研究报告 股指周报 波动率收窄下的多空胶着格局 华龙期货投资咨询部 投资咨询业务资格： 期货从业资格证号：F0246320 投资咨询资格证号：Z0003212 电话：13519655433 邮箱：383566967@qq.com 报告日期：2025 年 6 月 9 日星期一 【行情复盘】： 证监许可【2012】1087 号 金融板块研究员：邓夏羽 上周 IF2506 报收于 3855.4 点，相较前一周 上涨 33.0 点，涨幅 0.86%。IH2506 报收于 2673.6 点，相较前一周上涨 6.4 点，涨幅 0.24%。IC2506 报收于 5725.4 点，相较前一周上涨 97.6 点，涨 幅 1.73%。IM2506 报收于 6100.2 点，相较前一周 上涨 134.2 点，涨幅 2.25%。 本报告中所有观点仅供参 考，请投资者务必阅读正文之后 的免责声明。 *特别声明：本报告基于公开信息编制而成，报告对这些信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本文中 的操作建议为研究人员利用相关公开信息的分析得出，仅供投资者参考，据此入市风险自负。 研究报告 （一）、基本面分析 1、 外交部发言人宣布：应英国政府 ...

固定收益 | 动态跟踪 可考虑牛陡交易 固定收益市场周观察 研究结论 高频数据跟踪：生产端，各行业开工率分化。需求端，乘用车厂家批发及厂家零售 同比增速高位回落。商品房成交面积同比增速处于较大波动中，6 月 8 日当周 30 大 中城市商品房销售面积下滑，同比增速为-33%左右。出口指数方面，SCFI、 CCFI 综合指数分别变动 8.1%、3.3%。价格端，原油价格上行，铜铝价格分化； 煤炭价格分化，动力煤活跃合约期货结算价与上周持平，焦煤活跃合约期货结算价 上行。中游方面，建材综合价格指数、水泥指数小幅下行，玻璃指数上行。螺纹钢 产量维持小幅下滑，库存较上周小幅下滑，期货价格抬升。下游消费端，蔬菜价格 上行，水果、猪肉价格均下滑。 风险提示 政策变化超预期；货币政策变化超预期；经济基本面变化超预期；信用风险暴露超预 期；数据统计可能存在遗误 报告发布日期 2025 年 06 月 09 日 | 齐晟 | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521120001 | | 杜林 | dulin@orientsec.com.cn | | ...

Core Viewpoint - Yibin Bank has appointed Jiang Lin as the new president, following a two-month vacancy after the resignation of the previous president due to health reasons. Jiang's qualifications are pending approval from the national financial regulatory authority [2][3][4]. Group 1: Leadership Changes - Jiang Lin has a background with Wuliangye Group, the largest shareholder of Yibin Bank, holding 19.99% of the bank's shares as of the end of 2024 [6][7]. - Jiang Lin's previous roles include positions at the Chengdu Municipal Government and as a board member at Wuliangye Group, where she served as Vice General Manager and Secretary of the Board [4][5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Yibin Bank reported operating income of 2.18 billion yuan and a net profit of 478 million yuan, showing minimal growth of 0.5% and 0.1% year-on-year, respectively [9]. - The bank's reliance on net interest income has decreased, with a reported decline of 11.6% in net interest income to 1.578 billion yuan, which now constitutes 72.4% of total operating income, down from 82.3% the previous year [9][10]. - Non-interest income has shown improvement, with net commission income increasing by 48.3% to 65.1 million yuan, and financial investment net income soaring by 2872.6% to 315 million yuan, contributing significantly to revenue growth [10][11]. Group 3: Asset Quality and Growth - As of the end of 2024, Yibin Bank's total assets exceeded 100 billion yuan, reaching 109.205 billion yuan, with customer loans and financial investments growing by 18.2% and 21.6%, respectively [11]. - The bank's non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.68%, marking the lowest level in five years [12].

2024年年度权益分派实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 证券代码：603661 证券简称：恒林股份 公告编号：2025-029 恒林家居股份有限公司 重要内容提示： ● 每股分配比例 A股每股现金红利0.72元 一、通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025年5月16日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 1.发放年度：2024年年度 2.分派对象： 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司（以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 3.分配方案： 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本139,067,031股为基数，每股派发现金红利0.72元（含税），共 计派发现金红利100,128,262.32元。 1.实施办法 （1）无限售条件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司通过其资金清算系统向股权登记日上海证券交 易所收市后登记在册并在上海证券交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。已办理指定交易的投资者 可于红利发放日在 ...

