文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 2025年5月底，香港《稳定币条例》生效，引发了很多朋友的关注。 另外，市场也传出了不少稳定币相关的消息。 比如京东、蚂蚁集团， 都在计划推出稳定币。 有朋友问，稳定币是什么，跟数字货币、比特币相比，有什么异同？ 它背后的商业逻辑是什么呢？ 稳定币：一种挂钩法币的加密货币 稳定币，是一种特殊的加密货币。 它的一个核心价值，就是稳定。 通过挂钩 法定货币 （如美元、 欧元 ），不会像比特币一样，出现剧烈的价格波动。 前几年搞了一段时间数字货币。 数字货币 本质是 法币 ，类似人民币、美元。 比如前面提到的USDC。 1USDC，就等价于1美元。 世界上第一个主流的稳定币，是Tether公司2014年推出的USDT（当时叫Realcoin）。 到2025年，香港《稳定币条例》5月底生效，美国也在6月初通过了一个名为《GENIUS Act》的相 关法案。 这也意味着，稳定币有了正式监管，从之前的边缘工具，升级成为了一种被认可的金融基础设施。 稳定币与比特币、数字货币的区别 稳定币、比特币、数字货币，三者的目的不同。 （1） 数字货币 只是摆脱了实体印刷，方便数字化交易支付。 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the mystery surrounding the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the creator of Bitcoin, and the evolution of Bitcoin from its inception to its current state [3][4][6]. Group 1: Bitcoin's Origins and Ideals - Bitcoin was introduced in 2008 through a white paper that combined proof-of-work mechanisms, public-key cryptography, and peer-to-peer network architecture to create a decentralized digital currency [1]. - The concept of Bitcoin emerged from a group known as "Cypherpunks," which included both hippies and libertarians who were united by their discontent with the traditional financial system following the 2008 financial crisis [4][6]. Group 2: The Decline of Bitcoin's Ideals - Despite its initial promise, Bitcoin has devolved into a platform for speculation, fraud, money laundering, and black market transactions, undermining its original ideals of anonymity and decentralization [6]. - The failure of Bitcoin is attributed not to technical issues but to social problems, as idealists have fragmented into opposing factions, allowing opportunists to exploit the system [6]. Group 3: The Search for Satoshi Nakamoto - The book "The Mysterious Mr. Nakamoto" chronicles a 15-year quest to uncover Nakamoto's identity, highlighting the challenges faced in this pursuit [3][8]. - Various theories about Nakamoto's anonymity are explored, including the notion that his significant Bitcoin holdings may pose a risk of kidnapping, and the idea that a clear leader would contradict the decentralized nature of Bitcoin [6][8]. - The investigation ultimately fails to reveal Nakamoto's true identity, with attempts at stylometry leading to inconclusive results and a sense of an elusive mystery [6][8].

交易提示 交易咨询：0571-85165192，85058093 2025 年 6 月 25 日星期三 16519 新世纪期货交易提示（2025-6-25） | | | | 铁矿：本期全球铁矿石发运总量环比回升，主流矿山发运量贡献较大，整 体处于近年来同期高位水平，铁矿发运有冲量预期。产业端淡季，五大钢 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 材产量增，铁水止跌回升，铁矿港口库存仍旧在去库，说明当前 240 的高 | | | 铁矿石 | 震荡 | 铁水仍旧能驱动港口去库，关注后续铁水持续回落状况。唐山传出钢铁企 | | | | | 业烧结机减产 30%的消息，对原料端需求有下移空间，若铁水破 240 万 | | | | | 吨，铁矿后期将承压下跌。策略上，基本面仍供需偏弱，空单继续持有。 | | | | | 煤焦：近日主产区环保检查升级，内蒙乌海及临汾地区停产煤矿及洗煤厂 | | | | | 较多，供应端有所收缩。焦炭方面，随着焦煤价格下跌，焦企入炉煤成本 | | | | | 下降，多数企业保持在盈利状态，钢厂仍有打压焦炭意愿，对焦企第四轮 | | | 煤焦 | 低位震荡 | ...

