英国6月Gfk消费者信心指数录得-18，为2024年12月以来新高。 ...

英国6月Gfk消费者信心指数 -18，预期-20，前值-20。 ...

英国6月Gfk消费者信心指数将于十分钟后公布。 ...

Group 1 - Key Point 1: The article highlights key economic data and events to be monitored on June 20, 2025, including various consumer confidence indices and retail sales figures [1] - Key Point 2: Important announcements include speeches from Russian President Putin and Bank of Japan Governor Ueda, which may influence market sentiment [1] - Key Point 3: The article lists specific times for the release of economic indicators such as the UK Gfk Consumer Confidence Index and the US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: The article emphasizes the significance of the Chinese one-year loan market quotation rate to be released on June 20, which could impact lending rates and economic activity [1] - Key Point 2: The German Producer Price Index (PPI) and UK retail sales figures are also highlighted as critical indicators for assessing economic health in Europe [1] - Key Point 3: The article notes the scheduled release of the Eurozone consumer confidence index, which is crucial for understanding consumer sentiment in the region [1]

俄罗斯第二季度消费者信心指数升至-8，第一季度GDP同比增长1.4%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. retail sales in May experienced the largest decline of the year, indicating a significant suppressive effect of the new tariff policy on consumer spending, particularly in the automotive sector [1][2]. Economic Data Summary - U.S. retail sales fell by 0.9% month-on-month in May, worse than the market expectation of a 0.6% decline, with the previous value revised down to -0.1% [2]. - Excluding automobiles, sales decreased by 0.3%, also below the expected increase of 0.2% [2]. - Among 13 categories, 7 saw a decline in sales, with building materials and motor vehicles experiencing the largest drops [2]. Consumer Behavior Insights - Consumers are systematically reducing spending after a prior surge driven by tariff-related purchasing [3]. - The restaurant and accommodation sectors, key indicators of service consumption, recorded the second-largest monthly decline of the year, reflecting a tightening in non-essential spending [2][3]. - A media survey indicated that 60% of American households have significantly cut back on discretionary spending due to concerns over economic downturn risks [3]. Sector Performance - In May, sales in home and garden centers dropped by 2.7%, electronics and appliance stores fell by 0.6%, and grocery stores decreased by 0.7% [4]. - Conversely, online retailers saw a sales increase of 0.9%, clothing stores grew by 0.8%, and furniture stores rose by 1.2% [4]. Future Economic Outlook - Historical trends suggest that price increases may be most pronounced in July, with the full impact of tariffs expected to gradually manifest later in the year, potentially suppressing real income growth [4][6]. - Despite the current decline in consumer confidence, stable inflation and low unemployment rates may support sustained consumer growth in the coming months [3].

6月16日国内金价快报：国内品牌金店金价经历周末的上涨，今日金价变化不大。目前，周生生黄金还是最高价金店，下跌 1元/克，报1037元/克。菜百黄金取代上海中国黄金，报价990元/克，为最低价金店。今日金店黄金价差47元/克，价差有所 缩小，不过整体价格上去一截。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2025年6月16日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 1031 | 元/克 | 1 | 涨 | | 六福黄金价格 | 1035 | 元/克 | 0 | ग | | 周大福黄金价格 | 1035 | 元/克 | 0 | 가 | | 周六福黄金价格 | 1010 | 元/克 | 0 | 27 | | 金至尊黄金价格 | 1035 | 元/克 | 0 | 17 | | 老凤祥黄金价格 | 1035 | 元/克 | 0 | ने | | 潮宏基黄金价格 | 1035 | 元/克 | 0 | দ | | 周生生黄金价格 | 1037 | 元/克 | 1 | ...

