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巴西失业率降至有纪录以来的最低水平
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-06 16:26
巴西地理统计研究所11月28日发布调查结果,巴西失业率从截至7月份的5.6%降至截至10月份的 5.4%。这是自2012年开始统计该数据以来同期最低的失业率。截至10月份,失业人口为590万人。与上 一季度相比下降了3.4%(减少了20.7万人),与去年同期相比下降了11.8%(减少了78.8万人)。 (原标题:巴西失业率降至有纪录以来的最低水平) ...
加拿大11月失业率为6.5%,预期7%,前值6.90%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-05 13:46
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,12月5日消息,加拿大11月失业率为6.5%,预期7%,前值6.90%。 ...
金荣中国:美初请数据好于市场预期,金价冲高回落加剧震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-05 01:53
行情回顾: 国际黄金周四(12月4日)震荡收跌,开盘价4216.28美元/盎司,最高价4225.12美元/盎司,最低价4174.95美元/ 盎司,收盘价4207.46美元/盎司。 消息面: 美国11月挑战者企业裁员人数环比大降53.4%至7.1321万人,前值15.3074万人;美国上周初请失业金人数录得 19.1万人,为2022年9月24日当周以来新低,不及市场预期的22万人。 分析称,本周数据恰逢感恩节假期,存在因人们未及时提交申请而导致数字被显著低估的极大风险。业内联系 人指出,在历史上,日历构成相似的年份,该数据通常也会低于20万人。因此,如果下周数据出现反弹,无需 感到意外。四周移动平均值受此影响被拉低至21.47万人。持续领取失业金人数反映的是感恩节前一周的情 况,该数据延续了近期下降趋势,降至193.9万人,为10月初以来的最低水平。与此同时,Revelio Labs报告显 示,11月美国就业岗位预计净减少约9000个,裁员主要集中在零售贸易、休闲娱乐和制造业;就业增长则来自 教育/医疗以及公共管理领域。这暗示,11月的非农就业总人数可能为负值。芝加哥联邦储备银行最终发布的 11月实时失业率预测 ...
芝加哥联储预计美国11月份失业率将大致稳定在4.4%
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 13:44
(文章来源:第一财经) 据报道,芝加哥联储预计美国11月份失业率将大致稳定在4.4%。 ...
爆冷!美联储,降息大消息
中国基金报· 2025-12-03 15:20
【导读】 意外下滑!美国11月ADP就业人数减少3.2万人,创2023年3月以来最大降幅 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好,关注一则美国最新经济数据的消息。 "小非农"爆冷!11月就业人数意外下降。 11月,美国劳动力市场放缓势头进一步加剧。12月3日晚间,薪资服务机构ADP公布的数据显示,美国 私营部门就业人数减少3.2万人,其中受冲击最大的是小企业。 随着市场对美国就业前景的担忧加剧,ADP的数据也显示情况比预期更糟。 11月的就业下滑,与10月 向上修正后的4.7万新增岗位形成鲜明对比,也远低于经济学家此前预估的4万人增幅。 从规模看,员工数量在50人及以上的大型企业整体实现了9万人的净增就业岗位;但员工少于50人的小 企业则减少了12万个岗位,其中员工在20–49人之间的企业就流失了7.4 万个岗位。整体跌幅创下自2023 年3月以来最大单月降幅。 ADP首席经济学家内拉·理查森表示:"在谨慎的消费者和不确定的宏观环境下,企业近期的招聘节奏一 直忽快忽慢。11月的放缓是全面性的,但领跌的是小企业。" 这份ADP报告是美联储在12月9日至10日会议前拿到的最后一份就业数据。 目前,有期货交易员认为, 美联储 ...
