚增盈利 真实终端需求少得可笑
智通财经网· 2025-11-24 05:47
智通财经APP获悉,英伟达(NVDA.US)上周交出了一份通常会让市场感到兴奋的业绩——其第三季度营 收、利润以及对下一季度的展望均显著高于市场预期,该公司首席执行官黄仁勋也发声驳斥"AI泡沫 论"。不过,正当投资者庆祝围绕AI交易的这场动荡稍事喘息之际,《大空头》原型人物、Scion资产管 理公司创始人迈克尔·伯里再度对英伟达和AI泡沫进行抨击。 这位广为人知的对冲基金经理,因精准预言2008年美国次贷危机、并利用信用违约掉期大举做空次级抵 押贷款债券而成为市场传奇。这笔押注为他本人带来了近1亿美元收益,为其投资者赚取了7亿至7.25亿 美元。在业内,迈克尔·伯里以极度逆向投资而闻名,他能够忍受巨大的回撤,并在数年之后取得胜 利。 在经历了长达数年的淡出公众视野后,迈克尔·伯里于今年11月重新回到公众视野。他此前多次警告 称,美股科技估值存在由AI驱动的泡沫。他披露了对英伟达和Palantir(PLTR.US)的空头头寸,同时指责 主要的AI支出方对其数据中心资产的折旧情况进行了不实陈述。 值得一提的是,就在近日,迈克尔·伯里突然宣布基金"清盘",他旗下管理的Scion资产管理公司已从美 国证券交易委员会( ...
2025年中国潮玩经济行业研究报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 05:46
报告共计:48页 潮玩经济跃迁千亿市场,Z世代情绪消费驱动产业新浪潮 近年来,潮玩经济在中国消费市场中异军突起,成为年轻群体追捧的新兴力量。据深企投产业研究院最新报告显示,2024年中 国潮玩市场规模已达727亿元,同比增长26%,即将突破千亿大关。这一快速增长背后,是Z世代消费者对情感寄托、社交认同 与个性化表达需求的集中爆发。 潮玩与传统玩具在受众、功能与价值上存在显著差异。潮玩主要面向14岁以上的青少年及成年人,尤其以95后和00后为核心消 费群体。其设计更强调艺术性与独特性,产品常与热门影视、动漫、游戏IP联动,通过限量发售、隐藏款设定等方式提升收藏 价值。相比之下,传统玩具更注重可玩性与益智功能,受众主要为低龄儿童,市场增长趋于平稳。潮玩的高溢价与二次流通价 值,使其成为兼具情感消费与收藏投资属性的新兴品类。 今天分享的是:2025年中国潮玩经济行业研究报告 【关于我们】 收录海量行业报告、方 案、数据、运营、品牌、 计划书等30个类目专题 从市场格局看,泡泡玛特凭借Labubu、Molly等原创IP矩阵稳居行业龙头,其盲盒产品通过社交媒体裂变与UGC内容传播,成功 实现"破圈"。与此同时,52TO ...
海天瑞声股价涨5.44%,富荣基金旗下1只基金重仓,持有28.08万股浮盈赚取154.14万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 05:44
富荣信息技术混合A(013345)基金经理为李延峥。 截至发稿,李延峥累计任职时间4年161天,现任基金资产总规模8.14亿元,任职期间最佳基金回报 46.7%, 任职期间最差基金回报-31.03%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑:小浪快报 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示,富荣基金旗下1只基金重仓海天瑞声。富荣信息技术混合A(013345)三季度持有股数28.08 万股,占基金净值比例为4.45%,位居第十大重仓股。根据测算,今日浮盈赚取约154.14万元。 富荣信息技术混合A(013345)成立日期2021年10月28日,最新规模1.31亿。今年以来收益2.07%,同 类排名7375/8209;近一年收益2.54%,同类排名7205/8129;成立以来亏损8.61%。 11月24日,海天瑞声涨5.44%,截至发稿,报106.49元/股,成交1.46亿元,换手率2.34%,总市值64.24 亿元。 资料显示,北京海天瑞声科技股份有限公司位于北京 ...
