注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 中原证券指出，宽基中证500指数本周表现活跃，通信（7.66%）、电子（7.02%）、非银金融 （6.48%）等行业涨幅居前。当前中证500成分股中，电子（53.13倍PE）、计算机（56.96倍PE）等科技 板块估值处于高位。整体来看，中证500指数中科技成长板块受资金青睐。 国泰中证500ETF（561350）跟踪的是中证500指数（000905），该指数从A股市场中选取市值较大、流 动性较好的500只股票作为指数样本，旨在反映中国A股市场中盘股票的整体表现。中证500指数行业分 布均衡，覆盖成长与周期性板块，具有良好的市场代表性与分散化特点。 没有股票账户的投资者可关注国泰中证500ETF发起联接C（013834），国泰中证500ETF发起联接A （013833）。 ...

Group 1 - The main index, the Sci-Tech Innovation Index, has shown strong performance, ranking among the top three in terms of growth, indicating continued market preference for the technology growth sector [1] - The communication (7.66%) and electronics (7.02%) sectors are leading the performance among the Shenwan first-level industries, confirming the market's preference for high-growth tracks [1] - The current market exhibits a "growth dominance" characteristic, with small-cap growth (5.07%) and growth style index (5.04%) showing significant gains, aligning with the strong performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Index [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index ETF from Guotai (589630) tracks the Sci-Tech Innovation Index (000680), with a daily fluctuation limit of up to 20% [1] - This index covers nearly 97% of the listed companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, with constituent stocks primarily in electronics, pharmaceuticals, machinery, and computers, characterized by high R&D investment and high self-developed technology content [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Index focuses on reflecting the performance of hard technology and strategic emerging industries, showcasing the overall market dynamics of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market has been performing strongly, with trading volume exceeding 2 trillion yuan for several consecutive days, indicating a structural slow bull market [1] - Investment focus should be on technology growth sectors such as AI computing power, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals, as well as the financial sector including brokerage and insurance [1] - Attention should also be given to cyclical industries that may benefit from capacity clearing, presenting opportunities in dividend assets [1] Group 2 - There is a need to be cautious of sector differentiation risks, avoiding chasing high prices and ensuring strict control of leverage while utilizing pullbacks to position in core assets [1]

8月18日早盘，创业板指延续强势上行态势，盘中一度涨超3.5%，已站上2600点关口，成功突破2024年 10月8日创下的阶段高点，刷新了自2023年2月15日以来的指数新高。盘面上，液冷服务器概念走强，算 力硬件股表现活跃。近期热度较高的科创创业50ETF（159783）涨近3.5%，持仓股中，中际旭创、寒武 纪、新易盛、天孚通信等涨幅居前。 国金证券指出，迎接经济复苏期产业浪潮的真正到来，配置科创正当时。中短期视角来看，在2025年7 月底的重要会议上，决策层肯定了当下的经济指标表现良好，基本面具备强大活力与韧性，短期博弈稳 增长政策的力量有望消退。在未来一段时间内市场对于"十五五规划"的政策与主题博弈热度有望抬升， 尤其是在当下杠杆资金活跃度相对偏高，高弹性的科技成长相关主题有望迎来新一轮上涨机遇。而中期 视角来看，中美企业盈利能力差距有望缩小：在"反内卷"政策的供给约束下，中国制造业有望实现加速 去库（即生产受到约束，需求侧的营收增长开始高于库存的积累），利润率的修复值得期待。 该机构指出，中期伴随着国内"两新两重"政策的兜底与海外资本开支周期的开启，需求侧的修复带动产 业链价格与周转率的趋势性回暖， ...

Group 1 - The report suggests an industry allocation strategy termed "4+1," focusing on technology growth, self-control, and military sectors, including liquid cooling, robotics, gaming, AI applications, and military technologies such as missiles, drones, satellites, and deep-sea technology. Additionally, it highlights the fintech and brokerage sectors due to their high correlation with indices [1] - The cyclical sectors benefiting from the expectation of marginal improvement in PPI and some low-level rebound include steel, chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and building materials, with potential valuation recovery opportunities in insurance, liquor, and real estate [1] - The report identifies sectors with anti-involution elasticity and broader potential, indicating that the current anti-involution trend extends beyond traditional cyclical industries, with mid-term potential in solar energy, lithium batteries, engineering machinery, healthcare, and certain manufacturing and growth directions in Hong Kong's Hang Seng Internet [1] - Structural opportunities for overseas expansion are noted, particularly due to the easing of China-Europe trade relations, benefiting high-export categories like automobiles and wind power, as well as niche exports such as snacks [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of stable dividend stocks, gold, and optimized high-dividend assets for foundational investment [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Views - The report emphasizes the focus on technology growth directions and the recovery opportunities in undervalued sectors, particularly in machinery and robotics [2][15] - The report highlights the strong performance of excavator sales and the steady growth of forklift sales, indicating a positive trend in the machinery sector [12][14] Summary by Sections Company Performance - **Jiaocheng Ultrasonic**: Achieved revenue of 148 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.35%, and a net profit of 23.63 million yuan, up 2152.47%. The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the lithium battery industry and growth in semiconductor sectors [3][15] - **Zhenghe Industrial**: Reported revenue of 395 million yuan in Q1 2025, a 6.32% increase, with a net profit of 53.84 million yuan, up 100.09%. The company is developing micro-chain systems for robotics, which may benefit from the mass production of humanoid robots [4][15] - **Lvtian Machinery**: Focused on general power machinery and energy storage products, with revenue growth rates of 47.9%, 72.5%, and 50.1% in Q3 2024, Q4 2024, and Q1 2025 respectively. The company expects a net profit growth of 50%-70% in H1 2025 [5][15] Market Trends - In July 2025, excavator sales reached 17,138 units, a 25.2% year-on-year increase, with domestic sales up 17.2% and exports up 31.9%. This growth is attributed to infrastructure investment and equipment replacement policies [13][58] - Forklift sales in July 2025 totaled 118,605 units, a 14.4% increase year-on-year, with both domestic and export sales showing strong growth [14][41] Robotics and Technology - The report notes the increasing demand for humanoid robots and AI-related equipment, with significant events such as the World Humanoid Robot Games showcasing advancements in this field [12][56] - The domestic industrial robot market is expected to grow significantly, driven by labor cost increases and government policies promoting automation [53][56] Policy Support - The report outlines various government policies aimed at supporting the machinery and robotics sectors, including initiatives for equipment upgrades and technological innovation [39][56]

