盘面热点快速轮动，AI应用端持续拉升，万事利、德生科技、蓝色光标等多股涨停；商业航天概念反 复活跃，雷科防务3连板，顺灏股份、北斗星通、长江通信涨停；机器人概念局部活跃，锋龙股份6连 板，五洲新春3连板续创历史新高；福建板块下挫，鹭燕医药跌停，平潭发展、合兴包装、海峡创新大 跌。 热门板块 AI智能体概念延续强势 AI应用端持续拉升，AI智能体方向领涨，万事利20cm涨停，此前南兴股份2连板，利欧股份、凯文教育 涨停，蓝色光标、宣亚国际涨超10%。 消息面上，Meta以数十亿美元收购开发AI应用Manus的母公司蝴蝶效应。东兴证券认为，人工智能行业 景气度仍有上行空间，其在科技投资领域的主线地位较难撼动。 商业航天概念再走强 商业航天板块持续拉升，航天晨光、北斗星通双双涨停，烽火通信、雷科防务、长江通信等10股此前封 板。 消息面上，上交所支持优质商业火箭企业上市，多家公司推进IPO。华泰证券认为，商业航天产业从培 育期进入壮大期。 12月31日，今日是2025年最后一个交易日，A股三大股指早盘小幅冲高，随后震荡下行，截止午盘，沪 指跌0.07%报3962.24点，深成指跌0.67%报13513.21点，创业 ...

Market Overview - The total scale of equity ETFs in the market reached 50,458.92 billion yuan, with an increase of 1,437.22 billion yuan in the past week and a net inflow of 401.66 billion yuan [1] - The net inflow in broad-based and strategic ETFs was 506.71 billion yuan, primarily driven by inflows into the CSI A500 index, while industry and thematic ETFs saw a net outflow of 143.41 billion yuan [1] Fund Inflow and Outflow Directions - In the broad-based and strategic ETF segment, the top three inflow sectors were CSI A500, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, while the top three outflow sectors were CSI 300, ChiNext, and other broad-based indices [2] - In the industry and thematic ETF segment, the top five inflow sectors included non-ferrous metals, new energy, cultural and media, major consumer, and robotics, while the top five outflow sectors included semiconductor chips, military industry, artificial intelligence, battery storage, and food and beverage [2] Key Focus Areas - The Science and Technology Innovation Index ETF from Penghua has seen continuous net inflows over the past six days, totaling 198 million yuan, with a peak single-day inflow of 90.39 million yuan [4] - The robotics and commercial aerospace sectors are gaining strength, supported by the establishment of a standardization committee for humanoid robots and the release of guidelines for commercial rocket enterprises to list on the STAR Market [6] - The low Earth orbit satellite resource competition is intensifying, with at least 10 commercial aerospace companies initiating IPO processes, indicating a significant growth potential in the commercial aerospace sector [6][7] Sector Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a net inflow of 15.50 billion yuan, while the semiconductor chip sector experienced a significant outflow of 66.03 billion yuan [3] - The CSI A500 index has shown a year-to-date increase of 22.39%, reflecting strong performance in the broad market [8]

Core Insights - The satellite and aerospace sectors experienced significant gains on the last trading day of 2025, with notable increases in stock prices for companies such as Ailida (up over 17%), Beidou Star (10% limit up), and Guolian Aviation (over 9%) [1] - The Huabao General Aviation ETF (159231) reached a new high with a 2.32% increase, marking a strong performance with a net subscription of 2 million units during trading [1] Industry Overview - The global aerospace industry is undergoing a structural transformation akin to the Age of Exploration, driven by the rise of commercial space companies like SpaceX [3] - China's commercial aerospace sector is transitioning from a policy incubation phase to an industrial explosion phase, with 2026 anticipated to be a pivotal year for the industry [3] - The Huabao General Aviation ETF and its associated funds cover a wide range of sectors, including low-altitude economy, large aircraft, military aircraft, commercial aerospace, satellite navigation, and drones, with the aerospace sector comprising over 37% of the index [3] Recent Developments - On December 31, 2025, China successfully launched the Shijian-29 satellites using the Long March 7 rocket, marking the conclusion of the Long March series' launch activities for the year, which totaled 73 missions, a historical high [2]

