Summary of EQB Conference Call - January 06, 2026 Company Overview - **Company**: EQB Inc. (OTCPK: EQGP.F) - **Industry**: Banking, specifically a challenger bank in Canada Key Points and Arguments Growth Expectations - **Loans Under Management**: Expected to grow in high single digits, with a previous growth of 10% in 2025 [3][6] - **Revenue Growth**: Anticipated mid-single-digit revenue growth for 2026, with flat to slightly positive operating leverage and low single-digit expense growth [3][6] - **Operating Efficiency**: Aiming to return to a competitive advantage in efficiency, targeting a return on equity (ROE) of 15%+ [5][6] Strategic Initiatives - **PC Financial Acquisition**: The acquisition is seen as a transformative opportunity, expected to increase customer base from 800,000 to 3.5 million, enhancing distribution capabilities and brand recognition [4][29] - **Focus on Core Franchise**: Emphasis on reigniting the core business and optimizing capabilities to drive revenue growth [4][5] Financial Performance - **Earnings Growth**: Projected EPS growth of 12%-15% for 2026, with a focus on improving operating leverage [6][11] - **Expense Management**: A significant improvement in expenses is expected, with a CAD 45 million reduction anticipated in 2026 [15][27] - **Credit Quality**: The company is well-positioned for a potentially recessionary environment, with an expected improvement in the provision for credit losses (PCL) ratio in 2026 [17][25] Equipment Financing - **Risk Posture Improvement**: The risk profile of the equipment financing business has improved, with a shift from lower quality long-haul trucking to more prime customers [19][20] Cross-Selling Opportunities - **PC Optimum Integration**: Plans to leverage the PC Optimum loyalty program to enhance customer engagement and cross-sell financial products [30][35] - **Product Offerings**: Potential to offer mortgages and insurance products to new customers from the PC Financial acquisition [36][44] Capital Management - **Capital Utilization**: The company is focused on organic growth and share buybacks, with a current CET1 ratio of 13.3% [48][51] - **Share Buyback Program**: An NCIB (Normal Course Issuer Bid) has been announced to repurchase shares, indicating confidence in the company's valuation [51][52] Cultural Alignment - **Partnership with Loblaw**: The shared culture and focus on building a distinct challenger bank were key factors in the partnership with Loblaw for the PC Financial acquisition [53][54] Future Outlook - **New Era for EQB**: The leadership team expresses excitement about the future, emphasizing a commitment to being a leading challenger bank in Canada and enhancing customer offerings [58][59] Additional Important Content - **Efficiency Ratio Goals**: The company aims to improve its efficiency ratio to the high 40s or around 50% by late next year [28] - **Physical Presence Strategy**: Plans to operate device pavilions in stores to enhance customer interaction without incurring high operating costs [39][40] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the EQB conference call, highlighting the company's growth expectations, strategic initiatives, financial performance, and future outlook.

Summary of Bank of Montreal Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO) - **Date**: January 06, 2026 Key Points ROE Target and Performance - Bank of Montreal aims to achieve a **15% Return on Equity (ROE)** by the end of **2027**, with a commitment to sustainable performance beyond that [6][8][59] - The bank increased its ROE by **150 basis points** year-over-year, the fastest among peers, and achieved **26% EPS growth** in the previous year [4][5] - The bank's operating leverage was **4.3%** with an **18% growth** in Pre-Provision Profitability (PPPT) in 2025 [5] U.S. Banking Segment - The objective is to exit 2027 with a **12% ROE** in the U.S. banking segment, which has been restructured to optimize synergies between personal, commercial, and wealth management services [9][10] - The restructuring began in July 2025, and the bank expects to see full benefits from this optimization by the second quarter of 2026 [11] - Loan growth in the U.S. is anticipated to be in the **mid-single digits** starting in the second quarter of 2026, contingent on macroeconomic conditions [16] Credit and Impairments - The bank expects a **flattish** credit experience in 2026, with improvements anticipated in the U.S. but some deterioration in Canadian retail [13][14] - The bank aims to normalize impaired Provision for Credit Losses (PCL) to the mid-30s, but does not expect significant credit normalization to impact ROE significantly [14][34] Deposit Growth and Strategy - Deposit growth has been strong, particularly following the instability in early 2023, and is expected to align with loan growth moving forward [18] - The bank is focusing on improving the mix of deposits, targeting low-cost retail deposits and operational deposits in the commercial sector [19][21] Canadian Market Outlook - Loan growth in Canada is projected to be low single digits, influenced by economic uncertainty and client confidence [22][24] - The bank is optimistic about the Canadian economy's resilience and expects to see increased loan demand as clients regain confidence [24] Efficiency and Cost Control - The bank's efficiency ratio gap to peers has narrowed from **400 basis points** to **160 basis points** over the past five years [27] - A restructuring expense of approximately **CAD 200 million** is expected, with an annual run rate benefit of **CAD 250 million** [28] Capital Deployment and M&A Strategy - The bank generated **90 basis points** of capital last year and maintains a **13.3% Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1)** ratio, indicating strong capital generation capacity [35] - While the bank is open to M&A opportunities, it prioritizes organic growth and optimizing existing operations over pursuing acquisitions [39][40] Capital Markets Outlook - The capital markets business is performing well, with expectations to exceed previous targets of **$625 million** in PPPT per quarter [48] - The U.S. capital markets are seen as a significant growth area, with high market shares in investment banking and a focus on integrating services across business lines [51][52] Macro Economic Outlook - The bank anticipates **2.3%-2.4% GDP growth** in the U.S. and **1.7%** in Canada, with a positive outlook for operational improvements continuing into 2026 [58] - The bank remains optimistic about its ability to achieve its ROE target and sustain it beyond 2027 [59] Additional Insights - The bank's strong position in the mining sector and its global reach in capital markets are expected to provide significant benefits as the market improves [55] - The bank is cautious about the timing of capital flows despite positive policy shifts, indicating a measured approach to growth [56]

