Core Viewpoint - The banking sector, particularly the Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900), is experiencing a significant upward trend, indicating a potential acceleration phase in its growth trajectory [1]. Group 1: Historical Performance - Ten years ago, only five out of 31 Shenwan primary industries achieved positive returns, with the Bank AH Total Return Index rising by 127%, outperforming all other sectors [2][3]. - The Bank AH (Total) index recorded a growth of approximately 126.96% over the specified period, significantly higher than other sectors such as Food & Beverage (107.28%) and Household Appliances (28.98%) [3]. Group 2: Investment Drivers - High Dividend Strategy: The Bank AH index has a dividend yield of 6.51% as of the end of May, with individual banks like China Construction Bank at 6.56% and Jiangsu Bank at 7.46%, attracting long-term funds seeking stable cash flow [4]. - Policy Support: Recent policies, including interest rate cuts and measures to guide long-term funds into the market, have alleviated operational pressures on banks and boosted market confidence [5]. - Defensive Attributes: The banking sector's low valuation and high dividend yield provide a safety net amid increased market volatility and low risk appetite, making it an attractive option for investors seeking stability [6]. Group 3: ETF Performance - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) has seen its share increase by over 256% this year, reflecting strong investor confidence [7]. - The ETF's strategy involves actively rotating between A-shares and H-shares to capture undervalued quality bank stocks, aiming for superior risk-return ratios [6].

截至6月23日，港股红利低波ETF(520550）年内创34次新高，获资金连续7周净流入，资金流入叠加净值上行，该标的年内规模增长169%，迭创 历史新高。 长江证券陈洁敏表示，今年港股红利资产走强，主要受益于风险偏好相对下调后的防御配置需求。随着成长股持续缩圈，这类防御性强、有稳健 绝对收益能力的资产成内外资共识。 保险资金有配置港股高股息资产的强需求，这与保险OCI账户的定位以及国内资产荒有关。在国内寻找较为稳健的高收益回报资产比较困难，因 此保险资金更倾向于配置港股的高股息资产。随着新会计准则调整过渡期结束，保险OCI账户配置和加仓红利资产的节奏和体量或有进一步提升 机会。 【港股分红总额1.38万亿，同比增13%，红利类资产分红持续增长】 据2024年年报，港股分红总额达1.38万亿，同比增速超10%，当前已有927家公司宣告分红，当前正在迎来分红高潮，7月将有91家公司即将分 红。 跟A股对比，港股平均股息率较高，在房地产、通讯、公用事业、金融等多个板块的股息率相较于A股都有明显优势，可通过南下资金捕捉到更 多优质的高股息标的。 A股市场和港股市场2023、2024年年度分红表现 | 市场 | 实际 ...

业内人士表示，从长期投资视角来看，稳定且高额的股息收入能够为险资提供持续的资金流入，有助于 保险资金的长期稳健运作，更好地匹配保险业务的赔付需求和资金运用计划。对于追求稳定现金流的长 期个人投资者来说，各种思路也可以作为参考。不过，对于个人投资者来说，为了尽量分散风险，可以 考虑指数投资工具，通过诸如H股银行含量最高的ETF——港股通金融ETF或行业相对均衡的港股央企 红利ETF（513910）来实现类似效果。 为何险资喜欢买这些资产呢？业内人士分析认为，险资很可能是为了响应长期资金入市的政策、适应会 计准则切换下的资产负债管理，从而增加权益资产配置。而银行因为行业相对成熟、经营效率高等原 因，往往是分红主力军。险资在权益投资方面一大重点方向便是增配并长期持有高股息股票等红利资 产。 而为何是H股而非A股呢？其一，相较于A股，H股的有更高地股息率和更低的估值，以港股通金融ETF 跟踪指数为例，截至6月20日，其近12个月股息率为8.15%，而A股的中证银行指数同指标是5.35%；其 二，保险公司连续持有H股满12个月取得的股息红利可免企业所得税，这一税收优势使得险资在投资港 股上市公司标的时，能够将高股息率的 ...

