多元资产配置
Search documents
香港交易所集团行政总裁陈翊庭:香港市场兼具活力与韧性
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-10-22 07:38
Core Insights - China's investment opportunities have regained global investor attention due to economic policies and technological innovations since September last year [1] - The Hong Kong market has shown strong performance, with record trading volumes in the securities and derivatives markets, and new stock market financing returning to the top globally [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of September 30, 2023, the total IPO financing in Hong Kong reached HKD 182.9 billion, more than doubling compared to the same period in 2024 [3] - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong securities market reached HKD 256.4 billion, a 126% year-on-year increase [5] - The average daily trading volume for the derivatives market increased by 11% [5] Group 2: Investor Participation - There has been a notable increase in overseas investor participation in new stock subscriptions, particularly from Europe, the Middle East, and emerging markets [3] - The A+H listing model has developed further, with nearly half of the new stock financing in the first nine months coming from A+H listed companies [3] Group 3: Market Structure and Reforms - Recent listing policy reforms have enhanced the vitality of the Hong Kong capital market, attracting high-quality companies, especially in technology [4] - The "Tech Company Fast Track" launched in May aims to assist specialized technology and biotech companies in preparing for listings more efficiently [4] Group 4: Connectivity Mechanisms - The average daily trading volume for the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached RMB 206.4 billion, a 68% year-on-year increase [7] - The Southbound and Northbound ETF trading volumes have also seen significant activity, with Southbound ETFs averaging HKD 4.2 billion and Northbound ETFs averaging RMB 3.2 billion in daily trading [7] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company plans to continue optimizing listing arrangements and expanding connectivity mechanisms to promote the joint development of capital markets in both regions [9]
低利率时代投资者更重视配置:“固收+”基金受追捧,收益率中位数超3%
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-22 03:05
一边是存款利率走低,一边是股市走热。冰火两重天之下投资者开始逐步从单一资产转向多元配置,以 提升收益并降低波动。今年以来,"固收+"基金刚好契合当下市场需求,通过债券底仓获取稳健收益, 少量配置权益资产增厚回报,逐步成为投资者做稳健配置的热门选择。 蚂蚁财富平台数据显示,截至10月15日,平台上偏债混合"固收+"基金今年以来申购规模同比去年提升 141%,持有用户数同比去年提升了70%。 行业人士分析,"固收+"基金相当于一个理财汉堡,底层80%以上是国债、金融债等低风险固收资产面 包,中间夹着不超过20%的股票、可转债等收益更强的高风险资产肉饼。因此它既能获取债券稳定的收 益,又能分享到市场上涨。"固收+"的普及,反映出大众投资者在经历市场震荡波动之后,不再简单地 追求单一资产收益,而是更加理性地看待风险与收益的关系。 蚂蚁财富平台也提醒,综合针对20余家金融机构的调研结论,经过前期上涨,股市短期难免有所震 荡,"固收+"产品净值波动也会加大。对于风险偏好较低的投资者,可以优选含权仓位较低的低波"固收 +",持有胜率更高;而能够容忍更高波动的投资者,可以选择中高波"固收+"。中长期来看,在流动性 宽松和低利 ...