Summary of Royal Bank of Canada Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE:RY) - **Event**: 2026 RBC Canadian Bank CEO Conference - **Date**: January 06, 2026 Key Industry Insights - **Canadian Economy**: The Canadian economy showed resilience in 2025, avoiding recession despite challenges such as USMCA negotiations and tariffs. The economy is slowly adjusting to these tariffs and other economic challenges [2][3] - **Credit Losses**: Credit losses have stabilized, with expectations for stable provisions for credit losses (PCLs) in 2026 and potential declines into 2027 [3] - **Interest Rates**: Current interest rates are favorable for lending and bank products, contributing to a constructive environment for banks [3] - **Valuation Metrics**: The median forward P/E ratio for the big six Canadian banks is currently 14, compared to 11.9 in the previous year. Canadian banks trade at 83% of the TSX P/E, which is higher than the 10-year average of 70% [4][5] Company-Specific Insights - **ROE Targets**: RBC aims for a return on equity (ROE) target of 17% or higher, with discussions around optimizing capital deployment to achieve this [20][24] - **Capital Management**: RBC plans to operate within a common equity tier one (CET1) ratio of 12.5% to 13.5%, with excess capital potentially used for stock buybacks [22][27] - **Growth Opportunities**: The bank sees significant growth opportunities in infrastructure investments, particularly in energy, mining, and transportation, with CAD 60 billion in defense spending and CAD 150 billion in infrastructure planned [10][11] - **Consumer Behavior**: Canadian consumers are redirecting disposable income from mortgage servicing to consumption, which is stabilizing the economy and creating jobs [12][13] Risks and Challenges - **Credit Risk**: There are concerns about sectoral credit risks, particularly related to unresolved issues in CUSMA and the impact on specific industries like steel and softwood lumber [44][45] - **Geopolitical and Cyber Risks**: Geopolitical tensions and cyber risks are significant concerns, with RBC investing heavily in cybersecurity to protect its infrastructure and customer trust [48][49] - **Tax Implications**: The implementation of global tax regulations (Pillar Two) is expected to increase RBC's overall tax burden, presenting a headwind for growth [56][57] Strategic Focus - **Investment in AI**: RBC is focusing on leveraging AI to enhance profitability and operational efficiency, with a strong emphasis on data-driven decision-making [35][36] - **Market Positioning**: RBC is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in both Canada and the U.S., with a strong deposit franchise and a focus on organic growth rather than acquisitions [70][73] - **Future Outlook**: The bank is optimistic about the macroeconomic environment and sees unprecedented growth opportunities in Canada, emphasizing the importance of infrastructure projects for long-term prosperity [70][71] Conclusion - RBC is navigating a constructive environment with a focus on optimizing returns while managing risks. The bank is well-positioned to leverage growth opportunities in both domestic and international markets, with a strong emphasis on capital efficiency and technological advancements.

聚焦格局更优的细分领域——证券行业 2026 年度投资策 略 20251228 摘要 2025 年券商板块整体跑输金融子行业，估值从年初高位回落至 1.4 倍 左右，但前三季度全上市券商利润增速超过 60%，主要由经纪业务和自 营业务驱动。 头部券商如东方财富、中信证券、国信证券、银河证券等 ROE 领先优势 显著，2025 年达到 9%-10%左右，中金公司、申万宏源、长江证券等 公司的 ROE 提升幅度也很明显。 预计 2026 年资本市场延续慢牛行情，自营业务和经纪业务将支撑行业 ROE，但佣金率将继续下滑，预计从去年末万分之一点九五降至今年末 万分之一点七左右。 投行、资管及国际业务是值得关注的细分领域，盈利复苏滞后于市场好 转，目前仍处于周期底部，有望随着市场修复而逐步复苏，且国际业务 增长迅速但占比仍低。 2025 年 A 股 IPO 市场仍然紧缩，强调投融资平衡，IPO 数量和规模较 小，2023 年底以来的 IPO 暂停状态延续，港股 IPO 及再融资规模恢复 较快，但盈利弹性不及 A 股。 Q&A 2026 年证券行业的投资策略是什么？ 2026 年的证券行业投资策略主要聚焦在格局更优的细分 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 南京证券（601990）深度研究报告 推荐（首次） 业务矩阵齐发力，区域国资强赋能 目标价：9.45 元 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 3,147 | 3,315 | 3,629 | 3,894 | | 同比增速(%) | 27% | 5% | 9% | 7% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 1,002 | 1,242 | 1,369 | 1,462 | | 同比增速(%) | 48% | 24% | 10% | 7% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.40 | | 市盈率(倍) | 29.4 | 23.6 | 21.4 | 20.0 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.64 | 1.57 | 1.51 | 1.46 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 12 月 24 日收盘价 公司研究 证券Ⅲ 2025 年 12 月 25 日 | ...