Group 1 - The consumer confidence index in June unexpectedly rose to 60.5, significantly above the market expectation of 58 and much higher than May's 52.2, indicating a subtle change in American households' views on the economic situation and future prospects [1][3] - The index for current economic conditions increased to 63.7, up 8.1% month-over-month, while the future economic conditions index jumped from 47.9 to 58.4, reflecting a month-over-month increase of 21.9%, suggesting reduced concerns about the short-term economic outlook [3] - Consumer expectations for inflation over the next year dropped significantly from 6.6% in May to 5.1%, while the five-year long-term inflation expectation slightly decreased to 4.1%, indicating a downward trend that may provide more flexibility for monetary policy [3] Group 2 - Despite the short-term rebound in confidence, the overall confidence level remains low, influenced by fluctuating energy and food prices, high interest rates, and mortgage costs, which have significantly pressured American consumers' purchasing power [3][4] - The potential for the Federal Reserve to consider interest rate cuts in September or December may strengthen if inflation continues to ease and consumer confidence improves further [3] - The rise in consumer confidence in June serves as a positive signal for economic sentiment and provides short-term support for recent asset market fluctuations, but the sustainability of this optimism will depend on key economic data in the coming months, particularly in the labor market and core inflation [4]

密歇根大学六月十四日最新数据显示，美国消费者信心指数初值跃升至六十点五，较五月的五十二点二大幅升至十五点九，创下去年十二月以来最大涨幅， 远超经济学家预期。这一关键指标在连续五个月下滑后首次回升，反映出消费者对美国经济前景的悲观情绪出现松动。 当前美国消费者支出尚未受情绪波动明显冲击，但历史表明，信心指数并非消费行为的可靠预测指标。荷兰国际集团经济学家指出，韩国四月对美出口骤降 百分之十四点三等迹象，印证关税已开始损害全球供应链。美国全国零售商联合会警告："辛勤工作的美国家庭将为价格上升付出代价"。 a Or - 6 421 r Pre 尽管指数全面回升，但当前美国消费者信心相较去年十二月仍低约百分之二十。消费者对商业环境、个人财务及就业市场的评估均显著弱于半年前，凸显其 谨慎态度未根本扭转。若七月八日对等关税如期生效，而美国未能在一个月内与百余贸易伙伴达成新协议，紧张情绪可能再度升温。 本周美国劳工部数据带来利好消息：五月CPI环比仅微涨百分之零点一，低于预期。这暂时缓解了关税推高物价的担忧，但经济学家普遍警告，进口成本传 导效应可能在数月后显现。数据公布后，美国相关人士再次呼吁美联储"降息整整一个百分点" ...

Market Overview - The New York stock market experienced significant declines due to heightened risk aversion following Israel's military strikes on Iran, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping by 769.83 points to close at 42197.79, a decrease of 1.79% [1] - The S&P 500 index fell by 68.29 points to 5976.97, down 1.13%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index decreased by 255.66 points to 19406.83, a decline of 1.30% [1] - Among the S&P 500 sectors, ten out of eleven sectors declined, with the financial and technology sectors leading the losses at 2.06% and 1.50%, respectively, while the energy sector rose by 1.72% [1] Geopolitical Impact - Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi condemned the Israeli attacks, stating that Iran would respond appropriately [1] - Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated that military actions would continue until threats are eliminated, with reports of Iran launching missiles towards Israel [1] Oil Market and Inflation Concerns - The conflict between Iran and Israel has raised concerns in the market, particularly regarding oil prices, which have increased by 40% over the past two months due to geopolitical risks and inflation pressures [2] - If oil prices remain above $100 per barrel, U.S. inflation could accelerate towards 5% [3] - A $10 increase in international oil prices could raise the U.S. Consumer Price Index by 0.5 percentage points, impacting consumer spending and economic growth [3] Economic Forecasts - If the conflict escalates significantly, global economic growth could be adversely affected, with a projected reduction of 1.8% in global GDP growth and a 1.9% decrease in U.S. GDP growth over the next year [3] - The preliminary consumer confidence index for June in the U.S. was reported at 60.5, an increase from 52.2 in May, indicating a slight improvement in consumer sentiment despite inflation concerns [3] Stock Performance - Oil and gas stocks, along with defense-related stocks, saw price increases, while travel-related stocks declined [4]