Group 1 - The banking sector is experiencing a significant rally, with multiple bank stocks reaching historical highs, driven by a long-term trend of low interest rates and the revaluation of RMB assets [1][2][7] - Insurance capital is actively increasing its holdings in bank stocks, with Ping An Asset Management making its third purchase of China Merchants Bank H-shares this year, indicating strong long-term investment interest [1][7] - The China Securities Banking Index has outperformed the broader A-share market, with a year-to-date increase of 14%, and 37 out of 42 listed banks have seen their stock prices rise [2][9] Group 2 - High dividend yields are attracting investors, with the banking sector's average dividend yield at 4.19%, ranking third among 30 industries, and 22 bank stocks yielding over 4% [2][3] - The stability of bank earnings and dividends, along with a favorable investment environment, enhances the attractiveness of bank stocks for long-term investment [5][6] - Analysts suggest that the current market conditions favor banks with regional advantages and high dividend yields, particularly large banks and certain city and rural commercial banks [6][9] Group 3 - Insurance companies are increasingly buying bank stocks due to their stable performance, high dividends, and favorable liquidity, with significant net inflows into Hong Kong bank stocks from southbound funds [7][9] - The regulatory environment is supportive of insurance capital entering the market, encouraging long-term investments in bank stocks [9] - The trend of insurance capital purchasing bank stocks reflects a rational investment strategy based on dividend yields, tax advantages, and the unique value of state-owned banks in the financial market [7][9]

【策略】中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气？——20250623 【固定收益】高频工业品价格底部反弹——基本面高频数据跟踪—— 20250623 ◼ 研究视点 【环保】监测门槛抬高，科创板专层赋能——20250623 证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2025 06 24 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 中观数据与盈利预测指向哪些行业景气？ 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 作者 | 分析师 杨义韬 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号：S0680522080002 | | | | | 邮箱：yangyitao@gszq.com | | | | | 行业表现前五名 | | | | | 行业 | 1 月 | 3 月 | 1 年 | | 通信 | 7.9% | 0.3% | 28.0% | | 银行 | 6.0% | 11.2% | 33.4% | | 石油石化 | 4.9% | 2.6% | -2.0% | | 传媒 | 4.6% | 0.2% | 42.6% | | 国防军工 | 3.5% | 0.8% | 25.9% | | 行业表现后五名 | | | | | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong dividend low volatility ETF (520550) has seen significant capital inflows, with a 169% increase in size year-to-date, reaching a historical high as of June 20 [1] - The ETF features the lowest market fee rate (comprehensive fee rate of 0.2%), enhancing cost efficiency for investors, and its monthly dividend mechanism and T+0 trading characteristics further improve capital efficiency [2] - The ETF's holdings are structured to provide a safety net through mature sectors like finance and energy, while implementing a 5% weight cap on individual stocks to mitigate risks and avoid "dividend yield traps" [2] Group 2 - Recent observations indicate a contraction in the Hong Kong growth stock market, with a decline in interest for sectors like robotics and AI, suggesting a potential decrease in market risk appetite [3] - The second half of the year is expected to be a pivotal phase for insurance companies regarding OCI allocation and accounting standard shifts, which may lead to a preference for high dividend stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [3] - The issuance of the off-market fund linked to the ETF is timely, providing investors with new options for long-term investments in quality Hong Kong dividend assets without the need for a securities account [2]

量化金融研究丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 广发中证智选高股息策略 ETF（159207）：聚焦 高息资产，把握低风险下高确定性 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 中证智选高股息策略指数选取 50 只连续分红且现金分红预案股息率较高的上市公司证券作为 指数样本，以反映股息率较高上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数由中证指数公司发布，指数代 码：932305.CSI，指数简称：智选高股息。智选高股息指数在全区间的年化收益率达到 13.37% （2005 年 12 月 31 日至 2025 年 6 月 11 日），超越中证 500（10.63%）、沪深 300（7.92%） 等宽基指数以及中证红利指数（10.09%）等高股息策略指数。广发中证智选高股息策略 ETF （159207）采用指数化投资策略，紧密跟踪标的指数，追求跟踪偏离度和跟踪误差最小化。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490524080006 SAC：S0490513030001 邓元哲 覃川桃 SFC：BUT353 [Table ...

