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省十四届人大常委会召开党组会议和第六十二次主任会议
Liao Ning Ri Bao· 2025-12-19 01:09
Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasized the importance of aligning the work of the Liaoning Provincial People's Congress with the broader goals of revitalization and development, focusing on legislative, supervisory, and representative functions to contribute to the modernization of Liaoning [1] Group 1: Legislative and Supervisory Work - The meeting discussed the work points and legislative plans for 2026, highlighting the need for effective planning and execution of legislative duties [1] - It was noted that the work should be guided by Xi Jinping's thoughts on the rule of law and the importance of the People's Congress system [1] Group 2: Development Goals - The meeting underscored that the upcoming year marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with a focus on high-quality development and sustainable revitalization [1] - There is a call for scientific planning of key tasks for the next year, ensuring that the work report and plans align with the central government's directives [1] Group 3: Preparation for Future Meetings - The meeting highlighted the need for careful preparation for the fifth session of the 14th Provincial People's Congress, aiming to provide strong legal support for the successful start of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1]
市政协召开九届五次会议筹备工作会议
Zhen Jiang Ri Bao· 2025-12-18 23:34
会议指出,市政协九届五次会议是在全市上下深入学习贯彻党的二十届四中全会精神,收官"十四 五"、开启"十五五"关键时期召开的一次重要会议,是全市人民政治生活中的一件大事。要旗帜鲜明讲 政治,以更高站位扛起筹备工作的政治责任,确保全会开出高质量、取得好效果;要坚持一流标准、聚 焦重点关键,扎实细致做好筹备工作;要加强统筹协调,锤炼严实作风,为市政协九届五次会议圆满成 功召开奠定坚实基础。 市政协党组副书记、副主席吴彤出席会议并讲话。市政协秘书长张军通报市政协九届五次会议日程 安排、大会秘书处分组情况及工作职责,各工作组分别汇报筹备工作进展情况。(记者 周迎) 12月18日,市政协召开九届五次会议筹备工作会议,进一步明确重点、查漏补缺、精准发力,以饱 满的热情、临战的状态、扎实的作风,紧锣密鼓做好各项筹备工作。初定九届五次会议于2026年1月中 下旬召开。 ...
中诚信国际总裁岳志岗:预计2026年信用债发行量将超过16.9万亿
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 14:32
Core Viewpoint - The bond market in China is expected to continue its growth and play a crucial role in optimizing social financing structure and supporting the real economy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" and into the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, with a projected bond issuance of 16.9 trillion to 17.4 trillion yuan in 2026 [1][4]. Group 1: Market Development - By November 2025, China's bond market is projected to reach a total scale of 194 trillion yuan, making it the second-largest bond market globally [1]. - The bond market has seen significant expansion, with a diverse range of products and improved foundational systems, alongside accelerated opening-up [1]. - In 2025, the cumulative issuance of credit bonds reached 15.18 trillion yuan, indicating a historical high and surpassing the issuance scale of 2021 [2]. Group 2: Issuance Trends - The proportion of long-term bonds (over three years) has increased significantly, now accounting for over 50% of the total issuance in Henan province, reflecting a trend towards longer maturities to meet the funding needs of long-term projects [2][3]. - The issuance of industrial bonds remains robust, with a total of 8.13 trillion yuan issued from January to November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.52% [3]. - Conversely, the issuance of urban investment bonds has decreased to 4.97 trillion yuan, a decline of 12.03% year-on-year, indicating a shift in focus towards industrial financing [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The bond market is expected to benefit from a stable macroeconomic policy environment, with continued support for direct financing and a moderately loose monetary policy [4]. - The anticipated issuance volume for credit bonds in 2026 is projected to be between 16.9 trillion and 17.4 trillion yuan, supported by ongoing financing demand [4]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies in the bond market should focus on precise management of interest rate fluctuations and structural allocation to balance stable returns with opportunities for excess returns [5]. - The market's low yield environment necessitates a more refined approach to credit bond investments, with an emphasis on monitoring policy changes and liquidity conditions [5]. Group 5: Recommendations for Henan - To enhance the quality of the bond market, Henan should align with national strategic directions, innovate bond products, and support industrial upgrades [6]. - There is a need to diversify the bond issuance entities beyond urban investment companies to optimize market structure and support sustainable development [6][7]. - Strengthening information disclosure and financial collaboration is essential for improving market efficiency and supporting high-quality economic development [7].
