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理论视野 | 统筹增进民生福祉与有效扩大内需
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of enhancing people's livelihoods and boosting consumption as essential requirements for responding to public expectations and solidifying the foundation for development [3][4][6] - The transition of China's economy from high-speed growth to high-quality development necessitates a focus on improving living standards and meeting the growing needs of the populace [3][4] - Strengthening social security and improving income distribution are critical for increasing consumer spending and ensuring economic stability [8][9] Group 2 - The need to stimulate domestic demand is highlighted as a strategic focus to enhance economic resilience and autonomy amid complex external challenges [5][7] - The promotion of a vibrant domestic consumption market is crucial for supporting local enterprises and mitigating the impacts of external demand fluctuations [5][7] - The integration of robust social security measures with effective consumption promotion strategies is essential for achieving shared development and advancing towards common prosperity [6][10] Group 3 - Employment expansion and income growth are identified as key methods to enhance residents' income levels and stimulate consumption [7][8] - The optimization of the income distribution system is necessary to ensure a fairer allocation of resources and to support consumption growth [8][9] - Innovative consumption scenarios and targeted subsidies are recommended to boost consumer spending and support the development of the cultural and tourism economy [10]
报告:一季度我国消费市场呈现三大趋势
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 14:58
Group 1 - The report highlights three major trends in China's consumer market for Q1 2025: policies and technological innovations boosting domestic demand, online content stimulating consumer discussions, and an upgrade in quality and services becoming a market development trend [1][2][3] - The top 10 consumer categories with the highest sales growth index in Q1 2025 include computer digital products, home appliances, healthcare, home decoration, office equipment, toys and models, fresh food, maternal and infant products, pet supplies, and outdoor sports [2] - The fastest-growing topics in consumer discussions for Q1 2025 include video games, travel, art collection, audio-visual books, financial services, local living, healthcare, cultural entertainment, computer digital products, and toys and models [2] Group 2 - The highest consumer satisfaction rate in Q1 2025 was for art collection, with a positive evaluation ratio of 97.8%, while video games and toys and models had lower positive evaluation ratios of 86.4% and 89.1%, respectively [3] - The report indicates that the growth index for computer digital consumption was 4.33, driven by promotional activities and policies that lowered consumption thresholds [2] - The report emphasizes the role of the Worth Buying Consumer Industry Research Institute in promoting standardization in the consumption field and sharing research outcomes with various stakeholders [3]
激发消费新动能 金融如何继续发力
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-13 03:16
去年底召开的中央经济工作会议将"大力提振消费、提高投资效益,全方位扩大国内需求"列为2025年工 作的首要重点任务。央行日前发布的《2025年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告》(以下简称《报告》) 在专栏"持续完善金融服务 支持提振和扩大消费"中就相关重要性和有关措施进行了详细阐释。 扩内需、稳增长关键点 《报告》指出,提振消费是当前扩内需、稳增长的关键点。《报告》认为,当前全球贸易摩擦加剧,外 需对经济增长的支撑作用趋弱,我国经济正加速向以内需为主导的增长模式转型,消费已成为构建新发 展格局的重要引擎,对拉动国民经济增长具有重大作用。 "提振消费可以刺激企业扩大生产规模,增加就业岗位,提高居民收入,从而进一步促进消费,形成经 济增长正反馈机制。"接受《金融时报》记者采访的有关银行分析人士表示,强大的消费市场能够增强 经济整体抗风险能力,缓解外部环境变化带来的压力。这在当前国内外形势下尤为重要。 "当前有必要进一步认清消费对经济发展的重要作用。"中欧国际工商学院教授、中国首席经济学家论坛 研究院院长盛松成在接受《金融时报》记者采访时表示,消费是经济稳定增长的重要因素。以往单独讨 论"三驾马车"对经济增长的贡献容易 ...