Core Viewpoint - The decline in one-year fixed deposit rates of major state-owned banks to 0.95% has led investors to seek stable and growth-oriented investment products, highlighting the attractiveness of high-dividend assets in the Hong Kong stock market, particularly the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index with a dividend yield of 8.08% as of June 6 [1][2]. Group 1: Advantages of Hong Kong High Dividend Assets - Strong profitability supports continuous dividends, indicating that high-dividend assets typically have mature business models and stable cash flows, providing strong defensive characteristics during economic downturns [2]. - The industries covered by the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index, such as banking, transportation, coal, and oil, possess high barriers to entry and are less sensitive to economic cycles, suggesting long-term resilience [3]. Group 2: Market Outlook for High Dividend Assets - In the current financial market environment, both Hong Kong and A-shares are focusing on high-dividend assets as a key investment theme, with factors supporting high-dividend strategies becoming stronger [5]. - The uncertainty surrounding U.S. tariff policies has increased market volatility, further enhancing the appeal of high-dividend assets, while domestic long-term funds are accelerating their allocation to dividend-paying assets [5]. Group 3: Investment Tools - Investors can focus on the Hong Kong market through the Hong Kong High Dividend ETF (159302), which tracks the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index, selecting 30 highly liquid, consistently dividend-paying companies [6]. - In the A-share market, the High Dividend ETF (563180) tracks a high-yield strategy index, utilizing a dual screening method based on dividend yield and payout ratio, with a current dividend yield of 5.79% as of June 13 [6].

Logistics Industry - The logistics sector has seen a year-to-date increase of 6.2% as of June 13, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 by 8.0% [1] - The shift from external to internal demand is contributing to excess returns in the logistics industry, with direct-operated express companies like SF Express and JD Logistics performing better than franchise-based counterparts [1] - The competitive intensity in the logistics sector is expected to be controllable due to effective regulatory constraints, despite a stronger demand for market share among leading companies [1] Shipping Industry - The shipping sector has experienced a year-to-date increase of 0.8%, with an excess return of 2.6% compared to the CSI 300 as of June 13, 2025 [2] - The easing of tariffs between China and the U.S. is expected to maintain strong export levels until mid-July, coupled with temporary capacity tightness, which may lead to further price increases in the shipping sector [2] - In the medium term, the supply of oil tankers, particularly VLCCs, remains tight, and a recovery in demand may lead to rising freight rates [2] Infrastructure Sector - As of June 13, 2025, the highway, railway, and port sectors have underperformed the market by 0.74, 4.23, and 0.73 percentage points, respectively [3] - The growth in passenger traffic on highways is driven by an increase in vehicle ownership and sustained short-distance travel demand, with the summer peak season expected to boost high-speed rail travel [3] - The recovery in domestic demand is anticipated to positively impact the freight transport sector, with the easing of U.S. tariff policies likely to sustain high levels of export trade in the short term [3]

尽管年初至今涨幅不错，欧洲股市正面临投资者日益增长的怀疑情绪。 据追风交易台消息，高盛在6月20日的报告中表示，尽管年初至今欧股STOXX 600指数上涨5%，但这一涨幅完全来自于价值重估和股息收益，而 非盈利增长。 从板块表现来看，银行和公用事业板块年初至今表现最佳，而汽车和生物技术板块表现最差。银行板块受益于利率环境和估值修复，年初至今涨 幅显著。相比之下，汽车板块面临需求疲软和结构性挑战，表现持续低迷。从风格角度看，价值股明显跑赢成长股，小盘股表现略好于大盘股。 投资者对欧洲市场的担忧主要集中在两个关键问题：缺乏近期催化剂和增长动力不足。 高盛预计STOXX Europe 2025年每股收益增长率为0%，2026年仅为4%。 欧洲股市过去12个月的表现完全依赖于价值重估和股息贡献，而其他地区的回报则来自盈利和估值的混合推动。欧洲股票的市盈率已达到14.2 倍，接近历史区间的第70百分位，不再便宜。强势货币、疲弱的经济增长以及低油价都对欧洲每股收益构成拖累。 欧洲股市年初至今虽然获得了强劲的资金净流入，特别是来自国内投资者的回流，但这一趋势正在减弱。 高盛统计显示，本土投资者在过去几年持续抛售欧洲股票后， ...