国债期限利差

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流动性与仓位周观察:6月第1期:资金延续净流入
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-06-09 15:27
Group 1 - The market experienced a net inflow of funds, but trading activity decreased, with total A-share trading volume at 4.84 trillion yuan, down from the previous week, and turnover rate at 5.58%, also a decline from the prior week. The total net inflow of funds was 156.42 billion yuan, indicating stronger liquidity [7][8][19] - The domestic liquidity situation showed a net withdrawal of 671.7 billion yuan in open market operations, with DR007 and R007 rates declining, and the spread between R007 and DR007 narrowing. The yield on 10-year government bonds decreased by 2 basis points, while the yield on 1-year bonds fell by 4 basis points, leading to an expansion of the yield curve spread [10][11][18] Group 2 - The issuance scale of equity funds increased to 13.75 billion yuan, up from the previous week. The top three sectors for fund accumulation were electronics, communications, and computers, while the sectors with the largest reductions were food and beverage, household appliances, and transportation [21][24][28] - The net inflow of margin financing was 7.649 billion yuan, with margin trading accounting for 8.4% of total A-share trading volume. The total number of ETF shares decreased by 750 million, with the largest inflow seen in the broad index of the CSI 300 ETF [28][29][32] Group 3 - In the primary market, there were two IPOs raising 5.007 billion yuan, while no refinancing occurred. The total amount of restricted shares that became tradable was 28.758 billion yuan, with the electronics, biomedicine, and automotive sectors having the highest amounts of unlocked shares [37][41][42] - The report highlighted that industrial capital reduced holdings by 3.18 billion yuan, with non-bank financials, coal, and household appliances being the top sectors for increased holdings, while electronics, biomedicine, and machinery equipment saw the largest reductions [38][39]
固定收益市场周观察:可考虑牛陡交易
Orient Securities· 2025-06-08 23:45
固定收益 | 动态跟踪 可考虑牛陡交易 固定收益市场周观察 研究结论 高频数据跟踪:生产端,各行业开工率分化。需求端,乘用车厂家批发及厂家零售 同比增速高位回落。商品房成交面积同比增速处于较大波动中,6 月 8 日当周 30 大 中城市商品房销售面积下滑,同比增速为-33%左右。出口指数方面,SCFI、 CCFI 综合指数分别变动 8.1%、3.3%。价格端,原油价格上行,铜铝价格分化; 煤炭价格分化,动力煤活跃合约期货结算价与上周持平,焦煤活跃合约期货结算价 上行。中游方面,建材综合价格指数、水泥指数小幅下行,玻璃指数上行。螺纹钢 产量维持小幅下滑,库存较上周小幅下滑,期货价格抬升。下游消费端,蔬菜价格 上行,水果、猪肉价格均下滑。 风险提示 政策变化超预期;货币政策变化超预期;经济基本面变化超预期;信用风险暴露超预 期;数据统计可能存在遗误 报告发布日期 2025 年 06 月 09 日 | 齐晟 | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号:S0860521120001 | | 杜林 | dulin@orientsec.com.cn | | ...
5月第4期:资金净流入:流动性与仓位周观察
Tai Ping Yang Zheng Quan· 2025-06-03 14:45
2025 年 06 月 03 日 投资策略 流动性与仓位周观察——5 月第 4 期:资金净流入 ◼ 上证综合指数走势(近三年) (20%) (12%) (4%) 4% 12% 20% 24/6/3 24/8/15 24/10/27 25/1/8 25/3/22 25/6/3 证券分析师:张冬冬 产业资本:上周产业资本减持 36.9 亿元,纺织服饰、交通运输、汽 车增持前三;机械设备、电子、计算机减持前三。上周解禁规模 120.02 亿元,电子、计算机、通信解禁规模前三。 风险提示:1、市场波动过大;2、数据具有时滞性;3、历史数据不 代表未来。 太 平 洋 证 券 股 份 有 限 公 司 证 券 研 究 报 告 E-MAIL:zhangdd@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号:S1190522040001 证券分析师:吴步升 E-MAIL:wubs@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号:S1190524110002 资金净流入,交投活跃度下降。上周全 A 成交额 5.47 万亿,较前一 周下降,换手率 6.49%,较前一周下降,融资供给端中基金、ETF 净流入, 两融净流出;资金需求端 IPO 规模为 6.04 ...