“十五五”首席观察|专访明明:明年长债利率有望阶段性下行
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-18 07:32
Group 1: Economic Outlook for 2026 - In 2026, China's economic policies will focus on releasing consumption potential, particularly in service consumption, durable goods renewal, and new consumption scenarios [1][4] - The core contradiction restricting consumer spending is the cautious expectations under medium to long-term uncertainties, rather than just insufficient current income [5] - The monetary policy is expected to shift from total easing to structural optimization, with the People's Bank of China likely to implement more targeted measures to guide funds to key sectors of the economy [6] Group 2: Currency and Debt Market Insights - The RMB is expected to appreciate moderately in 2026, supported by trade surplus resilience and improved capital flow structure, despite uncertainties from US-China interest rate differentials and geopolitical factors [7] - Long-term bond yields are anticipated to experience a phase of decline in 2026, influenced by fiscal expansion and the central bank's supportive monetary policy, although short-term market disturbances may persist [8] Group 3: Internal and External Economic Strategies - Strengthening "internal circulation" does not imply weakening external openness; instead, it aims to enhance the economy's autonomy and resilience [10] - Coordinated efforts between expanding domestic demand and promoting high-level institutional openness are essential for stabilizing foreign trade and investment expectations while responding to external shocks [10]
粤开证券罗志恒:“十五五”时期可从五大方面提高居民消费率
Core Viewpoint - It is expected that by 2026, there will be a marginal recovery in household consumption, driven by the implementation of subsidy policies in areas such as childcare and elderly care, along with the wealth effect from rising stock markets [2] Group 1: Economic Context - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to significantly increase the household consumption rate, which is defined as the proportion of final household consumption expenditure to GDP [2] - In 2024, China's household consumption rate is projected to be 39.9%, an increase of 4.3 percentage points since 2012, but still about 20 percentage points lower than major developed economies [2] Group 2: Consumption Rate Improvement Strategy - To raise the household consumption rate from 40% to 43% during the "14th Five-Year Plan," an average annual growth rate of 6.5% in household consumption is required, assuming a nominal GDP growth rate of about 5% [4] - The increase in consumption is not merely a temporary measure but a strategic move related to the transformation of the economic development model, emphasizing that consumption should enhance the well-being of citizens rather than being treated as a mere policy tool [4] Group 3: Systematic Approaches to Boost Consumption - Five systematic approaches are proposed to enhance household consumption: 1. Optimize the consumption environment to create a collaborative effort among government, enterprises, and residents [5] 2. Improve the income distribution system to solidify the consumption foundation, focusing on increasing disposable income and enhancing property income [5] 3. Strengthen the social security system to alleviate residents' concerns about future expenditures [5] 4. Relax market access to improve supply quality, which can stimulate entrepreneurial spirit and accelerate the development of service industries [6] 5. Optimize holiday systems to release service consumption potential, thereby balancing supply and demand [6][7] Group 4: Policy Recommendations - Short-term measures require more proactive macroeconomic policies to unleash consumption potential, while long-term strategies depend on reforms in income distribution, social security, and public services to continuously enhance residents' consumption capacity and willingness [7]
“十五五”首席观察|专访陈雳:黄金价格或上移至5000美元
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-12-17 08:50
2025年,站在"十四五"收官与"十五五"规划谋篇的历史衔接点上,宏观经济环境交织着机遇与挑战。 这一年,中国金融市场在内外变局中走出独特节奏,核心领域表现亮点与韧性并存。货币政策延续"适度 宽松"基调,保持"灵活高效";人民币汇率逆势走强,全年在多重因素支撑下稳步回升,双向波动的弹性 特征愈发明显;黄金成为全球资产配置的"避风港",国际金价屡创新高,中国人民银行连续增持黄 金…… 货币政策需在复杂环境中精准施策 北京商报:2025年里,人民银行多次强调,要实施好适度宽松的货币政策。中央经济工作会议提出,实 施更加积极有为的宏观政策,并明确要继续实施更加积极的财政政策,要继续实施适度宽松的货币政 策。步入"十五五"后,您认为货币政策还有哪些发力空间? 陈雳:步入"十五五"新阶段,货币政策需在复杂环境中精准施策,聚焦"稳增长、调结构、防风险"三重 目标。未来发力空间体现在三方面。一是在总量调控上"灵活适度",根据经济周期动态调整流动性投 放,综合运用降准、公开市场操作等工具,确保社会融资规模与实体经济需求相匹配,避免"大水漫 灌"或"流动性紧缩"。二是结构优化"精准滴灌",以结构性货币政策工具为核心,强化对科技 ...