最新调查显示爱尔兰失业率创四年新高
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-02 17:21
Core Insights - The national unemployment rate in Ireland has risen to 5.3%, the highest level in four years [1] - Total employment has reached a record high of 2.8255 million, with an increase of 30,600 jobs year-on-year, representing a growth rate of 1.1% [1] - The number of unemployed individuals aged 15-74 has increased by 25,900 from the previous year, totaling 155,400 [1] Employment Trends - Despite the overall increase in employment, the growth rate of jobs is slowing down while the unemployment rate is on the rise [1] - The industrial and human health sectors have seen job growth, but the information and communication sector, particularly among large tech companies, has lost 8,000 jobs over the past year, bringing the total to 180,600 [1] - Employment in the hospitality sector has decreased from 200,000 to 191,300, and the public administration sector has seen a drop from 153,600 to 143,200 [1]
【环球财经】欧元区10月失业率达6.4%
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 13:12
新华财经法兰克福12月2日电 欧盟统计局2日公布的数据显示,2025年10月,欧元区经季节调整的失业 率为 6.4%,与9月持平,略高于2024年同期的6.3%。欧盟整体失业率为6.0%,同样保持稳定,高于一年 前的5.8%。 按性别看,欧盟女性失业率为6.3%,高于9月的6.2%;男性失业率为5.8%,与上月持平。在欧元区,女 性失业率为6.6%,与上月一致;男性失业率降至6.1%,低于9月的6.2%。 (文章来源:新华财经) 数据显示,10月欧盟共有失业人口1,335.1万人,其中欧元区为1,103.3万人。与9月相比,欧盟失业人数 增加3.2万人,欧元区则减少1.3万人。与去年同期相比,欧盟和欧元区失业人数分别增加51.7万人和30.8 万人。 青年失业率仍较高。10月,欧盟15-24岁青年失业率为15.2%,欧元区为14.8%,两者均与上月持平。欧 盟青年失业人数达296万人,其中欧元区为235.2万人。与9月相比,欧盟与欧元区青年失业人口分别增 加 1.1万人和1万人;同比来看,两者分别增加7.4万人和3.9万人。 ...
美国初请失业金人数好于预期——海外周报第116期
一瑜中的· 2025-12-01 12:04
Group 1: Key Economic Data Review - In the US, September durable goods orders were revised up to 3% from 2.9%, with a preliminary month-on-month value of 0.5% [12] - September retail sales increased by 0.2%, below the expected 0.4%, and the previous value was 0.6% [12] - The Consumer Confidence Index for November was reported at 88.7, significantly lower than the expected 93.3 [12] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for September showed a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, matching expectations, while the year-on-year figure was revised up to 2.7% [12] Group 2: Upcoming Economic Data - Key upcoming US economic data includes the November ISM Manufacturing PMI on December 1, and the November ISM Services PMI on December 3 [14] - In the Eurozone, the October unemployment rate and November CPI preliminary value are set to be released on December 2 [14] Group 3: Weekly Economic Index - The US Weekly Economic Index (WEI) decreased to 2.1% from 2.33% in the previous week, indicating a slight economic slowdown [17] - Conversely, Germany's Weekly Activity Index (WAI) increased to 0.23%, showing continued economic recovery [17] Group 4: Demand Insights - The US Redbook retail sales year-on-year growth slightly declined to 5.9% from 6.1% in the previous week [20] - Global flight numbers showed a year-on-year growth of 3.3%, down from 8.5% the previous week [22] - The US mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed loan decreased to 6.23% from 6.26% [25] Group 5: Employment Data - Initial jobless claims in the US were reported at 216,000, better than the expected 225,000 [28] - Continuing claims rose to 1.96 million, up from a previous value of 1.953 million [29] Group 6: Price Trends - Global commodity prices increased, with the RJ/CRB commodity price index rising by 1.3% [30] - US gasoline retail prices slightly decreased to $2.94 per gallon, down 0.1% from the previous week [30] Group 7: Financial Conditions - Financial conditions in the US and Eurozone showed marginal easing, with the Bloomberg financial conditions index for the US rising to 0.629 [32] - Offshore dollar liquidity improved slightly, with swap points for USD/JPY and USD/EUR increasing [34] - Long-term bond spreads narrowed, with the 10-year bond spread between Italy and Germany decreasing to 71.4 basis points [36]
本周热点前瞻2025-12-01
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-01 02:31
