Price Performance - The latest prices of London Gold, London Silver, London Platinum, London Palladium, WTI Crude Oil, and LME Copper are $4480.80, $69.74, $2208.00, $1837.00, $58.38, and $12223.50 respectively, with changes of $31.40, $0.00, $125.00, $64.00, $0.00, and $291.50 [1] - The latest values of the US Dollar Index, Euro to US Dollar, British Pound to US Dollar, US Dollar to Japanese Yen, and US 10 - year TIPS are 97.95, 1.18, 1.35, 155.94, and 1.94 respectively, with changes of 0.04, -0.00, -0.00, -0.32, and 0.00 [1] Trading Data - The latest COMEX silver inventory, SHFE silver inventory, gold ETF holdings, silver ETF holdings, SGE silver inventory are 14023.94, 881.95, 1068.27, 16446.97, 693.35 respectively [1] - The changes in SHFE silver inventory, gold ETF holdings, silver ETF holdings, SGE gold deferred - fee payment direction, and SGE silver deferred - fee payment direction are -17.71, 3.71, -56.40, 0.00, -1.00 respectively [1]

每经记者：肖芮冬 每经编辑：赵云 12月25日，沪指低开高走录得7连阳，深成指、创业板指探底回升。截至收盘，沪指涨0.47%，深成指涨0.33%，创业板指涨0.3%。 板块来看，商业航天概念持续活跃，机器人概念走强，造纸概念大涨；贵金属、海南、能源金属等板块跌幅居前。 全市场超3700只个股上涨，其中有93只个股涨停。沪深两市成交额1.92万亿元，较上一个交易日放量443亿。 昨天才突破箱体，今天A股又是"上午震荡，下午走强"的走势，可以说人心思涨成为了年末共识。 用两个"7"来总结： 一是，沪指强势7连阳，继续向4000点挺进。今年以来，沪指曾两度走出8连阳，上半年、下半年各有一次。 造纸板块大涨 上午约10:30后，造纸板块突然显著拉升，涨幅在1个小时里从不到1%升至超过5%。板块内多只个股在上午收盘前封死涨停。 恰好在10:30前后，离岸人民币兑美元自去年9月以来，首度升破7.0大关；在后续A股交易时段，最高触及6.99632，不过在14:00后有所回 落。 此外，市场的赚钱效应仍是有目共睹。以中证1000为例，日K线来看，连续两天走强后，该指数已接近前期箱体上沿，有望冲击10月9日 的高点。 德邦证券 ...

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices collectively rose today, with the Shanghai Composite Index recording a seven-day increase, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index achieved five consecutive days of gains [1] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.47% to 3959 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.33%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.3% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.94 trillion yuan, an increase of 46.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 3800 stocks rising [1] Sector Performance - The commercial aerospace sector continued to surge, with over twenty stocks including China Satellite and Aerospace Electronics hitting the daily limit [1] - The satellite internet sector also saw gains, with stocks like Sanwei Communication and Tongyu Communication reaching the daily limit [1] - The paper-making sector experienced a rise, with stocks such as Wuzhou Special Paper hitting the daily limit [1] - The humanoid robot sector was active, with Huagong Cable and others reaching the daily limit [1] - Other sectors with notable gains included space station concepts, military industry, automotive parts, and electric motors [1] Declining Sectors - The precious metals sector continued to decline, with Hunan Silver leading the drop [1] - The Hainan sector fell, with Hainan Ruize dropping nearly 7% [1] - The duty-free concept weakened, with Caesar Travel dropping over 6% [1] - Sectors with significant declines included lithium mining, CPO concepts, and dairy stocks [1] Top Gainers and Fund Inflows - The aerospace and military industry sector led the gainers with an increase of 3.81% [2] - The paper-making sector followed closely with a rise of 3.63% [2] - The automotive parts sector increased by 2.43% [2] - The net fund inflow was notable in the paper-making and automotive parts sectors, with respective increases of 2.40% [2]

