截至午间收盘，科创200指数上涨0.8%，科创50指数上涨0.3%，科创综指上涨0.1%，科创成长指数下跌0.4%，科创100指数下跌0.7%。 华西证券认为，复盘2017~2025年数据，出于规避长假期间外围不确定因素、春节取现需求增加等影响，A股投资者交易情绪容易在节前回落，节后转为上 升，万得全A日均成交额呈现节前萎缩，节后放量的特征。TMT指数在春节后5个交易日、10个交易日的胜率高，相比节前有明显提升，指向科技板块通常 在节后阶段表现较好，弹性更足。 科创综指ETF易方达 低费率 跟踪上证科创板综合指数 该指数由科创板全市场证券组成, 全面覆盖大、中、小盘风格,聚焦 人工智能、半导体、新能源、创新 药等核心前沿产业,覆盖科创板上 市的全部17个一级行业,兼具高成 长性与风险分散特征 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | 该排 | | --- | --- | --- | | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | | | 0. 1% | 221. 3倍 | 2025年 发 | 科创成长ETF易方达 跟踪上证科创板成长指数 该指数由科创板中营业收入与净利 润等业绩指标增长率较高的50只股 票组成,成长风格突出,业绩 ...

Core Viewpoint - The metal market experienced a strong opening on the first trading day after the Spring Festival, driven by optimistic macro liquidity expectations, short-term stimulus from downstream inventory replenishment, and long-term changes in global supply-demand dynamics and geopolitical risks [1]. Group 1: Copper - The average price of 1 copper reached 101,970 yuan/ton, increasing by 1,500 yuan, breaking the 100,000 yuan mark and setting a recent high, driven by a tight supply-demand balance and market expectations [2]. - Global copper mine production growth is slowing, with major producers like Chile and Peru facing resource depletion and policy disruptions, tightening supply and supporting price increases [2]. - Strong demand from sectors such as electric grid investment, renewable energy, and infrastructure is expected to surge post-holiday, bolstered by policies promoting appliance upgrades [2]. Group 2: Tin - The average price of 1 tin surged to 387,250 yuan/ton, a rise of 9,000 yuan, marking a 2.38% increase, driven by a combination of supply contraction and explosive demand [3]. - Slow recovery of tin production in Myanmar and tightening export policies from Indonesia and Peru are contributing to a constrained supply environment [3]. - The semiconductor industry's recovery and increased demand from the photovoltaic sector are significant drivers for tin consumption [3]. Group 3: Aluminum - The average price of A00 aluminum rose by 230 yuan to 23,390 yuan/ton, supported by supply constraints, high costs, and recovering demand [4]. - Domestic electrolytic aluminum production is nearing capacity limits, with limited new capacity and production cuts in regions like Yunnan and Sichuan due to power supply issues [4]. - Demand is gradually recovering in construction, automotive, and packaging sectors, with policies promoting appliance upgrades enhancing aluminum consumption [4]. Group 4: Zinc - The average prices for 1 and 0 zinc increased by 320 yuan to 24,590 yuan/ton and 24,690 yuan/ton, respectively, due to tight supply and recovering demand [5]. - Global zinc mine production growth is slowing, and overseas smelter reductions are tightening refined zinc supply [5]. - Post-holiday recovery in galvanized demand from construction, automotive, and home appliance sectors is driving zinc consumption growth [5]. Group 5: Lead - The average price of 1 lead fell by 25 yuan to 16,750 yuan/ton, influenced by a loose supply-demand balance and slow recovery in downstream sectors [6]. - Stable supply from primary and recycled lead, along with inventory accumulation during the holiday, has increased supply pressure [6]. - Slow recovery in lead-acid battery production and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream users are contributing to weak demand [6]. Group 6: Nickel - The average price of nickel rose by 2,700 yuan to 142,750 yuan/ton, driven by tightening supply and increasing demand [7]. - Uncertainty in Indonesia's nickel export policies and seasonal weather impacts in the Philippines are tightening nickel supply [8]. - Recovery in stainless steel production and surging demand from the renewable energy sector are significant factors driving nickel consumption growth [8]. Group 7: Market Outlook - The strong opening of the metal market is a result of multiple factors, with expectations for a short-term upward trend and internal differentiation [9]. - Copper and tin, characterized by tight supply and emerging demand, are expected to lead the market, while lead may continue to face pressure due to weak fundamentals [9]. - Key variables influencing future metal market trends include actual recovery progress in downstream sectors, inventory depletion rates, global macroeconomic conditions, and geopolitical developments [9].

国家知识产权局信息显示，湖南华菱线缆股份有限公司取得一项名为"一种新能源铝排电缆及其制备方 法"的专利，授权公告号CN121054309B，申请日期为2025年10月。 来源：市场资讯 华电金上昌都新能源有限公司，成立于2022年，位于昌都市，是一家以从事电力、热力生产和供应业为 主的企业。企业注册资本400000万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，华电金上昌都新能源有限公司参与 招投标项目249次，专利信息39条，此外企业还拥有行政许可16个。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI基于第三方数据生成，仅供参考，不构成个人投资建议。 天眼查资料显示，湖南华菱线缆股份有限公司，成立于2003年，位于湘潭市，是一家以从事电气机械和 器材制造业为主的企业。企业注册资本63835.0432万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，湖南华菱线缆股 份有限公司共对外投资了2家企业，参与招投标项目4302次，财产线索方面有商标信息3条，专利信息 530条，此外企业还拥有行政许可1650个。 ...