京秋岁安,风起华章——万得基金金秋投资尊享荟成功举办
Wind万得· 2025-10-21 22:47
Core Insights - The investment conference "Golden Autumn Investment Enjoyment" organized by Wind Fund successfully concluded, focusing on current market conditions and investment strategies [1][3] Group 1: Market Environment and Investment Strategies - The current market is at a critical juncture, with emphasis on technological innovation as a key driver for China's economic development [5] - The Chinese capital market is undergoing profound structural changes, leading to accelerated differentiation and integration among industry players [7] - Investment strategies discussed include a focus on core assets, long-termism, and adapting to industry trends [7] Group 2: AI and Technological Impact - AI technology is reshaping the financial research and investment ecosystem, transitioning from traditional specialized models to a more generalized system [9] - The evaluation system for funds is evolving from relying solely on historical performance to a comprehensive model that integrates unique data and strategy adaptability [9] - AI is viewed as a "productivity lever," unlocking previously inaccessible data in various sectors, including pharmaceuticals and robotics [11] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The stock market is expected to enter a bullish phase, driven by technology stocks, with key themes including AI, resources, and military industry [13] - The convertible bond market may face increased challenges, with returns primarily dependent on underlying stock performance [13] - The bond market may see short-term recovery opportunities, but long-term returns are likely to remain low [13] Group 4: Future Collaboration and Development - The conference provided valuable investment insights and fostered closer connections between investment institutions and investors [15] - Wind Fund aims to continue promoting an open, cooperative, and win-win philosophy to enhance the prosperity and quality development of the wealth management industry in China [15]
交银理财董事长李豪:试点开展股票直投业务 逐步夯实权益投研能力
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-21 14:01
Core Viewpoint - The chairman of China Merchants Bank Wealth Management, Li Hao, emphasized that amidst global recession and uncertainty, China offers a rare "certainty" through its large market, complete industrial ecosystem, and innovation-driven strategy, which should be transformed into tangible benefits for families and reflected in product net values [1] Group 1: Economic Outlook - China's economy is expected to continue improving, opening new strategic opportunities for the asset management industry [1] - The total savings of Chinese residents increased from 93 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to 162 trillion yuan by June 2025, with per capita savings surpassing 115,000 yuan [1] - The proportion of real estate in household wealth decreased from 54.6% in 2020 to 48.7% in 2024, while financial assets' share rose to 47.6% in 2024, indicating significant growth potential for asset management products [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The wealth management industry should enhance capabilities in three key areas: 1. Deepening bond investments into the forefront of industries to capture excess returns, as traditional methods are becoming less effective [2] 2. Emphasizing cross-sector diversified asset allocation, expanding asset types to include gold, options, REITs, and cross-border assets to reduce product net value volatility [2] 3. Introducing innovative assets, with a focus on equity and alternative asset investments, including REITs and securities backed by real estate [3]
交银理财董事长李豪:理财行业亟须提升三方面能力
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-10-21 02:17
Core Insights - The total savings of Chinese residents increased from 93 trillion yuan at the end of 2020 to 162 trillion yuan by the end of June 2025, with per capita savings exceeding 115,000 yuan [1] - The proportion of real estate in residents' wealth decreased from 54.6% in 2020 to 48.7% in 2024, while financial assets' share rose to 47.6% in 2024, indicating a growing space for asset management products [1] Group 1: Investment Strategies - The wealth management industry needs to enhance capabilities in three areas: 1. Bond investments must delve into industry frontiers, as current credit bond yields have fallen below 2%, necessitating a focus on technology to capture excess returns [2] 2. A diversified asset allocation strategy is essential, expanding asset types to include gold, options, REITs, and cross-border assets to mitigate product value fluctuations and achieve absolute returns [2][3] 3. Innovative asset introduction is crucial, with a focus on equity and alternative asset investments, including REITs and real estate-backed securities to enhance returns [3] Group 2: Specific Initiatives - The company has initiated investments in technology innovation bonds, targeting sectors like integrated circuits and high-end manufacturing, and has launched index-linked products to allow investors to benefit from hard technology dividends [2] - The company is also exploring direct stock investment to strengthen equity research capabilities and develop a clear strategy for flagship products [2]
稳健投资,多元配置是“必修课”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-21 01:01
