金价又开始冲了！ 现货黄金突破3700美元/盎司，也就是说，今年以来已经暴涨超过1000美元/盎司，这个金额，是过去5年金价涨幅的总和！ 黄金这波牛市，也太陡峭了吧！ 看了眼手上的持仓，黄金部分的收益率已经超过220%！ 其实，这波黄金的上涨，跟以往很不一样。 上半年，黄金就走出了一波"逼空式"的上涨，随后开始高位震荡盘整。这种震荡盘整，在我整个持有黄金的过程中，见到过很多次了，在逻辑不变的情 况下，选择坚定持有。 | F9 不复权 超级叠加 画线 工具 ⑤ » | | 伦敦金现 | | SPTAUUSDOZ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 高3328.220 低3255.485 结0.000 We | | | | | | ↑ MA250 2830.174↑ (86日) / a | | 3677.584 | | -12.006 -0.33% | | 3703.130-> | 3720 | IDC USD 10:07:48 | | 6 | | | | 3677.989 家 | | | | | | के | 3677.584 | | | | | 点量 | 0 现手 | | ...

国际金价涨疯了，就连国内深圳水贝黄金板料裸金价已创下830元/克，某些知名零售金铺黄金首饰加上手工费，已经刷新1100元/克，国际现货黄金今天迎 来历史性一刻，香港第一金MT5盘面伦敦金价格最高涨至3703美元/盎司，创下当前历史性最高价位，首次突破了3700美元关口。现在黄金价格是属于加速 性的上涨，黄金从2023年至今的涨幅是前所未有的多头趋势！目前国际现货黄金价格虽然创了历史新高，但遇到百元大关压力位，现开始出现小幅度震荡回 踩，那么接下来的黄金走势，还能继续站稳3700美元/盎司上方，甚至挑战3800到4000美元区间吗？以下内容，香港第一金PPLI市场部负责人陈生分析一下 当前黄金暴涨的原因与后期对黄金影响的因素。第一金陈生作为香港黄金交易所旗下AA类高级行员的市场部负责人，对黄金走势略有研究，并且服务了超 千人办理第一金代理与个人开户业务。 香港第一金PPLI市场部负责人陈生认为，本次这波黄金的暴涨刷新3700美元/盎司，其实对整体黄金的大方向，只是上了一个开胃前菜，真正的硬菜是本周 四凌晨两点钟美联储的利率决议，全球所有关注黄金的投资者都在盯紧周四凌晨两点钟，美联储这一次降息25个基点还是50个 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold-related stocks have weakened, with companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Zhaojin Mining, Shandong Gold, and Hunan Gold all experiencing declines of over 3% [1] - Gold-related ETFs have also seen a decline of approximately 2% due to market influences [1] Group 2 - Specific performance data of gold stock ETFs shows that the 517400 Gold Stock ETF is priced at 1.448, down by 0.033 or 2.23%, while the 517520 Gold Stock ETF is at 1.836, down by 0.038 or 2.03% [2] - Analysts suggest that expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut have opened up "valuation space" for gold prices, while geopolitical and economic policy uncertainties have increased gold's "safe-haven value" [2] - Active capital inflows are providing the "fuel" for price increases, with these three factors interwoven to form a solid foundation for the current gold bull market [2]

截至美东时间周二收盘，道指跌125.55点，跌幅0.27%，报45757.90点；纳指跌14.79点，跌幅0.07%，报22333.96点；标普500指数跌8.52点，跌幅0.13%， 报6606.76点。 大型科技股涨跌互现，特斯拉涨超2%，甲骨文涨超1%，微软、英伟达跌超1%。 美东时间周二，美股市场遇冷，三大指数集体收跌。 中国资产表现亮眼，纳斯达克中国金龙指数逆势收涨1.76%，创2022年2月以来新高。 9月17日，国际金价在触及高位后急速下跌。隔夜，伦敦现货黄金盘中最高涨至3700美元/盎司上方；COMEX黄金期价在突破3700美元/盎司后继续走强， 盘中最高逼近3740美元/盎司历史高位。 9月17日，离岸人民币兑美元升破7.10关口，最高升至7.0995，为去年11月以来首次。9月16日，在岸人民币对美元即期汇率16时30分收盘报7.1163，较上 一交易日上涨65个基点，创下去年11月6日以来的日间收盘价新高。相比在岸人民币对美元汇率，离岸人民币兑美元更多反映国际投资者预期。 市场正静候本周的美联储议息决议。美元指数9月16日一度跌破97，日内一度下跌0.4%。 中国金龙创三年来新高 | 特 ...