破浪前行:中国经济无惧风雨,勇立潮头
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-13 02:28
中国政府拥有强大的宏观调控能力,能够根据经济形势的变化及时调整政策,保障经济的稳定运行。在面对外 部冲击时,政府出台了一系列政策措施,帮助企业渡过难关。减税降费政策是其中的重要举措之一。通过降低 企业的增值税、所得税等税负,减少企业的社保缴费等费用,有效减轻了企业的负担,提高了企业的盈利能 力。同时,政府还加大了对企业的金融支持力度,引导金融机构增加对企业的信贷投放,降低企业的融资成 本。 在扩大内需方面,政府积极推动消费升级和基础设施建设。通过提高居民收入水平、完善社会保障体系等措 施,增强居民的消费能力和消费意愿。同时,加大对交通、能源、水利等基础设施建设的投入,不仅改善了民 生,还为经济增长提供了有力支撑。基础设施建设的推进,不仅带动了相关产业的发展,还创造了大量的就业 机会。 近期,国际风云变幻,美国肆意挥舞关税大棒,一些西方政客趁机老调重弹,抛出"中国经济崩溃论",妄图混 淆视听、误导国际认知。然而,事实胜于雄辩,中国经济这艘巨轮,不仅能在惊涛骇浪中稳稳扛住冲击,更将 以磅礴之势破浪前行,彰显出无比的自信与从容。 中国经济拥有深厚而坚实的根基,这是抵御外部风险、破浪前行的底气所在。从产业体系来看,中 ...
中国消费提振为拉美和加勒比地区优质产品对华出口提供商机
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-05-13 01:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trade relationship between China and Latin America, particularly in agricultural products, driven by China's growing demand for high-quality goods [2][3][5]. - The total import and export volume between China and Latin America reached $518.467 billion in 2024, marking a 6% year-on-year increase, with imports accounting for $241.466 billion, a 46% increase over five years [2]. - Chilean cherries have become a significant product in China, with exports exceeding $3.091 billion in 2024, over 90% of which were sent to China, reflecting a 40% increase in sales in Guangzhou during the current season [5][6]. Group 2 - The demand for high-quality products from Latin America is rising due to China's consumption upgrade and policies aimed at boosting domestic demand [3][6]. - Various Latin American products, including Chilean cherries, Peruvian green grapes, and Brazilian coffee, are increasingly entering the Chinese market, with a notable rise in consumer interest [5][6]. - The establishment of free trade agreements between China and several Latin American countries has facilitated trade liberalization, allowing for quicker and safer delivery of quality products to Chinese consumers [6][8].
【广发宏观郭磊】如何看中美经贸会谈进展
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-05-12 15:10
第三, 中美经贸会谈的进展将有利于经济基本面:一是中国对美出口面临的约束显著降低,出口下行风险缓 和。海外进口商会尽可能利用确定性的时间窗口,短期内出口弹性不排除还会进一步放大;二是美国经济和全 球经济被关税拖向衰退的风险也相应下降,从而有利于外需和外部金融环境的稳定。 广发证券首席经济学家 郭磊 guolei@gf.com.cn 摘要 第一, 5 月 12 日,中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布 。美方承诺取消 4 月 8 日以来对中国商品加征的共 计 91% 的关税;暂停 4 月 2 日加征的对等关税中的 24% 的关税 90 天。中方也做了对等的取消和暂停。 双方将建立机制,继续就经贸关系进行协商。 第二, 这再次证明了中国制造在全球分工中的内生位置很难被外部因素持久打破,国内制造业的全球优势已 经较 2018 年更大。在前期报告《规模 + 效率就是护城河》中,我们指出:从联合国工业组织公布的制造业 规模占比和制造业效率指数( CIP )来看,中国制造业已兼具规模和效率优势,这是最大的护城河所在,全 球并没有哪一部分有竞争力的区域能够对中国制造的量级形成替代或冲击。 第四, 同时需要指出的是, 2 月 1 ...
中国人民大学国家金融研究院院长吴晓求:重视了解金融的价值和作用 以扩内需、扩大开放为经济发展注入力量
5月11日,在由中国人民大学、上海财经大学主办,由上海财经大学金融学院、上海财经大学滴水湖高 级金融学院、上海国际金融与经济研究院承办的"第六届中国应用经济学年会"上,中国人民大学国家金 融研究院院长、中国资本市场研究院院长吴晓求表示,中国要迈向现代化,首要任务是要进行现代文明 的启蒙教育。学者有义务在自己所在的领域对中国社会进行正确阐释,其中包括财政、税收、金融、国 际贸易规则等在未来中国经济发展中所发挥的特殊作用。 吴晓求认为,在过去比较长的时期里,存在一种对金融的偏见和误解,把中国经济乃至于社会出现的问 题归咎于是由金融带来的,这实际上是没有理解金融在一个国家迈向法治文明和现代化过程中的特殊重 要性。 正因如此,吴晓求认为,让中国社会知道为何要发展资本市场、了解金融的价值和作用至关重要。他总 结了金融市场的十二大特征:一是一般等价物和作为价格的度量功能;二是支付清算作用;三是基于不 同的金融业态完成从储蓄到投资的转化,通过直接融资或间接融资方式实现资源优化;四是借助各种工 具的设计来实现风险的跨期分散和对冲;五是金融发挥的信息流的作用;六是通过资产证券化等方式完 成金融由单一流动性创造过渡到双重流动性的 ...
