Core Insights - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping over 5% and falling below $87,000 for the first time since April [2] - Ethereum also saw a decline, briefly falling below $2,800 [4] - A total of nearly 230,000 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, with a total liquidation amount of $830 million (approximately 5.9 billion RMB) [7] Market Performance - Bitcoin: $87,161.3, down 4.62% in 24 hours, down 11.92% over the past week, market cap of $1.74 trillion, 24-hour trading volume of $96.99 billion [7] - Ethereum: $2,852.22, down 5.46% in 24 hours, down 10.90% over the past week, market cap of $344.81 billion, 24-hour trading volume of $42.97 billion [7] - Other cryptocurrencies such as BNB, Dogecoin, and Cardano also experienced declines [6] Liquidation Data - In the last 24 hours, liquidations included $700 million from long positions and $130 million from short positions [8] - The largest single liquidation occurred on HTX-BTC [7] Market Sentiment and Analysis - Market sentiment is cautious due to the cooling expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a lack of macroeconomic data [9] - Analysts suggest that the cryptocurrency market is facing significant selling pressure from large investors, with over $20 billion in assets sold since September [9] - Diverging opinions exist regarding Bitcoin's future, with some analysts urging investors to take profits in anticipation of a potential "crypto winter" [9] Future Outlook - Some analysts believe the recent price adjustments may have ended, indicating a potential rebound by the end of the year [10] - Market indicators suggest that Bitcoin prices may have reached a bottom, with the price-to-book ratio nearing 1 [11]

Group 1 - Non-ferrous stocks experienced a widespread decline, with Luoyang Molybdenum falling by 3.83% to HKD 15.32, Jiangxi Copper down 3.22% to HKD 29.42, Lingbao Gold decreasing by 2.8% to HKD 15.29, and China Aluminum dropping by 2.51% to HKD 10.86 [1] - The decline in non-ferrous stocks is attributed to the weakened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, as the US dollar index surpassed the 100-point mark [1] - The US Labor Department reported a non-farm payroll increase of 119,000 in September, exceeding expectations by more than double, although the combined non-farm employment figures for July and August were revised down by 33,000 [1] Group 2 - The unemployment rate in the US unexpectedly rose to 4.4% in September, marking the highest level since October 2021 [1] - Initial jobless claims in the US decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high [1] - Following the data release, swap contracts indicated a diminishing likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1]

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced significant fluctuations, reaching $4,100 during the day but ultimately closing at $4,076.7 per ounce, reflecting market reactions to a strong dollar and tempered expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold prices dropped by 0.15% to close at $4,076.7 per ounce on the COMEX [1] - The China Gold ETF (518850) fell by 0.53%, while the Gold Stock ETF (159562) decreased by 0.76% [1] Group 2: Employment Data - The U.S. added 119,000 jobs in September, significantly exceeding expectations [1] - The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, the highest level since October 2021 [1] - Initial jobless claims decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - The October meeting minutes of the Federal Reserve revealed significant divisions among members, with a lack of guiding data contributing to this discord [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October non-farm payroll report, incorporating the data into the November report set for release on December 16, after the Fed's final meeting of the year [1] - Market expectations for a rate cut in December have diminished, with only a 27% probability priced in, which has negatively impacted precious metals [1]

Group 1 - The overall performance of non-ferrous metal stocks is declining, with notable drops in companies such as Luoyang Molybdenum (-3.83%), Jiangxi Copper (-3.22%), Lingbao Gold (-2.8%), and China Aluminum (-2.51%) [1] - The decline in stock prices is influenced by the weakening expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December, as indicated by the rise of the US dollar index above the 100 mark [1] - The US labor statistics report shows that non-farm employment increased by 119,000 in September, exceeding expectations by more than double, although the employment figures for July and August were revised down by 33,000 [1] Group 2 - The unemployment rate in the US unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, the highest level since October 2021, indicating potential economic concerns [1] - Initial jobless claims decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high, suggesting mixed signals in the labor market [1] - Following the release of this data, swap contracts indicate a diminishing likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [1]

