Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No specific industry - wide investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The current supply - demand situation of the main varieties in the market shows different characteristics. For the livestock and soft commodities sectors, the supply of pigs is strong and demand is weak in the short - term, while the sugar market is in a state of weak oscillation. In the energy - chemical sector, the oil price has a complex supply - demand relationship and is expected to be under pressure in the medium - term, and the PVC market has marginal improvement in fundamentals but lacks a strong upward drive [1][2][4][5]. 3. Summary by Variety Livestock and Soft Commodities Sector - **Pig**: The short - term supply pressure is large, and the demand is not significantly boosted. The supply - demand pattern of strong supply and weak demand remains unchanged. The pig price center is moving down, and the 07 and 09 contracts on the futures market are still bearish. It presents a volatile pattern with limited upside and a bottom for downside. It is recommended that the breeding side sell out - of - the - money put options or participate in the cumulative sales option products [1][2]. - **Sugar**: Both the short - term and medium - term trends are weakly oscillating. International factors such as Brazil's new - season sugar supply increase and India's production reduction co - exist. Domestically, the production increase expectation has been fulfilled, and there may be additional imports. It is recommended to wait and see [3][4]. Energy - Chemical Sector - **Crude Oil**: In the short - term, pay attention to the phased rebound, and in the medium - term, it will run under pressure. The supply side has certain supporting factors, and the demand side has some positive signals, but the inventory situation is complex. It is recommended to buy futures contracts and buy put options for protection [4][5]. - **PVC**: It shows a range - bound oscillation in the short - term, and lacks an upward drive in the medium - term. The cost has rebounded, supply has increased slightly, demand has some speculative factors, and inventory has decreased. It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options on PVC at an appropriate time [6][7].

【TrendForce】 3月20日，TrendForce集邦咨询公布最新面板价格。具体来看：预期需求走弱，电视面板价格涨势收敛；显示器面板有望全面涨 价，且涨幅稍扩大；笔电面板价格仍持平。 电视面板 TrendForce集邦咨询研究副总范博毓表示，3月份电视面板需求目前虽然仍稳定，但以北美终端市场来看，在超级杯销售结束后，2月份起需求就开 始走弱，加上关税的不确定性高，有可能导致消费趋向保守。 国内虽有以旧换新政策的带动，但政策带动的需求已逐渐出现钝化的效应，加上自4Q24至1Q25，品牌客户持续维持高采购动能，导致目前品牌的 终端库存水位都有偏高的趋势，对于第二季面板需求可能下滑的杂音已经出现。 面板厂当然已经意识到这样的风险，因此持续讨论需要执行产能调控的可能时间点与幅度，以希望维持住整体供需状态稳定。 不过就目前观察，在预期需求走弱的态势下，电视面板价格的涨势有开始收敛的迹象。以3月份的电视面板价格走势来看，32吋预估上涨0.5美元。 43吋预估上涨1美元。50吋持平，55吋，65吋与75吋皆上涨1美元。 显示器面板 整体而言，以3月份的显示器面板价格走势来看，Open Cell面板预估上涨0.2~0 ...