Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company's first localized production project in Europe is set to launch in Q3 2025 at the Magna plant in Graz, Austria, with the first batches of the G6 and G9 models successfully rolling off the production line. The Munich R&D center in Germany has also been activated, with expectations to produce more models in the future [2][4]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth driven by a strong new vehicle cycle, with the MONA M03 and P7+ models marking the beginning of this cycle. The combination of scale enhancement, cost reduction from platforms and technology, and the expansion of software profitability models will provide significant earnings flexibility in the future [2][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established a full value chain layout in Europe, covering both R&D and mass production. Since entering the European market in 2021, it has expanded to over 46 countries and regions, achieving overseas sales of 18,700 units from January to July 2025, a year-on-year increase of 217% [8]. Sales and Revenue Projections - For Q3 2025, the company anticipates delivery volumes between 113,000 and 118,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 142.8% to 153.6%. Expected revenue is projected to be between 19.6 billion and 21 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 94.0% to 107.9% [8]. New Product Launches - The new models G6 and G9 have been well-received, achieving multiple sales championships in their respective domestic segments. The G6 model accounts for approximately 67% of the sales in the European market, with the P7+ model set to launch soon, further enhancing the company's product lineup [8]. Profitability Outlook - The company is expected to achieve a quarterly turnaround in profitability by Q4, with an anticipated positive free cash flow for the entire year. The revenue forecast for 2025 is projected at 92.8 billion yuan, with a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6X, indicating a significant improvement in financial performance driven by software revenue [8].

9月17日晚间，爱慕股份（603511）发布公告，决定终止官宣了一年多的中央智能物流园(苏州)项目(以 下简称"物流园项目")。 今年上半年，受中高端需求不振、消费降级影响，叠加主要运营成本难以压降，爱慕股份业绩承压，实 现营收15.98亿元，同比下降2.91%；净利润1.06亿元，同比下降31.37%；毛利率66.54%，同比下降0.1个 百分点。 分渠道看，上半年直营渠道营收为9.8亿元，同比下滑3.9%；线上渠道表现稳健，营收为4.65亿元，同 比增长2.59%；加盟渠道营收为7011.89万元，同比下滑28.51%。 面对业绩下滑，爱慕股份采取了系列行动提升盈利水平。2025年6月24日，公司正式终止运营乎兮品 牌，并完成对乎兮品牌的优势资源整合以及核心价值转化；同时推进组织变革，加速全渠道升级，稳步 构建海外运营体系。 对于终止项目的原因，爱慕股份表示，当前战略重点是全球化布局，而国内市场已进入存量竞争时代， 公司苏州和北京物流中心，经过资源整合、系统升级及数字化供应链的完善，预计可以应对未来国内市 场物流需求。在国际市场方面，公司启动了越南供应链基地建设，可以满足未来3至5年国际市场物流需 求。与 ...