摘要周三（9月17日）亚洲时段，伦敦金走势探高回落，现货黄金重回3680美元一线，昨日金价短暂站 上3700美元关口后跳水，由于美国8月零售销售月率超预期等数据好于预期，以及3700美元关口的获利 了结和做空，而有所回撤收线，伦敦金价格周二最终收涨0.30%，收报3689.83美元/盎司。 周三（9月17日）亚洲时段，伦敦金走势探高回落，现货黄金重回3680美元一线，昨日金价短暂站上 3700美元关口后跳水，由于美国8月零售销售月率超预期等数据好于预期，以及3700美元关口的获利了 结和做空，而有所回撤收线，伦敦金价格周二最终收涨0.30%，收报3689.83美元/盎司。 【要闻速递】 目前，交易员几乎完全定价美联储将在9月17日的会议上降息25个基点，并且在美国总统特朗普在社交 媒体上公开施压美联储主席鲍威尔，要求"更大幅度"降息，进一步强化了市场的鸽派预期。也令有小部 分投资者押注降息50个基点。 一旦降息落地，金价会受到卖事实而产生短暂的走低行情，但由于实际利率下行将降低持有黄金的机会 成本，从而刺激资金持续流入黄金市场。故此，一时的下跌，也是做多的机会； 之后的美国总统特朗普在英国接受福克斯新闻的采访 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices reached a historic high of $3,690 per ounce on September 16, with London gold quoted at $3,699.32 and New York gold at $3,737.6, marking increases of nearly 0.5% and over 0.3% respectively [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices also rose, with brands like Chow Sang Sang, Lao Feng Xiang, and Zhou Li Fu seeing increases of over 1%, and Chow Sang Sang's gold jewelry price surpassing 1,090 yuan per gram, reaching 1,091 yuan with a daily increase of 1.58% [1] - The recent trends in international gold prices are attributed to reactions to the Federal Reserve's potential monetary easing policies and uncertainties surrounding U.S. monetary policy [1] Group 2 - Analysts from Shenwan Hongyuan Futures noted that weak employment data in the U.S. supports the outlook for interest rate cuts in September, contributing to the rise in gold prices [2] - Everbright Futures indicated that the gold-silver ratio has decreased to 86.2, suggesting that buying on dips remains a primary strategy [2] - Goldman Sachs' commodity team predicts that gold could reach $4,000 per ounce within the next 12 months, emphasizing a long-term trend of global investors seeking diversification [2]