【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 格隆汇11月21日｜美联储12月降息预期骤降，日韩股市跟随隔夜美股股下跌。A股开盘，三大指数集体 低开，沪指低开0.87%报3896.66点，深证成指低开1.76%，指低开2.07%。盘面上，锂矿、电池、存储芯 片等板块调整。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced significant fluctuations, reaching $4,100 during the day but ultimately closing at $4,076.7 per ounce, reflecting market reactions to a strong dollar and tempered expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - Gold prices dropped by 0.15% to close at $4,076.7 per ounce on the COMEX [1] - The China Gold ETF (518850) fell by 0.53%, while the Gold Stock ETF (159562) decreased by 0.76% [1] Group 2: Employment Data - The U.S. added 119,000 jobs in September, significantly exceeding expectations [1] - The unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, the highest level since October 2021 [1] - Initial jobless claims decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - The October meeting minutes of the Federal Reserve indicated significant divisions among members, with a lack of data guidance contributing to uncertainty [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October non-farm payroll report, incorporating the data into the November report set for December 16, after the Fed's final meeting of the year [1] - Market expectations for a December rate cut have diminished, with only a 27% probability priced in, which has negatively impacted precious metals [1]

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced increased volatility, reaching $4,100 during the day but later falling to $4,045 before closing at $4,076.7, a decrease of 0.15% [1] - The market anticipates no interest rate cuts in December, with the probability of a rate cut dropping to 27%, which negatively impacts precious metals [1] - The U.S. added 119,000 jobs in September, significantly above expectations, while the unemployment rate unexpectedly rose to 4.4%, the highest since October 2021 [1] Group 2 - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased by 8,000 to 220,000, while continuing claims reached a four-year high [1] - The Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes revealed significant divisions among members, with a lack of data guidance contributing to uncertainty [1] - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will not release the October non-farm payroll report, incorporating the data into the November report set for release on December 16, after the Fed's final meeting of the year [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Viewpoints - In the context of hawkish statements from Fed officials and better - than - expected non - farm payroll data, the market's expectation of a further interest rate cut by the Fed in December has weakened. However, the trend of a weakening US labor market remains unchanged, and further easing by the Fed is just a matter of time. - Currently, it is recommended to enter long silver positions on dips. The reference operating range for the main contract of SHFE gold is 903 - 982 yuan/gram, and for the main contract of SHFE silver is 11534 - 12639 yuan/kilogram [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Quotes - On November 21, 2025, SHFE gold fell 0.66% to 933.90 yuan/gram, and SHFE silver fell 1.34% to 11967.00 yuan/kilogram. COMEX gold was reported at 4076.70 dollars/ounce, and COMEX silver at 50.36 dollars/ounce. The US 10 - year Treasury yield was 4.1%, and the US dollar index was 100.23 [2]. - The September non - farm payroll employment change in the US was 119,000, higher than the expected 50,000 and the revised previous value of - 22,000. But considering the previous revisions, the September employment data did not show an improvement in the US labor market. Except for healthcare and hospitality, the new employment in the service industry was poor, and employment in goods production relied on real estate. The main contributors to the new non - farm payrolls were healthcare (+59,000), hospitality (+47,000), government (+22,000), and construction (+19,000). The government employment sub - item will not support the combined non - farm data for October and November. The construction industry improved in September, but it is difficult to support overall employment in quantity like the service industry. Manufacturing employment decreased by 6,000, and all sub - items declined, continuing the weak performance in August. The number of people unemployed for more than 15 weeks reached 3.105 million, the highest since 2022. The new employment in the information manufacturing (IT industry) was 0, slightly better than the previous decline of 700 [2]. 3.2 Gold and Silver Data - **COMEX Gold**: The closing price of the active contract was 4076.70 dollars/ounce, down 0.04% from the previous day. The trading volume was 26.69 million lots, up 16.83%. The open interest was 49.37 million lots, down 6.63%. The inventory was 1149 tons, down 0.09% [5]. - **LBMA Gold**: The closing price was 4090.60 dollars/ounce, down 0.88% [5]. - **SHFE Gold**: The closing price of the active contract was 932.56 yuan/gram, down 0.47%. The trading volume was 54.02 million lots, up 10.99%. The open interest was 33.20 million lots, down 1.08%. The inventory was 90.43 tons, unchanged. The settled funds were 49.54 billion yuan, out - flowed 1.55% [5]. - **COMEX Silver**: The closing price of the active contract was 50.36 dollars/ounce, down 1.39%. The open interest was 16.38 million lots, down 1.19%. The inventory was 14367 tons, down 0.13% [5]. - **LBMA Silver**: The closing price was 50.85 dollars/ounce, down 2.60% [5]. - **SHFE Silver**: The closing price of the active contract was 12,050.00 yuan/kilogram, down 0.81%. The trading volume was 258.09 million lots, up 32.77%. The open interest was 74.14 million lots, up 1.91%. The inventory was 535.09 tons, down 2.30%. The settled funds were 24.122 billion yuan, in - flowed 1.09% [5]. 3.3 Price Structure and Spread - **Gold**: In the COMEX gold near - far month structure, and the spreads between London gold and COMEX gold, SHFE gold and COMEX gold, and SGE gold and LBMA gold were analyzed. For example, on November 20, 2025, the SHFE - COMEX spread for gold was - 0.95 dollars/ounce, and the SGE - LBMA spread was - 7.57 dollars/ounce [5][51]. - **Silver**: In the COMEX silver near - far month structure, and the spreads between London silver and COMEX silver, SHFE silver and COMEX silver, and SGE silver and LBMA silver were analyzed. On November 20, 2025, the SHFE - COMEX spread for silver was 2.28 dollars/ounce, and the SGE - LBMA spread was 1.92 dollars/ounce [5][51].