Tire Industry Research Summary Industry Overview - The tire industry is expected to see improvements in fundamentals in the second half of 2025, with confidence in orders and profitability. Leading companies show stronger performance resilience, particularly those with a higher proportion of all-steel tires, while semi-steel tires are more affected by tax increases [1][3]. - The U.S. market's trade risks have largely passed, while the EU market is expected to be favorable for the industry in the medium term, aiding in the optimization of industry structure. Attention is recommended for leading companies that have successfully expanded overseas [1][5]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - Overall tire demand is projected to grow in the first half of 2025, with a notable increase in the semi-steel replacement market and strong support from the all-steel replacement market, although the original equipment market is expected to slow down [1][2][6]. - The export of passenger car tires is expected to remain flat, while truck and bus tire exports are projected to increase by 2%. Despite trade policy restrictions, truck and bus tire exports have reached record highs, primarily to Asia, Africa, and South America [1][8][9]. Import and Export Trends - The U.S. market shows a strong dependency on imported tires, with a slight increase in passenger car tire imports and a more than 10% increase in truck and bus tire imports in the first half of 2025. Major import sources include Thailand, Vietnam, and Cambodia [11][12][13]. - The EU's anti-dumping policies are anticipated to impact passenger car tire exports to Europe, with a projected decline following the May 2025 anti-dumping application [10]. Financial Performance and Profitability - Raw material prices are expected to rebound in the third quarter of 2025, with companies having low-cost inventory from the second quarter, which may lead to profit recovery. However, the first half of 2025 saw a decline in profitability due to high raw material prices and tariffs [4][14]. - The tire sector's revenue grew by 10% year-on-year, but net profit fell by 30% due to high raw material costs and unexpected tariff events [15][21]. Company Performance Insights - Leading companies like Sailun, Zhongce, and Linglong have shown strong sales performance, with Sailun achieving a record high in quarterly sales, growing by 10% year-on-year [17][21]. - Despite the overall industry pressure on profit margins, some companies like Guirun have demonstrated better-than-expected operational management [19][20]. Globalization and Market Positioning - Leading tire companies have significant advantages in global layout, with established operations in Southeast Asia and plans for expansion into regions like Mexico, Morocco, and Brazil [22][25]. - The importance of overseas business is highlighted by Sailun's overseas revenue growth of 19% in the first half of 2025, indicating a robust international presence [23]. Future Outlook - The tire industry, while facing challenges, is expected to continue growing due to its large market size and strong demand support. Leading companies are likely to enhance their market share through globalization and operational efficiency improvements [27][28]. - The third quarter of 2025 is anticipated to be a peak season for the replacement market, with demand support expected to strengthen [28]. Recommendations - Focus on leading companies such as Sailun and Zhongce, as well as others like Senking, Linglong, and General, for potential performance recovery opportunities in the face of international trade policy changes [31][32][33].

爱慕股份此次终止的苏州物流园项目，实际始于2024年。 2024年4月25日，爱慕股份第三届董事会第七次会议、第三届监事会第六次会议审议通过了《关于投资 建设物流园项目的议案》，同意以自筹资金5.50亿元投资建设苏州物流园项目，由公司全资子公司苏州 爱慕内衣有限公司投资建设，打造高效仓储物流供应链体系。 彼时，爱慕股份给出的投资理由是："为响应国家发展新质生产力的要求，进一步满足公司未来8至10年 业务发展的存储及物流需求，增强仓储配送整合能力，提升物流效率和智能化水平。" 按最初计划，项目建成后预计仓库存储能力可达3000万件，具备智能化、数字化、柔性化、生态环保、 可扩展等现代化能力。 据爱慕股份介绍，2024年4月，公司通过招投标程序，确定了项目建设方案供应商。此后，公司持续推 动项目建设方案制定，并于同年6月完成了项目整体建设方案。同年9月，公司组织了建筑设计供应商招 投标工作，陆续推动供应商选定及建筑设计方案制定完善等工作。 9月17日盘后，贴身服饰龙头爱慕股份（SH603511，股价16.06元，市值64.89亿元）公告，拟终止投资 爱慕中央智能物流园（苏州）项目（以下简称苏州物流园项目），相关议 ...

Core Insights - The wealth management needs of China's high-net-worth individuals are undergoing a profound transformation, focusing not only on wealth growth but also on preservation and inheritance [2][3] - There is a shift from a single asset allocation strategy centered on "local currency + real estate" to a diversified approach involving "RMB + foreign currency + alternative assets" [2][3] - High-net-worth individuals are increasingly favoring customized, one-stop services over traditional product-pushing sales methods [2][3] - There is a growing emphasis on values such as charity, ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance), and social impact, moving away from a purely profit-driven mindset [2][3] Wealth Management Trends - The asset allocation of high-net-worth clients is becoming more diversified, moving away from heavy investments in domestic real estate and A-shares [3] - There is a rapid increase in demand for cross-border asset allocation, with particular interest in overseas dollar bonds, Asia-Pacific REITs, and private equity funds in Europe and the U.S. [3] - Clients are now seeking stable value growth and security rather than just high returns, leading to the construction of defensive investment portfolios that can effectively hedge against systemic risks [3][4] Family Wealth Planning - There is a rising focus on comprehensive wealth planning, with an emphasis on family welfare and long-term development strategies [4][5] - High-net-worth individuals are increasingly viewing wealth transfer as a multi-generational endeavor rather than a short-term plan [5] Integrated Services - The integration of personal, family, and business wealth management is becoming essential, requiring a holistic approach that goes beyond financial product combinations [6] - HSBC Global Private Banking aims to act as a strategic partner, providing cross-border resource integration and top-level design for clients' wealth management needs [6][7] Hong Kong's Role - Hong Kong is increasingly favored by high-net-worth individuals from mainland China due to its unique geographical advantages, financial expertise, and robust legal framework [8][9] - The city serves as a gateway for mainland clients to access global markets, offering a blend of Eastern and Western perspectives in wealth management services [9] Investment Product Offerings - HSBC provides over 800 carefully selected local and global fund products to assist clients in global asset allocation [9] - The focus is on guiding clients towards diversified asset allocation and tailored risk-adjusted return solutions, including alternative strategies and wealth planning tools [9]