Group 1 - The market is expected to focus on five key industries: innovative pharmaceuticals, resources, communications, military industry, and gaming in the short term [3] - The A-share market has shown positive signals with increased trading volume and a shift of household wealth towards financial assets, indicating a new stable state [1] - The AI industry chain, anti-involution, and non-bank financial sectors are anticipated to experience rotation under active market conditions [2] Group 2 - The supply-side focus on anti-involution and demand-side profit extraction is identified as a significant medium to long-term investment theme [3] - The growth sectors are expected to show high prosperity due to the AI technology revolution and emerging industry trends [2] - The market is characterized by a dual driving force, with global technology growth providing strong elasticity and anti-involution leading to a recovery in cyclical and counter-cyclical trades [4]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on high-growth and scarce varieties, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [4][31]. Core Insights - The market is currently experiencing fluctuations, with a notable increase in new stock listings and a focus on the performance of mid-year reports [2][4]. - The North Exchange's A-share trading volume reached 27.39 billion yuan, reflecting a 27 billion yuan increase from the previous trading day, while the North Exchange 50 Index closed at 1432.8, down 1.99% [2][9]. - The report highlights the active participation in new stock subscriptions, with significant funds frozen for new listings, indicating a "risk-free arbitrage" effect [4][20]. Summary by Sections Market Review - On August 14, the North Exchange A-share trading volume was 27.39 billion yuan, with the North Exchange 50 Index down 1.99% and a PE_TTM of 66.64 times [2][9]. - Among 271 companies on the North Exchange, 24 saw an increase in stock prices, while 245 experienced declines [17]. Important News - The first domestically produced commercial electron beam lithography machine was developed by Zhejiang University, achieving a precision of 0.6nm and a linewidth of 8nm, comparable to international equipment [20]. - China's total computing power ranks second globally, with 4.55 million 5G base stations and 226 million gigabit broadband users [21]. Key Company Announcements - Hongyu Packaging reported a revenue of 320 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.54%, with a net profit of 12.21 million yuan, up 147.37% [22]. - Bingyang Technology plans to invest 10 million yuan to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Inner Mongolia to develop fracturing proppant business [27].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has entered a "slow bull" phase, with significant trading volume and a notable increase in stock prices since April 7, 2023, when the Shanghai Composite Index hit its low point [2][8]. Market Performance - On August 14, the A-share market's trading volume reached 2.3 trillion yuan, and the margin financing balance exceeded 2 trillion yuan for the first time in nearly a decade [2]. - As of August 15, major indices showed positive performance, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1%, the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.25%, and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.81% [1]. Leading Sectors - The non-bank financial sector led the market with a 2.39% increase, attracting a net inflow of 6.33 billion yuan [3]. - The construction materials sector also performed well, with a 1.90% increase and a net inflow of 1.33 billion yuan [3]. - The real estate sector saw significant gains, with stocks like Quzhou Development and Xinda Real Estate rising by 10.04% and 9.92%, respectively [4]. Stock Highlights - The brokerage sector experienced a strong rally, with stocks like Changcheng Securities and Zhongyin Securities seeing increases of over 7% and 4%, respectively [2]. - The ETF for brokerages surged, reaching a new high for the year with a trading volume exceeding 700 million yuan [3]. Banking Sector Performance - The banking sector faced declines, with major banks like CITIC Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China dropping over 3% [5][6]. - The insurance sector also saw losses, with China Pacific Insurance and China Life Insurance both declining by over 1% [5]. Fund Flows - Recent data indicated a significant increase in non-bank deposits, with a rise of 2.14 trillion yuan in July, while household deposits decreased by 1.1 trillion yuan [7]. - Market sentiment is optimistic, with institutions adjusting their portfolios to focus on consumer and internet sectors, while maintaining positions in undervalued stocks [8]. Future Outlook - Some institutions believe the current market rally will continue, although volatility may increase, suggesting a focus on high-growth sectors with strong performance metrics [9]. - Analysts highlight the importance of identifying stocks with high elasticity in a bull market, particularly in technology and sectors with strong earnings support [9].

Market Overview - On August 14, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3704 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3666.44 points, down 0.46%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11451.43 points, down 0.87%[8] - Total trading volume for both markets reached 23,066 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included insurance, liquor, robotics, and banking sectors, while aerospace, energy metals, instrumentation, and electronic components lagged[3] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets declined, with significant inflows into insurance, glass fiber, motors, and banking sectors[8] Valuation and Economic Outlook - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are 15.08 times and 43.64 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] - The Chinese economy continues to show moderate recovery, driven by consumption and investment, with a focus on enhancing capital market attractiveness[3] Investment Recommendations - Short-term market trends are expected to stabilize with a gradual upward movement, with a focus on sectors like insurance, robotics, banking, and semiconductors for investment opportunities[3] - Investors should remain cautious of high-valuation stocks facing performance verification pressures during the mid-August earnings disclosures[3] Risks - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy changes, and macroeconomic disturbances that could impact recovery[4]