Core Insights - The demand for low-energy and stable investment options is increasing among young investors, who prefer steady returns over high-risk strategies [2] - High-net-worth individuals are shifting their focus from chasing high returns to seeking stable growth and safety in their investments [2] - FOF (Fund of Funds) is emerging as a favorable choice for investors looking for diversified asset allocation and risk management [2][3] Group 1: FOF Fund Characteristics - FOF funds are constructed by professional fund managers, providing a diversified investment portfolio that mitigates risks associated with single assets or fund managers [3] - The management teams of FOF funds conduct in-depth research on over 10,000 funds to select high-quality options for their portfolios, reducing "selection anxiety" for investors [3] - FOF funds can dynamically adjust their asset allocation based on macroeconomic conditions, aiming to optimize returns while controlling risks [3] Group 2: Growth and Performance of FOF Funds - As of June 30, the number of public FOFs in China reached 519, with a total management scale of 165.1 billion, marking a nearly 12-fold increase since the first FOFs were issued in 2017 [5] - FOF funds have shown resilience through market cycles, with data indicating that they achieved positive returns in three out of five years from 2021 to 2024 [7] - Compared to major indices like the CSI 300 and S&P 500, FOF funds have demonstrated relatively stable performance with lower volatility [8] Group 3: Investment Strategies and Target Audience - FOF funds are categorized into ordinary FOFs and pension FOFs, each serving different investment goals and risk profiles [10] - Ordinary FOFs are more flexible and cater to a broader range of investors, while pension FOFs focus on retirement goals with stricter asset allocation limits [11] - The "工银价值稳健6个月持有混合(FOF)" fund exemplifies a middle-risk "fixed income+" FOF, showing strong performance and effective risk management [12]
富国智悦稳健FOF今日首发 以多元资产配置把握投资机遇
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-10-20 03:03
Core Viewpoint - Investors are facing challenges in asset allocation due to low returns in the bond market, high volatility in the stock market, and difficulties in timing investments in commodities like gold. In this context, a bond-based mixed-asset FOF (Fund of Funds) is gaining popularity for its better risk-return profile [1] Group 1: Product Launch - The FOF product, 富国智悦稳健90天持有期混合 (A类: 025509, C类: 025510), is officially launched to meet investor needs, managed by Zhang Ziyan, focusing on quality pure bond funds and diversified asset allocation to enhance returns while controlling risk [1][5] Group 2: Bond Investment Strategy - 富国智悦稳健 primarily invests in short to medium duration, medium to high credit quality bonds, aiming to secure bond coupon income while minimizing reliance on capital gains [2] - Zhang Ziyan employs a systematic methodology for selecting underlying bond funds, focusing on key indicators such as management team, product scale, fee structure, and liquidity, which directly impact long-term performance [2] - Emphasis is placed on controlling volatility and drawdown, as significant fluctuations in pure bond funds can be challenging to recover from in the short term [2] Group 3: Multi-Asset Strategy for Yield Enhancement - The fund captures diverse market opportunities through allocations in equities, commodities, and cross-border assets, adhering to a "core-satellite" strategy for fund selection [3] - In equity fund selection, a "high win rate" standard is applied, ensuring selected funds can generate stable excess returns while tracking equity indices [3] - The fund can allocate up to 10% in commodity funds and 20% in cross-border assets, with a focus on gold as a long-term investment due to potential economic conditions supporting its price [3] Group 4: Professional Management and Research Support - Zhang Ziyan has extensive experience in the FOF sector, with a proven track record of outperforming benchmarks, particularly during market downturns [4] - The macroeconomic environment is conducive to multi-asset allocation, with supportive fiscal and monetary policies fostering a relatively loose liquidity environment [4] - 富国基金, as a well-established public fund company, provides comprehensive research support across active equity, fixed income, and quantitative investment areas to enhance FOF operations [4]
长城基金杨光:资产定价新范式与多元配置新视野
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-10-17 08:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the asset pricing paradigm is undergoing a profound transformation, shifting from a static world based on certainty to a dynamic ecosystem based on uncertainty [1][2] - The financial market is transitioning from a Newtonian mechanical worldview to a quantum characteristic market, where asset prices exhibit both "particle" (real value based on cash flow) and "wave" (narrative value based on consensus) properties [2][3] - The new pricing paradigm emphasizes the importance of technology, new productivity, and collective consensus as key factors in asset valuation [12][16] Group 2 - The three pillars of asset pricing are changing: the curvature of pricing in time and space has been altered, the definition of value is expanding from "atomic value" to "bit value," and the traditional risk-return equation is being rewritten [2][3][10] - Investors need to transition from being "valuation accountants" to "paradigm geographers," utilizing tools beyond financial statements and discount models to include technology roadmaps and narrative networks [4][5] - Traditional valuation models like DCF and DDM are losing their explanatory power due to high uncertainty and sensitivity to assumptions, making them less applicable to high-growth or volatile companies [6][7][8] Group 3 - The classic economic cycle models, such as the Merrill Lynch Clock, have become ineffective due to structural changes in the macroeconomic environment, requiring a shift in asset allocation strategies [8][9] - The concept of "safe assets" is diminishing as traditional safe havens like government bonds face challenges from fiscal credit erosion and the politicization