记者丨曾静娇 编辑丨吴桂兴 12月25日，A股三大指数开盘涨跌不一，沪指震荡拉升，创业板指冲高回落。截至午盘，沪指 涨0.29%，深成指跌0.11%，创业板指跌0.37%。沪深两市半日成交额1.21万亿元，较上个交易 日放量509亿元。 全市场超3200只个股上涨。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3952.50 | 13472.22 | | 1460.60 | | +11.56 +0.29% -14.19 -0.11% +15.06 +1.04% | | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | | 万得全A | | 1344.45 | 3217.47 | | 6388.02 | | -7.68 -0.57% -12.10 -0.37% +16.33 +0.26% | | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | | 中证A500 | | 4631.00 | 7375.81 | | 5618.23 | | -3.06 -0.07% +23.77 +0.32% -4.28 -0.08% | | | | | 中证1000 | 深证100 ...

12月25日，市场早盘走势分化，三大指数涨跌不一，沪指震荡拉升，创业板指冲高回落。 沪深两市半日成交额1.2万亿，较上个交易日放量509亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，全市场超3200只个股上涨。 高开率 70% 获利率 封板率 73.00% 下跌方面，贵金属概念跌幅居前，浩通科技跌超8%。海南自贸概念下挫，海南瑞泽、凯撒旅业走弱。 涨停表现 昨涨停今表现 4.02% 截至收盘，沪指涨0.29%，深成指跌0.11%，创业板指跌0.37%。收起 从板块来看，商业航天概念反复活跃，神剑股份晋级6连板，九鼎新材3连板，隆基机械等十余股涨停。机器人概念走强，万向钱潮、旭升集团等多股涨停。 造纸概念爆发，博汇纸业、宜宾纸业、五洲特纸涨停。数字货币概念拉升，证通电子、金时科技涨停。 封板 56 触及 21 ...

一、国际新闻 今日欧美主要市场因圣诞节休市，其中美股市场休市一日，洲际交易所旗下布伦特原油期货合约及芝商 所旗下贵金属、美油、外汇、股指期货合约全天交易暂停，欧洲多数主要股市（德国、法国、英国、意 大利、西班牙等）及澳大利亚、韩国市场亦同步休市。 此前一个交易日（周三），美股提前收盘且三大股指普涨，道指涨0.6%，纳指涨0.2%，标普500指数涨 0.3%并创下盘中历史新高；个股方面，英伟达、谷歌、特斯拉微跌，苹果、微软、亚马逊、Meta、博 通微涨，耐克涨超4%，苹果公司CEO库克增持该公司股票。 同期，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.07%，中进医疗、新氧、水滴公司、中汽系统、金山云等中概股跌 幅居前。 市场消息层面，加密货币市场显示比特币升破88000美元，日内涨0.59%。 贵金属方面，现货黄金短线跌幅扩大至20美元，失守4450美元/盎司，日内跌0.79%；纽约期金失守4480 美元/盎司，日内跌0.57%；现货白银跌破71美元/盎司，日内跌0.66%，纽约期银同步失守71美元/盎司， 日内跌0.21%；钯金期货表现更弱，失守1800美元/盎司，日内跌8.07%。 公司动态方面，英伟达与人工智能芯片初创 ...

Precious metals have been on a tear in recent days. But the strong run for gold and silver looked set to fizzle out on Christmas Eve.Gold futures slipped 0.3% to $4,490 an ounce, and silver futures fell 0.4% to $70.83 an ounce. Both hit record settlement prices on Tuesday and had looked set to build on that overnight before giving up their gains.The metals had racked up gains earlier this week due to heightened geopolitical tensions, with investors seeking out so-called havens as the U.S. pursues Venezuelan ...

