分析师：美国经济数据对美元形成压制 金十数据5月29日讯，随着法院裁定特朗普关税政策违规带来的市场热情消退，美国经济数据对美元形 成压制。美国一季度GDP萎缩幅度预估为0.2%，较初值0.3%有所收窄，这一优于预期的修正数据令预 测者意外。与此同时，裁员人数小幅增加。定于明日公布的个人消费支出通胀数据预计变化不大，仍将 高于目标水平。市场持续预期美联储将维持利率不变至9月，全年共计降息两次。 ...

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index (DXY) continued its upward momentum, reaching a weekly high of 99.80, driven by improved economic data, although the rally lacks strong momentum [1] - Key factors supporting the dollar's rise include better-than-expected US durable goods orders and consumer confidence data. April durable goods orders fell by 6.3%, but this was better than the market expectation of -7.9%. Core orders, excluding transportation, increased by 0.2% month-on-month, alleviating recession concerns [2] - The US consumer confidence index unexpectedly surged to 98 in May, a significant increase of 12.3 points from April's 85.7, marking the largest monthly gain in four years. This reflects improved market expectations regarding the economy and employment prospects [2] Group 2 - Gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a daily high of 3350 and a low of 3285, closing below 3300. The focus is on whether the price can break below 3280, with potential targets at 3260 and 3250 [3] - On May 28, gold maintained a volatile trend, opening at $3301.80 per ounce, reaching a high of $3315.45 and a low of $3291.45, with a current price of $3307.09, reflecting a slight increase of 0.19% [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant rise in Japan's ultra-long bond yields, attributed to increased market concerns over supply shocks and fiscal sustainability due to Japan's expansionary fiscal policies, weak domestic demand for ultra-long bonds, and a lackluster auction of 20-year government bonds [1][2] - The article notes that the current scale of yen carry trades is relatively small, suggesting that the spillover effects on global liquidity are manageable [1] - Future attention should be directed towards upcoming Japanese government bond auctions, potential dovish signals from the Bank of Japan to alleviate market panic, and the results of the July Japanese House of Councillors election [1] Group 2 - In the U.S. economy, there has been a rebound in the year-on-year growth rate of new and existing home sales as of April, and both the Markit manufacturing and services PMIs exceeded expectations in May [2] - The Eurozone's PMI fell below the threshold due to weakening service sector sentiment in May, while the consumer confidence index for the Eurozone's 27 countries saw a slight recovery but remains at a relatively low level [2] - Short-term monetary policy outlooks indicate that the Federal Reserve will remain cautious about rate cuts, the European Central Bank may cut rates in June, and the Bank of Japan officials are cautious about rate hikes amid high economic uncertainty [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles revolves around the recent surge in gold prices due to heightened market risk aversion following U.S. President Trump's tariff announcements, with gold prices increasing nearly 2% on Friday and a weekly gain of approximately 5% [1][2] - The significant rise in gold prices is attributed to growing concerns over the sustainability of U.S. debt, as well as ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade relations, which are expected to continue influencing market reactions [1][2] - Technical analysis indicates a strong bullish trend for gold, with key support levels identified at 3315 and resistance levels at 3370, suggesting potential trading strategies for investors [4][5] Group 2 - Upcoming economic data releases, including April durable goods orders and the PCE price index, are anticipated to impact market sentiment and gold prices, with a 27% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July [2][5] - The market is closely monitoring U.S. Senate discussions on spending bills and trade negotiations with major partners, as any lack of progress could lead to further inflows into gold as a safe-haven asset [2][5] - The articles emphasize the importance of risk management and strategic trading approaches, advising investors to consider both short and long positions based on market conditions and technical indicators [5][6]

对于近期行情涨涨跌跌，反反复复，多空转换频繁，很多投资朋友们都措手不及，或不知从何下手，一买进就跌，出场就涨，来来回回连续损单，其实这是 很多新手朋友们都会出现的情况，在这里告诉大家，做交易首先不要频繁去操作，其次要对行情需要有一个精准的把控，坚持自己的交易系统，当然这些对 一些新手朋友来说都是空谈，毕竟才入市并没有严格的交易计划，大多数都是追涨杀跌从而导致严重亏损，如果此时此刻看到文章的你也是这样的情况，那 么可以咨询本人沟通交流一下，可以帮你指出做单中所有的问题，这样可以让你在交易的过程中少走弯路。 黄金最新行情趋势分析： 黄金消息面解析：周四（5月22日）现货黄金在触及近两周高位3345美元区域后出现技术性回撤，目前美盘时段围绕3300美元附近震荡整理。尽管美元指数 的温和反弹给金价带来一定下行压力，但市场对美联储进一步降息的预期以及对美国财政赤字不断恶化的担忧，为非收益性的黄金资产提供了重要支撑。当 前黄金市场环境，美元疲软、地缘政治风险和经济不确定性三大支撑因素短期内难以消退。特别是美国财政赤字货币化的长期趋势和中东局势的潜在恶化风 险，都可能成为推动金价进一步上涨的催化剂。不过也需警惕如果美国经济 ...

