Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) maintains a supportive monetary policy stance, implementing various measures to bolster economic recovery and stabilize financial markets, with expectations for further easing in the second half of the year [1][2][3]. Group 1: Quantity Tools - In May, the PBOC lowered the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, providing approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity [1]. - From March to June, the PBOC conducted four consecutive months of excess renewals of the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and utilized reverse repos to manage liquidity [1]. - The PBOC's flexible use of quantity-based monetary policy tools has maintained ample liquidity, supporting the ongoing economic recovery [1]. Group 2: Price Tools - In May, the PBOC reduced the policy interest rate by 0.1 percentage points, leading to a corresponding decrease in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [2]. - The average interest rate for newly issued corporate loans was approximately 3.2% in May, down about 50 basis points year-on-year, while the average for personal housing loans was around 3.1%, down about 55 basis points [2]. - The continuous deepening of interest rate marketization reforms has created a favorable environment for price-based monetary policy tools [2]. Group 3: Structural Tools - The PBOC increased the quotas for re-lending to support agriculture and small enterprises by 300 billion yuan each, and established a 500 billion yuan re-lending facility for consumer services and elderly care [3][4]. - The central bank is expected to continue enhancing structural monetary policy tools to support key sectors such as technology innovation and consumption [3][4]. - New policy tools are anticipated to be introduced, focusing on technology, consumption, foreign trade, and real estate [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The decline in interest rates has diminished the attractiveness of large-denomination certificates of deposit (CDs) compared to regular fixed-term deposits, leading to a reduction in their availability as banks adjust their liability management strategies in response to pressure on net interest margins [1][4]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - As of May 2025, the average interest rates for various fixed-term deposits have decreased significantly, with the 3-month average rate at 1.004%, 6-month at 1.212%, and 1-year at 1.339%, among others [2]. - The average interest rates for large-denomination CDs have also fallen below 2%, with the 3-month average at 1.239% and the 5-year average at 1.700% [2][3]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply of large-denomination CDs is declining, with many banks, including major national banks, ceasing to offer medium- to long-term CDs [3][4]. - Some banks have limited the availability of even short-term large-denomination CDs, with only a few institutions offering them under strict conditions [3]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments by Banks - Banks are actively adjusting their product structures by phasing out medium- to long-term large-denomination CDs to manage high liability costs and stabilize net interest margins [4][5]. - The overall net interest margin for banks has reached historical lows, prompting a shift in strategy to reduce high-cost long-term liabilities [4][5]. Group 4: Market Outlook and Investment Alternatives - The ongoing decline in deposit rates suggests that large-denomination CDs may continue to lose their appeal, with analysts predicting further decreases in their rates [5]. - In the current low-interest environment, investors are advised to adjust their expectations and consider alternative investment options, such as low-volatility fixed-income products with maturities between six months and three years [5].

Core Viewpoint - The banking industry is facing pressure from narrowing net interest margins, with declining asset yields and relatively high liability costs. Adjustments to large time deposit rates are a necessary response to market changes and an optimization of operational strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Interest Rate Adjustments - Banks have recently lowered the interest rates on large time deposits, with some even suspending the issuance of medium to long-term large time deposit products. For instance, the latest 3-year large time deposit rates from major banks have dropped to 1.55%, while 1-year and 2-year products are at 1.2% [1][2]. - The net interest margin for commercial banks was reported at 1.43% as of the end of Q1 2025, down from 1.52% at the end of Q4 2024, indicating a continued downward trend [2]. Group 2: Market Adaptation Strategies - In response to the declining interest rates, banks are promoting wealth management products and structured deposits as alternatives to traditional deposits. These products typically offer higher yields, catering to customers seeking better returns in a low-interest environment [1][4]. - The shift towards short- to medium-term products is aimed at managing interest rate risks associated with long-term funding, as banks seek to maintain reasonable net interest margins [3]. Group 3: Customer Behavior and Preferences - Customers are increasingly aware of the diminishing returns on large time deposits, leading some to consider alternative low-risk investment products such as money market funds and government bonds, which offer competitive yields and better liquidity [3][4]. - The demand for wealth management products is rising, as they provide banks with a crucial tool for attracting funds while also helping to lower overall liability costs [4].

国泰海通证券股份有限公司 关于 交通银行股份有限公司 向特定对象发行 A 股股票 之 上市保荐书 保荐人（主承销商） 二〇二五年六月 交通银行股份有限公司 向特定对象发行 A 股股票之上市保荐书 声 明 国泰海通证券股份有限公司（以下简称"国泰海通"或"保荐人"）接受交 通银行股份有限公司（以下简称"交通银行"、"公司"或"发行人"）的委托， 担任交通银行本次向特定对象发行 A 股股票的保荐人。 国泰海通及其保荐代表人根据《中华人民共和国公司法》 （以下简称"《公司 法》"） 、《中华人民共和国证券法》》（以下简称"《证券法》"）、《证券发行 上市保荐业务管理办法》《上市公司证券发行注册管理办法》（以下简称"《注册 管理办法》 "）《上海证券交易所股票上市规则》 《上海证券交易所上市公司证券发 行与承销业务实施细则》等有关法律、行政法规和中国证券监督管理委员会、上 海证券交易所的规定，诚实守信，勤勉尽责，严格按照依法制定的业务规则和行 业自律规范出具上市保荐书，并保证所出具文件真实、准确、完整。 （本上市保荐书如无特别说明，相关用语具有与《交通银行股份有限公司向 特定对象发行 A 股股票募集说明书》中相同的含 ...

