投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】 31号 【 一 国贸 期货 瓶片短纤数据日报 | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 投资咨询号: Z0017251 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 2025/6/20 | | | | | 能源化工研究中心 陈胜 | 从业资格号: | | | | | | F3066728 | | 指标 | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/19 | 变动值 | | | PTA现货价格 | 5190 | 5190 | 0.00 | | | MEG内盘价格 | 4529 | 4585 | 56. 00 | 现货资讯: | | | | | | 短纤:涤纶短纤涨126至6794。现货市场:涤纶 | | PTA收盘价 | 4914 | 4988 | 74.00 | 短纤生产企业价格偏强运行,贸易商价格上涨, | | MEG收盘价 | 4471 | 4539 | 68. 00 | 下游追高谨慎,场内成交一般。1.56dtex*38mm | | | | | | 半光本白(1.4D)涤纶短纤华东市场价格在6680- | | 1.4D直纺涤短 | ...

直纺短纤负荷(周) 88. 90% 91. 30% 0. 02 涤纶短纤产销 -106.00% 56.00% 162. 00% 涤纱开机率(周) 67.00% 67.00% 0. 00 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 50. 40% 50. 40% 0. 00 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 (探偵) 太原始術· ■T325加工费(右轴) t T325年演出 震想坝金流 ·1.4D直纺条短 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 10000 200 5000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2025-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现金流 2500 10000 22500 4000 涂棉纱利润 泽棉纱65/35 45S ...

装置检修动态:华东一套150万吨PTA装置目前已投料重启,该装置5.6附近停车检修。华东一套300万吨PTA装置已于近日停车检 修,预计10天附近。 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 | | | | | 聚酯数据日报 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 国贸期货研究院 | | 投资咨询号:Z0017251 | 2025/6/17 | | | | 能源化工研究中心 | 陈胜 | | 从业资格号:F3066728 | | | 指标 | 2025/6/13 | 2025/6/16 | 变动值 | 行情综述 | | | INE原油(元/桶) | 529.9 | 541.6 | 11. 70 | 成交情况: PTA: PTA行情窄幅下跌,主因是下游聚酯瓶片大厂计 | | SC | PTA-SC(元/陣) | 931.2 | 830. 1 | -101.03 | 划联合减产,利空PTA需求,弱化了华东一套PTA装置 | | | | | | | 减产的影响。PTA现货流动性偏紧,现货基差偏强。 | | | PTA/SC(比价) | 1. ...

综合来看，后期玉米需求存减少预期，但玉米仍有刚需支撑。在需求减弱的情况下，玉米供需关系或有 缓和，但供应面支撑明显，预计6—7月份玉米价格或仍有上涨空间。 不过，当前行业人士对豆粕价格走势仍不乐观。 卓创资讯豆粕分析师王文深认为，从供需情况看，豆粕整体以供大于需为主，2024年由于需求端低迷， 叠加国内供应端较为平稳，因此价格整体震荡下行。2025年以来供需变化较为高频，主要原因在于海关 大豆通关检疫时间的收紧和放松不确定，叠加中美关税问题再度升温，使得整体供需变化较快，阶段性 的出现供应短缺的情况，在4月表现最为明显，5月下旬开始，供需紧张情况开始缓解后，现货价格开始 走弱。 6月11日，国内期货市场豆粕主力合约价格再度上行，上午收盘报3042元/吨，较5月中旬2861元/吨的前 期低点已上涨超6%。 回顾今年玉米市场走势，卓创资讯（301299）玉米分析师张文萍称，2024年10月份新季玉米集中上市至 今，全国玉米均价整体呈现先窄幅反弹后下探再涨的走势。新季玉米上市初期，价格跌破多数农户心理 预期，农户惜售情绪加重，出货积极性下降，供应阶段性收紧，玉米价格窄幅反弹。但入冬以后气温偏 高，玉米储存难度大，部 ...

富宝资讯：碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比上涨，富宝电池级碳酸锂报60000元/吨 金十期货6月4日讯，富宝锂电网发布数据显示，电碳现货基差指数为490元/吨（持平）；电池级碳酸锂 报60000元/吨（+200元/吨）；工业级碳酸锂（综合）报59000元/吨（+200元/吨）；电池级碳酸锂长协 均价59700元/吨（持平）；氢氧化锂指数报62583元/吨（持平）；锂辉石（非洲 SC 5%）报415美元/吨 （-5美元/吨）；锂辉石（中国 CIF 6%）报610美元/吨（-5美元/吨）；锂辉石指数（5%≤ Li2O <6%）报 4840元/吨（-60元/吨）；锂云母指数（2%≤ Li2O <4%）报1555元/吨（-52元/吨）；磷锂铝石（7%≤ Li2O <8%）报7050元/吨（-100元/吨）；富锂铝电解质指数报1669元/吨（-20元/吨）；富宝卤水（硫酸 锂）折扣系数报73%（+1.5）。 ...

金十数据5月27日讯，在原厂停产部分DDR4、减产LPDDR4X持续影响下，近期现货DDR4颗粒、 LPDDR4X等产品连续数周延续涨价趋势，在资源端供应趋紧且价格上涨推动下，涨价效应已渐渐蔓延 至成品端，上周行业市场DDR4SODIMM跟涨，而本周渠道市场也在供应吃紧下带动部分渠道内存条价 格上涨。不过，因部分渠道客户销售不及预期使得拉货动能不足，行业端大容量SSD市场需求也较为冷 淡，令本周部分渠道和行业SSD价格承压而小幅向下调整。 现货LPDDR4X产品延续涨价行情 部分渠道内存条价格拉升 ...