Group 1 - The core argument is that the effectiveness of AI in organizations is heavily dependent on the maturity of the organizational structure rather than the technology itself [1][5][6] - AI can amplify existing issues within an organization, such as unclear responsibilities and chaotic processes, rather than resolving them [4][5][6] - A well-defined organizational structure is crucial for enabling efficient collaboration and clear communication among team members, especially when integrating AI [2][3][6] Group 2 - As companies grow, the complexity of tasks increases, making the organizational structure vital for maintaining efficiency and reducing internal friction [2][3] - Organizations must transition from traditional hierarchical models to more decentralized structures to effectively leverage AI and enhance responsiveness [6] - Successful companies like Spotify and Netflix have demonstrated that combining AI with decentralized structures can lead to higher innovation and collaboration [6]

Group 1 - OCTO Asset Management and Amplegest have established a wholly-owned subsidiary, OCTO GLOBAL TRADING PTE. LTD., in Singapore, marking the implementation of their "technology + finance + trade" integration strategy [1] - The subsidiary aims to create a global trade ecosystem focused on cross-border e-commerce, smart supply chains, and blockchain finance, providing a decentralized, transparent, and efficient new channel for global SMEs [1][3] - The company plans to develop a three-in-one operational system combining trade, finance, and blockchain, with initial investments in a global marketplace, smart supply chain network, trade finance solutions, and a blockchain system for transaction transparency [3] Group 2 - Singapore is positioned as an ideal hub for OCTO, offering favorable policies and port resources, and has been selected for the Monetary Authority of Singapore's FSTI 3.0 program, which provides up to 50% funding for technology research and development [5] - The company is collaborating with institutions like National University of Singapore, MIT, and Tsinghua University to establish AI and blockchain laboratories, and plans to work with international organizations for cross-border data compliance [5] - According to IMF predictions, the global cross-border e-commerce market is expected to exceed $15 trillion by 2030, positioning OCTO as a key infrastructure platform in the digital trade era due to its strong asset management background and advanced technology capabilities [5]

Group 1 - Blockchain is defined as an encrypted distributed ledger technology, characterized by decentralization, immutability, and a unique reward mechanism [108][109]. - The concept of Web 3.0 is introduced as Read + Write + Own, emphasizing user ownership of data and content [110]. - NFTs (Non-Fungible Tokens) are described as unique tokens that can provide proof of ownership and traceability, but currently lack anti-counterfeiting measures [111]. Group 2 - The Metaverse is discussed as an undefined virtual world, with entry requiring the crossing of three gates: the Time Gate, the Sensory Gate, and the Choice Gate [112]. - The development stages of these technologies can be understood through the Gartner Hype Cycle, which includes five phases: Technology Trigger, Peak of Inflated Expectations, Trough of Disillusionment, Slope of Enlightenment, and Plateau of Productivity [90][91]. - The current participants in this new world are categorized into five types: idealists, scammers, adventurers, latecomers, and potential future winners [95][96][97][98].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise of stablecoins as a bridge between traditional finance and decentralized finance, highlighting their potential to transform payment systems and cross-border transactions while also addressing regulatory developments in the U.S. and Hong Kong [8][10][35]. Group 1: Definition and Importance of Stablecoins - Stablecoins serve as a transitional form connecting traditional finance and Web3, retaining centralized asset credit while embodying decentralized technology characteristics [10][11]. - The emergence of stablecoins addresses the trust issues in traditional finance and offers a pathway for decentralized finance to gain acceptance among traditional financial users [12][29]. Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Act, establishing regulatory frameworks for stablecoins, which is seen as a significant victory for the crypto sector [5]. - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation, effective from August 1, positions the region as a leading compliance testing ground for stablecoins in Asia [6][35]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Predictions - The stablecoin market is projected to expand from approximately $250 billion to $2 trillion in the next few years, indicating significant growth potential [16][18]. - Circle, as a compliant stablecoin, is expected to benefit from this market expansion, with its business model relying on earning interest from underlying assets [31][32]. Group 4: Impact on U.S. Treasury Bonds - Stablecoins could alleviate short-term liquidity pressures on U.S. Treasury bonds, but they do not address long-term fiscal sustainability concerns [10][18]. - The influx of funds into stablecoins may provide a temporary solution for short-term debt, but the underlying issues regarding the U.S. fiscal situation remain unresolved [19][20]. Group 5: Stablecoins and Dollar Dominance - While stablecoins enhance the international use of the dollar, they do not fundamentally resolve concerns regarding the U.S. fiscal health, which continues to drive market skepticism [21][22]. - The U.S. government, particularly under Trump's influence, appears to leverage stablecoins to maintain the dollar's central role in the global financial system [23][24]. Group 6: Competitive Landscape and Future Trends - The competitive advantage of stablecoins lies in their ability to provide a bridge between traditional and decentralized finance, appealing to both sectors [29][30]. - The regulatory clarity surrounding compliant stablecoins like USDC is expected to provide them with a sustainable growth trajectory compared to less regulated counterparts [39][40].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes that artificial intelligence (AI) is not just a tool but a transformative force reshaping organizational structures, pushing companies towards decentralization and flatter hierarchies [1] Group 1: Why Decentralization is Becoming Mainstream - AI compresses management layers, reducing reliance on middle management as it can perform tasks like analysis and decision-making in seconds [2] - There is a trend of employee autonomy, with half of employees using AI tools to enhance efficiency and decision-making, indicating a need for organizational structures that empower frontline teams [3] - The rapid pace of market changes necessitates quicker organizational responses, which decentralized structures facilitate by allowing business units to make faster decisions [4] - Decentralization is driven by both technology and cultural shifts, fostering a mindset where every employee feels ownership and responsibility [6] - Globalization and remote work trends require teams to operate with greater autonomy, making decentralized structures the optimal form for efficient collaboration [7] Group 2: Leveraging AI for Organizational Flexibility and Employee Engagement - AI enables true empowerment by providing decision support and data analysis to frontline employees, allowing them to make informed decisions without excessive approvals [9] - Process automation through AI and RPA frees up resources from repetitive tasks, enhancing organizational agility and efficiency [10] - Personalized AI tools can motivate employees by aligning their strengths with organizational goals, fostering individual growth [11] - AI shifts management from a controlling role to a supportive one, providing insights that help leaders identify team bottlenecks and growth opportunities [12] - AI supports self-organizing teams by facilitating real-time data-driven decision-making, moving organizations from a command-execute model to an empower-co-create model [13] Group 3: Successful Companies Utilizing Decentralization and AI - Careem has optimized its operations by integrating AI, reducing reliance on middle management and enhancing responsiveness [15] - Netflix's culture of "freedom and responsibility" is supported by robust AI analytics, allowing employees to make decisions based on real-time data [16] - Nike has accelerated its transition to a more agile structure by empowering local teams with decision-making authority supported by digital tools [17] - Spotify exemplifies decentralization with its squad model, where teams operate autonomously with AI support for data-driven decisions [18] - TripleOne represents a fully decentralized company where every employee has decision-making power, facilitated by AI for resource management [19]