公司战略重点是全球化布局，国内市场目前进入了存量竞争的时代，目前公司苏州和北京物流中心，经 过资源整合、系统升级及数字化供应链的完善，预计可以应对未来国内市场物流需求。国际市场方面， 公司启动了越南供应链基地建设，可以满足未来3-5年国际市场物流需求。公司亦考虑资产效率的提 升，以更多现金储备，应对复杂多变的市场环境，以及全球化发展的需要。公司经审慎考量，决定终止 投资建设物流园项目。 格隆汇9月17日丨爱慕股份(603511.SH)公布，公司于2025年9月16日召开了公司第三届董事会第十三次 会议、第三届监事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关于终止投资建设物流园项目的议案》，同意公司终 止投资爱慕中央智能物流园(苏州)项目(以下简称"物流园项目")，截至目前，公司建设物流园项目未发 生任何实际投资。本次终止投资建设物流园项目，不会造成公司及全体股东利益损失，不会对公司的生 产经营和未来发展产生不利影响。 ...

爱慕股份公告，公司于2025年9月16日召开董事会及监事会，审议通过了终止投资建设爱慕中央智能物 流园（苏州）项目的议案。该决定基于公司战略重点转向全球化布局，国内及国际市场需求可以通过现 有资源和新启动的越南供应链基地来满足。目前尚未实际投资该项目，终止投资不会对公司及股东造成 损失，也不会影响公司的生产经营和未来发展。 ...

Core Insights - Zhejiang province is actively addressing supply chain challenges through innovation and collaboration between government and enterprises, with a focus on maintaining stability and growth in foreign trade [1] - From January to July this year, Zhejiang's foreign trade import and export reached 3.19 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with exports alone amounting to 2.42 trillion yuan, growing by 8.4% [1] Group 1: Supply Chain Challenges - Companies in Zhejiang are facing increased competition in overseas markets, fluctuating supply chain costs, and high tariff barriers, yet they express determination to turn challenges into opportunities [1][2] - The outdoor leisure products industry in Taizhou, which has a foreign trade dependence of 44.8%, has a total output value of 30 billion yuan, with 90% of products exported to over 120 countries [2] - Exchange rate fluctuations are a hidden cost for local enterprises, impacting their profitability and operational stability [2] Group 2: Proactive Strategies - Companies are shifting from a reactive to a proactive approach in addressing supply chain issues, focusing on optimizing supply chain networks and enhancing technological barriers through R&D and innovation [3][4] - A global supply chain strategy is being implemented to adjust supply chain flows and utilize overseas production bases to mitigate tariff cost pressures [4] Group 3: Market Diversification - Zhejiang's exports to emerging markets such as ASEAN, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa have seen significant growth, with increases of 16.1%, 12.5%, 12.7%, and 12.3% respectively from January to July [5] - Companies are actively seeking to diversify their markets and product offerings to enhance competitiveness and reduce reliance on single markets [4][5] Group 4: Financial Support and Risk Management - Financial institutions are providing essential support to companies facing tariff changes, including foreign exchange risk management and assistance with supply chain adjustments [6] - Export credit insurance is playing a crucial role in supporting companies during financial difficulties, with significant payouts aiding operational continuity [6] - From January to August, the Ningbo branch of China Export & Credit Insurance Corporation supported exports exceeding 33 billion USD, with a year-on-year growth of 8.7% [6] Group 5: Cross-Border Financial Services - The launch of the "Zhijiang Easy Exchange" WeChat mini-program aims to streamline cross-border financial services for enterprises, enhancing efficiency in foreign exchange transactions [7] - Zhejiang's financial institutions are customizing solutions to help companies manage exchange rate risks, thereby reducing financial burdens [8]