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints The report provides a weekly hot - spot preview from December 1 - 7, 2025, including the expected data of various economic indicators and their potential impacts on the futures market [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalog This Week's Key Focus - On December 1 at 09:45, Markit will release China's November SPGI manufacturing PMI [2]. - On December 4 at 21:30, the US Department of Labor will announce the initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29 [2]. - On December 5 at 23:00, the US Department of Commerce will release the US September PCE price index [2]. - On December 7 at 16:00, the People's Bank of China will announce November foreign exchange reserves and gold reserves [2]. This Week's Hot - Spot Preview December 1 - China's November SPGI manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 51.1 (previous 50.9). A slight increase may help industrial and stock index futures rise and suppress treasury bond futures [2]. - US November ISM manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 48.5 (previous 48.7). A slight decrease may suppress non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related futures, but help gold and silver futures [3]. December 2 - Eurozone November CPI initial value: Expected harmonized CPI annual rate - unadjusted initial value is 2.1% (same as previous) [4]. - Eurozone October unemployment rate: Expected to be 6.3% (same as previous) [7]. December 3 - China's November SPGI services PMI and composite PMI: Expected services PMI is 51.9 (previous 52.6), composite PMI is 51.5 (previous 51.8). A slight decrease may suppress stock index and commodity futures, but help treasury bond futures [8]. - US November ADP employment change: Expected new employment is 55,000 (previous 42,000). An increase may help non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures, but suppress gold and silver futures [9]. - US September industrial production monthly rate: Expected to be 0 (previous 0.1%) [10]. - US November ISM non - manufacturing PMI: Expected to be 53.5 (previous 52.4). A slight increase may suppress gold and silver futures [11]. - US EIA crude oil inventory change for the week ending November 28: A continued increase may suppress crude oil and related commodity futures [12]. December 4 - November下旬 prices of important production materials in the circulation field: The National Bureau of Statistics will release prices of 9 categories and 50 products [13]. - Eurozone October retail sales: Previous monthly rate was - 0.1%, annual rate was 1.0% [14]. - US initial jobless claims for the week ending November 29: Expected to be 212,000 (previous 216,000). A slight decrease may suppress gold and silver futures and help other industrial futures [15]. December 5 - US September factory orders monthly rate: Previous was 1.4% [16]. - US September PCE price index: Expected annual rate is 2.7% (same as previous), core annual rate is 2.9% (same as previous), core monthly rate is 0.3% (previous 0.2%). Specific changes may strengthen the market's expectation of a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut by the Fed in December [17]. - US September personal expenditure monthly rate: Expected to be 0.4% (previous 0.6%) [18]. - US September personal income monthly rate: Expected to be 0.4% (same as previous) [19]. - US December University of Michigan consumer confidence index initial value: Expected to be 52 (previous 51). An increase may help non - ferrous metals, crude oil and related commodity futures, but suppress gold and silver futures [20]. December 7 - China's November foreign exchange reserves: Previous was $3343 billion, gold reserves were 74.09 million ounces [21].
智利公布最新季度失业率
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-29 04:41
智利比奥比奥电台(BIOBIOCHILE)网站11月28日报道,根据智利国家统计局最 新数据,截至2025年8-10月季度,全国失业率为8.4%,较去年同期下降0.2个百分点。 这一改善主要得益于就业人口增速(1.5%)超过劳动力总量增幅(1.3%)。值得注意 的是,女性失业率显著下降0.5个百分点至8.8%,而男性失业率微升0.1个百分点至 8.2%。就业增长主要来自行政服务、医疗健康和交通运输三大领域,同时非正规就业 率持续改善至26.2%。大都会区失业率为8.6%,表现优于全国平均水平。 (原标题:智利公布最新季度失业率) ...