Group 1 - The core argument suggests that discussions around stablecoin legislation in the U.S. as a means to alleviate national debt are premature, given the current market size of stablecoins compared to the vast U.S. national debt [2] - The largest stablecoin currently has a market cap in the billions, which is insignificant when compared to the $36 trillion U.S. national debt [2] - China is unlikely to permit the circulation of foreign stablecoins or the issuance of domestic stablecoins due to concerns over its foreign exchange control system being compromised [4] Group 2 - There is a belief that if the Chinese yuan is expected to depreciate over the next 30 years, individuals may prefer to use stablecoins, which are pegged to the U.S. dollar, over the digital yuan [6] - The interest rates on U.S. Treasury bonds are significantly higher than those offered by Chinese banks, making stablecoins more attractive for investment [6] - The potential legalization of stablecoins in China could lead to instability in the yuan, as it would challenge the existing foreign exchange control framework [8]

Core Viewpoint - The financial markets experienced significant turmoil due to geopolitical tensions, specifically Israel's attack on Iran, leading to a sharp decline in U.S. stock futures and a notable impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin [1][3]. Market Reaction - U.S. stock futures saw a drastic drop, with the S&P 500 futures falling 1.5% to 5,961.75 points, Nasdaq 100 futures plunging 1.7% to 21,567.55 points, and Dow futures decreasing 1.3% to 42,408.0 points [1]. - Bitcoin's price fluctuated significantly, reaching $85,523.80 as of April 15, 2025, after hitting a historical high of $108,077 in December 2024, marking a decline of approximately 22.82% from that peak [1]. XBIT Decentralized Exchange Platform - XBIT's decentralized exchange platform is highlighted for its unique features, including the use of distributed ledger technology, which enhances security by storing data across multiple nodes, making it less vulnerable to attacks compared to centralized exchanges [3][6]. - The platform allows users to maintain control over their assets, with private keys held by the users themselves, mitigating risks associated with asset control transfer seen in centralized exchanges [3][6]. Information and Trading Features - XBIT employs a robust smart contract system that filters and consolidates market information, ensuring that investors receive accurate and valuable insights while avoiding misleading content [4]. - The platform supports various cryptocurrency trading pairs, including Bitcoin, and offers tools such as real-time market data and depth chart analysis to assist investors in making informed trading decisions [6]. - XBIT's lower trading fees enhance cost efficiency for investors, allowing for increased potential returns compared to traditional trading platforms [6].