报道还提到，奥安达的市场分析师克尔芬·翁表示："黄金现在正在下跌，主要原因是过去两周利率下降预期大 幅减少。"并预计："短期内，这将使黄金价格保持在4100美元以下，阻力位在4155美元。然后，可能会在3980 美元至4000美元之间波动。" 消息面上，上海黄金交易所发布通知称，近期影响市场不稳定的因素较多，为防范市场波动可能带来的风险， 请各会员单位继续做好风险应急预案，维护市场平稳运行，并及时采取相应风控措施，提示投资者做好风险防 范工作，合理控制仓位，理性投资。 【环球网财经综合报道】北京时间11月21日凌晨，国际贵金属期货普遍收跌，COMEX黄金期货跌0.15%报 4076.7美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货跌0.98%报50.355美元/盎司。 半岛电视台近日发文称，黄金价格周四下跌，因美元走强及美联储12月降息预期减弱。美元指数升至两周高 位，其他货币相对美元贬值推高了黄金对持有者成本。目前交易者预计12月美联储降息概率降至33%，而通常 情况下，无收益的黄金在低利率环境和经济不确定性时期会上涨。市场关注因政府关门推迟发布的美国9月非农 就业报告，这可能影响美联储政策走向。 ...

贵金属方面，现货黄金基本平收，报4077.91美元/盎司；现货白银跌1.4%，报50.6407美元/盎司。国际 贵金属期货普遍收跌，COMEX黄金期货跌0.15%报4076.7美元/盎司，COMEX白银期货跌0.98%报 50.355美元/盎司。 分析称，贵金属走势主要受美元走强与美联储降息预期降温双重压制。 北京时间21日凌晨，欧美股市走势分化，欧洲三大股指收盘全线上涨，美股则上演过山车式行情，集体 高开而后一路下行，三大指数悉数收跌。 截至美股收盘，道指跌0.84%报45752.26点，标普500指数跌1.56%报6538.76点，纳指跌2.15%报22078.05 点。 大型科技股集体下跌，万得美国科技七巨头指数下跌1.74%。个股方面，英伟达跌超3%，亚马逊、特斯 拉跌逾2%，微软、谷歌跌逾1%，苹果跌近1%，脸书跌0.19%。 银行股全线走低，摩根大通、高盛跌超1%，花旗、摩根士丹利跌超2%。 芯片股表现疲软，费城半导体指数跌4.77%，美光科技跌超10%，超威半导体跌逾7%，拉姆研究跌超 6%。 中概股普遍下跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数跌3.26%，万得中概科技龙头指数跌2.72%。个股方面，阿特 斯 ...