证券研究报告 | 债券点评报告 2025 年 06 月 08 日 【发行利差】本周地方债加权平均发行利差为 10.1bp，较上周有所走阔。其中 30Y 地方债加权平均发行利差最高，达 21.4bp。本周除 7Y、15Y 和 30Y 地方 债加权平均发行利差有所收窄外，其余期限均有所走阔。本周天津、吉林等地 方债加权平均发行利差较高，超过 8bp，而河南发行利差相对较低。 【募集资金投向】截至本周末，2025 年以来新增专项债募集资金投向主要为冷 链物流、市政和产业园区基础设施建设（32%）、交通基础设施（21%）、社 会事业（12%）、保障性安居工程（12%）。从变动来看，2025 年土地储备（+7.7%） 投向的占比较 2024 年升高较多。 【特殊再融资债】本周特殊再融资债共发行 277 亿元，2025 年已有 33 个地区 披露拟发行置换隐债专项债合计 16835 亿元。其中，江苏、山东、四川、湖北 分别有 2511 亿元、1060 亿元、984 亿元、808 亿元。 【特殊专项债】本周特殊专项债共发行 16 亿元。截至本周末，2025 年特殊专 项债已披露发行和已发行规模分别为 2454 亿元和 24 ...

证券研究报告 固收定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 08 日 信用利差整体小幅波动 ——信用分析周报（2025/6/2-2025/6/6） 投资要点： 本周（6/2-6/6）市场概览： 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 3）负面舆情：广东蒙泰高新纤维股份有限公司主体评级调低，其所发行的"蒙泰转 债"债项评级调低。 本周市场分析：本周公开市场共有 16026 亿元逆回购到期，本周央行累计开展 9309 亿元逆回购操作，实现全周净回笼 6717 亿元。本周 DR001 由周初的 1.41%小幅下 行至 1.39%。 投资建议：总体来看，本周 AAA 主体信用利差整体小幅走扩，AA+电子行业、AA 医药生物行业利差大幅压缩，其余各行业各评级的债券信用利差小幅波动。城投债 方面，本周城投债信用利差整体小幅波动，各地区的城投信用利差大多小幅走扩， 贵州、云南等区域的 AA 城投主体利差小幅压缩。产业债方面，本周产业债信用利差 整体呈现短端走扩，长端小幅波动的态势。银行资本债方面，本周银行资本债信用 利差整体小幅波动，5Y 二 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业周报（20250603-20250606） 推荐（维持） 平安拟发行 117.65 亿港元 H 股可转债 ❑ 本周行情复盘：保险指数上涨 1.03%，跑赢大盘 0.15pct。保险个股表现分化， 新华+5.94%，太平+5.64%，国寿+4.54%，友邦+2.13%，太保+1.60%，财险 +1.07%，平安+0.24%，人保+0.24%，阳光-2.74%，众安-9.14%。10 年期国债 收益率 1.65%，较上周末-2bps。 ❑ 本周动态： （1）每经网：6 月 3 日，中国太保正式发布总规模 500 亿元的太保战新并购 基金与私募证券投资基金。其中，太保战新并购私募基金（暂定名，以基金正 式备案名称为准）目标规模 300 亿元，首期规模 100 亿元，聚焦上海国资国企 改革和现代化产业体系建设的重点领域，太保致远 1 号私募证券投资基金（暂 定名，以基金正式备案名称为准）目标规模 200 亿元。 （2）慧保天下：5 月 30 日，平安资管获得监管批复，设立恒毅持盈（深圳） 私募基金管理有限公司。恒毅持盈将作为基金管理人向平安人寿定向发行契约 型私募证券投资基金，首期基金 ...