Core Insights - The report suggests a "barbell strategy" for investors, focusing on state-owned system integrators with core frequency resources for stable beta returns, while also investing in private sector leaders in commercial rockets and satellite components for high alpha returns [3] - The Chinese commercial space industry is transitioning from a policy incubation phase to an industrial explosion phase, with 2026 expected to be a pivotal year for alpha returns as the industry shifts from prototype development to mass production [5] Policy Cycle - Recent policies have provided a long-term development framework for the commercial space industry, with significant catalysts emerging [12] - The 14th Five-Year Plan emphasized the importance of commercial space, while the 15th Five-Year Plan positions it alongside new energy vehicles and integrated circuits as a pillar industry [14] - The establishment of dedicated regulatory bodies and action plans aims to enhance efficiency in launch approvals and promote industry standardization [14] Technology, Application, and Capital Resonance - Key technological breakthroughs are expected to lower costs significantly, with reusable rockets like the Zhuque-3 projected to reduce launch costs [30] - The shift from national missions to consumer applications is anticipated, with satellite communication becoming a standard feature in smartphones and vehicles [36] - A surge in capital investment is expected, with the establishment of a national commercial space development fund to support long-term investments [41] Competitive Cycle - SpaceX has established a monopoly-level launch capability, necessitating China to develop its own low-orbit broadband communication network for both commercial and national security reasons [20] External Catalysts - The rapid iteration of SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Starship has created competitive pressure, prompting domestic policies and capital to favor core companies in the space sector [5] Investment Strategy and Valuation Framework - The valuation framework for commercial space is shifting from a broad narrative of total addressable market (TAM) to specific analyses of price-to-sales (PS) ratios and order visibility [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies deeply integrated into the commercial rocket and satellite supply chains, which are expected to benefit first from the transition to mass production [3] Future Catalysts - The report highlights 2026-2027 as critical years for the commercial space industry, with significant developments expected in satellite deployment and launch capabilities [6]

Group 1 - The China Aerospace Industry Index (CN5082) rose by 2.12%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Guanglian Aviation (300900) up 9.80%, Aerospace Electronics (600879) up 9.24%, and China Satellite (600118) up 8.67% [1] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) also increased by 2.12%, with the latest price reported at 1.35 yuan [1] - China successfully launched the Practice-29 satellites A and B using the Long March 7 carrier rocket, marking a successful conclusion to the Long March series missions for 2025, with a total of 73 space launch missions completed this year, setting a historical record [1] Group 2 - The competition for low Earth orbit satellite resources is intense, with the industry expected to grow rapidly; the International Telecommunication Union follows a "first come, first served" principle for orbital and frequency resource allocation [2] - The 2025 government work report emphasizes the "safe and healthy development" of commercial space, highlighting technological breakthroughs and large-scale applications, indicating a new phase for commercial space [2] - China has registered a total of 100 satellite constellations, including 88 commercial space projects and 12 national strategic projects, with plans to launch over 60,000 satellites [2] - The Aerospace ETF (159227) closely tracks the China Aerospace Index, covering key industry chain segments such as aerospace equipment, satellite navigation, and new materials, with a high weight of 64% in commercial aerospace concepts [2]

相关产品： 航空航天ETF（159227）紧密跟踪国证航天指数，覆盖航空装备、航天装备、卫星导航、新材料等关键 产业链环节，成分股精选领域头部企业，涵盖大飞机研制、低空经济、商业航天等新兴领域，商业航天 概念权重占比高达64.08%。 通用航空ETF基金（159230）跟踪国证通用航空产业指数，以低空经济为核心，覆盖航材及基础设施、 飞行器制造、运营服务及场景应用等行业，助力投资人把握低空经济行情，低空经济含量83.7%，商业 航天含量60.89%。 以上内容与数据，与有连云立场无关，不构成投资建议。据此操作，风险自担。 12月31日，三大指数延续震荡，大飞机、商业航天概念探底回升，截至10:53，航空航天ETF(159227)涨 2.04%，其特有持仓股航发科技、盟升电子表现强势，通用航空ETF基金（159230）涨2.18%，其特有持 仓股爱乐达涨超17%，北斗星通涨停，其共同持仓股广联航空涨超9%，中国卫星、航天电子、华力创 通等股涨幅居前。 消息面上，海南省航天领导小组会议12月30日在海口召开，听取海南商业航天发射场2026年发射计划安 排、商业发射任务组织指挥模式优化、相关系统和配套项目论证建设等 ...