央行设立5000亿元服务消费与养老再贷款,港股消费ETF(159735)涨近1.5%,阿里巴巴-W涨超2%
Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market indices opened significantly higher, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.38% and the Hang Seng Tech Index increasing by 2.15% [1] - The consumer sector showed strong performance, with the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index opening up by 1.66% [1] - The Hong Kong Consumer ETF (159735) opened higher and was up by 1.47% at the time of reporting, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Techtronic Industries (over 5% increase) and Haier Smart Home, Geely Automobile, and others (over 3% increase) [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China announced a new policy to establish a service consumption and elderly care relending program, with a total quota of 500 billion RMB and an interest rate of 1.5% [2] - China Galaxy Securities indicated that as the impact of U.S. tariff policies diminishes, investor risk appetite is gradually recovering, and the implementation of more proactive macro policies is expected to support stable earnings growth in the Hong Kong stock market [2] - Current valuations in the Hong Kong stock market are at historically low levels, suggesting that there is still significant investment value in the medium to long term [2]
4月国内物价数据释放积极信号
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-05-12 00:41
国家统计局5月10日公布的数据显示,4月,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比上涨0.1%,同比下降0.1%。 工业生产者出厂价格指数(PPI)环比下降0.4%,同比下降2.7%。4月CPI环比由降转涨,同比降幅与上 月相同,核心CPI涨幅稳定,PPI环比降幅与上月相同,部分工业行业价格同比继续呈现稳中向好走 势。 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟解读4月份CPI和PPI数据时表示,虽然国际输入性因素对部分行业 价格产生了一定的下拉影响,但我国经济基础稳、韧性强,各项宏观政策协同发力,高质量发展扎实推 进,部分领域价格呈现积极变化。 对此,刘晓艺认为,在全球关税政策纷争影响下,外需冲击开始显现,上游的价格压力进一步传导至中 游的原材料价格。 "4月,生产者购进价格指数同比下跌2.7%,较上月跌幅扩大0.3个百分点,环比下降0.6%,较上月跌幅 扩大0.4个百分点。从分项指标来看,各分项指标环比跌多涨少,仅有色金属材料类价格环比出现上 涨。"刘晓艺表示,具体来看,受美国"对等关税"政策影响,4月国内煤炭开采和黑色金属矿采选业价格 环比延续下跌,宏观情绪扰动下原油价格回落致油气开采业价格涨幅收窄,有色金属矿采选业价格环 ...
银行多点发力激活消费新动能
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-11 14:53
同时,银行应根据借款人的信用记录和还款保障,与暂时遇到困难的借款人合理商定贷款偿还的期限、 频次,为符合条件的借款人提供续贷支持,帮助消费者渡过难关。 银行应规范消费贷款合同条款,明示最终综合融资成本,让消费者清楚了解贷款的各项费用和利率,避 免因信息不对称而产生误解和纠纷。同时,用好金融产品查询平台和金融消费者保护服务平台,让消费 者更便捷地查询金融产品信息,维护自身合法权益。例如,银行可以在官方网站或手机银行上提供金融 产品查询功能,详细展示各类金融产品的特点、收益和风险等信息;积极参与金融消费者保护服务平台 的建设,及时处理消费者的投诉和咨询。此外,推进消费场景支付便利化,满足老年人、外籍来华人员 等群体的支付服务需求,提供更加人性化和包容性的服务。完善金融消费纠纷多元化解决机制,增强消 费者的消费信心。 未来,随着消费市场的不断变化和发展,银行还需不断创新金融产品和服务模式,以更好地满足消费者 日益多样化的金融需求,为提振消费、扩大内需作出更大的贡献。 (文章来源:证券日报) 2025年,为大力提振消费,中共中央办公厅、国务院办公厅印发《提振消费专项行动方案》,要求各地 区各部门结合实际认真贯彻落实。 ...