Price Performance - The latest price of London Platinum is 2083.00, with a change of 127.00 [2] - The latest price of London Palladium is 1773.00, with a change of 90.00 [2] - The latest price of WTI Crude Oil is 58.38, with a change of 0.37 [2] - The latest price of LME Copper is 11932.00, with a change of -37.00 [2] - The latest price of the US Dollar Index is 97.91, with a change of -0.35 [2] - The latest price of EUR/USD is 1.18, with a change of 0.00 [2] - The latest price of GBP/USD is 1.35, with a change of 0.01 [2] - The latest price of USD/JPY is 156.26, with a change of -0.77 [2] Trading Data - The latest inventory of COMEX Silver is 14023.94, with a change of 7.36 [3] - The latest inventory of SHFE Silver is 899.66, with a change of -1.81 [3] - The latest Gold ETF holdings are 1064.56, with no change [3] - The latest Silver ETF holdings are 16503.37, with a change of -95.88 [3] - The deferred fee payment direction of SGE Gold is 1, with no change [3] - The deferred fee payment direction of SGE Silver is 2, with no change [3]

Market Overview - On December 23, the A-share market experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the three major indices briefly turning negative. The Shanghai Composite Index closed up 0.07%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.27%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.41% [1][2] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.9 trillion yuan, an increase of 37.9 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept showed strength, while the lithium battery sector also performed well. Liquid-cooled servers saw a rise in the afternoon, and semiconductor equipment concepts were active. The tungsten sector was notably active as well [1] - Conversely, the commercial aerospace concept experienced a pullback, and several tourism-related stocks declined. The top-performing sectors included photolithography machines, batteries, and the Hainan Free Trade Zone, while tourism and hotels, as well as commercial aerospace, saw the largest declines [1] International Market - In the U.S. stock market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 79.73 points to close at 48,442.41, a gain of 0.16%. The S&P 500 increased by 31.30 points to 6,909.79, up 0.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 133.02 points to 23,561.84, up 0.57% [3][4] - European markets showed mixed results, with the UK FTSE 100 up 0.24%, the French CAC40 down 0.21%, and the German DAX up 0.23% [3][4] - International oil prices saw slight increases, with WTI crude oil futures rising by $0.37 to $58.38 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures up $0.31 to $62.38 per barrel [3] Key Developments - Beijing issued the first batch of L3-level autonomous driving vehicle special license plates, marking a significant milestone in the country's autonomous driving industry [5] - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC has implemented a price increase of approximately 10% on some of its production capacity, driven by rising demand from mobile applications and AI [5] - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce expressed strong opposition to the U.S. adding foreign drone systems to its "untrusted supplier list," highlighting concerns over market distortion and unilateral actions [5] Commodity Market - Precious metals saw significant price increases, with gold prices nearing $4,500 per ounce and silver prices reaching $71.575 per ounce. Copper prices also hit a record high of $12,159.5 per ton [6][7] - The Shanghai Gold Exchange announced measures to strengthen market risk control due to recent volatility in precious metal prices [7] Institutional Insights - Historical trends suggest that the market tends to exhibit defensive characteristics towards the end of the year, with a preference for large-cap value stocks over small-cap stocks [8] - Analysts expect January 2026 to continue showing a narrow trading range, with a focus on sectors related to insurance, agriculture, and aerospace [8]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints The report objectively reflects the research views of futures and securities companies on various commodity varieties, tracks hot - spot varieties, analyzes market investment sentiment, and summarizes investment driving logic. It also presents the market mainstream strategy views and investment logic for different asset classes based on the views of multiple institutions [1]. 