化工ETF（516020）及其联接基金（012537）跟踪中证细分化工产业主题指数，成份股覆盖AI算力、反 内卷、机器人、新能源等热门主题。其中近5成仓位集中于大市值龙头股，包括万华化学、盐湖股份 等，分享强者恒强投资机遇；其余五成仓位兼顾布局磷肥及磷化工、氟化工、氮肥等细分领域龙头股， 全面把握化工板块投资机会。 2月24日，春节后的第一个交易日，A股三大指数均大幅高开，化工板块延续节前的反弹趋势，早盘大 幅高开。热门ETF品种——化工ETF（516020）早盘高开高走，场内价格涨逾2.7%。最近5个交易日， 超2.2亿元资金持续净流入化工ETF（516020），积极布局节后行情。 广发证券指出，化工作为典型周期性行业，通常5年一轮周期，经历"盈利上行—产能扩张—盈利触底— 产能出清/需求预期改善"四个阶段。伴随资本开支增速转负、反内卷、海外降息、扩内需，看好"十五 五"开局阶段化工"破晓时分"。此外，全球技术革命持续提速，材料变革迎新机遇。 国海证券指出，反内卷有望重估中国化工行业，后续措施有望使全球化工行业产能扩张大幅放缓。中国 化工行业具有充沛的经营活动现金流净额，一旦扩张放缓，潜在股息率将大幅提升， ...

投资人应当充分了解基金定期定额投资和零存整取等储蓄方式的区别。定期定额投资是引导投资人 进行长期投资、平均投资成本的一种简单易行的投资方式。但是定期定额投资并不能规避基金投资所固 有的风险，不能保证投资人获得收益，也不是替代储蓄的等效理财方式。 无论是股票ETF/LOF基金，都是属于较高预期风险和预期收益的证券投资基金品种，其预期收益及 预期风险水平高于混合型基金、债券型基金和货币市场基金。 年初以来，全球宏观环境充满不确定性，黄金与资源品投资价值凸显。金属板块在经历剧烈的重定 价后，已逐渐成为一个具备底层数据支撑的"高景气+抗通胀"的优质资产。 数据显示，黄金ETF以及矿业类工具型产品成交持续活跃，中长期受益于全球避险需求和去美元化 趋势，黄金投资热度依然高企。而在产业链上，铜、铝等基础金属亦迎来周期性利好。以铜为例， 2025~2027年全球冶炼能力扩张带来的原料紧张加剧，矿冶矛盾将在2027年边际缓解。这将推动铜价上 行，带动A股矿业指数成分股（如集中度更高的龙头矿企）利润显著提升。铝行业则受益于国内产能政 策天花板，以及新能源、电网投资的加码，中长期"绿电铝"价值提升成为大趋势。此外，AI服务器等新 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the valuation bubble surrounding AI companies, particularly those with large models that have yet to turn a profit, highlighting the risks of unsustainable valuations in the tech sector [1][6][12] Group 1: AI Valuation and Market Dynamics - The AI sector has seen companies with revenues under 500 million being valued at over 300 billion, indicating a market frenzy [1] - The narrative surrounding AI is larger than previous tech bubbles, with major companies like Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon collectively spending 650 billion this year, surpassing previous investment levels [11] - The article compares the current AI boom to the electric vehicle surge led by Tesla, noting that while Tesla managed to justify its valuation through performance, other companies like Rivian have struggled [7][11] Group 2: Rivian's Journey and Financial Performance - Rivian raised 28.5 billion in funding before producing any vehicles and achieved a significant IPO, becoming one of the largest in U.S. history [3][4] - After a brief surge, Rivian's market value plummeted by over 90%, losing more than 130 billion in total market capitalization [6][12] - Rivian's Q4 2025 revenue was 1.286 billion, down 25.84% year-over-year, with automotive revenue dropping 45% [13] - The company reported a total revenue of 5.387 billion for 2025, an 8.39% increase from the previous year, but still faced a net loss of 3.646 billion [19][20] - Rivian's software and services segment saw a significant increase, with revenue growing 222% year-over-year, indicating a potential area for future growth [19][20] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - Rivian received a total investment of 5.8 billion from Volkswagen, which has helped the company reduce production costs by over 35% [8][20] - The company plans to launch the R2 model in Q2 of this year, which is seen as a critical point for demonstrating long-term profitability [19][20] - Rivian anticipates receiving an additional 2 billion from its partnership with Volkswagen, although capital expenditures are expected to rise [20]