国台办:将帮助广大台商台企把握“十五五”发展机遇
Xin Hua She· 2025-12-17 02:28
朱凤莲表示,希望广大台胞台商看清大势,坚定信心、把握机遇、扎根大陆、积极进取,共享中国式现 代化光明前景,共同推动两岸关系和平发展,推进祖国统一大业。 中央经济工作会议12月10日至11日在北京举行,台商台胞高度关注。国务院台办发言人朱凤莲17日在例 行新闻发布会上表示,我们将深入贯彻落实习近平总书记重要讲话、二十届四中全会和中央经济工作会 议精神,不断完善促进两岸经济文化交流合作的政策和制度,深化两岸融合发展,帮助广大台商台企把 握"十五五"发展机遇,持续助力台商台企融入新发展格局、参与高质量发展。 (文章来源:新华社) ...
【致言同声】致同咨询合伙人武建勇:“耐心资本”入场,“十五五”投资聚焦安全与新质生产力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 15:03
"十五五"时期是我国推动产业升级、筑牢发展安全根基的关键阶段。面对日益复杂的国际竞争格局,中 国企业如何夯实产业基础、培育具有韧性与竞争力的新增长动能,已成为各方关注的焦点。 近日,致同咨询融资与并购财务顾问服务主管合伙人武建勇在媒体分享会上,与在场记者展开深入交 流。他从并购市场与资本运作的视角切入,系统剖析"十五五"期间投资演进的新逻辑与涌现的新机遇, 为企业的战略决策与投资布局提供重要参考。 武建勇解析了"十五五"时期企业投资的新动向。"与此前相比,中国并购市场今年增长的主要动力是本 土交易。数据显示,截至目前,全球并购交易量占比从2024年的9.5%升至9.75%,跑赢全球。"他表 示,正是由于中国本土产业结构的调整,大型国有企业进入并购市场,产融基金持续发力、特别是地方 性产投基金的介入共同促进了本土市场并购的快速增长。 武建勇认为,在"十五五"期间,产业投资策略有四个重点: 武建勇坦言,产业投资面临挑战,核心是国有企业投资平衡难题。国企适合布局大产业集群与产业链, 民企擅长点的突破,需优势互补。目前部分领域已有突破,如国企投资新能源汽车不再仅以盈利为 KPI,但国企仍需解决考核体系、风控思维、治理 ...
王微:“十五五”期间会有一系列消费新增长点涌现
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-12-16 14:50
王微:"十五五"期间会有一系列消费新增长点涌现 中新网北京12月16日电(记者 谢艺观)"'十五五'期间,围绕着商品提质、服务扩容、数字升级以及绿色 健康等重大领域,会有一系列消费新增长点不断涌现,有些新增长点的量级会超过万亿级,成为整个中 国消费市场非常重要的发展动能。" 16日,国务院发展研究中心市场经济研究所原所长、二级研究员王微在中国新闻社举办的"国是论坛: 2025年会"上如是表示。 王微指出,短期看,一方面外部环境存在较大不确定性,另一方面国内经济运行存在结构性矛盾。如, 在需求侧,居民消费信心不足、预期偏弱,导致居民消费行为趋于谨慎;在供给侧,虽呈现"供强需 国务院发展研究中心市场经济研究所原所长、二级研究员王微进行主旨演讲。 李太源 摄 弱"态势,但大量供给与新兴消费需求不相匹配,结构性矛盾突出,亟待通过供给调整推动供需更好匹 配。 中央经济工作会议指出,"明年经济工作在政策取向上,要坚持稳中求进、提质增效",并明确"深入实 施提振消费专项行动"。 王微表示,政策应在以下几方面持续优化发力:一是优化以旧换新政策,在稳定推进以旧换新的基础 上,强化对服务消费的支持,与相关政策协同助力文化、教育、 ...
扎实做好今年收官和明年工作 确保实现“十五五”良好开局
Chang Jiang Ri Bao· 2025-12-16 07:55
Group 1 - The meeting emphasized the importance of implementing Xi Jinping's recent speeches and ensuring the city's economic work for the upcoming year achieves qualitative and quantitative growth while maintaining social stability [1][2] - The upcoming city conference is highlighted as a significant political event, with a focus on high-quality preparations and the need to unify efforts towards building a modern Wuhan [2] - The meeting stressed the necessity of enhancing party-building work within government agencies to promote high-quality development and ensure that party principles are integrated into all aspects of governance [3] Group 2 - The meeting underscored the importance of group organizations in serving as a bridge between the government and the public, aiming to enhance community engagement and support for the city's development goals [4] - There is a call for the party to strengthen its leadership over group work, ensuring effective mechanisms and support systems are in place to advance the integration of party and group initiatives [4]