跨年交易日，商业航天板块再度领涨市场。12月31日上午，卫星产业ETF(159218)盘中上涨3.96%，创 下年内第33次历史新高；成分股中，北斗星通与长江通信强势涨停。板块热度持续高企，市场讨论度显 著超越其他新兴赛道。 尽管隔夜美股相关板块调整，但A股商业航天在国内强政策预期与扎实的产业进展支撑下，走出了独立 行情。产业正处在"制度破局、技术突破、应用落地"的三重驱动之下，高景气度有望延续。 在此背景下，卫星产业ETF(159218) 作为全市场首只覆盖商业航天全产业链（火箭、卫星、地面设备、 运营服务）的核心工具，已成为资金高效布局这一战略方向的首选载体。其持续的强势表现与创新高走 势，清晰地反映了市场对产业长期发展空间的坚定信心。 风险提示：基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 资金的聚焦源于产业趋势的确定性。据统计，当前至少有10家商业航天企业已开启IPO进程，其中蓝箭 航天、星际荣耀等5家主业为运载火箭。同时，包括鲁信创投、金风科技在内的多家A股上市公司，已 通过直接投资或参股方式深度布局该产业链。这一密集的资本化进程，为二级市场提供了丰富的投资线 索与价值锚点。 投资逻辑：政策与产业共振下的高景气 | 序 ...

Core Viewpoint - The aerospace and satellite sectors are experiencing significant growth, with notable stock increases and successful satellite launches marking the end of 2025 [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - On the last trading day of 2025, stocks in the satellite and aerospace sectors surged, with notable gains: Aileda increased by over 17%, Beidou Star reached a 10% limit up, and Guanglian Aviation rose by over 9% [1][6]. - The General Aviation ETF Huabao (159231) saw a price increase of 2.32%, reaching a new high and achieving six consecutive days of gains, with a net subscription of 2 million shares during trading [1][6]. Group 2: Industry Developments - On December 31, 2025, China successfully launched the Practice-29 satellite using the Long March 7 carrier rocket, marking a successful conclusion to the year's space missions, with a total of 73 launches completed, setting a historical record [6]. - According to Guojin Securities, the global aerospace industry is undergoing structural changes akin to a new age of exploration, driven by the rise of commercial space companies like SpaceX. China's commercial aerospace sector is transitioning from a policy incubation phase to an industrial explosion phase, with 2026 expected to be a pivotal year for the industry [3][6]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The General Aviation ETF Huabao and its linked funds cover a broad index of 50 stocks, focusing on military and civilian aerospace capabilities, including low-altitude economy, large aircraft, commercial aerospace, satellite navigation, and drones, with over 37% of the index allocated to the aerospace sector [3][6]. - The ETF is positioned as a strategic tool for investors looking to capitalize on the domestic demand and military trade resonance within the Chinese aerospace industry [3][6].

Group 1 - The satellite industry ETF (159218) has seen a significant increase, rising by 3.96% and reaching a new high for the year, marking the 33rd time this has occurred [1] - The commercial aerospace sector is gaining attention, with discussion heat surpassing 20%, indicating a systematic capital allocation towards this strategic direction [1] - Despite adjustments in related US stocks, the A-share market is performing independently, supported by policy expectations and industry advancements [1] Group 2 - At least 10 commercial aerospace companies have initiated the IPO process, with 5 focusing on launch vehicles, including Blue Arrow Aerospace and Interstellar Glory [2] - The satellite industry ETF (159218) is recognized as an efficient tool for capital allocation in the commercial aerospace sector, covering core segments of the industry [2] - The ongoing high prosperity in the industry is expected to continue attracting medium to long-term investment attention [2]

12月31日早盘，商业航天主题板块再度躁动，相关高人气军工ETF华宝（512810）水下拉起，快速翻红 涨逾1%，昨日场内价格刷新逾3年新高。 军工ETF华宝（512810）全面覆盖海陆空天军工核心资产，囊括24只商业航天概念股，权重占比合计 28.64%。昨日短线回调后，商业航天成份股强势反攻，北斗星通一度冲击涨停，航天电子、中国卫 通、国科军工等多股继续刷新历史新高。 申万宏源指出，商业航天、低空经济等新域新质领域贡献增加，共同支撑军工基本面修复预期。湘财证 券也表示，"十五五"国家航天强国战略目标的牵引下，国内政策、资本与技术正形成合力，推动商业航 天从技术验证阶段迈向规模化、商业化运营阶段，因此维持军工行业"增持"评级。 【八一军工，火力全开】代码有"八一"的军工ETF华宝（512810）（原国防军工ETF）覆盖"商业航天 + 可控核聚变 + 低空经济 + 大飞机 + 深海科技 + 军用AI "等诸多热门主题，同时是融资融券+互联互通标 的，是一键投资军工核心资产的高效工具。 | | | | | 军工ETF华宝 (512810) 持仓商业航天概念股 (权重合计28.64%) | | | | | --- ...