近日，黄金价格下跌1.3%至1956.79美元/盎司，这一波动主要受到美国经济数据强劲以及债务上限协议乐观情绪的压制。作为全球金融服务领域的领军企 业，KVB PRIME对黄金价格的下跌进行了深入分析，并探讨了其背后的市场动态。 作为全球金融服务领域的权威机构，KVB PRIME密切关注黄金价格走势及其背后的市场动态。其分析报告指出，尽管黄金价格近期承压，但全球经济形势 的复杂性以及地缘政治风险等因素仍可能对黄金价格产生影响。因此，投资者需要保持谨慎态度，密切关注市场动态和政策变化。 KVB PRIME建议投资者关注以下几个方面：一是关注美国经济数据的后续表现，以及其对美联储政策的影响；二是关注地缘政治风险的变化，以及其对市 场避险情绪的影响；三是关注黄金市场的供需关系，以及其对黄金价格的影响。 随着美国经济数据的强劲表现以及债务上限协议乐观情绪的升温，黄金价格近期承压下跌。KVB PRIME作为全球金融服务领域的领军企业，将持续关注黄 金价格走势及其背后的市场动态，并为客户提供专业的市场分析和投资策略建议。在复杂多变的全球经济环境中，KVB PRIME将与客户携手共进，共同应 对挑战并把握机遇。 美国近期发 ...

美国10年期国债收益率在美国经济数据公布后升至4.406%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold ETF, reported a decrease in holdings to 927.62 tons, down by 8.89 tons from the previous trading day, amid fluctuating gold prices influenced by economic data and geopolitical tensions [6]. Group 1: Gold ETF Holdings - As of May 15, the total holdings of SPDR Gold Trust stand at 927.62 tons [6]. - The holdings decreased by 8.89 tons compared to the previous trading day [6]. Group 2: Gold Price Movements - On May 15, spot gold prices fell to a low of $3120.34 per ounce, marking a drop of over 10% from the historical high of $3500 per ounce [6]. - Gold prices rebounded to close at $3239.61 per ounce, an increase of $62.48 or 1.97% after initially dropping [6]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly fell by 0.5% in April, the largest decline in five years, indicating that businesses absorbed some of the impacts of rising tariffs [6]. - Retail sales in the U.S. increased by 0.1% in April, suggesting consumers are beginning to cut back on spending amid rising prices and tariff concerns [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts suggest that poor U.S. economic data has led to a decline in the dollar, supporting a rebound in gold prices [7]. - The geopolitical situation, particularly the lack of progress in peace negotiations involving Russia, is seen as favorable for gold [7]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that changes in economic conditions may lead to higher long-term interest rates, which could impact gold prices [7]. Group 5: Technical Analysis - Despite recovering above the $3200 mark, technical indicators remain negative, suggesting potential further declines in gold prices [7]. - Key support levels are identified at $3100 and $3060, with resistance at $3265 and $3300 [8].

电话.1 ZOYO /470 香港恒生指数 69% 31% 标普500指数 35% 65% 纳斯达克指数 18% 82% 道琼斯指数 51% 49% 日经225指数 63% 37% 德国DAX40指 11% 89% 数 外汇 r 多头 |空头 欧元/美元 55% 45% 欧元/英镑 83% 17% 欧元/日元 40% 60% 欧元/澳元 31% 69% 英镑/美元 22% 78% 英镑/日元 39% 61% 美元/日元 47% 53% 美元/加元 42% 58% 美元/瑞郎 87% 13% 澳元/美元 75% 25% 澳元/日元 60% 40% 加元/日元 32% 68% 纽元/美元 63% 37% 纽元/日元 29% 71% 美元/离岸人 80% 20% 民币 免责声明:本图表数据来源于公众号:嘉盛集团,数据仅供参考,不作为任何投资建议。 美国经济数据疲软，4月零售销售较上月大幅放缓，PPI意外下滑。受益于此，黄金上一交易日涨超1%，当前多头占比仍在六成 以上。市场预计美伊将达成核协议，美油超跌近2.5%，后市情绪如何？欢迎前往"数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表"查看并订阅（数据每 10分钟更新1次） ...

2025 年 05 月 16 日 锌：价格下调 数据来源：Bloomberg，同花顺 iFinD，SMM，SHMET，国泰君安期货研究 【新闻】 美国 4 月 PPI 同比上涨 2.4% 低于预期，环比-0.5%，降幅创下五年来最大。美国 4 月零售销售环比 0.1% 小幅超预期，消费者支出疲软显露端倪。（华尔街见闻） 【趋势强度】 锌趋势强度：-1 注：趋势强度取值范围为【-2,2】区间整数。强弱程度分类如下：弱、偏弱、中性、偏强、强，-2 表示 最看空，2 表示最看多。 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 莫骁雄 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0019413 moxiaoxiong@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | 昨日值 | 较前日变动/涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪锌主力收盘价 | 22590 | -0.53% | 伦锌 3M 电子盘收 | 2761.5 | 1.51% | | （元/吨） | | | 盘（美元/吨） | | | | 沪锌主力成交量 | 152385 | -66723 | 伦锌成交量 ...