Group 1: Profitability Insights - The ROE of the entire A-share market (excluding finance and oil) increased from 6.32% in mid-2025 to 6.37% by Q3 2025, primarily driven by improved sales net profit margins due to effective cost control[3] - Sales net profit margin rose from 4.65% to 4.69%, indicating effective cost management despite a decline in gross profit margin from 17.73% to 17.48%[13] - Asset turnover improved slightly from 56.21% to 56.37%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency[28] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Among 17 industries, 10 are experiencing low capacity utilization and low capital expenditure/depreciation, indicating a poor current supply-demand balance but potential for future improvement[4] - Over two-thirds of industries have capacity utilization below historical medians, highlighting persistent demand weakness in the economy[41] Group 3: Valuation and Dividend Trends - In the past year, 24 out of 33 industries exhibited a trend of rising valuations and declining dividends, suggesting a marginal increase in market risk appetite[5] - The report identifies industries with high valuations and low dividends as needing caution, while those with low valuations and high dividends are seen as having better risk-reward profiles[53] Group 4: Dynamic Transmission of Profitability - Historical data shows that improvements in ROE and asset turnover typically lead capital expenditure by six months to a year, indicating a lag in investment response to profitability improvements[6] - Midstream manufacturing and upstream construction materials show a one-year lead of ROE over capital expenditure, while downstream goods show a six-month lead[64]

Group 1: Supply and Demand Analysis - The supply-demand gap for the midstream sector improved, with the demand-investment growth rate difference rising to 7.6% in November from 6.4% in October[1] - Midstream demand growth was 8.9% in November, down from 9.3% in October, while midstream investment growth fell to 1.3%[3] - The demand-investment growth rate difference for midstream has been increasing since May 2024 and turned positive in March 2025[3] Group 2: Future Projections - Historical data suggests that the midstream demand-investment growth rate difference is likely to remain positive, indicating potential price stabilization in the next two years[2] - The midstream PPI (Producer Price Index) is expected to stop declining and start rising, with a notable month-on-month increase of 0.04% in November, the first positive change since June 2024[4] - If the midstream PPI stabilizes, the year-on-year PPI is likely to continue rising, positively impacting midstream ROE (Return on Equity)[4] Group 3: Economic Data Overview - November's industrial value-added growth rate was 4.8%, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.44%[20] - Retail sales growth in November was 1.3%, down from 2.9% in October, indicating weak consumer demand[22] - Real estate sales area decreased by 17.3% year-on-year in November, showing ongoing challenges in the property market[27]

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 1 、分析方法：以需求增速与投资增速的差值衡量供需矛盾，核心逻辑是若需求增速持续超过投资增速，随 着产能逐渐折旧退出，供需之间的相对关系，有望从"供强需弱"转为"供弱需强"。 2 、指标构建：关键在于需求。将社零、出口、固投与行业层面的上游、中游、下游进行匹配，得到上、 中、下游的需求与投资增速差。 3 、当前现象： 11 月，对于中游，需求与投资增速差进一步上行至 7.6% ，前值为 6.4% ，这一差值自 2024 年 5 月开始持续上行，自 2025 年 3 月开始增速差转正。而上游与下游，观察到截至 10 月的情况， 增速差均尚未超过 0 。 4 、未来推演：从历史数据来看，中游需求与投资增速差持续回升，且增速差能回升至 0 以上，有希望看 到在未来 2 年的时间段内的某个时点，中游 PPI 定基指数止跌回升（即，价格止跌）。我们预计， 2026 年很有可能看到中游 PPI 定基指数持续止跌上行。 事实上，从 2025 年 11 月的数据来看，中游 PPI 环比 出现了久违的环比转正（ 2024 年 6 月 ...

Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan's chief China equity strategist maintains a positive outlook on the Chinese stock market, predicting an approximately 18% increase in the MSCI China Index and a 12% increase in the CSI 300 Index by the end of 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Predictions - The target level for the CSI 300 Index by the end of 2026 is set at 5200 points, indicating over a 12% upside from the current level of 4590 points [1] - The acceleration of the "anti-involution" policy by 2026 is expected to benefit the net profit margin and return on equity of the constituents of the CSI 300 Index [1] Group 2: ETF Information - There are currently 302 ETFs tracking the CSI 300 Index, with the lowest management fee being 0.15% per year for the Huaxia CSI 300 ETF (510330.SH) [1]

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