进入6月以来，多家中小银行相继宣布新增服务收费项目，新增收费项目涵盖了账户管理费、转账手续 费、信用卡年费等。 有业内人士指出，"目前银行业净息差处于低位，需要扩大非利息收入，来覆盖运营成本，提高服务质 量。" 今年以来，银行净息差仍普遍承压。据国家金融监督管理总局披露，2025年一季度，商业银行整体净息 差为1.43%，较上年四季度收窄9个BP。 多家银行宣布新增或上调服务收费项目 6月9日，苏州银行公告显示，根据相关规定，同时结合该行业务开展需要，将新增一项服务收费项目， 新增项目为"尊行卡年费"，其中金卡免年费，白金卡588元/年，自2025年9月10日起执行。 苏州银行新增1项收费价目。官网截图 同月，乌海银行公告称，于2025年6月13日起对资信业务、银团贷款业务进行收费，其中为个人客户开 立个人存款证明服务收费标准为20元/份；为存款人出具资信证明收费标准为200元/份。 多家农商行也于近日宣布上调服务收费项目。庐江农商银行、庆阳农商银行相继发布相关公告，庐江农 商银行公告称，自9月1日起将把借记卡ATM跨行取现（异地、同城）手续费从"免收"调整为"借记卡取 现手续费3.3元/笔；社保卡每月前2笔 ...

行业报告 | 行业深度研究 银行 证券研究报告 2025 年贷款利率下行幅度有望显著放缓 1. 我国商业性贷款利率定价已基本市场化，近年来贷款利率持续下行 目前贷款定价主要有三类模型：①LPR 定价法实现了政策引导和市场自主定 价之间的平衡，但近年来在定价基准、点差表现等方面也出现了一些新变化。 ②内部资金转移定价（FTP）聚焦银行内部定价管理，LPR 改革后商业银行 已构建起"LPR→贷款 FTP→贷款利率"的定价机制。③成本加成法是传统 的贷款外部定价模型，认为银行贷款利率应是资金成本、运营成本、风险成 本、资本成本、税收成本等各项贷款成本和银行目标收益之和。 LPR 改革后，除 2021 年货币政策回归常态化期间，其他大部分时候贷款利 率都在大幅快速下行。期间三个阶段的贷款利率走势值得关注：LPR 改革深 化和宽松货币政策加码后的快速下行阶段（2020 年）、信贷供需失衡主导的 大幅下行阶段（2022 年）、贷款利率和 LPR 点差压降放缓的阶段（2024 年）。 2. 央行视角看当前贷款定价约束 从央行意图和监管成效看，预计 2025 年贷款利率降幅有限。其一，货币政 策延续宽松，但更重视呵护银行息差 ...

日本央行：长期利率将由市场形成。 ...

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 242 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 68.2 billion yuan after 173.8 billion yuan of reverse repos matured on the same day [1] - The Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate (Shibor) showed mixed movements, with the overnight Shibor decreasing by 2.30 basis points to 1.3880%, while the 7-day Shibor increased by 0.20 basis points to 1.5100% [1][2] - In the interbank pledged repo market, the weighted average rates for DR001 and R001 fell by 2.2 basis points and 1.7 basis points, respectively, while DR007 and R007 saw mixed movements with DR007 rising by 2.4 basis points [4] Group 2 - The money market rates on June 16 indicated a balanced to loose funding environment, with overnight rates around 1.50% and 7-day rates between 1.52% and 1.55% [9] - A total of 107 interbank certificates of deposit were issued on June 16, with an actual issuance volume of 193.28 billion yuan, reflecting active trading sentiment [10] - The Shanghai interest rate self-discipline mechanism meeting emphasized the importance of effective interest rate management and the need to enhance the pricing capabilities of member institutions [13]

本报记者 彭妍 对于银行陆续"下架"中长期大额存单的原因，上海金融与法律研究院研究员杨海平表示，银行此举主要是出于规避高成本 存款、压降存款付息成本的考量。在当前的货币政策取向下，这类行为代表了一种趋势。 近期，工商银行、建设银行、招商银行、中信银行等多家大中型银行及多地城商行，纷纷撤下了五年期大额存单产品，同 时三年期大额存单也逐渐消失，目前在售的大额存单最长期限普遍为两年。利率方面，大额存单的利率普遍跌至"1字头"，显 示出市场深度调整的迹象。 中长期大额存单难求 《证券日报》记者查阅多家银行App发现，五年期大额存单已被全面"下架"。工商银行、建设银行、招商银行等多家银行 均不再提供此类产品。中信银行、招商银行、江苏银行等股份制银行以及部分城商行，不仅五年期产品不见踪迹，就连三年期 大额存单也陆续从市场上消失。也有个别银行目前仅剩一年期大额存单，但设有限制条件，仅允许新资金存入以及特定客户购 买。 记者进一步了解到，当下多数银行主要在售的大额存单最长期限为两年。尽管部分银行仍保留有三年期大额存单，但额度 极为紧张。兴业银行某支行理财经理向记者透露："目前，三年期大额存单的额度已经用完，若要申请额度，只能 ...

银行行业 行业研究 | 深度报告 国家/地区 中国 行业 银行行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 06 月 11 日 看好（维持） | 屈俊 | qujun@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860523060001 | | 于博文 | yubowen1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860524020002 | 25 年存款增长有何新特征？如何展望存款 脱媒及大行负债稳定性？ 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 | | | | 存款利率下调呵护银行息差，存款脱媒或 | 2025-05-21 | | --- | --- | | 较为温和 | | | 政府债拉动社融增速提升，低基数下M2增 | 2025-05-14 | | 速明显向上：——4 月金融数据点评 | | | 宽货币落地+公募改革+保险预定利率或进 | 2025-05-12 | | 一步下调，银行有望跑出超额收益：—— | | | 资金维度看银行股投资 | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本 ...