摘要回顾周二（9月16日），国际黄金日K线收涨。国际黄金继续反弹走强，如期触及3700美元关口目 标，虽最终遇阻回撤倒垂收线，有一定的反弹见顶预期，但鉴于走势多头动力持稳，且又运行在短期均 线上方，看涨趋势前景良好，基本面也未有明显利空因素，因而，后市仍可以看涨反弹为主。 回顾周二（9月16日），国际黄金日K线收涨。国际黄金继续反弹走强，如期触及3700美元关口目标， 虽最终遇阻回撤倒垂收线，有一定的反弹见顶预期，但鉴于走势多头动力持稳，且又运行在短期均线上 方，看涨趋势前景良好，基本面也未有明显利空因素，因而，后市仍可以看涨反弹为主。 目前，交易员几乎完全定价美联储将在9月17日的会议上降息25个基点，并且在美国总统特朗普公开施 压美联储主席鲍威尔，要求"更大幅度"降息，进一步强化了市场的鸽派预期。也令有小部分投资者押注 降息50个基点。 全球经济增长不确定性、地缘政治冲突以及主要经济体政策分化等，在当下复杂的经济环境中被重新激 活。促使投资者加大对黄金的配置。2025年迄今，金价累计涨幅已约41%，虽远超2024年的27%，但也 仍具上行空间。 【最新国际黄金行情解析】 金价自亚市开于3679.64美元/ ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant rise in gold prices, with COMEX gold futures reaching $3739.9 and London gold prices hitting $3703.13, both marking historical highs. This surge is influenced by the anticipation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1][2] - The U.S. Senate narrowly approved the nomination of Milan to the Federal Reserve, allowing him to participate in the upcoming monetary policy meeting, which could impact future interest rate decisions [1] - U.S. retail sales for August increased by 0.6% month-on-month, marking the third consecutive month of exceeding expectations, with inflation-adjusted retail sales showing a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [1] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that gold's effective breakthrough of $3700 indicates the start of a new price reassessment cycle. The Federal Reserve's policy decision will be a key indicator for short-term price movements [2] - In the medium to long term, the supportive factors for gold remain unchanged, including global monetary policy easing, weakening of the U.S. dollar credit system, persistent geopolitical risks, and institutionalized central bank gold purchases [2] - Investors are advised to be cautious of short-term volatility risks while recognizing gold's irreplaceable role as a strategic asset in wealth allocation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the bullish outlook for gold prices, driven by expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a weakening US dollar, despite some short-term volatility [1][3][6]. Market Dynamics - Gold prices rebounded to touch the $3700 mark, with a daily high of $3702.63 and a closing price of $3689.64, reflecting a daily increase of $10 or 0.27% [1][3]. - The dollar index fell to its lowest level in over 10 weeks, influenced by investor bets on a rate cut and other geopolitical factors, which contributed to gold's price surge [3][6]. Federal Reserve Expectations - Market participants are almost fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with some speculating a potential 50 basis point cut due to pressure from President Trump [6][7]. - A rate cut is expected to initially cause a temporary decline in gold prices, but the lower opportunity cost of holding gold will likely attract more investment into the gold market [6][7]. Long-term Outlook - The long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, supported by ongoing monetary policy easing, a weakening dollar, and persistent geopolitical risks [7][9]. - The cumulative increase in gold prices for 2025 is approximately 41%, indicating significant upward potential despite a previous increase of 27% in 2024 [6][7]. Technical Analysis - Short-term price movements suggest potential for a technical pullback, but any retracement is viewed as a buying opportunity, with key support levels identified at $3670 and $3650 [9][10]. - The overall market sentiment remains positive, with gold prices expected to continue their upward trajectory, supported by various technical indicators [10].

Group 1 - The market focus has shifted from "whether to cut rates" to "the extent and pace of rate cuts" as the Federal Reserve's decision approaches, with President Trump suggesting a significant rate cut is likely [1][2] - Gold prices have surged, with international spot gold breaking through $3700, reaching a historical high of $3702.93, and domestic gold futures closing at 842.08 yuan per gram [1][3] - The Federal Reserve is expected to resume rate cuts, with a 25 basis point cut anticipated, which would be the first since December of the previous year [2][3] Group 2 - The gold bull market is accelerating, with gold prices experiencing a maximum increase of over 7% in the first half of September, and COMEX gold futures reaching a record high of $3737.6 per ounce [3] - Multiple factors, including expectations of a shift in Federal Reserve policy, increased demand for safe-haven assets, and supply-demand imbalances, are contributing to the bullish trend in precious metals [3] - Morgan Stanley has raised its gold price forecast, expecting an average of $3800 per ounce in Q4 2023, with projections for gold to exceed $4000 per ounce by Q1 2026 [3][4] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs maintains a target price of $3700 per ounce for gold by the end of 2025 and $4000 per ounce by mid-2026, highlighting the potential for prices to exceed $4500 per ounce under certain conditions [4] - The ongoing trend of global de-dollarization and the Federal Reserve entering a rate-cutting cycle are fundamental drivers of gold's price increase [6] - The world's largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, has a holding of 979.68 tons, significantly below its historical peak of over 1300 tons in 2012, indicating room for growth [6][7] Group 4 - Central bank demand for gold remains strong, with global official gold reserves increasing by 166 tons in Q2, and China's gold reserves rising for the tenth consecutive month [7]