3. Summary by Catalog 3.1 Market Quotes - **Commodities**: From December 15 to December 19, 2025, among commodities, the prices of some products such as coking coal, PTA, and polysilicon increased, with coking coal rising by 9.00%, PTA by 5.81%, and polysilicon by 5.34%. While the prices of some products such as copper, soybean meal, and corn decreased, with copper down 1.05%, soybean meal down 1.26%, and corn down 1.84% [2]. - **A - shares**: The Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 Index rose 0.32%, the CSI 500 Index remained unchanged, and the CSI 300 Index fell 0.28% [2]. - **Overseas Stocks**: The FTSE 100 Index rose 2.57%, the French CAC40 Index rose 1.03%, the NASDAQ Index rose 0.48%, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.10%, the Hang Seng Index fell 1.10%, and the Nikkei 225 Index fell 2.61% [2]. - **Bonds**: The yields of 2 - year and 5 - year Chinese government bonds increased by 0.38bp and 0.24bp respectively, while the yield of 10 - year Chinese government bonds decreased by 0.44bp [2]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index rose 0.32%, the US dollar central parity rate fell 0.12%, and the euro - US dollar exchange rate fell 0.28% [2]. 3.2 Commodity Views - **Macro - financial Sector** - **Stock Index Futures**: Among 7 institutions, 0 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 7 were neutral. Positive factors included overseas central bank policies, increased long - term capital allocation after index corrections, market attention to technology themes, and expected policy dividends in 2026. Negative factors included a decline in M1 growth, weakening policy impetus, weak economic momentum, and time - consuming policy implementation [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Among 7 institutions, 3 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 4 were neutral. Positive factors were weak fundamentals, central bank liquidity injection, the attractiveness of 30 - year bond yields, and potential bond market recovery. Negative factors were low probability of short - term interest rate cuts, increased influence of trading disks, and concerns about ultra - long bond supply and demand [3]. - **Energy Sector** - **Crude Oil**: Among 8 institutions, 0 were bullish, 5 were bearish, and 3 were neutral. Positive factors were supply disruptions in Venezuela, inventory decline in the US, increased refinery utilization rates in China and the US, and strong local refined oil demand. Negative factors were limited impact of Venezuelan supply disruptions, rising non - OPEC production, increasing floating storage inventory, and expected slowdown in demand growth [4]. - **Agricultural Products Sector** - **Soybean Meal**: Among 7 institutions, 0 were bullish, 3 were bearish, and 4 were neutral. Positive factors were high import costs of US soybeans, pre - holiday stocking demand, increased replenishment by traders after price drops, and signs of short - position reduction in futures. Negative factors were strong expectations of a South American soybean harvest, poor performance of domestic soybean auctions, high inventory in oil mills, and weak purchasing willingness of feed enterprises [4]. - **Non - ferrous Metals Sector** - **Copper**: Among 8 institutions, 4 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 4 were neutral. Positive factors were zero long - term processing fees in 2026, low spot smelting fees, continuous increase in copper foil operating rates, a decline in domestic copper concentrate port inventory, and high market attention. Negative factors were end - of - year capital shortages, high social inventory, weak terminal demand in the off - season, and a decline in the operating rate of refined copper rods [5]. - **Chemical Industry Sector** - **Glass**: Among 7 institutions, 0 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 7 were neutral. Positive factors were potential cold - repair plans in late December, low near - month valuations, and potential boost from real - estate policies. Negative factors were a decline in deep - processing order days, slow market shipments, high inventory, and limited upside potential due to high inventory and off - season pressure [5]. - **Precious Metals Sector** - **Gold**: Among 7 institutions, 3 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 4 were neutral. Positive factors were an increase in the US unemployment rate, lower - than - expected CPI, an increase in non - commercial net long positions in gold, and long - term support from central bank gold purchases. Negative factors were rapid adjustment of the gold - silver ratio, approaching a key resistance level, and market divergence on the Fed's interest - rate cut rhythm [6]. - **Black Metals Sector** - **Coking Coal**: Among 8 institutions, 3 were bullish, 0 were bearish, and 5 were neutral. Positive factors were release of supply pressure, low valuation, production cuts by some coal mines, increased winter - storage demand from steel mills, and improved spot - market transactions. Negative factors were high imports, a decline in steel mills' daily hot - metal production, reduced demand from coking plants, and an increase in total coking coal inventory [6].