富宝资讯：碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比下跌，富宝电池级碳酸锂报61600元/吨 金十期货5月20日讯，富宝锂电网发布数据显示，电碳现货基差指数为390元/吨（-140元/吨）；电池级 碳酸锂报61600元/吨（-300元/吨）；工业级碳酸锂（综合）报60800元/吨（-300元/吨）；电池级碳酸锂 长协均价64100元/吨（-200元/吨）；氢氧化锂指数报63583元/吨（持平）；锂辉石（非洲SC5%）报335 美元/吨（持平）；锂辉石（中国CIF6%）报670美元/吨（-15美元/吨）；锂辉石指数（5%≤Li2O<6%） 报5200元/吨（-72元/吨）；锂云母指数（2%≤Li2O<4%）报1760元/吨（-51元/吨）；磷锂铝石 （7%≤Li2O<8%）报7375元/吨（-100元/吨）；富锂铝电解质指数报1760元/吨（-30元/吨）；富宝卤水 （硫酸锂）折扣系数报72.5%（持平）。 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For the first quarter, the company reported net income of approximately $15.1 million and net income to common shareholders of $9.1 million, or $0.25 per share [25] - Adjusted FFO was about $2 million or $0.06 per share, down from $5.1 million or $0.14 per share in the same quarter last year [25] - Fixed base cash rents decreased by about $5.7 million compared to the prior year quarter due to vacancies and structural changes in leases [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company executed seven new leases or amended existing leases, primarily on permanent crops [8] - The year-over-year decline in fixed base rents is expected to total about $17 million for fiscal year 2025 compared to 2024 [27] - The company anticipates a total year-over-year decline of about $17 million in fixed base rents for fiscal year 2025 compared to 2024, with a reduction of approximately $4 million to $5 million per quarter [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The nut sector is vulnerable to tariffs, with 78% of U.S. grown almonds and pistachios exported annually, and the company is monitoring the impact of tariffs on pricing [20][21] - The company noted that almond prices have risen significantly year over year, while pistachios remained stable or slightly increased [21] - The weakening of the U.S. dollar may help mitigate some negative impacts from tariffs, as it makes U.S. exports cheaper for foreign buyers [23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains cautious with new investments due to high interest rates and costs of capital, leading to a slow acquisition activity [8][34] - The company plans to continue with the current lease structure for 2025 and may revert to traditional lease structures next year or consider selling some properties [14] - The company believes investing in farmland growing healthy crops aligns with market trends and expects inflation in the food sector to continue to rise [35][37] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed hope for a strong production year, particularly for almonds and pistachios, but acknowledged uncertainty until the fourth quarter [13][14] - The company is focused on maintaining liquidity and ensuring it can meet financial obligations without compromising cash reserves [56][58] - Management indicated that the current farming environment is challenging due to high borrowing costs, which could impact future operations [34][81] Other Important Information - The company has access to over $180 million of capital, including about $40 million in cash on hand [30] - The company declared a monthly dividend of $0.0467 per share for the second quarter of 2025, equating to an annualized yield of 5.8% [32] - The company is evaluating options for vacant farms, including potential new crops and leasing water rights [50] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on $17 million lower revenues in '25 versus '24 - Management confirmed that an additional farm was added to the participation rent structure, contributing to the increased revenue loss estimate for 2025 [39] Question: Total participation rents expected in 2025 - Management expects to recover the $17 million loss and anticipates that insurance should cover that amount plus a small profit [40] Question: Details on the $2.4 million termination fee - The fee was related to three almond farms that are now vacant, and management is exploring options to generate income from those properties [42] Question: Additional sales in the second quarter and beyond - Management indicated that while some farms are listed for sale, there are currently no contracts to execute [48] Question: Status of vacant assets - Two of the vacant farms are open ground with low maintenance costs, while the three almond farms are at the end of their productive life [49] Question: Thoughts on share repurchase given cash balance - Management is prioritizing liquidity and is cautious about using cash for share repurchases, focusing instead on maintaining operational flexibility [56] Question: Financing for upcoming preferred stock maturity - Management is considering options including asset sales and refinancing, but is cautious due to high interest rates [71]

基础化工月报：三氯乙烯等价格上行，我国甲醇表观消 费量首次突破 1 亿吨 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 8 日 [Table_ReportDate] 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Tabl 行业e_ReportType] 月报 化工行业 张燕生 化工行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500517050001 联系电话：+86 010-83326847 邮 箱：zhangyansheng@cindasc.com 洪英东 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500520080002 联系电话：+86 010-83326848 邮 箱： hongyingdong@cindasc.com 尹 柳 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524090001 联系电话：+86 010-83326712 邮 箱： yinliu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [基础化工月报： Table_Title] 三氯乙烯等价格上行，我国甲醇表观 消费量首次突破 1 亿吨 [Table_Re ...

基础化工月报：三氯乙烯等价格上行，我国甲醇表观消 费量首次突破 1 亿吨 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 5 月 8 日 [Table_ReportDate] 证券研究报告 行业研究 [Tabl 行业e_ReportType] 月报 化工行业 张燕生 化工行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500517050001 联系电话：+86 010-83326847 邮 箱：zhangyansheng@cindasc.com 洪英东 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500520080002 联系电话：+86 010-83326848 邮 箱： hongyingdong@cindasc.com 尹 柳 化工行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524090001 联系电话：+86 010-83326712 邮 箱： yinliu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [基础化工月报： Table_Title] 三氯乙烯等价格上行，我国甲醇表观 消费量首次突破 1 亿吨 [Table_Re ...