Report Title - ABS Investor Structure Changes - ABS Monthly Report (May 2025) [1] Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - In May 2025, the ABS issuance scale decreased, with the largest month - on - month decline in enterprise ABS. The trading volume and turnover rate of ABS decreased significantly, but the trading amount and turnover rate of credit ABS continued to grow. The holding proportions of major investors in different types of ABS changed, and the yields of ABS at all maturities declined while the spreads with medium - and short - term notes mostly continued to rise [2][3][4][5] Summary by Directory 1. Primary Issuance 1.1 Issuance Scale - In May 2025, the ABS issuance scale decreased by 28% month - on - month to 15.1533 billion yuan. Credit ABS, enterprise ABS, and ABN issuance scales were 2.3905 billion yuan, 8.321 billion yuan, and 4.4418 billion yuan respectively, with month - on - month declines of 2%, 35%, and 23% [2][9]. - Among credit ABS, the issuance scale of micro - enterprise loan ABS increased the most, and the issuance scale of non - performing loan ABS had a fast growth rate of 761%. In enterprise ABS, the issuance scales of shantytown renovation/affordable housing ABS and CMBS/CMBN increased the most, while the issuance scale of quasi - REITs decreased the most. In ABN, the issuance scale of general small - loan creditor's rights ABS increased more, and the issuance scale of preferred limited partnership shares ABS decreased the most [9] 1.2 Issuance Term and Interest Rate - In May 2025, the terms of newly issued ABS were mostly 9M - 1 year and 1 - 2 years, and the weighted coupon rate continued to decline. The weighted average coupon rate was 2.01%, a decrease of 6.68bp compared to April [11]. - For different types of ABS, the weighted terms of newly issued credit ABS, enterprise ABS, and ABN all increased compared to the previous month, and their weighted interest rates all decreased [11] 2. Secondary Trading - In May 2025, the trading volume and turnover rate of ABS decreased significantly, but the trading amount and turnover rate of credit ABS continued to grow. The monthly trading amount of ABS was 11.8623 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.09% compared to April. The monthly turnover rate of ABS was 3.6%, a decrease of 1.4 percentage points compared to April. ABN was the most actively traded ABS product type [3][17] 3. Investor Structure - In credit ABS, commercial banks and non - legal person products were the main holders, with holding proportions of 69% and 15% respectively. The holding proportions of commercial banks and non - legal person products decreased, while those of securities companies and overseas institutions increased [4][20] - In ABN, non - legal person products and commercial banks held the most, with holding proportions of 62% and 28% respectively, both decreasing compared to the previous month [4][20] - For enterprise ABS, trust institutions and bank self - operations were the main investors in Shanghai Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, with holding proportions of 31% and 26% respectively, both decreasing. In Shenzhen Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, general institutions and trust institutions were the main investors, with the holding proportion of general institutions increasing and that of trust institutions slightly decreasing [4][25] 4. Yield and Spread - In May, the yields to maturity of ABS at all maturities declined. The yields to maturity of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities decreased by 7.6bp, 6.1bp, 4.9bp, and 4.4bp respectively compared to April 30, 2025 [5][27] - The spreads between ABS yields to maturity and medium - and short - term notes mostly continued to rise. The spreads of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities with the same - maturity and same - rating medium - and short - term notes changed to 5.4bp, - 10.1bp, 0.0bp, and - 1.3bp respectively [5][27]

? 是否涉及差异化分红送转：否 证券代码：688758 证券简称：赛分科技 公告编号：2025-023 本公司董事会及全体董事保证公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者 重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 每股分配比例 每股现金红利0.041元 ? 相关日期 股权登记日 除权（息）日 现金红利发放日 一、 通过分配方案的股东会届次和日期 本次利润分配方案经公司2025 年 5 月 20 日的2024年年度股东会审议通过。 二、 分配方案 （1）对于持有公司无限售条件流通股的自然人股东和证券投资基金，根据《关 于上市公司股息红利差别化个人所得税政策有关问题的通知》（财税2015101 号） 及《关于实施上市公司股息红利差别化个人所得税政策有关问题的通知》（财税 201285 号）的有关规定，个人（包括证券投资基金）从公开发行和转让市场取得 的上市公司股票，持股期限（指从公开发行和转让市场取得公司股票之日至转让交 割该股票之日前一日的持有时间）超过 1 年的，其股息红利所得暂免征收个人所得 税，每股实际派发现金红利人民币 0.041 元；持股期限在 1 年以内（ ...

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Treasury has urged the Bank of Japan to continue tightening its monetary policy to address domestic economic fundamentals, including economic growth and inflation, and to support the yen's value against the dollar [1][4]. Group 1: U.S. Treasury's Position - The U.S. Treasury's semi-annual currency report suggests that Japan should continue its monetary tightening to normalize the yen's weakness against the dollar and to achieve structural rebalancing in bilateral trade [1]. - This report marks the first currency assessment of Japan since Trump returned to the White House, potentially fueling market speculation about a rate hike by the Bank of Japan later this year [1][7]. Group 2: Japan's Response - Japanese Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu stated that the details of monetary policy will be left to the Bank of Japan, emphasizing that he will not comment on foreign government opinions [4]. - Japan's current benchmark interest rate is only 0.5%, significantly lower than other developed countries, despite being the G7 nation with the highest inflation rate [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Former top Japanese currency diplomat Mitsuhiro Furusawa indicated that the structural convergence of U.S.-Japan interest rates is the core logic behind the potential strengthening of the yen, rather than political pressure from the White House [5]. - The market is witnessing a resurgence of bets on yen appreciation, with hedge funds and long-term investors re-establishing positions at a five-year high, driven by speculation about Japan's currency discussions in trade negotiations [7]. Group 4: Economic Context - Both the U.S. and Japan share a common interest in avoiding excessive currency fluctuations that could harm exports or exacerbate inflation, suggesting a gradual appreciation of the yen may be on the horizon [6].