of monetary policy [10][11] - The definition of safety is evolving from unconditional trust in sovereign credit to seeking systemic resilience in extreme situations, with gold and cryptocurrencies emerging as new forms of value storage [10][12] Group 4 - The new asset pricing paradigm should focus on the sources of value creation in the digital economy, including technological advancements, new productivity, and collective consensus [12][13][14] - The A-share market is becoming a battleground for new productivity and valuation reassessment, moving away from traditional macroeconomic cycles towards sectors aligned with national strategic intentions [16] - The U.S. stock market is evolving into a core pricing arena for global technological innovation, with tech giants being valued not just on current cash flows but also on their potential as platform-based options for future infrastructure [16][17] Group 5 - Gold's role is shifting from a simple inflation hedge to a decentralized consensus vehicle, reflecting global capital's distrust in fiat currency systems [17] - Cryptocurrencies represent an extreme experiment in asset pricing, relying on technology architecture and global consensus rather than traditional fundamentals [18] - The asset allocation strategy must evolve from passive tracking of economic cycles to proactive identification of key sectors representing technological progress and new productivity [18][19]
穿越牛熊市场 兴银理财“兴合汇景1号”断层第一丨机警理财日报
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-10-14 17:39
Core Insights - The article highlights the strong performance of mixed-asset wealth management products, particularly the "Xinghe Huijing No. 1" from Xingyin Wealth Management, which has outperformed traditional fixed-income products in a challenging market environment [2][3]. Performance Summary - Mixed-asset wealth management products have shown significant advantages this year, with an average net value increase of 3.36% in the first eight months, compared to only 1.68% for fixed-income products [2]. - The "Xinghe Huijing No. 1" product achieved a net value growth rate of 12.02% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the benchmark [2][4]. - The product has demonstrated strong risk-return balance, with a maximum drawdown lower than that of the CSI 300 index during the same period [2]. Investment Strategy - The "Xinghe Huijing No. 1" is a medium-high risk mixed product that operates on an open-ended net value model, with a performance benchmark linked to a combination of the CSI 300 index and a short-term bond index [3]. - The investment strategy includes a focus on equity investments managed by a specific asset management plan, while the fixed-income portion is managed by Xingyin Wealth Management [3]. - The product has shown resilience during market downturns, effectively controlling net value fluctuations and drawdowns [3]. Recent Performance Metrics - Since its inception, the "Xinghe Huijing No. 1" has achieved a net value growth rate of 22.13%, significantly outperforming its benchmark, which has seen a decline of 2.24% [4]. - The product recorded an annualized return of 46.93% over the past three months and an impressive 84.03% annualized return in the last month [4]. Portfolio Composition - The product's performance is largely attributed to individual stock selections, such as Pop Mart, which has seen a price increase of over 200% this year [5]. - The portfolio has also increased its holdings in gold stocks, with significant contributions from Zijin Mining and Hunan Gold, both of which have risen over 70% this year [5]. Strategic Advantages - The product's performance benefits from a recovering equity market, with a focus on bottom-up stock selection to capture alpha returns [6]. - It emphasizes diversified asset allocation, balancing stable bond income with opportunities in equity markets [6]. - The six-month open-ended structure allows for liquidity while enabling the management team to seize medium to long-term investment opportunities [6].
市场黑天鹅频发,普通人如何用两个方法,避开下一个让你血本无归的坑?
雪球· 2025-10-11 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the effectiveness of timing strategies in the A-share market compared to the U.S. stock market, where a buy-and-hold strategy has proven to be successful over the long term [4]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Historical data shows that buying the CSI 300 index during undervalued phases results in a 100% chance of achieving positive returns over five years, with a 37.56% probability of achieving an annualized return of 10% or more [5]. - In contrast, buying during overvalued phases guarantees losses over the same period, highlighting the importance of valuation in investment decisions [5]. - For the S&P 500, the data indicates that regardless of the valuation phase, there is a high probability of achieving positive returns, with 98.05% success in undervalued phases and 81.45% in overvalued phases [6]. Group 2: Asset Allocation - The article discusses the complexity of multi-asset allocation strategies, emphasizing the need for a portfolio that can withstand extreme market conditions while achieving long-term investment goals [7]. - It suggests two approaches to improve investment outcomes: increasing the win rate through diversification of uncorrelated assets and engaging in more investment opportunities to approach statistical results [8]. Group 3: Market Indicators - Current market strength indicators show a short-term strength at 52, indicating a mid-range state, while the long-term strength is at 90, suggesting that most stocks are in a long-term upward trend [10]. - The overall market sentiment is described as not overly aggressive, following some recent adjustments, which supports a strategy of stable holding [11].