Core Insights - Shenzhen has 27 companies listed in the "2025 China Top 500 Enterprises" ranking, with 8 making it to the top 100, showcasing the city's strong performance in technology and advanced manufacturing sectors [3][4] Group 1: Company Performance - Huawei achieved a revenue of 427.04 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 3.95%, and a net profit of 37.195 billion yuan [3][4] - BYD, recognized as the global leader in new energy vehicles, sold 4.2721 million units globally in 2024, marking a 41.26% increase [3][4] - Tencent's R&D investment reached 20.25 billion yuan in Q2 2025, a 17% increase year-on-year, with cumulative R&D spending exceeding 379.5 billion yuan since 2018 [6] Group 2: R&D Investment - The total R&D investment of the top 500 enterprises in China reached 1.73 trillion yuan, with an average R&D intensity of 1.95%, while Shenzhen companies exceeded this average significantly [2][3] - Huawei's R&D investment for 2024 is projected to be 179.7 billion yuan, accounting for 20.8% of its total revenue, with cumulative R&D spending surpassing 1.249 trillion yuan over the past decade [6][7] - BYD's R&D investment for 2024 is expected to be 54.2 billion yuan, representing 6.97% of its revenue, which is higher than Tesla's 5.01% [6][7] Group 3: Globalization Strategy - Shenzhen companies are increasingly adopting globalization as a strategy for growth, with Huawei establishing 16 R&D centers globally and expanding its cloud services [7][8] - BYD's overseas sales reached 470,000 units in the first half of the year, a 132% increase, with international revenue growing by 50.49% year-on-year [7][8] - The globalization strategy is seen as essential for Shenzhen companies to enhance competitiveness and achieve sustainable revenue growth in the face of domestic market risks [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][11]. Core Views - The company is experiencing a slight performance pressure due to rising raw material costs, but there is optimism regarding its capacity expansion and ramp-up [1][11]. - The company has achieved historical highs in tire production and sales, although its performance has been impacted by increased raw material costs [2]. - The company is actively expanding its global footprint, with significant revenue growth from overseas operations [9][10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2025E at 37,040 million, 2026E at 42,113 million, and 2027E at 45,508 million, with growth rates of 16.5%, 13.7%, and 8.1% respectively [11]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 4,158 million in 2025E, 5,132 million in 2026E, and 6,144 million in 2027E, with growth rates of 2.3%, 23.4%, and 19.7% respectively [11]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 1.26 in 2025E, 1.56 in 2026E, and 1.87 in 2027E [11]. Operational Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported tire product revenue of 173.92 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.40%, with a gross margin of 24.58%, down 4.38 percentage points [2]. - The company produced 40.60 million tires in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.66%, while sales volume reached 39.14 million, up 13.32% [2]. - The average price of self-produced tires increased by 5.85% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025 [2]. Cost and Pricing Dynamics - The prices of key raw materials such as natural rubber, synthetic rubber, and carbon black have shown a high-level decline, although overall prices remain above last year's levels [2]. - The comprehensive procurement price of the main raw materials increased by 0.82% year-on-year but decreased by 4.64% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of 2025 [2]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company generated a net cash flow from operating activities of 8.84 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 179.10% [8]. - The ending cash and cash equivalents balance was 56.22 billion, up 10.54% year-on-year [8]. - Accounts receivable increased by 35.02% year-on-year, while inventory rose by 29.29% [8]. Global Expansion and New Capacity - The company reported overseas revenue of 134.13 billion in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 18.72% [9]. - New capacity projects include a planned investment of 29,148 million USD in Egypt for a tire production project and an investment of 170,093 million CNY for the expansion of an existing facility [10].