来源｜中信建投证券 文｜夏凡捷 春节期间全球股市整体强势，无重大风险事件，当前市场情绪仍然高涨，节后A股有望开启新一轮上行。行业配置上继续坚持"科技+资源品"双主线。其 中科技主线以AI、人形机器人、新能源和创新药为核心，资源品主线以贵金属、石油石化、基础化工为核心。重点关注板块包括：半导体、AI（光通 信、液冷、电子布、高端铜箔等）、机械、有色、石油石化、基础化工、电力设备（储能、特高压、光伏、固态电池等）、创新药等。 春节假期全球市场动态 春节假期期间全球主要股指多数上涨，新兴市场与发达市场表现分化，韩国综合指数涨幅居首，欧洲三大股指同步走高，美股温和上涨，而日本、中国香 港等亚太市场表现较弱。主要商品价格多数上涨，伊朗局势推动国际油价持续走强，也同样推动了贵金属和美元指数的上行。工业金属中铜价保持高位震 荡，锌、铅价格相对平稳。 美国最高法院裁决叫停"对等关税"，特朗普随即宣布加征15%"全球进口关税"。特朗普关税的后续影响主要来自未来数月巨大的不确定性，这可能继续导 致美元指数维持阶段性强势，同时推升贵金属价格。不确定性主要包括：关税退款、替代关税如何设计、第二轮会影响哪些行业。 另外，美伊谈判一波三 ...

Group 1 - The global macro environment has been uncertain since the beginning of the year, highlighting the investment value of gold and resource commodities [1] - The metal sector has undergone significant repricing and is now considered a high-quality asset with strong data support, characterized by high prosperity and anti-inflation properties [1] - Gold ETFs and mining-related products have seen active trading, benefiting from global risk aversion and de-dollarization trends, maintaining high investment enthusiasm for gold [1] Group 2 - The copper and aluminum industries are experiencing cyclical benefits, with copper prices expected to rise due to tightening raw material supply from global smelting capacity expansion between 2025 and 2027 [1] - The aluminum sector is benefiting from domestic capacity policies and increased investments in new energy and power grids, with a long-term trend towards the value of "green electricity aluminum" [1] - Emerging demand driven by AI servers is pushing tin prices upward, with global refined tin supply and demand expected to remain in a tight balance through 2026 [1] Group 3 - Mining ETFs (561330) focus on upstream resources, covering various commodities such as copper, gold, lithium, rare earths, and aluminum, providing stronger performance elasticity and diversified risk management [2] - The constituent stocks are primarily leading companies that directly own mineral resources, benefiting significantly during commodity price upcycles [2] - Investors are advised to maintain rationality in high-volatility resource markets and consider a phased investment approach, balancing long-term growth logic with short-term volatility [2]

春节假期结束，今日A股将正常开市。 回顾节前A股表现，沪指（2月13日）跌1.26%失守4100点，深证成指跌1.28%，创业板指跌1.57%。 本周，特朗普将发表国情咨文，同时将"全球关税"加码至15%于2月24日生效；德国总理默茨或于24日 至26日访华。 AI巨头英伟达及百度发布重磅财报；苹果年度股东大会与iOS 26.4测试版发布在即。此外，伊朗局势、 美联储官员讲话、中国LPR及香港财政预算案等事件也值得关注。 后市市场将如何演绎？且看最新十大券商策略汇总。 中信建投证券研报认为，春节期间全球股市整体强势，无重大风险事件，当前市场情绪仍然高涨，节后 A股有望开启新一轮上行。行业配置上继续坚持"科技+资源品"双主线。其中科技主线以AI、人形机器 人、新能源和创新药为核心，资源品主线以贵金属、石油石化、基础化工为核心。重点关注板块包括： 1.广发策略：A股将迎来"春季躁动"胜率最高的阶段 历史看，2月份及春节前后是春季躁动日历效应最强阶段。市场高胜率、小盘风格占优。以小盘指数为 例，在春节到两会之间上涨概率为100%，在2月上涨概率为87.5%。 在配置方向上，"春季躁动"上涨方向并非是"炒小炒差"、与 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is set to open after the Spring Festival, with investors keenly watching for a "good start" in trading, influenced by the positive performance of the Hong Kong stock market during the holiday period [2] Group 1: Hong Kong Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed a strong performance during the Spring Festival, with the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Tech Index experiencing upward trends, while traditional sectors like dairy and media lagged [2][3] - Gold stocks surged due to rising international gold prices, with Zijin Mining up over 8% and Shandong Gold up 7.53% during the holiday [3] - The renewable energy sector also performed well, with companies like Ruipu Lanjun and Ganfeng Lithium seeing significant gains, driven by optimistic forecasts for lithium prices [3] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector, particularly AI infrastructure, saw notable gains, with Longi Green Energy rising over 15% as demand for optical fibers surged due to AI data center construction [4] - Companies in the AI and robotics space, such as MINIMAX and Yujian, experienced substantial increases, reflecting heightened market interest in AI technologies [5] Group 3: Market Outlook Post-Festival - Historical data indicates a 75% probability of the Shanghai Composite Index rising in the five days following the Spring Festival, suggesting a positive market sentiment [9] - Various brokerages have differing views on post-festival investment opportunities, with a focus on technology growth, small-cap stocks, and sectors benefiting from policy changes [10] - The upcoming Two Sessions are expected to catalyze market movements, with infrastructure projects likely to see seasonal opportunities [10][11]