翼虎周观察 | 同频共振筑底时,结构牛途寻真章
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 05:42
1 一周综述 01 全周A和H股继续受美联储降息低于预期负面影响,有色和化工等涨价方向开始大幅下跌,筹码高度拥 挤的科技继续表现偏弱,机构资金继续高低切换,资金切入金融和食品饮料等防守板块,游资投机风格 继续加强,但前期高位投机品种进入分歧阶段,投机品种大鹏工业上市首日大涨12倍,成交量维持日均 2万亿左右,市场经过两周剧烈调整后将进入筑底阶段,中长期继续看好结构慢牛性行情。 全周A股上证指数-3.90%,深成指-5.13%,创业板指数-6.15%,盘面上银行/传媒/食品饮料/国防军工/家用 电器等板块表现相对抗跌,电力设备/综合/基础化工/商贸零售/钢铁等板块大幅下跌。H股方面,恒生科 技和恒生医疗继续调整,前者进入技术性熊市。美股方面,标普、道指和纳指三大指数继续调整,谷歌 表现亮眼,其他大型科技龙头表现不佳,资金从科技切到医疗保健等防御性板块,主要是受美联储降息 和宏观数据停更等负面影响,并非AI泡沫破灭引发抛售。 中国经过 2022 -2024 年连续三年的调整,因为资产价格、地方债、消费疲态曾与美股背道而驰,如今 总算跟上节奏。过去几年美股一直牛气冲天,中国被地产、人口、结构调整拖在熊市泥潭。但从 ...
通信ETF(515880)回调近3%,近20日净流入近40亿元,光模块行业长期景气度获市场关注
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-24 05:38
Core Insights - The technology cycle of AI is unlikely to end in the short term, with a continued focus on computing power as a key driver [1] - NVIDIA's recent earnings report exceeded expectations, indicating that the demand for computing power is still rapidly growing [1] - Google's Gemini3 model has received positive market feedback for its strong capabilities [1] - The hardware sector for computing power is expected to see significant growth in light modules and other components in the coming year [1] Industry Overview - The ongoing investment in computing infrastructure both domestically and internationally is expected to sustain high demand in the light module market [1] - The Communication ETF (515880) is the largest in its category, with light modules accounting for 52% and servers for 22% of its composition as of October 28 [1] - When combined with fiber optics and copper connections, these components represent over 81% of the ETF, reflecting the fundamental strength of overseas computing power [1]
——传媒互联网行业周报(2025.11.17-2025.11.23):AI叙事更新,谷歌Gemini3发布,阿里千问APP上线-20251124
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-24 05:23
证券研究报告 传媒 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 24 日 投资评级: 看好(维持) 证券分析师 陈良栋 SAC:S1350524100003 chenliangdong@huayuanstock.com 陈逸凡 SAC:S1350525040003 chenyifan@huayuanstock.com 周政宇 SAC:S1350525050006 zhouzhengyu@huayuanstock.com 魏桢 weizhen@huayuanstock.com 板块表现: AI 叙事更新,谷歌 Gemini 3 发布,阿里千问 APP 上线 ——传媒互联网行业周报(2025.11.17-2025.11.23) 投资要点: 联系人 本周观点:11 月 19 日,谷歌正式发布 Gemini 3,其是全球领先的多模态理解 模型,也是智能体(Agentic)和氛围编程(Vibe Coding)模型,能够提供更丰 富的可视化效果和更深度的交互体验,且已经将其集成到Google的全栈产品中。 1)具备强推理能力,且通过生成高保真可视化代码来提供信息理解和问题表达; 2)助力学习、构建和规 ...
苹果与OpenAI恩怨加深?
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-24 05:21
Group 1 - Apple's newly launched mini-program partnership plan is a short-term response to Tencent, while its long-term goal is aimed at OpenAI [1][2] - OpenAI has been actively recruiting employees from Apple's hardware department, with over 40 engineers hired in the past month, many of whom are directly from Apple [1] - The recruitment by OpenAI includes key personnel across various fields such as camera engineering, iPhone hardware, Mac hardware, and more, indicating a significant talent acquisition from Apple [2] Group 2 - The 15% revenue share in Apple's mini-program partnership can be interpreted as a concession from the previous 30% fee or as a high charge for certain previously free mini-programs [2] - The partnership plan was primarily influenced by ongoing negotiations between Apple and Tencent regarding WeChat [2] - Apple's future focus may shift more towards OpenAI, especially as OpenAI is deploying mini-programs with ChatGPT [2]
港股调整到哪一步了
Haitong Securities International· 2025-11-24 05:21
港股调整到哪一步了 [Table_Authors] 本报告导读: 核心结论:①10 月来港股步入调整,主因是前期涨幅已较大,以及美元流动性偏 紧、美联储降息预期回落。②牛市中市场调整很正常,历史上港股短期情绪扰动下 的小回撤平均跌 7%,流动性收紧、外生冲击导致的大回撤平均跌 17%。③美元流 动性只是短期扰动,AI 浪潮未完,增量资金流入+优质资产汇聚的港股牛市行情有望 延续。 投资要点: 中期维度看,增量资金流入+优质资产汇聚的港股牛市行情有望延 续。若后续压制港股的短期因素解除,中期维度看港股增量资金明 确,且汇聚了优质的中国稀缺性资产,有望继续支撑本轮牛市行情。 港股资产具备稀缺性。我国 AI 引领的新一轮向上周期持续深化演 绎,由此可见更顺应当前产业发展趋势的 AI 应用等港股稀缺性资产 或更具优势。展望未来,在公募、险资等机构力量推动下年内南向 资金或仍有增量空间,有望推动港股行情继续向上。结构上,AI 驱 动下港股科技仍是行情主线。此外,港股红利受益于政策强化分红 +低利率,港股新消费、创新药资产较 A 股同样稀缺,下半年或也值 得关注。 风险提示:美国通胀压力加大,美联储降息延后;国内 AI ...
BHP Drops Anglo Bid; Rubio Sees Ukraine Leeway | Bloomberg: The Asia Trade 11/24/25
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-24 05:19
THIS IS THE ASIA TRADE. I AM SHERY AHN IN TOKYO. I'M AVRIL HONG IN SINGAPORE. ASIAN STOCKS LOOK SET FOR A POSITIVE OPEN AS TRADERS LOOK PAST LAST WEEK'S TURMOIL. SENTIMENT IMPROVING. AND BHP WALKS AWAY FROM ANGLO AMERICA AFTER A FRESH BID FOR ITS RIVAL FAILED, THE SECOND TIME THEY HAVE HAD A CHANGE OF HEART. AND MARCO RUBIO SAYS PRESIDENT TRUMP'S THURSDAY DEADLINE FOR UKRAINE IS NOT SET IN STONE AND JAPAN HITS BACK AT CHINA AS 10 TRENDS -- TENSIONS SPIRAL OVER TAKAICHI'S COMMENTS. THEY WILL DEPLOY MISSILES ...
每日投资摘要-20251124
光大新鸿基· 2025-11-24 05:09
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,220.02 points, down 615 points or 2.4% on the day, with a year-to-date increase of 25.72%[4] - The total turnover was HKD 285.70 billion, an increase of 16.6% compared to the previous day[6] - The technology index fell by 3.21%, with a year-to-date increase of 20.76%[4] Sector Performance - The financial index decreased by 2.12%, with a year-to-date increase of 14.41%[4] - The property index dropped by 2.45%, with a year-to-date increase of 8.70%[4] - The utility index fell by 0.91%, with a year-to-date increase of 21.09%[4] Key Company Updates - Kingsoft Cloud (3896.HK) reported a revenue of RMB 2.478 billion for Q3, up 31.4% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit turning positive at RMB 287.33 million[14] - AI business revenue for Kingsoft Cloud surged by 120% year-on-year, significantly boosting EBITDA margin from 9.8% to 33.4%[14] - Meituan (not mentioned in detail) and other tech stocks faced selling pressure, with notable declines in share prices[6] Economic Indicators - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield decreased to 4.0633%, reflecting a decline of 50.57 basis points year-to-date[24] - The U.S. dollar index stood at 100.28, down 7.56% year-to-date[24] Investment Recommendations - Kingsoft Cloud is recommended for purchase at around HKD 6.00, with a target price of HKD 6.60 and a stop-loss at HKD 5.50[16] - Investors are advised to monitor the psychological support level of 25,000 points for the Hang Seng Index, as a breach could lead to further declines[10]